Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(5/8/1/2)-(3/8/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2/6)-(5/8/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/1/2)-(3/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/2)-(3/8/6/1)-(7/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/1)-(7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/1)-(7/9/3)-(3/7/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/3)-(7/9/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/3)-(7/9/3/8)-(7/9/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/3)-(3/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3)-(3/7/8/6)-(4/2/10/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/6)-(4/2/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/6)-(4/2/10/5)-(10/5/9/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/2/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/10/5)-(4/2/10/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/10/5)-(4/2/10/9/5)-(4/2/10/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/10/5)-(10/5/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/10/5)-(10/5/9/8)-(2/11/4/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-7   WIN (10/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/8)-(10/5/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/8)-(10/5/9/1/8)-(10/5/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/9/8)-(2/11/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/8)-(2/11/4/10)-(7/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/11/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/4/10)-(2/11/4/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/11/4/10)-(2/11/4/10/1)-(2/11/4/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/11/4/10)-(7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-9   WIN (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/9)-(7/6/9/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/9)-(7/6/9/10)-(7/6/9/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOJO         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 115 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of RATHVILLY by GRAND SLAM)
2  SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Feb19 Jan20 Mar12 Jan14   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SHACKIN UP by SHACKLEFORD)
3  SMILING ANGEL Feb23 Feb11 Sep12 Aug27 Aug07 (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of MYSTIC SMILE by HALF OURS)
SCR  SPARKLING ROSE Jul31 Jul01       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MY LIMIT by WAGON LIMIT)
5  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Feb02         (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50 9% 10.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of SINGING ON A STAR by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  PERPETUATE Jan14 Jan05       (tracy greg)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 6% 15.10    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CUT IN STONE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  GATHER THE FACTS Aug19 Jun24 Apr30     (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 123 5.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SISTER SUPERIOR by PULPIT)
8  I'M ALL SHOOK UP Jan20 Dec10       (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 8.00 ★    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DYNATAP by TAPIT)
9  LONG SHOT LOUISE Feb03 Jan04       (d)DE CRUZ 115 30.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
 
HOU-2   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DEPUTY Feb11 Jan16 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  BONNIEVIEW Jan27 Dec17 Oct28 Oct01 Sep02 (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RYE MUNNY Feb19 Feb05 Dec14 Nov19 Oct26 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
4  ROSES ARE GRAY Feb12 Jan13 Dec09 Nov07 Sep30 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
5  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Feb18 Jan27 Dec17 Oct28 Sep25 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  TAYLORS TAP Feb25 Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 Jul23 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 ★    
7  DRENCHED Feb12 Jan27 Jan15 Oct07   (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
8  IM THE BIGGER BEAR Feb12 Jan13 Nov30 Nov12 Oct19 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
HOU-3   03/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IGNIS Jul03 Jun04 Apr01 Feb18   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 30.00 5% 18.40    
2  SHACKLELACKALACKA Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 Jan21 Nov18 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 2.50    
3  SUMMER CAT Feb11 Jan14 Dec15 Nov19 Oct13 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  DIFFERENTBUTOK Feb20 Feb04 Dec15 Sep29 Aug10 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
5  INDAWIN Mar10 Feb19 Nov26 Nov11 Oct29 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00    
6  IMAGINARY IMAGE Feb26         (sayre d)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  MEDWAY QUEEN Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 (silva c)GONCALVES R 119 20.00    
8  MIA BABY Feb04 Jan13 Nov04 Oct19 Oct01 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
9  MISS M J Mar10 Feb12 Jan13 Oct08 Sep25 (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 15.00    
10  MY GOLDEN BLING Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan21 Dec09 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50    
SCR  PAISLEY CROSS Dec30 Nov19 Mar05 Jan20 Jan08 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
HOU-4   03/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ THE BIG ONE Feb20 Jan28 Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 (alberto ant)MELANCON JANSEN 115 8.00    
2  SILVER AND GOLD Feb20 Feb11 Jul24 Jul02 Jun23 (j)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
3  KLIMCO Mar10 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  GRAMI'S BOY Feb12 Jan15 May08 Mar23 Mar11 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50 12% 7.20    
SCR  INFINITE MORO Feb25 Jan21 Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
6  SWEET TAPIN MORO Feb19 Feb03 Jan15 Aug13 Jul09 (whitton m)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
7  FEARLESS PRINCE Mar10 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 Jul22 (tuley rhonda)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  MR. NIGHTBLINGER Jan20 Sep07 Aug27 Jul17 Jun23 (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 ★    
9  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Feb25 Feb05 May21 May07 Mar25 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 1.80 18% 4.50    
 
