Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(4/3)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/1/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/1/4/2)-(6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/2)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/2)-(6/3/1)-(1/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/3/5/6)-(7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(7/6/2)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(6/4/5)-(2/9/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(2/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/5)-(2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HOMBRE Feb08 Jan07 Aug19 Jul25 Jun26 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ILIKETHAT Feb08 Dec27 Dec10     (poole m)AVILES YAN 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  SOCIAL HISTORY Feb08 Dec10 Nov11 Jul15 Jun26 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  ONE STEP ASIDE Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
5  SMOOCHER Dec23 Nov07 Oct23 Oct03 Mar06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
6  RADIO SILENT Feb08 Dec03 Nov07 Oct21 Sep26 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 4.00    
 
MVR-2   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE AN EDDIE Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Nov27   (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 1.80    
  (by BIONDETTI out of FLUFFY ONTHEINSIDE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  SEE YA ALLIGATOR Feb08         (flores christi)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of UNLIMITED UPSIDE by SHACKLEFORD)
3  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Feb08 Jan28 Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
4  DRILL EM Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
5  SILVER IS A GIFT Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 (andrade hugo)YARANGA Y 122 12.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  R C IRONSIDE Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec02 Oct28 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
 
MVR-3   03/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREEK Feb12 Jan24 Dec21 Nov29 Oct18 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  KLIMTSTER Feb12 Jan16 Jan06 Dec23 Dec04 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of KELLEY MARIE by BERNSTEIN)
3  JEDI'S WAY Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 Nov29 Nov20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of RACHAELS WAY by PETIONVILLE)
4  QUEEN OF THE RODEO Jan31 Jan03 Dec05 Nov05 Jun15 (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
  (by CURLIN out of BERNED by BERNARDINI)
5  GAISGEACH Feb03 Jan16 Nov18 Nov05 Sep24 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of MADE OF FIRE by MONARCHOS)
6  CALL ME CASSIUS Feb12 Jun18 May18 Mar23 Jun22 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 126 3.50    
  (by VANCOUVER out of QUALITY PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  JOEL'S BOY Feb12 Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov15 (ovando melvin)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of UNDEFEATED MIND by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
MVR-4   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Feb08 Jan07 Nov26 Nov07 Oct21 (miller arizon)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHISKEY HELPS Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 Aug08 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
3  PARTY POOPER Feb08 Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  GOLDSTRIKER Dec03 Nov21 Nov12 Oct29 Sep26 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
5  ROLLIN MY WAY Feb08 Jan13 Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00    
6  RAY'S EMPIRE Feb08 Jan07 Dec12 Nov26 Nov12 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-5   03/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Feb08 Jan08 Dec26 Dec09 Nov01 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  BOOGIE BOOGEE Feb08 Jan23 Dec28 Dec04 Nov21 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
3  SPECIAL BEACH Jan27 Jan08 Dec27 Sep30 Sep04 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
4  CHARGE NURSE Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 Nov12 Oct07 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 3.50    
5  SHEWEARSMYRING Feb06 Jan06 Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  Q BOND Feb12 Jan24 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Jan29 Nov24 Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00    
8  A NEW PEACE Feb06 Dec19 Nov08 Sep20 Sep07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.00    
 
MVR-6   03/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTHING BUT TIME Feb13 Jan15 Dec18 Jun27 Jun02 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
2  SUMMER HOLIDAY Jan25 Dec23 Nov14 Oct24 Sep26 (robillard aly)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  NIGHT NURSE Feb12 Jan08 Dec11 Oct14 Sep24 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 2.50 ★    
4  URBAN DANCER Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Sep28 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 4.00    
5  MINIME Jan06 Dec11 Nov27 Nov02 Oct06 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
6  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Dec16 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIL TEMPTATION Jan25 Dec23 Dec06 Oct16 Sep28 (ortiz-ruiz c)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 72% 0.40    
 
MVR-7   03/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORONA GRANDE Feb06 Jan27 Dec16 Nov12 Oct16 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
2  SAILOR'S CHANCE Feb11 Jan07 Dec23 Nov11 Nov05 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
3  DR JACK FLYER Feb04 Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 Nov08 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50    
4  PEPPER PIKE Feb11 Dec12 Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Feb12 Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 Oct30 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  REAL NAUGHTY Feb11 Dec30 Nov16 Sep24 Sep03 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  GEAUX YOSHKA Feb05 Jan27 Jan09 Sep18 Aug28 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.50    
 
MVR-8   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEDIA DARLING Jan27 Jan16 Dec17 Apr29 Apr01 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
2  EDDIE M Feb11 Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 Nov16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  MY HANDSOME MAN Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 Dec11 (ovando mo)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
4  CYBERTIME Jan24 Dec06 Nov14 Oct26 Oct04 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
5  CLASS ACTOR Jan29 Jan09 Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 (castillo)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWING STATE Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 Oct12 (w)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  LIBERTANGO Dec28 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
SCR  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jan27 Jan07 Dec23 Dec02 Nov14 (vecchi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
9  WILDCAT EXPRESS Dec18 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
10  OKLAHOMA JOE Feb10 Jan29 Nov25 Nov04 Sep26 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.