Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/6/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/11)-(3/6/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/11)-(3/6/9/11)-(3/6/9/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/11)-(5/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/11)-(5/3/7/2)-(3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/2)-(3/1/4)-(2/11/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/11/3/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/11/3/10/7)-(3/4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/11/3/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/3/10/7)-(2/11/3/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/3/10/7)-(2/11/3/10/7)-(2/11/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/3/10/7)-(3/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/11/3/10/7)-(3/4/6/2)-(2/9/8/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(2/9/8/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(2/9/8/4/6)-(9/13/2/6/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (2/9/8/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/4/6)-(2/9/8/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/4/6)-(2/9/8/4/6)-(2/9/8/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/8/4/6)-(9/13/2/6/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/4/6)-(9/13/2/6/1)-(6/3/4/8/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-7   WIN (9/13/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/13/2/6/1)-(9/13/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/13/2/6/1)-(9/13/2/6/1)-(9/13/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/13/2/6/1)-(6/3/4/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/13/2/6/1)-(6/3/4/8/2)-(9/4/10/12/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-8   WIN (6/3/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8/2)-(6/3/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8/2)-(6/3/4/8/2)-(6/3/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/4/8/2)-(9/4/10/12/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/8/2)-(9/4/10/12/3)-(5/3/8/2/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-9   WIN (9/4/10/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/10/12/3)-(9/4/10/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/10/12/3)-(9/4/10/12/3)-(9/4/10/12/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/10/12/3)-(5/3/8/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-10   WIN (5/3/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/2/7)-(5/3/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/2/7)-(5/3/8/2/7)-(5/3/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/20/2025 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jan26 Dec15 Nov27 Nov06 Sep17 (forster gran)TORRES A 120 4.50    
SCR  MY LADY SLEW Feb01 Jan05 Oct13 Aug22 Aug01 (rodriguez jos)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
3  BERLAINE Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 Sep17 Aug20 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  ANN'S STORM Feb13 Jan20 Dec12 Nov29 Nov21 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Jan04 Sep24 Aug10 May24 Mar24 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.00    
6  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Dec26 Dec07 Oct13 May19 Apr26 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Jan05 Dec15 Oct06 Sep25 Jun29 (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
8  XCARET Jan26 Jan05 Dec05 Nov21 Nov01 (guillory he)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
9  IM SINGLED UP Jan12 Dec29 Dec08 Aug24 Jul27 (morley thomas)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
10  START SINGING Jan26 Jan05 Dec05 Sep17 Aug27 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
11  TROUBLE FREE Jan27 Dec27 Feb23     (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  APRIL'S GEM Jan31 Jan05 Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
 
FG-2   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE LASSIE Jan30 Dec16 Oct31 Oct15 Sep25 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
2  DIXIE MORNING Jan30 Dec16 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZOOM ERIN Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Sep23 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  DIAMONDS JOY Jan26 Dec28 Dec16 Oct17 Sep22 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00    
5  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Jan30 Jan05 Dec15 Dec05 Oct19 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
6  REBA ATTACK Jan30 Jan05 Nov24 Oct19 Oct03 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
7  SPARKLE OF HOPE Jan26 Nov17 Nov01 Sep13 Jul14 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
FG-3   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PRINCESS Jan25 Aug29 Aug07     (russell brit)TORRES A 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  MUSTIQUE Jan25         (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
3  DON'T COME LOOKING         (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  MIGHTY RISKY         (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CASILDA Jan25 Dec28 Nov30     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.00    
6  SWEET AUNT ROSIE         (ziadie kir)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUSTAWALKINTHEPARK Jan27 Dec29 Dec07     (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
2  REVERSE MERGER Dec29 Sep11 Aug19     (casse w)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  PROBLEM SOLVED Feb01 Dec29 Oct25     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  FILM AT ELEVEN Jan24         (courville ricky)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
5  MACKADOO Jan26 Oct30 Sep25     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
6  RACHAEL'S WAGON Jan20 Dec26       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
7  NO SOY BORRACHO         (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  WAYLLEN RICHARD Jan09 Dec29 Dec06 Nov13   (catalano wayne )MCMAHON J 122 20.00    
9  ACT YOUR WAGE Dec29         (hamilton sar)TORRES A 122 20.00    
10  BATTER UP Jan27 Dec29 Oct17 Aug22 Jul18 (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
11  KEVIN'S STRIKE Jan17 Dec15 Nov20 Sep27 Aug12 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  DREAM SCHEME Jan20 Nov28 Oct27 Oct05 Sep06 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
 
FG-5   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT BEHAVIN Jan26 Jan12 Dec19     (catalano wa)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
2  FRIENDLY CHARLIE Jan25         (calhoun will)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRAND ACADEMIC Jan25 Jan10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  BUTCHER HOLLER Jan25         (stall alb)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
5  GOOD TO BE PRINCE Jan30 Dec22 Dec07 Nov22 Sep26 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
6  SERENADER (IRE)         (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  MI COMPADRE         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
 
