Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4/1)-(5/7/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(2/5/1)-(2/8/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/6/3)-(2/5/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/8/10)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/10)-(2/8/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/10)-(2/8/10/1)-(2/8/10/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/10)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/10)-(3/5/4)-(5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/6/2)-(3/5/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/3)-(6/3/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6/1/2)-(5/3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(6/3/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/1/8/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7/1)-(6/3/2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(6/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/7)-(6/1/8/3)-(9/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3/2)-(6/1/8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/8/3)-(9/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/3)-(9/4)-(3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/4)-(9/4/2/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/4)-(9/4/2/8/3)-(9/4/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGING WHIRLWIND Feb22 Feb12 Dec14 Nov26 Jul23 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 122 12.00 ★    
2  TAKEOVER KASH Mar05 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Jan08 (correa maxine)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
3  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Feb22 Jan11 Nov30 Oct08 Sep15 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
4  FINLANDIAS NEAT         (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  AMBUSHED Feb15 Jan20 Dec28 Jul11 Jun20 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  THE POINT ROAD Mar05 Feb22 Feb12 Jan20   (mccarthy brend)CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00    
7  TRAVEL GUIDE Mar05 Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 (romero rafa)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  LORD OF THE NILE Mar05 Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 Dec30 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
9  IT'S ME AGAIN Feb22 Jan22 Jan18 Dec31   (santillana f)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
10  MOTANAAFER Mar05 Aug30 Aug23 Aug01   (escobar alison)COTTO L 122 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN CRACKER Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct01 Aug20 (king clarence)WALKER M 122 30.00    
SCR  EL MIC TIESUN Feb26 Feb16 Jan22 Jan06 Dec31 (mardif jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  WILLWORKFORFOOD Mar05 Feb09 Mar26 Mar16   (miller her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
SCR  FROSTY WARRIOR Mar05 Feb16 Dec17 Jan22   (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPENSIVE STYLE Nov23 Sep29 Jul27 Jun24 Jun10 (ward den)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  INTER MIAMI Mar03 Feb05 Jan13 Dec17 Nov26 (delgado jo)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  HIDE THE DEMON Mar05 Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 Dec16 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 5.00 ★    
4  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec17 Oct08 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
5  TRIPULANTE Mar03 Jan15 Jul20 Jun21 May30 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 18% 4.50    
6  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Mar03 Feb01 Sep15 Aug01 Jul13 (poole a)CENTENO E 118 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   03/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC DREAMER Feb25 Jan29 Dec28     (gucia)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 ★    
2  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Mar04 Feb08 Jan07 Dec22 Dec03 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  BELLA FACCIA Mar11 Feb11       (ciaio charle)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
4  BONNIE SANDRA Feb25         (gulick m)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
SCR  AL TIRAH Mar11 Jan14 Dec11     (cordero anton)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
6  CHALCOLITHIC Dec17 Nov30 Oct09     (lopez ro)EVANS CECILY 120 8.00    
7  MOST DIVINE Feb25 Feb08       (bowersock ma)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 12.00    
8  TIZ A TEMPEST Mar04 Jan06       (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
9  VERIFIABLE Feb12         (manning j)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
10  IRISH VICTORY (IRE)         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE         (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SORTARIA Feb22 Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 Jan01 (hardesty l)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED DREAMS Mar04 Feb12 Jan29 Jan01 Dec22 (doming)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
14  LA VILLANA Mar01         (escobar alison)COTTO L 120 15.00    
 
