Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Tuesday - September 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   09/06/2022 6600ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMO Aug19 Jul14       (thomas jonath)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00    
DYNA MAST Aug15 Jul13       (fout dou)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 30.00    
SCR  NATTY BIRD         (mcclure)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 20.00    
SPIRITUAL GHOST Aug09 Jul16 May21     (buckley r)CARRASCO R 120 20.00    
UNION LEAGUE Jul30         (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
TIGER TO REMEMBER         (kenneally edd)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
ANVIL Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27   (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
SMOOTH SAILING         (stidham michae)ROCCO S 120 4.00 9% 9.60    
REMOTE Aug10 Jul14 Jun18 May20 Apr10 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
CNL-2   09/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN CHANNELS Jul18 May21 Apr23 Mar27 Feb27 (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
LAND MARK DEAL Jul18 Jun11       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
CLINT MAROON (GB) Aug09 Jul27       (bourke m)REYES LEONEL 122 15.00 9% 10.40    
SCANNO Aug16 Jul19       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 124 8.00    
SCR  BASQUIAT Jul27 Apr16 Feb19     (lewis l)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 5% 18.20    
JOYA DEL SUR Aug29 Aug08 Jul27 Jul11   (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 20.00    
BLITZKRIEG         (o'neill doug)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 10% 8.90    
STRIKE ME DOWN Aug23 Jul27 May30 Mar19 Feb19 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
SPANKHURST Aug15 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 (vance thomas )KARAMANOS A 124 6.00    
SCR  INDIAN LAKE Aug10 Jul29 Jul07 Jun09 May25 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
CNL-3   09/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REED KAN Aug23 Jul27 Jun30 May27 Apr30 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 7% 12.90    
SPRITZER Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jun10 (hester )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 20.00    
ADVANCE CASH Jul29 Jun10 May22     (cioffi antonio)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00    
SCR  NELSON AVENUE Aug18         (stidham micha)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 6.00    
EL GUAPO Aug22 Aug09 May29 Mar30 Mar11 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
TRASHTALKINYANKEE Aug08 Jul10       (van thoma)ROCCO S 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
OUR PHILLY SPECIAL Jul06 May19 Apr05 Mar15 Feb11 (servis tyler)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 7% 14.00    
ARISTOCRATIC Jul20 Apr30 Mar26 Feb27   (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  MALIBU MIKE Aug10 Jul19       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00    
10  MAGICAL WARRIOR Mar13 Feb27 Feb04     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
CNL-4   09/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG LUCKY Aug23 Jul01 Jun17 May21 May01 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 10.00    
SCR  BOW DRAW Aug26 Aug09       (platt noah)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 114 30.00    
SCR  MORAZ Jun11 May08 Mar20 Feb19 Jan01 (hollendorfer )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
JILTED BRIDE Aug14 Jul08 Jun10 May06 Mar18 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BIG BAD DIVA Jul23 Apr22 Apr07 Feb10 Jan28 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
BATTLE BLING Jul09 Jun08 May06 Apr10 Mar06 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
TAP DANCE FEVER Jul06 Jun11 May21 Mar12 Feb12 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
INSIDE THE BOX Aug09 Jul12       (fout douglas)GOMEZ KEVIN 115 30.00    
SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) Jul09 Jun30 Jun04 May06 Apr09 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
 
CNL-5   09/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LURE'EM IN         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
INVENTING ANNA Aug10         (danner kelsey)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  IMAGINETHEODDS         (godsey de)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 20.00    
SONG OF AMERICA Jul13         (campbell m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 30.00    
HANG THE MOON         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 8% 11.10    
SOUPER TROPICAL         (trombetta mich)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
DREAMING OF SNOW         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
LEVISA         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00    
FLYIN BESSIE         (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 8.00    
10  SILENT SWINGER Aug20 Jul26       (smith a)AVILES YAN 114 10.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  LUCIDITY Aug23 Aug03 Jul26     (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
12  HIGH DONNA         (parra her)CARRASCO R 119 20.00    
13  HUMOR SENSE Aug10 Jul19       (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 5.00 13% 6.60    
14  REBEL CONSORT Aug09 Jul20       (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00    
 
CNL-6   09/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIGANTE Aug10 Jul18       (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
RARIFIED FLAIR Aug20 Jul30 Jul02     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
MY MAMBA Aug09 Jul18 Jun12 May12   (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Aug11 Jul19       (williams abdu)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00    
SPURS UP Jul18 May29 Apr28     (mccutchen ja)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
ARTICO Aug14         (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
FREE SOUL Aug01 Jul18 Jun18 May20 Apr22 (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
DETERMINED CRUSH Aug23 Aug03       (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 117 10.00 8% 11.30    
 
