Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - November 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/1)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/1)-(1/6/4)-(6/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/1/5/2)-(3/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/5/2)-(3/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/2)-(3/8/4/6)-(4/2/8/11/6) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-4   WIN (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/6)-(4/2/8/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/6)-(4/2/8/11/6)-(7/4/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/2/8/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/11/6)-(4/2/8/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/11/6)-(4/2/8/11/6)-(4/2/8/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/8/11/6)-(7/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/11/6)-(7/4/6/2)-(8/9/7/3) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/2)-(8/9/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/2)-(8/9/7/3)-(2/5/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/9/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/3)-(8/9/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/3)-(8/9/7/3)-(8/9/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/7/3)-(2/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7/3)-(2/5/4/7)-(6/9/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(6/9/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-9   WIN (6/9/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/4)-(6/9/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/4)-(6/9/2/4)-(6/9/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   11/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT SONATA Oct03 Sep09 Aug15 Jul11 Jun26 (granitz antho)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANCHOR MANNE Sep26 Sep11 Aug15 Jul11 May22 (toye li)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 6.00    
HUMBLE WARRIOR Oct29 Sep09 Aug22 Aug06 Jul11 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
REVS MEDAL Oct16 Sep23 Sep11 Aug22 Jul10 (phillips ter)RAMOS D 124 8.00 31% 2.30    
BERLONE Oct02 Sep23 Sep04 Jun18 Mar14 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 4.00    
LOONY Oct24 Oct03 Sep09 Aug17 Jul13 (lauer michael)ROMAN A 122 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC EXPRESS Oct03 Sep11 Aug15 Jul18 Jul06 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50    
TOUR THE MOON Oct03 Sep09 Aug06 Jul13 Jun26 (duran anto)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ICE EXPRESS Oct24 Oct02 Sep09 Aug08 Jun12 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50    
 
IND-2   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT JENALLIE Oct20 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 (milligan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  GIO'S BABY GIRL Sep10 Aug06 Jun26 May28 May09 (herrell ron )CALLEJA ANDRES 112 12.00    
IN JUST MY HEELS Aug05 Jul06 Apr26 Mar30 Feb24 (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 118 2.50    
DOT MARIE Jun22 Jun06 Nov25 Oct11 Aug31 (caramor)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FOURFIFTYSEVEN Oct09 Jul11 Jun16 May26 May01 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 118 5.00    
INVENTING Oct11 Nov11 Oct13 Aug20 Jun17 (stidham m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
IND-3   11/05/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING ON AIR Oct22 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05   (uhacz wendy)SERPA ANGEL 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
CAFE LA PAIX (FR)         (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HELLO YOUMZAIN out of ILANGA by PENNY'S PICNIC)
TEAM TROY Oct15         (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 10.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ADDAE DO JAGUARETE by CRIMSON TIDE)
ONE IMPROBABLE Oct19         (black kennet)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of REAL SISTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
MAGIC FACTOR Oct01 Aug21 Aug07     (greenhi)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOVES LIKE MAGIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
CORMAN Sep25         (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by FROSTED out of HONEY MUFFIN by CANDY RIDE)
CASE ACE Jul22 May18       (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LONGSTOCKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
ARJAY         (fosdick steve)FELIX E 122 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GO LADY JAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
DEEPNESS         (holden j)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 30.00    
  (by DOWSING out of DEEP BREATH by BATED BREATH)
10  OH PLEASE         (elliott mich)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of PLEASE by LIAM'S MAP)
 
IND-4   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Oct10 Aug08 Jul18 Jun18 May20 (wisner j)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
CHAPARRITA Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 Jun29 Jun09 (silva miguel)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
BEACH KITTEN Sep20 Aug29 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Oct10 Sep18 Aug22 Jul30 Jul05 (labra rog)CORREA L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
NO JOKING MATTER Sep24 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 Jun10 (gonzalez lil)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 12.00    
GO STORMIN GIRL Sep29 Sep22 Sep05 Jul21 Jun30 (cook brian)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RACEDAY ATTIRE Oct20 Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 (dizeo din)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
NIGHT KISS Oct16 Oct03 Sep03 Aug08 Jul18 (medina tomas)PARKER L 124 1.80 20% 4.00    
 
