Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/1)-(2/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/3/7)-(1/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(1/5/6/3)-(9/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/3)-(9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3)-(9/8/4)-(6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-5   WIN (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4)-(9/8/4/6/3)-(9/8/4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/4)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4)-(6/4)-(10/9/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-6   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(10/9/11/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(10/9/11/8)-(7/6/9/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-7   WIN (10/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/11/8)-(10/9/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/11/8)-(10/9/11/8)-(10/9/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/11/8)-(7/6/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/9/11/8)-(7/6/9/4)-(6/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/4)-(7/6/9/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/4)-(7/6/9/4/11)-(7/6/9/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/9/4)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-9   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUNTER OFFER Mar16 Jan05 Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
SILVER MOON ROAD Mar30 Mar09 Jan14 Dec14 Nov21 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.00 49% 1.00    
ENGLISH CHALLENGE Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan18 Dec16 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
IMPROBABLE STORY Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 Jan25 Jan18 (king l)MOJICA JR 122 4.50    
BLESSED WITH LUCK Dec16 Oct27 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 (eggleston ti)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
INHERENT POWERS Mar01 Jan30 Jan05 Dec22 Oct24 (paquette ra)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
BLUEMOON JUSTICE Mar15 Feb23 Jan30 Jan11 Nov21 (paquett)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
 
IND-2   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVE STAR Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 Sep18 (cline c)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
REINA BELLA Feb02 Jan18 Dec29 Sep29 Aug26 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 1.80    
BETYAR AZETS Feb19 Jan27 Dec18 Nov02 Aug20 (silva miguel)PARKER L 120 4.50    
LADYONTHEHILL         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
CINDERELLA STORY Mar30 Mar15 Feb08 Jan01 Dec15 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
FREE TIME Nov10 Oct13 Sep26     (hernandez rey)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00    
 
IND-3   04/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREAKY FRESH Jan03 Sep17 Aug21     (patrick gary)PARKER L 121 30.00    
WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER Feb18 Dec26       (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
CHARLIES MEDAL Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 Feb10 Feb01 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
MATLOCK (IRE) Mar10 Feb10       (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 8.00    
SCR  BLUE TEARDROPS Mar17         (manley steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 8.00    
PRINCE OF ROSES Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 Dec18 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 121 6.00    
CONNECT ME Apr05 Mar23 Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 121 4.00 9% 10.20    
REPREHEND Feb04 Dec31 Nov13     (drury tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
 
IND-4   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKTOMEJUSTICE Nov22 Oct26 Oct06 Sep20 Sep01 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
DALTON'S LOVE Mar16 Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 Nov10 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 122 3.50    
PERFECT SMOKEY EYE Nov23 Nov11 Sep29 Sep21 Sep01 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 12.00 7% 13.40    
MISS SOVELIA Mar16 Mar04 Feb08 Dec14 Dec01 (quezada)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
Z ZS RED Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep15 Sep08 (duran antoni)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
SMOOTH LIKE ICE Mar24 Feb01 Jan05 Dec17 Nov20 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
RISING HEAT Mar18 Mar02 Feb03 Jan01   (stidham m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50    
 
IND-5   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANUELITO Feb25 Dec18 Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 15.00    
SCR  KING SOCIAL Jan14 Oct25 Sep26 Sep07 Jul20 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 119 20.00    
AZZARO STEEL Feb17 Dec30 Nov02 Oct25 Oct06 (contreras)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
SCOTTY'S ON EDGE Sep14 Aug25 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 (ortiz joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
PRINCE ACT Jan19 Dec01 Nov22 Nov11 Oct31 (hammond kim)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
CIBOLO Oct05 Sep08 Aug03 Jul21 Jun07 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
ZOLO Sep13 Aug03 Jul07 Jun01   (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 8.00    
FERDAN Nov22 Oct24 Sep08 Aug15   (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.00 21% 3.80    
TOO BAD JUSTICE Nov15 Oct29 Oct12 Sep26 Sep08 (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
IND-6   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNVEGAN DOLL Mar15 Feb20 Sep08 Aug17 Jul27 (fadlovich)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
MINTCHOCOLATECHIP Nov14 Oct29 Oct03 Aug24 Aug10 (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY Jan12 Nov30 Oct17 Aug08 May30 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
VERRY AMELIA Nov17 Oct27 Aug03 Jun29 May23 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 10.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  HERMANA Apr01 Feb23 Jan26 Dec08 Nov10 (deegan c)PRESCOTT R 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
FAST GISELLE Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 Dec22 (galindo-torres )ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  LADY GOLDSTART Jan29 Dec09 Nov10 Oct19 Aug21 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
HOLIDAY DECISION Mar29 Mar13 Jan26 Jan13 Sep15 (delacru)DE CRUZ 120 4.50    
 