TAM-4   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLATINUM GEM Mar08 Jan14 Dec22 Jul18 Jun06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.00    
2  MOOR STRENGTH Feb11 Jan15 Dec09 Nov23 Oct16 (santillana f)BATISTA A 118 12.00 ★    
3  NIGHT CAP Feb18 Jan14 Jun07 Mar12 Feb12 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
4  SHE'S MY WARRIOR Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jun25 Jun05 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 10% 8.70    
5  PINK SHOELACES Feb11 Jan14 Dec22 Jun18 Mar12 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  POSH PLAYDAY Jan14 Oct06 Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 118 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE ME NOT Feb04 Jan08 Dec03 Nov04 Sep17 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 ★    
2  PROWLING TIGER Jan08 Nov13 Oct23     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 4.50 ★    
3  SUMMER BEE Mar11 Jan08 Dec17 Dec03 Oct16 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  WELAKA Jan08 Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 Sep16 (danner k)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
5  PIKE PLACE Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 Oct15 Sep17 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
6  PROVISION Dec30 Nov11 Oct27 Sep16 Aug19 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   03/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPINTOYOURBEER Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec31 Dec21 (ubide max)ARROYO S 124 2.50 ★    
2  WILD IRISHMAN Mar11 Jan28 Jan08 Apr29 Apr03 (ward denn)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  SIDNEY'S BID Mar10 Feb22 Feb12 Jan06 Dec16 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
4  CEDAR BEACH Mar04 Feb03 Dec28 Apr20 Mar25 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 10.00    
5  BAM BAM WARRIOR Mar04 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec28 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00    
6  SWIFT KID Mar04 Feb17 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  SANDY DUDE Mar04 Jan27 Dec28 Nov30 Nov04 (harney heathe)ALICEA JEREMY 117 12.00 7% 12.90    
 
TAM-7   03/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Mar12         (hamm timothy)CASTANON L 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  I'M NERVOUS NOW Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Nov27 Nov17 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 8.00 ★    
3  CHEM MAJOR Feb05         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 6% 16.40    
4  HERE'S PERFECTION Dec17         (wirth kenneth )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
5  HAPPY RIDE Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 May08 Apr22 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 12.00    
6  SINGALONG KAYLA Feb22 Jan29 Jun25 May29 Apr02 (king clarence)FUENTES MARIO 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  SALIT Mar08 Feb08 Apr23 Feb10   (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 6.00    
8  GALLEY HEAD Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 Sep03 Aug12 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  RUDA Mar01 Feb08       (king clarenc)BATISTA A 123 15.00    
 
TAM-8   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOURBON OVER ICE Mar10 Feb08 Jan28 Jan11 Dec10 (kintz matthew)FELICIANO R 122 15.00    
2  HOT AND HEAVY Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec07 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.50 ★    
3  TUFF ATTACK Feb19 Jan20 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 (arnett jo)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 ★    
4  LORD BARNA Mar05 Jan25 Jan04 Aug23 Jul25 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
5  KEVIN WITTE Mar12 Jan14 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 12.00    
6  MOONSHINE NOW Mar03 Jan28 Sep01 Jun23 Feb12 (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
7  SHOO SHINE Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec23 Dec07 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 8.00    
8  FORWARD MOTION Mar12 Feb08 Oct25 Oct11 Sep05 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 ★    
9  SOUTH SEA Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Oct25 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
TAM-9   03/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL ADVENTURE Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec21 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
2  BLACK SEAL Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov12 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00    
3  THE BEST DISTANCE Feb25 Jan13 Dec03 Aug31 Aug06 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  RAISING MOON Feb04 Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  BETWEEN THE COVERS Dec03 Nov05 Sep24     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 6.00 ★    
6  DISTORTED TIMES Mar05 Jul28 Jun18 Jun01 May04 (hayford jennifer)SPIETH S 123 15.00    
7  EDEN PARADISE Feb26 Feb15 Feb04 Dec26 Dec08 (james gerald)CASTANON L 119 5.00    
8  BUSTIN UP Mar03 Jan27 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50 ★    
9  DUKE SKYWALKER Mar03 Feb15 Dec16 Dec02 Jun25 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
10  SWILL MERCHANT Mar04 Jul27 Jun01 May20 Apr16 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00    
SCR  MISTER FERNANDO Mar15 Feb19 Feb11 Jan28 Jan22 (nunn douglas)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
SCR  GENERALONAMISSION Feb15 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
SCR  LAST SECOND LOUIE Feb01 Oct22 Sep09 Jul29 Mar18 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  HOLY MEISTER Feb01         (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 119 10.00 8% 11.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.