Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - March 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6/3)-(5/1/2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1/5)-(6/2/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/1)-(2/4/5/6)-(4/2/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-3   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6/7)-(2/4/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8/1)-(4/2/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4/6)-(1/3/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(3/5)-(4/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2/1/6)-(3/5/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-8   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2/1)-(6/3/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(3/5/1)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-9   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/7/2)-(3/5/1/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-10   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/8/6)-(1/3/4/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILSON TO LOCKETT Mar04 Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 Nov23 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 18% 4.40    
2  NAME REJECTED Mar03 Dec14 Nov11 Oct27 Oct08 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 18% 4.40    
3  MY BOY GUS Mar12 Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 Nov10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
4  THREE BALL Feb25 Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug28 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
5  JONATHAN WHO Mar11 Feb16 Jan18 Jan04 Nov12 (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  FEROCITY Feb18 Dec08 Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
 
FON-2   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT IRENE Mar10 Feb25 Feb10 Dec30 Sep26 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 13% 6.50    
2  CECILIA'S HOPE Mar05 Feb24 Jan19 Nov09 Sep28 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  S C ANGEL Feb24 Feb10 Jun12 May28 May07 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
4  ZIPPORAH Mar05 Feb25 Sep11 Jul26 Jul11 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
5  WITCHY WINDSOR Mar05 Feb24 May28 May20 May07 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 15.00 ★    
6  GIGGLES AND SMOKE Mar05 Feb12 Sep26 Sep20 Sep06 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 26% 2.90    
7  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Mar05 Feb24 Feb10 Jun18 May28 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
FON-3   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOY FOREVER Mar03 Feb12 Jun11 May21 May07 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00    
2  JULIE JEAN Mar04 Jun18 May13 Apr24 Mar04 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  MISS MEAD Mar03 Jun19 Jun03 May07 Apr02 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
4  P R GIRLFRIEND Mar03 Feb18 Jun10 May29 Apr01 (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  ZIBBY TOO Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jun11 May21 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  INEWAGALLIKETHAT Mar03 Feb12 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (musquiz j)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 8% 11.50    
7  MISS ADDISYN K Mar03 Feb17 Jun11 May28 Apr29 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 ★    
 
FON-4   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIZZA GIRL Feb25 Feb11 Sep24     (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 ★    
2  QUEEN OF GOLD Feb25 Feb10       (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  PALACEDANCER Mar18 Sep26 Aug21 Jul10 Jun24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
4  DIXIE TRIXIE Mar18 Feb11 Sep24 Sep12 Sep05 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  MUCHO MACHO BABY Mar04 Feb22 Feb12 Jan14 Dec02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
6  QUALITY BOW Feb02 Jan19       (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
7  NOBLE PRESENT Mar18 Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Dec03 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 11% 7.80    
8  GOLDEN KAT         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 6% 15.80    
 
FON-5   03/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Mar10 Feb24 Sep19 Aug19 Jul30 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  FINDING SILVER Mar04 Feb11 Dec16 Dec03 Oct28 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 3.00 10% 9.40    
3  FORT KNOX Mar12 Feb26 Dec15 Oct08 Jul05 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 14% 6.00    
4  HATTIES JEWEL Mar05 Feb19 Feb11 Oct02 Aug27 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00 9% 9.90    
5  GOLD BEAR Mar19 Feb11 Jan19 Dec03 Jul17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
6  HUNK OF A HIT Mar18 Mar03 Sep25 Sep18 Jun13 (crabtree jason)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 ★    
SCR  ALARM SYSTEM Feb18 Nov02 Oct19 Jul19 Jun27 (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
FON-6   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pepsi Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOMAMA SASSY Aug17 Jul27 Jul04     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 12.00 ★    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of SASSY MOLLY by MINESHAFT)
2  SAENGER STAR Mar14 Feb26 Feb17 Dec30 Nov03 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 116 4.50 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  FABULOSITY Mar11 Feb25 Dec19 Nov18 Nov06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 0.50 49% 1.10    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZA SMARTY by TIZNOW)
4  GRACE A'LACE Aug17 Jul27 Jun30     (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 122 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
5  CAJUN TRINITY Mar17 Feb26 Feb03 Jan25 Jan12 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CHEF BERTIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  AUNT CARI Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 Jan08 Dec09 (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 116 8.00 ★    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
FON-7   03/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAINER Mar18 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 Jun09 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
SCR  MORO APPEAL Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Sep18 Sep04 (long vaug)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 19% 4.10    
3  DRINK Feb25 Feb11 Dec28 Dec14 Oct11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 ★    
4  LOVETHATCAUSE Mar11 Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  THE BIG SHOW Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Jul03 Jun11 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
6  GOOSE DRANK WINE Mar11 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug08 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 16% 5.40    
7  DISCREET INVASION Mar04 Oct24 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 ★    
 
FON-8   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TATUM Mar12 Feb25 Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 ★    
2  SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS Mar12 Feb25 May21 May01 Apr16 (hoffman r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 5% 18.80    
3  SABER QUEEN Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 Nov16 Oct28 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 17% 4.80    
4  BAYLEYWICK Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (foley p)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Mar11 Feb17 Sep19 Sep09 Aug19 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
6  WILDWOOD MAGGIE Mar12 Feb25 Jan13 Dec30 Dec19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  UNUNDERSTANDABLE Mar11 Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 Oct30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
 
FON-9   03/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Aug27 Jun30 Jun18 May07 Mar21 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 8% 11.40    
2  GUINESSEY Mar04 Dec01 Nov07 Oct06 Sep23 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 ★    
3  ONE SON OF A CHIEF Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul16 Jun26 (wise jason)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 54% 0.80    
4  CAVE HILL Mar04 Sep08 Aug20 Jul16 Jun25 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
5  OURBESTFRIEND D L Feb18 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 Apr09 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 11% 7.70    
6  UNRESTRICTED Dec16 Nov18 Oct12 Sep21 Aug27 (black maris)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50    
7  GREY ROGUE Feb18 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Aug15 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 4.00 ★    
 
FON-10   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE O ONE Dec19 Nov25 Nov05 Oct02 Sep02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  CHARED Mar05 Feb17 Jun18 Jun11 May28 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
3  HANSENS MISCHIEF Mar04 Feb17 Mar19 Mar06   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  GONE PREACHIN Mar12 Feb10 Jun17 Jun10 May27 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 6.00 9% 9.60    
5  FERRARI ROAD Mar10 Sep20 Sep05 Jul11 Jun10 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
6  CARPE VICTORIAM Mar11 Jun18 Jun05 Feb23 Jan22 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 ★    
SCR  MURDO Mar12 Feb24 Feb18 Sep25 Aug08 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50    
8  THAT'S D 'CAT Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Nov25 Nov09 (bliss dean)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.