IND-5   11/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY LILY MAE Oct24 Oct03 Nov01 Sep09 Jul22 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 124 20.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
STAY LOST Oct23 Sep07 Aug13 Jul16 Jun28 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR  HOLD MY HALO Oct07 Sep16 Jul22     (miller )DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MODENA BAY by VOLKSRAAD)
NOVARA Sep07 Jul21 Jun07 Apr19 Mar09 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ONDA BRAVA Oct07 Aug26 Jul20 Jun08 Dec27 (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
TWO LUCYS Oct24 Sep19 Aug16 Jul14 May29 (chavez manuel)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BETHAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FREAK CITY Oct11         (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TWEAK by SECRETARIAT)
MISCHIEF LILY Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug15 Jun04 (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 10.00 6% 15.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MS SEDONA Jul21 Jun20 Apr05 Dec14   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LASEEN by DYLAN THOMAS)
10  RYBAKINA Sep24 Aug30 Aug05 Jun25 May27 (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
11  QUEEN OF THE RODEO Jun15 Apr27 Apr13     (matejka pavel)SERPA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of BERNED by BERNARDINI)
12  CROCUS BAY         (burnett armstr)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 30.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CROCUS HILL by GREEN DANCER)
SCR  DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) Oct05 Sep18 Aug16 Jul17 May27 (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 120 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
IND-6   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALL GIRL Sep25 Jul11 Jun13 Mar22 Feb10 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.00    
RIBBONS AND LACE Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jul02 (cluley )DE CRUZ 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE GUITAR Sep21 Aug07 Jul20 Jun22 Jun13 (bends p)PARKER L 118 10.00    
WORLD OF WONDER Sep18 May06 Feb15 Jan12 Dec21 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  BELLA MORNING Sep30 Aug29 Mar22 Mar06 Feb14 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00    
BETYAR AZETS Aug04 Jul07 May25 Apr19 Apr05 (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
NO MORE FAKE NEWS Oct02 Sep11 Aug17 Jul31 Jun27 (haran john)ROMAN A 119 1.40 29% 2.50    
DRUMBEG Oct26 Oct03 Sep14 Sep05 Nov17 (gonzalez agus)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 30.00    
 
IND-7   11/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEFT POCKET MONEY Oct15 Sep06 Aug26 Jul31 Jul06 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 3.00    
SON OF A GRAY Jun17 May21       (pittman bonnie)FELIX E 124 20.00    
NEAP TIDE Sep11 Aug22 May07 Mar22 Jan26 (dixon jerry )BARBOSA CARLOS 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
COMMANDER'S COIN Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 Sep06 Jul15 (douglass d)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 8.00    
JACKS R WILD Oct15 Sep11 Aug22 Jul31 Jun26 (loveland del)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
SCR  ICE MINISTER Oct23 Oct03       (jordan rick)PRESCOTT R 124 20.00    
INDY CHARGE Oct16 Sep08 Jul18 Jun27 May08 (medina rober)RAMOS D 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
COAL BOSS Oct15 Aug10 Jun19 May23 Apr27 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
ACACIO Oct03 Sep12 Feb09 Jan06 Oct24 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
IND-8   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIXON'S TIME         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHAMA HALO by MORE THAN READY)
MILAM COUNTY         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 1.60 41% 1.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MILAM by STREET SENSE)
CABARYN Oct16 Sep24       (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of NEARSHORE by LEMON DROP KID)
LADY FROST         (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 121 12.00 9% 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of TIM'S GIRL by BROKEN VOW)
WINTER WAVES Jul16         (harty eoin)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 4.50 13% 7.00    
  (by FROSTED out of MAGDALENA BAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BOOT TRICK Sep20         (dutrow ri)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
SCR  RAIZONETTE         (guida ant)CORREA L 121 20.00 9% 10.00    
  (by RAZOR out of ROSE KNOWS SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
MACLEAN'S LULLABY Sep26 Sep15 May10     (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 121 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
IND-9   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTLESS DREAMS Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun18 (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 15.00    
MY MY MUNNY Sep28 Jul18 Jun08 May20 Apr23 (garcia )DE CRUZ 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  PERFECT SMOKEY EYE May20 Apr25 Nov10 Sep26 Sep06 (haran john)ROMAN A 118 3.50    
SCR  TWIRLING RUTH Oct04 Jun05 May11 Mar20 Feb17 (danner do)CORREA L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WILD TAPIT Oct17 Aug22 Jul05 May21 May01 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 6.00    
DESTINY'S DARLING Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 May23 May04 (newton troy)PARKER L 121 8.00 32% 2.20    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Sep03 Aug17 Jul15 Jun05 May20 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 4.50    
MY ANGELICA Oct05 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 (pinzon maria)SERPA ANGEL 121 20.00    
ECONOMIC HANGOVER Oct17 Sep18 Aug22 Jun25 Mar15 (davis joseph )ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GRACE AND GLORY Oct28 Sep18 Jun26 Jun08 May16 (contreras )VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.