CNL-7   09/06/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED ARION Jul27 Jul03 Jun11     (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
SHOWTIME CAT Jul30 Jun25 May19     (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
YES AND YES Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 May05 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
COUNTY FINAL Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 May28 Apr15 (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 8.00 40% 1.50    
IMPERIAL KING Aug03 Jul21 Jun24 Mar11 Feb19 (lawrence james )MENA E 122 20.00    
WARRIOR'S PRIDE Jul03 May28 Apr28 Mar19 Feb12 (cioffi antonio)REYES LEONEL 124 8.00    
MATTA Jul18 May29       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
NOBODY LISTENS Jun29 May31 May19 May03   (lovell mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 6.00 9% 10.00    
CANNON'S ROAR Aug13 Jul19 Jun19     (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00    
10  JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Jul30 Jul03 Jun17 May15   (capuano dale)ALVELO C 126 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  INHALATION (GB) Aug02 May28 Apr24     (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
12  OCEANIC Aug07 Jul13 Jun11 May28 Apr24 (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
 
CNL-8   09/06/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME ICE MAN Aug08         (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
DETERMINED JESTER Aug16 Jul21       (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 117 15.00    
BAL A KAZOO Aug22         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 10.00 6% 14.70    
OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jul19 Jun12       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
GRAND OAK (IRE) Aug20 May20 Apr21     (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 117 1.80 24% 3.10    
EVENLY DIVIDED Jul18 Jul01       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
FIT TO FLY Jul18 Jun11       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
FLAMINGO FAZE Aug15         (schoenthal ph)KARAMANOS A 117 12.00    
 
CNL-9   09/06/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE OF WAR Jul24 May26 Mar26     (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SURPRISINGLY Jul23 Jun23       (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00 18% 4.60    
CATICHE Jul02 May21 Apr02 Mar06 Jan30 (thomas jonath)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00 56% 0.80    
SCHLOFMITZ Jun22 May14 Apr02 Mar03 Feb12 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00    
FULL COUNT FELICIA Aug01 Jun24 May28 Apr09   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 12.00    
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Jul22 Jun16       (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
PHAROAH'S SONG Aug06 Jun03 Apr22 Jan19   (motion graha)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
LADY PUCHI Aug06 Jul14 May20 Apr21 Feb27 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SPARKLE BLUE Jul02         (motion graham)ROSE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CANDY LIGHT Jul14 May20 Mar19 Feb24   (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
11  THEREARENORULES Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May08 Apr24 (schultz linds)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 20.00    
12  OMIXOCHITL Jul23 Jun11 May07 Apr21 Mar24 (gutierrez faust)PEREZ EDGAR 118 12.00    
13  OAKHURST Aug07 Jun25 Apr14 Feb09   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
14  THISNAMEISOKAY Aug18 Jul01 Jun08 May26   (cooper ste)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 15.00    
 
CNL-10   09/06/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) Aug06 Jul09       (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of SHALOUSHKA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
WOW WHATA SUMMER Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 Apr23   (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 123 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
VANCE SCHOLARS Aug06         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PASSIONATE DANCER by CAT THIEF)
CALIFORNIA FROLIC Jul30 Jun11 May07 Jan19   (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CURLIN'S FROLIC by CURLIN)
CATNIP Aug09 Feb19       (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MASQUERADE by PIRATE'S BOUNTY)
MARWAD (GB) Jul30 Jul09       (moubar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MURAHANA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Jun04 Apr23 Feb04     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by ALMANZOR out of FAST LILY by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  CAMP DAVID Jun12 May17       (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MORROW COVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
LIMITED LIABILITY Jul09 Jun04 Apr16     (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOLD HARMLESS by BLAME)
10  CAPENSIS Jul30 Jul02       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPIT out of TARA'S TANGO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  GRAND DAVID Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 Apr09 Mar13 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIZA SMARTY by TIZNOW)
 
CNL-11   09/06/2022 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Aug10 Jun25       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
TWO SOCKS (IRE) Jul27 May25 Apr28     (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  MY SWEET STORY Aug05 Jul11 Jun17     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
VIBRANCY Aug29 Aug10 Jul11 May21 Apr24 (salazar marc)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
SCR  MYRISKYAFFAIR Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr08 Mar06 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
BIG TENTATIONS Jul14 May07 Apr02 Mar10 Feb12 (avila car)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
SEEKING SECA Aug06 Jul07 Jun11     (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SOFT TOUCH Aug16 Jul12       (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
PEGS A. K. GIRL Jul28         (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
10  BATYAH Jul17         (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
11  PLEASE MARRY ME Aug21 Aug13 Jul09 Jul03 Jun11 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 20.00    
12  NICOLAR Aug01 Jul15 Jun18 May05   (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.