HOU-5   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION STATION Feb17 Jan12 Dec27 Dec10 Nov17 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 12.00    
2  SAMURAI CAUSE Mar03 Feb24 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 (t)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
3  KIERKEGAARD Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Dec31 Nov26 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  RUMOHR REIGNS Jan28 Dec21 Oct08 Aug27 Jan27 (tracy greg)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
5  CUCINA Jan28 Jan12 Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00    
6  MUNI MUNI SLEW Feb19 Feb05 Dec03 Nov14 Oct28 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOOD SCOUT Feb24 Jan16 Jan06 Nov12 Oct28 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
8  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Feb04 Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 Oct12 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb25 Feb05 Jan22 Nov05 Oct15 (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
 
HOU-6   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAWSON CITY Feb05         (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWEET SARANNA by FOREST DANGER)
2  BABY ITS COLD         (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of SWAY by SWAIN (IRE))
3  BOUGIE JOE Feb12 Jan14 Dec10 Nov15   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  TAPADINE Feb03 Jan13 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TAPIT out of ONDINE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  LET'S GO ROMEO Jan25 Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 Sep03 (asmussen m)DIEGO V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
6  NERKY ROSE Feb12 Dec07 Oct06     (c)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CORDELHIA by AUSTRALIA (GB))
7  MALIBU MENDELSSOHN Oct13         (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MALIBU GEM by MALIBU MOON)
8  MENDEL WARRIOR Feb05 Sep22       (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of KISS MINE by MINESHAFT)
9  I AM GRODD Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 Dec12 Nov14 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
10  ELUSIVEDESTINATION Feb18 Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 5% 17.40    
  (by TOURIST out of ELUSIVE ME by HOLD ME BACK)
 
HOU-7   03/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 35 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT TOM Feb20 Feb04 Jun05 May15 Apr08 (padilla car)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00 ★    
2  MAN IN THE MIDDLE Feb20 Feb04 Jan16 May20 Apr30 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
3  MO HAWK MAN Feb20 Feb09 Mar31 Mar13 Feb19 (rangel raul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
4  DIXIE MOONSHINE Feb12 Jan13 Dec09 Oct15   (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 12.00    
5  MY CALANTE Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 Nov26 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 115 4.50 29% 2.40    
6  SOMERSETSLASTRIDE Mar04 Feb17 Sep08     (bravo franci)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
7  ELIJAH'S MOVE Jan19 Nov22       (gonzalez ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
8  KILO KEY Nov25         (s)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 50.00 5% 19.00    
9  VICKIE'S GOLD Feb03         (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 115 20.00 8% 12.20    
10  CUNNING Jan15 Dec11 Sep30 Sep07 Jul24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 38% 1.70    
 
HOU-8   03/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIP THE COIN JAN Mar04 Jul23 Jun26 May22 May14 (c)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 ★    
2  WITH VERVE Mar04 Jan07 Nov27 Nov13 Oct07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  BIG ROJO Feb22 Feb02 Jan21 Dec16 Nov05 (torrez jeren)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
4  K C TIZ MORO Feb05 Jan14 Jun19 May08 Mar26 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 123 8.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  MAGIC BOW Mar04 Feb11 Jun05 May14 Mar04 (stidham j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
6  FRESH ONE Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Nov03 Oct12 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
7  LANGUAGE BARRIER Feb11 Jan22 Dec19 Oct23 Aug27 (sayre d)BOURQUE J 123 30.00    
8  MEGA BOND Mar04 Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Jul12 (davidson )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
9  LOUIS LE GRANDE Mar04 Jan20 Jan06 Dec21 Dec08 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50    
10  LITTLE AVENGER Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul02 Feb05 (camacho jose)VERA T 123 30.00 6% 14.80    
11  EUROEXIT Sep07 Aug19 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 10% 9.00    
12  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Jan04 Dec09 Nov04 Aug17 Jul24 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
 
HOU-9   03/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RING ME DARLING Dec09 Nov27 Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00    
2  GRAY ZONE Sep14 Jul24 Jun11 Feb17 Jan29 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
3  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Jan14 Dec03 Sep21 Sep02 Jul10 (alarcon san)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00    
4  HUSHED COURT ROOM Feb20 Feb12 Nov07 Oct22 Oct08 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00    
5  TELLING THYME Aug26 Jul10 Jun11 May15 Apr07 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00    
6  AMARDINE Apr02 Feb19 Jan29     (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 123 8.00 14% 6.10    
7  DOWNTOWN ABBY Jul01 Jun12 May05 Mar19   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
8  SWEET ADELINE Jul02 Jun16 May22 May01 Mar23 (baldillez a)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
9  OUTLINING Feb11 Jan20 Oct02 Jul23 Jun28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
10  MAINLINE Feb03 Nov07 Oct12 Sep11 Aug08 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  DELIGHTOF THE NILE Feb19 Nov24 Oct01     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.