Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/1/3/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6/5)-(2/1/3/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6/5)-(2/1/3/6/5)-(2/1/3/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6/5)-(1/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6/5)-(1/7/2)-(5/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6/5)-(1/7/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(5/4/1)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/6/3)-(5/4/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/2/6)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3/1)-(4/2/6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-6   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(1/8/7/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/8/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/5/6)-(1/8/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/5/6)-(1/8/7/5/6)-(1/8/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jan06 Dec21 Dec08 Nov10 Oct21 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80 16% 5.10    
2  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Dec29 Dec02 Oct20 Sep16 Aug21 (silva miguel)PARKER L 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  ROOSTER RUN Dec11 Dec01 Sep24 Aug27 Aug15 (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Dec29 Nov25 Oct07 Jul29 Jun15 (besancon d)ALBERT S 113 8.00    
5  PLEASANT VISION Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Dec29 Dec01 Oct15 Aug25 Jul29 (casse w)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
FG-2   01/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMA ZULU Sep18 Sep04       (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  G'S LAW Sep17 Sep03 Jul31     (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 12% 7.30    
3  LA BOUCANE Jan07 Dec11 Nov18 Sep27   (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
SCR  ZADAR Dec09         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
5  WINNING DANCE Jan07 Dec03 Nov19     (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 120 8.00 ★    
6  HUMOR ME PLEASE Dec23 Dec09       (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 3.50 ★    
7  MOTOWN MISSILE Nov24 Oct28       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.80 14% 6.00    
 
FG-3   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET IT B Oct22 Oct05 Aug13 Jun25   (husak ga)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 9% 10.60    
2  HIGH TONE Dec29 Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Sep13 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 6.00    
3  FRANK THE MAYOR Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 Aug12 (duhon o)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 ★    
4  MILTONTOWN Sep15 Aug03 Jul02 Jun09   (silva miguel)PARKER L 119 8.00 14% 6.00    
5  CARBON STRYKER Jan06 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 Sep01 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  TWO DOT Dec02 Sep27 Sep17 Aug15 Jul23 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 ★    
7  AUTOCRATIC Dec29 Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Sep03 (morrell cynthia)MURRAY M 124 12.00    
 
FG-4   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM COLLECTION Jan05 Dec26 Dec03 Nov24 Oct29 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of SOMETIMESADIAMOND by VOCALISED)
2  WORK ORDER         (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BABY BIRD by CAPE TOWN)
3  RATE CONFIRMATION Dec26 Nov17 Oct23 Sep23   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of ECHO DUST by BERNARDINI)
4  BOOSTER SHOT Nov23 Nov03       (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of JAZAALAH by HARD SPUN)
5  JULIA'S WARRIOR Nov27         (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 120 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MAJESTIC MARQUET by PROUD ACCOLADE)
6  POWER ALLEY         (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FORT AFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
FG-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Dec10 Aug20       (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
2  IRON MOON Dec26         (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  BOSTON BLITZ         (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
4  CUSTOM CADILLAC Dec26         (cuccia j)CULP BRIANNE 115 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LIBERINA by FORESTRY)
5  LORDY LORDY         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ALWAYS HERE TOO by INCLUDE)
6  THROWIN' SHADE Aug27         (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of MICHELLE'S KRACKIN by IDE)
7  LONE STAR MAX         (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of MINI MAX by FIRST DUDE)
 
FG-6   01/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FROSTY DIVA Dec18 Nov24 Sep29 Aug07   (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of READYFORHERCLOSEUP by SMART STRIKE)
2  JAYLA Sep05 Aug15 Jun28     (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  ICICLES Dec19 Nov24       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by FROSTED out of HARD TEN HOPPING by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  LADY WITH A CAUSE Dec31 Nov24       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 4.50 ★    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PUNCHIN' CHUDY by TWO PUNCH)
5  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Dec31 Nov19 Sep22     (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MORETHANJUSTHELLO by MORE THAN READY)
6  SALSALITA VERDE         (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
7  INTERNET GIRL Dec09         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEAVINGISWINNING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS GAL Nov24 Oct22       (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 7% 13.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
9  SENSE OF HEART Dec19 Nov25       (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FIVE HEARTS by LANGFUHR)
 
FG-7   01/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. FOUR SEVENS Dec09 Nov19 Jun21 May10 Mar20 (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 115 10.00    
2  MANGELSEN Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 Mar05 Feb12 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 1.80 26% 2.90    
3  OH MY ACHING ARCH Sep20 Jul31 Jun25 Jun14 May30 (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
4  APACHE TEARS Dec04 Oct16 Sep03 May14 Apr21 (gabriel te)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
5  MOMENT OF STARDOM Sep12 Jun25 Mar01     (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
6  HUDSON'S TURN Sep12 Aug15 Jul26 Jul02 Jun07 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
7  REAL CITY SPEED Sep12 Jun15 Jan20     (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 5.00    
8  SILVER GALAXY Nov19 Jun17 May27 May08 Mar27 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  GREELEY WENT WEST Dec17 Nov18 Oct12 Aug30 Aug08 (schwandt emile)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
SCR  EVERLOVINGHAND Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 Jul14 Jun22 (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  UNANIMOUSLY Dec17 Oct27 Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
SCR  LIKE MIKE Dec17 Oct27 Jul31 Jun14 May18 (tracy tan)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
FG-8   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL WON Oct21 Aug17 Jun02 May11 Mar03 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 116 4.50 41% 1.40    
2  FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Oct07 Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
3  DREAM HALO Nov09 Oct12 Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
4  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 Oct12 Sep27 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
5  SPECIAL PRYCE Dec29 Dec17 Oct29 Oct14 Jul22 (scherer t)MELANCON G 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jan07 Dec09 Aug17 Jun02 Apr24 (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNDERDOG Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 Aug11 (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 7% 13.20    
8  COMPLEX SYSTEM Jun26 May12 Mar18 Feb20   (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.