FG-6   02/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE STAR Jan25 Jan17 Jan09 Dec14 Nov30 (gelner scot)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
2  KENMORE WEST Jan18 Dec27 Nov28 Nov08 Sep28 (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
3  INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED Jan29 Dec28 Dec12 Oct16 Aug16 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
4  GEM BUOY Jan03 Dec12 Nov28 Nov06 Oct11 (west g)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STAR BYFAR Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Sep14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
6  RAZOR CREST Jan18 Jan01 May10 Apr17 Mar22 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  AVERY'S GEM Jan03 Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 Sep10 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
8  STEEL ARGUMENT Jan25 Dec12 Nov21 Nov09 Aug03 (larrosa juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  LE MONSTRE RAPIDE Jan25 Jan03 Nov28 Aug20 Jul02 (wilson shane)TORRES A 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
FG-7   02/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKSONWATER Jan16 Mar20 Feb29     (devaux adriann)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BACK STREET BABY Dec27 Nov29 Aug31 Aug19 Jul01 (wilson shane)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 10% 9.50    
3  BROADWAY PEARL Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Sep17 Aug28 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
SCR  KATHLYNS PHALANX Feb02 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 (sharp marc)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 30.00    
5  GRACE HAZEL Nov30 Aug11 Jul07 May19 Apr15 (terre david)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
6  IN B. J.'S HONOR Dec27 Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 (foster jo)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Dec14 Nov21 Aug31 Aug15 Jun01 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 121 5.00    
SCR  DEROUTANTE Nov29 Sep23 Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 (meaux jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
9  FRONT AND SILVER Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Nov09 Oct26 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
10  GRACE AND MERCY Jan25 Jan12 Aug22 Jul12   (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
SCR  BIRDIE CALL Jan05 Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 Oct18 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
12  CHAPELLETE Dec29 Oct30 Sep26 Aug31 Aug14 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
13  MISS ROSIE Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 Jul18 May08 (gelner sco)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
FG-8   02/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS AUTHENTIC Dec29 Nov24       (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of VERTICAL VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
2  ROCK HARBOR Dec28 May03       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of ISLE ROYALE by HENNY HUGHES)
3  LOVE SONG Jan19         (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 15% 5.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MUSIC NOTE by A.P. INDY)
4  MARTINGALE Jan27 Jul12 Jun21 Jan27 Dec07 (hartman chris)GREEN AUBRIE 125 4.50 11% 8.40    
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  CONCH FRIED RICE Jan20         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of DOUBLE JACKPOT by BROKEN VOW)
6  HOPE MISSION Jan25 Dec28       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ARABIAN HOPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  ESPECIALLY Dec28         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 117 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of AMEN SISTA by STREET CRY)
8  ZAGHRUTA Jan05 Dec06       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BLING ON THE MUSIC by TOO MUCH BLING)
9  WIN FOR SPEIGHT Dec28 Mar23       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of NOTTE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
FG-9   02/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TESTED Jan27 Dec22 Nov22 Oct17   (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 5.00    
2  TYLER'S TURN         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
3  SOMEKINDA MISCHIEF Jan25 Jan11 Dec07 Nov03 Sep26 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  STORM THE STREETS Jan27 Nov21 Oct15 Sep11 Aug08 (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
5  OUR SLICEOF HEAVEN Jan16         (mickelson j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 30.00    
SCR  TRAITOUR Nov30         (leonard i)RIQUELME J 122 30.00    
7  NATIVE RUNNER Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 Oct25   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  NOTHINGBUTBLUESKY         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
9  DIAMOND EYED JACK Jan11 Dec07       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
10  MR. COLOSSAL Aug24 Jul22       (rice adam)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  EL MUHEET Jan20 Nov28 Oct12     (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
12  CROOKED BULLET Feb07 Jan16 Oct30 Oct06 Aug31 (scherer e)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-10   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD CRY Feb08         (marechal me)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 20.00    
2  JOSIE'S PRIORITY Feb07 May08 Mar10 Feb10 Jan27 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 125 12.00 6% 14.50    
3  DEAL OF FAITH Jan27 Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 Aug22 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 2.50 18% 4.70    
4  COMPUTERIZED Jan27 Jan01 Dec12 Jul29 Jun26 (west g)GRAHAM J 125 3.50    
5  MISTER DENNIS         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  ME PROMESA Jan27 Oct18 Sep16     (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
7  STAR APRIORITY Jan28 Jan01 Dec12 Nov22 Nov05 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TEMPLE OF PEACE Feb08 Jan25 Jan03 Dec16 Sep03 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 125 4.50 13% 6.50    
9  CAUGHTUPNDAMOMENT Jan03 Dec12 Nov24 Aug17 Jul26 (peterson j)ALBERT S 125 20.00    
10  KNIGHT'S GOLD Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov16 (cormier c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.