Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - June 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/5)-(5/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/5)-(5/10/4)-(9/4/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/4)-(5/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/10/4)-(5/10/4)-(5/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/10/4)-(9/4/2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/10/4)-(9/4/2/7/8)-(2/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (9/4/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/7/8)-(9/4/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/7/8)-(9/4/2/7/8)-(9/4/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/7/8)-(2/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/7/8)-(2/6/7/9)-(6/9/4/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/9)-(6/9/4/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/9)-(6/9/4/12)-(4/2/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/9/4/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/12)-(6/9/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/12)-(6/9/4/12)-(6/9/4/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/4/12)-(4/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/12)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/7)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/7)-(4/3/2)-(3/7/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-7   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/7/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-8   WIN (3/7/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/11)-(3/7/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/11)-(3/7/1/11)-(3/7/1/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   06/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY RAINBOW May13         (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
MALLORI'S MAGIC May20 Apr19 Feb15 Dec30   (ward ronni)ALBERT S 114 6.00    
PAYNT THE MOON May20 Apr03 Feb10 Jan26 Oct22 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
WILD BIZNESS Mar30 Mar02 Jan21 Jan30   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BONJOOR MADEMOISEL May27 May28 May07 Apr16   (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLACK CHEETAH Apr21 Jun23 May14 Apr05 Feb23 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
CHATAIN'S EAGLE May07 Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 Nov25 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 116 3.50    
 
LAD-2   06/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANGELSEN Mar16 Mar04 Jan20 Aug06 Jul09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
HALEYS SAILOR Jan28 Dec04 Aug02 Jul09 Jun06 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50    
SCR  WHEN'S TEE TIME Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
GORDON ANTHONY May13 Apr13 Mar17 Jan20 Nov08 (butler w)BARRERA J 117 12.00 12% 7.60    
THUNDERSHOOK May11 Apr16 Apr07 Mar19 Feb20 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MORE THAN BLESSED May06 Apr12 Mar26 Feb19 Jan01 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
MOUNT KENYA May28 Mar22 Feb24 Jan28 Dec22 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
SCR  CHARLIE G May25 May03 Feb24 Feb15 Jan07 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 20.00    
DREWPOWER Mar03 Jan28 Dec27 Nov26 Aug12 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
10  MILITARY BEARING May27 Mar31 Feb25 Jan25 Jan06 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
LAD-3   06/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEACON JONES         (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 4.50    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of LADY HEATHER by BRAHMS)
POUND OUT A DEAL May11         (deville carl)MAGNON H 118 3.50 7% 13.20    
  (by EL DEAL out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
MIGHTY MADDOX         (pomier cha)RODRIGUEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS. BASNIGHT by SKY MESA)
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN         (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PATCHOFBADWEATHER by STORM AND A HALF)
CUNIMBUS         (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
C D'S WILD FIRE         (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 118 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of C C'S WILD FIRE by CHOOSING CHOICE)
WESTERN AFLEET         (venzor jaili)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAINT AFLEET out of WESTERN THEME by STORM AND A HALF)
ALLONANITA'SLUCK         (washington rich)TORRES HUGO 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ANITA'S SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
COOL RIDE May11         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CANDY DELICIOUS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
LAD-4   06/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSOFTHENILE May05 Apr23 Mar25 Mar05 Feb20 (villafranco )MEDELLIN ERICK 119 3.50    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
KID SHELLEEN Apr16 Apr02 Feb19 Dec09 Nov30 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 2.50 72% 0.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GOLDEN MARLIN by MARLIN)
SCR  NATIVE MOONSHINE         (wilson melton)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of PREFER'S FLICKA by PREFER)
WINDTAPPER WIN Apr23 Mar09 Jan21     (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WIND CHEATER by FORESTRY)
ROULETTE May13         (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LAZY SUSAN by TIZNOW)
APPLEGATE         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00 5% 17.30    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of MY STORMY ELAINE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
POPPY T May27         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of KYLIE'S CUTIE by PRIVATE VOW)
EMPYREAL SHADOW May27 May06 Apr02 Mar11 Feb17 (villafranc)ALBERT S 114 8.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
MR. TEXAS CHARM May13         (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BEL AIR KID by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LAD-5   06/05/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Mar15 Jan01 Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
HELIOCHROME May20 May07 Feb23 Dec27 Nov26 (beavin jud)ALBERT S 117 4.50    
LOVING LUCKY May06 Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Oct05 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
DECLARE WAR May20 May07 Apr02 Feb20 Oct26 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE May21 Apr29 Apr14 Mar26 Oct15 (husak j)MELANCON G 119 20.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO May20 May07 Jul31 Jul22 Jul08 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  MONARCH MAN May03 Mar02 Feb04 Sep26 Sep11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
BAYOU SARGE Apr15 Mar11 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 (borel renay)BOREL H 119 12.00    
MR. TIN MAN Nov26 Sep17 Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ROOSTER RUN May20 Jan20 Dec11 Dec01 Sep24 (munoz yovani)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  BATTLE OF WILL May20 Apr21 Mar15 Feb02 Jan12 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
12  SHAMAYIM May05 Feb20 Feb03 Jan15 Dec08 (cravens ronni)VARGAS P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ May27 Apr14 Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
SCR  PHARME'S PHAITH May28 Apr22 Mar31 Mar03 Feb20 (jacks karen )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
LAD-6   06/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS GIANT Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 Jan04 Nov19 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50    
HULEN May13 Apr30 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 117 4.50 34% 2.00    
INDIA INK (ARG) Feb22 Dec31 Dec01 Sep20 Aug23 (wilbanks benj)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
COROT May12 Feb22 Jan19 Dec15 Dec02 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
BAYOU BEAUX Feb09 Jan14 Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
CHAPEL BARN May27 May04 Apr21 Apr08 Mar26 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
YANKEE INDIAN May21 May06 Apr21 Apr01 Mar19 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   06/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  D TWO May14 Mar03 Dec31 Nov19 Sep18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
CREEKMORE May12 Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 Nov19 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 117 6.00 16% 5.30    
MISTER K May14 Apr27 Feb25 Feb05 Jan21 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
SILVER WINGS Apr30 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec16 (jacks karen )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
STARPORT May15 Mar22 Mar02 Jan08 Dec17 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 8.00    
SLITHER May15 Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 Nov05 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
LAD-8   06/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINN MURPHY Mar08 Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Apr28 Mar26 Mar03 Jan27 Jan06 (hornsby tammy)LOZADA CARLOS 122 30.00    
MOONLIGHT RAIN May14 Apr16 Mar11 Feb23 Feb10 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Jan13 Sep27 Aug05 May28 Jan14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
SAINT KENNEDY May21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul17 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 117 15.00    
SCR  SEE SASSY RUN May20 Apr19 Mar16 Mar01 Feb04 (wilson sha)ALBERT S 114 10.00    
FROSTY FLIRT May07 Apr01 Mar05 Feb04 Jan16 (cravens ronnie)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
MUMBLEBEE May04 Mar26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan14 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
BEYOND THE HYPE Feb11 Dec09 Nov03 Oct12 Sep26 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
SCR  MEG AND CLAIR Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Aug21 (gomez jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
11  STRUMMER Feb20 Nov25 Oct12 Aug06 Mar27 (gelner scott)MELANCON G 119 15.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb20 Sep25 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.