Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/4/2/7)-(3/9/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/7)-(3/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/7)-(3/9/8/5)-(9/7/4/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/8/5)-(9/7/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/5)-(9/7/4/8/1)-(1/6/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (9/7/4/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/8/1)-(9/7/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/8/1)-(9/7/4/8/1)-(9/7/4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/4/8/1)-(1/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/8/1)-(1/6/5/7)-(5/7/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(5/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(5/7/4/6)-(1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/6)-(1/7/3)-(6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/10/3/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/10/3/9/1)-(6/10/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIPPLE Apr12 Feb23 Jan31 Aug14 Jul27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50    
2  CUPID'S HEART Mar22 Jun30 Oct05 Aug30 Jul22 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 1.40 45% 1.20    
3  KHALI MAGIC Apr06 Feb27 Jan05 Nov23 Nov03 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN DEGREE Feb01 Dec01 Oct04 Aug10 Jun22 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  BAILINTIN Apr12 Feb15 Feb07 Jan26 Dec29 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 15.00    
6  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Apr06 Feb23 Jan25 Dec13 Oct27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESPO'S DREAM Apr04 Mar22 Feb15 Jan23 Oct16 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00    
2  DASHING DELLA Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Feb01 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 5% 18.50    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Apr10 Mar15 Feb06 Dec12 Nov21 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
4  LADY SRIRACHA Mar28 Mar01 Feb02 Dec16 Nov18 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 125 8.00 28% 2.60    
5  BOOK OF WISDOM Apr11 Mar15 Jan24 Jan05 Dec12 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
6  MISS LAO Apr18 Jan19 Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
7  LOOKS FIRST Mar28 Mar15 Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBEDO Mar15 Feb02 Jan17 Dec15 Oct24 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 6.00    
2  GOLDFIRE Apr11 Jan28 Dec29 Oct22   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
3  IRON MAN IRA Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Jan26 Dec01 (johnston ro)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
4  BROWN DON'T STOP Apr06 Mar15 Feb21 Jan30 Jan18 (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00    
5  BERNIE GOES BOOM Apr10 Mar09 Feb02 Dec27 Dec08 (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN PURCHASE Apr06 Feb28 Jan25 Jan11 Dec29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
SCR  UNION EXPRESS Mar15 Feb02 Dec14 Oct26 Sep29 (charlerie grego)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00    
8  WHITBY Aug21 Jun28 May25 Apr05 Feb29 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SUNDAY GILT Mar09 Jan04 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
BAQ-4   05/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING MAGIC Mar29 Feb07 Jan19 Dec12 Nov09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JACKIE THE JOKER Apr10 Mar28 Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 8.00    
3  PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Mar29 Feb15 Jan01 Nov27 Oct26 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
4  SPIRITUAL LADY Apr03 Mar16 Feb15 Jan23 Jan04 (ferraro jam)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Apr18 Apr04 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00    
6  R FUNNY BIZNESS Apr10 Mar29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan03 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
7  IRISH JACKSON Mar28 Dec12 Nov09 Jun30 May24 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
8  LIKA ROLLING STONE Apr19 Mar19 Feb22 Jan31 Nov19 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY FIRST LOVE Apr03 Mar16 Feb13 Jan30 Dec14 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 58% 0.70    
 
BAQ-5   05/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK DEVIL Apr10 Mar07 Jan16 Dec13 Nov08 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  NANTZ Aug10         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
3  TOTAL SENSATION Mar29         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
4  MONOMOYS PARTNER Feb23 Feb08 Jan26 Jan05 Sep28 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
5  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Mar16 Feb27 Dec27 Nov30 Mar24 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN SYMPHONY Mar07 Dec27 Dec04 Nov17 Oct24 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 24% 3.20    
7  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Mar16 Feb21 Jan25 Dec06 Nov10 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOL THE FRANK Apr05 Feb15 Dec01 Nov07   (legall ric)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
SCR  HONOR THE BULL Mar21 Jan08       (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/01/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK POWER NAP Nov03 Oct03 Sep26 Aug23 Jul13 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50    
1A  MOONLIT WEEKEND Apr03 Mar01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov22 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  CATCHPHRASE Apr03 Mar01 Jan31 Dec13 Nov22 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 4.50    
SCR  DUBOFF Nov02 Sep20 Sep14     (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
3  MYSARIA Apr18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec12 (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00    
4  MARIAN CROSS (GB) Oct20 Sep14 Aug18 Jul20 May30 (merryman elizab)CENTENO E 123 3.00 9% 10.30    
5  LINARITE Nov03 Oct03 Sep26 Aug30 Aug23 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 39% 1.50    
6  HONORABLE BECKY Apr24 Mar28 Feb28 Feb01 Nov11 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FRANCES STANLEY Mar12 Dec26       (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
8  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Nov22 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 Jun28 (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00    
9  SCARBOROUGH FAIR Apr10 Mar23 Mar09 Feb13 Dec27 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT Mar29 Mar09 Mar01 Jan24 Jan04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($88K) 3 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOTTISH LASSIE Nov01 Oct05 Sep01     (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
SCR  BROADWAY LIGHTS Mar28 Feb28 Dec01 Oct27 Oct02 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
SCR  VANILLA SUNDAE Apr05 Feb27 Nov21 Aug18   (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CASSIAR Mar29 Feb08       (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
5  RUTH Apr06 Mar06 Jan18 Dec13   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
6  DRY POWDER Mar16         (summers chad)PANICI LUCA 122 5.00    
7  LOTTIE MARGARET Mar08 Feb01 Jan05 Nov22   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
BAQ-8   05/01/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY JEAN Mar15 Feb06 Dec08 Nov14 Oct20 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAUCY SIX Mar22 Mar09 Jan31 Jan12 Dec27 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 124 30.00    
3  PALLOTTA SISTERS Jan29 Dec27 Nov01 Sep02 Jul25 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00 ★    
4  LOOKIN TO ROCK Apr11 Mar08 Feb01 Jan25 Jan04 (antonucci jen)OLVER MADISON 120 50.00    
5  BOTTLE ROCKET (FR) Mar21 Jan01 Oct25 Sep29 Aug24 (trombetta micha)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00    
6  BIG BEAUTIFUL (IRE) Feb22 Jan17 Jan21     (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 126 1.40 72% 0.40    
SCR  JUDGEMENT TIME Sep20 Aug17 Jul20 Jun12 May11 (thompson glen)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
8  ALLEY'S SONG Apr24 Apr04 Mar07 Feb27 Feb02 (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
9  DETERMIND PRINCESS Oct27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 (merryman elizab)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 ★    
10  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Jul21 May25 Nov17 Oct19 Sep09 (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  BEIRA Apr11 Mar09 Feb22 Jan24 Nov29 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  DIRIYAH Apr05 Mar04 Nov06 Oct01   (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.