IND-7   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZUPITA Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Sep28 Sep12 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 30.00    
CATCHAFALLNSTAR Apr03 Nov21 Oct31 Oct12 Sep08 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
B FLAT OUT Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Aug30 (phillips ter)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 15.00    
ADDICTED TO LOVE Oct29 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00    
TAP THE LINE Feb01 Dec28 Nov21 Nov14 Oct25 (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
BRODY MO Nov14 Oct20 Sep28 Aug30 Aug09 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
MOLLY'S WARRIOR Nov15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul14 Jun28 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00    
SASSY KATIE Dec16 Nov11 Sep28     (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00 5% 17.50    
JACK'S SUMMER Nov21 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
10  TIZZY JOJO Oct29 Oct05 May24     (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 115 1.80 50% 1.00    
11  EKATI FLATTER Nov14 Nov01       (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 8% 11.50    
12  BAND OF ROSES Nov15 Oct26 Oct19 Sep14 Sep07 (gonzalez lil)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
SCR  PANTALONES ENFUEGO Feb08 Jan13 Dec30 Nov23   (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
SCR  CLOSER TOTHE TRUTH Aug11 May30       (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 12.00    
 
IND-8   04/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUT OF PROMISES         (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 120 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of VEILED VOW by BROKEN VOW)
AMERICANA ANNA Oct20 Sep28 Aug30 Aug09   (gorham )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of BIG SISTER RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
EXPLOSIVE SKIES Nov23 Nov11 Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 (patrick gary)PARKER L 120 6.00    
  (by TOURIST out of JUDITH BASIN by DANZIG)
PADDI'S WISH Jul12         (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 120 12.00 6% 15.40    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of HIGHER LOGIC by HIGH FLY)
ARRINGTON Dec30 Nov23 Nov11 Oct29 Sep21 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by DANZA out of NO PARTNERS by AWESOME PATRIOT)
ALWAYS BLOSSOM Sep21 Aug30 Aug09     (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MANKAI BLOSSOM by FIRST SAMURAI)
CASTLE MAGIC Nov23 Nov01 Oct11     (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PRETTIEREVERYDAVE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
INDIAN ZARA Sep21         (haran john)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of INDIAN RUN by SIOUX NATION)
WILLADEAN         (phillips ter)RAMOS D 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CALL ME MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  CHIMES Nov23 Nov11 Oct11 Aug09 Jun22 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
  (by PALACE out of DINGALINGALING by TENPINS)
11  SHARP HEELED GIRL         (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DUNDALK BAY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
12  ZIINZI Jun22 May30       (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
  (by PALACE out of OURCINNAMONANSUGAR by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  NO JOKING MATTER Feb15 Dec21 Nov23     (meah m)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BUSTLE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  HURRICANE LASSIE         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELONG TO LASSIE by BELONG TO ME)
 
IND-9   04/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TO BE Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 10.00    
DEEP DISH Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Nov23 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
MRS. NUSHI Mar16 Feb20 Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Nov20 Oct13 (danner do)CORREA L 122 8.00    
SHARP JUSTICE Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct10 (medina tomas)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 20.00    
BLUE GRASS ANNA Jan21 Dec28 Nov28 Oct31 Oct10 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
SCR  MAMA LOU Oct04 Sep02 Aug08 Jul11 May23 (west w)PARKER L 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
MOSE DEFINITELY Mar17 Feb10 Jan20 Dec31 Nov23 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.