Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/10)-(3/6/10/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/10)-(3/6/10/9/4)-(3/6/10/9/4) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/10)-(4/7/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/10)-(4/7/6/10)-(7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/7/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/10)-(4/7/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/10)-(4/7/6/10)-(4/7/6/10) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/10)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/10)-(7/4)-(2/6/4/9/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (7/4)-(2/6/4/9/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(2/6/4/9/1)-(8/4/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/9/1)-(2/6/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/9/1)-(2/6/4/9/1)-(2/6/4/9/1) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/9/1)-(8/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/9/1)-(8/4/6)-(6/1/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/1/6/9)-(8/4/1/6/9) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(6/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6)-(6/1/7/8)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8/5)-(6/1/7/8/5) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/7/8)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/8)-(4/5/3)-(7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/6/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/6/5/3)-(7/4/6/5/3) 24 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO BOOGIE Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan16 Jan11 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
STRONG HEART Apr14 Mar25 Jan07 Dec13 Nov30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
CHROME HEIR Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 111 5.00 56% 0.80    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Apr22 Apr06 Mar09 Mar02 Feb16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
SIMILAR TASTE Apr14 Mar16 Jan19 Jan11 Nov11 (gladden damon)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
ADARA Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
GANDHI'S ORION Apr14 Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 Jan19 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
LUCKY MUCHO MAN Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 Feb21 Feb06 (perez a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
EISELE Apr20 Mar16 Jan20 Dec15 Nov24 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
10  WICKOSITY Apr14 Mar25 Mar19 Mar01 Feb15 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
CT-2   05/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK PANDA Mar23 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Aug18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
MS HEADLEY Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  HOT CAROL Feb22 Sep21 Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 (rodriguez a)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
GRANDIOSELY Mar01 Feb15 Feb04 Jan25 Nov04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
FORTES Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 3.50    
THUNDER PUNCH Mar01 Jan21 Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 6% 16.20    
SMOOTH AS GLASS Apr12 Apr04 Mar13 Feb28 Feb14 (flores-coba feli)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
SECRET AFFIRMATION Apr14 Mar23 Feb09 Jan13 Oct04 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 20.00    
SOME IS NINE Mar24 Mar04 Feb16 Jan15 Dec31 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
10  MIDNIGHT FLING Apr14 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jun03 (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   05/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARGENT KOBE Apr22 Mar31 Feb17 Jan26 Jan06 (lane j)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Apr27 Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
FIZBO Jun16 May15 Mar26 Mar02 Feb10 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
DRINKWITHTHESTARS Mar31 Mar17 Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
SETTLEMENT DATE Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
HOPPING HENRY Mar31 Feb02 Jan19 Dec16 Nov23 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00    
UNISON Nov23 Nov12 Sep30 Sep03 Jul23 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 39% 1.50    
 
CT-4   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODSONG'S CASTLE Apr28 Apr13 Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TENNIS TAP Apr21 Feb08 Jan06 Nov24 May04 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 35% 1.80    
WEST VIRGINIA PAM Jan05 Dec03 Nov10 Sep15 Aug25 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Apr13 Mar02 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 9% 10.00    
BEST VIRGINIA Apr13 Mar04 Jan13 Dec15 Nov24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 2.00    
DIXIE YODELER Apr21 Mar25 Feb25 Jan20 Jan06 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
MY SISTER PAM Apr13 Feb24 Jan20 Nov24 Sep16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
HANDSOME JOANIE Apr28 Feb16 Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
HOW IS SHE Apr13 Mar18 Feb24 Jan19 Jan06 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 6% 14.70    
 
CT-5   05/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELLING Apr21 Apr08 Jan08 Dec04 Nov24 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
GOLDEN APPEAL Apr01 Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 Dec14 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
LOKOYA ROAD Mar31 Aug23 Aug09 Mar25 Feb26 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
RAISE A SPEIGHTS Apr08 Mar01 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  EXCALIBUR Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
CANTAKEITANYMORE Apr08 Mar01 Feb01 Dec02 Nov10 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG DADDY D R Apr21 Mar30 Dec16 Nov17 Oct27 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
JAYJAYDEE Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan27 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
UNEQUIVOCAL Apr08 Mar17 Feb25 Feb18 Jan29 (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 120 10.00    
10  JAMMIN STILL Apr27 Apr07 Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   05/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG MAGIC Mar25 Mar11       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
BARB'S PRIDE Apr14 Apr01 Mar12 Feb04 Jan14 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 15.00    
D TACHYON Apr14 Feb10 Jan21 Nov10 Oct26 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
JUST GO WITH IT Apr14 Aug27       (kee j)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
TEMPTING MOMENT Sep05 Aug24 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
DANCIN IN DUBAI Apr21 Apr14 Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
KING T'CHALLA Nov07 Oct26 Oct19 Sep12 Aug20 (johnston rebecca)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
HE IS BONAFIDE Apr21 Nov23 Nov09 Oct12 Aug17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 5% 18.90    
TANELEER Apr14 Apr07 Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
10  WAYNE'S HOPE Apr14 Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 (locklear james)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACE REVOLUTION Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Nov25 Nov04 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
AZZURRA Apr15 Jan18 Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
ALPINE MOON Apr15 Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 Oct08 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00 20% 4.10    
MY FLICKER Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 Jan15 Dec16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
COMPLETE SURPRISE Aug06 Jun09 May20 Apr28 Mar30 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  R AVERIE LYNN Mar24 Jan16 Jan03 Nov15 Oct21 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 120 12.00    
BABY MAN Feb24 Jan12 Dec30 Nov12 Sep22 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50    
HASHTAG LUCKY Apr15 Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 Jan01 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
 
CT-8   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL RAMBO Apr01 Feb11 Jan13     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50    
OBOY Mar25 Mar01 Feb09 Dec31 Dec10 (demario charl)SIMPSON JASON 124 6.00    
MY SLICK NICK Apr21 Apr14 Mar11 Feb16 Jan27 (stahlin john)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
BIG REDWHITEBLUE Apr22 Apr08 Mar08 Feb27 Jan09 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLING SHIRE Mar09 Feb15 Jan04 Dec08 Oct14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
FLASH OF DAY Apr14 Mar23 Feb16 Jan27 Dec09 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
VOICE OF NOW Mar23 Dec10 Nov19 Oct30 Oct07 (eppler mar)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.80 69% 0.50    
SPEIGHTY SENSE Mar23 Mar11 Jan25 Jan01   (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
BAL ROBINSON Apr14 Mar25 Mar09 Feb04 Jan14 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 116 30.00    
10  ARMOR PIERCING Jan12 Dec07 Nov26 Nov05 Sep30 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 116 12.00    
SCR  NET WORTH Apr22 Apr10 Feb24 Jan21   (jones mich)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00    
SCR  CAN'T STOP MAXEY Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 Dec21 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 12.00    
SCR  CHASING STORMS Apr01 Jan20       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
SCR  MOSES WATER Apr21 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.