Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/6/7/5)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/5)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(6/1/3)-(5/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(8/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (8/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/3)-(8/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/3)-(8/6/5/3)-(8/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/3)-(9/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/3)-(9/4/3/1)-(4/2/5/10/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-8   WIN (9/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/1)-(9/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/1)-(9/4/3/1)-(9/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/3/1)-(4/2/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-9   WIN (4/2/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/10/7)-(4/2/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/10/7)-(4/2/5/10/7)-(4/2/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SLIDE Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
2  OUCH THAT HURT Sep25 Aug05 Jul24 Jun04 Nov22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  TRIVIA Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Jul02 Jun04 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINCESS SONYA Sep25 Sep10 Aug13 Jun17 Nov15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
5  MERAVIGLIOSO Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Jul17 Jun21 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
6  REITERATE Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Jun04 May21 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  STRANGE FRUIT Oct02 Sep11 Jul02 Jun19 May02 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 12.00    
 
FL-2   10/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE THE EDGE Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  DRINKING SOLO Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (davis d)COA J 121 3.50    
3  NEMO'S FORTUNE Sep30 Sep03 Aug21 Jun25 Nov06 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  REUNION TOUR Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
5  OVER THE CAP Sep30 Sep17 Jun25 Nov15 Oct23 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
6  THIRTY OYSTERS Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 2.50    
 
FL-3   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSEBUD RYDE Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Oct03 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 120 10.00    
2  SHEZA BERNARDINI Oct02 Sep09 Aug26 Jul15 Jun05 (johnston ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
3  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Jul27 Jun26 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  NURSE BUNNY Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00    
5  TIL THERE WAS YOU Sep24 Aug10 Jul04 May16   (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPEIGHTS DANCE Oct02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul01 Apr18 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  GRAB THE GLORY Aug10 Jul11 Apr11 Mar28 Aug16 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
FL-4   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISCODRAMA         (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of PLENTY OF CHROME by BIG DRAMA)
SCR  DHARMA Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jul09 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
3  IT'S OUR DESTINY         (caramori)DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of THERALENA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  LAST BEST LAUGH         (grossman bruce )FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  DARK PRINCESS Jul21 May30 Mar15 Jul20 May26 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SILENT QUEEN by KING OF KINGS (IRE))
6  PLAYING WITH DOLLS Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul04 Nov20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 69% 0.40    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  MIA NIPOTINA Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug01 Jul11 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00 ★    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
8  BIG ADVANTAGE         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of A B ADVANTAGE by POSSE)
 
FL-5   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GRAD Sep18 Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONNECT THE BROCKS Sep30 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jun17 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
3  FREE FOLK Sep16 Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAST DRINK Sep18 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 May03 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 121 3.50 9% 9.90    
5  HAPPY INSTEAD Oct02 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.80 68% 0.50    
6  KING KHALI Sep30 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 May29 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 5.00    
7  MAKAR Sep02 Aug20 Oct21 Sep17 Jul07 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
 
FL-6   10/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINED FOR GLORY Sep16 Aug26 Jul22     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00    
  (by DESTIN out of WILD SHINER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  FINDANAME Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 May07 Mar20 (areche thalia)DIAZ J 121 20.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  HAL AWAY Oct02 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 8.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
4  JAKE'S ORCHARD Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  STILL A SOLDIER May10 Mar31       (antonacci p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TAPARRI by TAPIT)
6  DR. DARBY Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Sep18 (huertas nirka)PEREZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
7  VIGANO Mar23 Mar01 Jan27 Nov22 Nov01 (zito nicholas )COA J 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOMPING by DIXIELAND BAND)
8  ALPHA SONNY Sep23 May25 Apr28 Apr11 Mar14 (lopez d)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
  (by ALPHA out of JO'S SUNSHINE by DIXIE BRASS)
9  MOBOT May14 May01 Feb21 Jan24 Jan17 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
SCR  FLUORESCENT BAY Aug29 Jul26 Jun21 May25 Feb18 (davis ed)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SHADOWY WATERS by WILD AGAIN)
 
FL-7   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY UNION AVE Oct02 Sep09 Aug01 Jun16 May11 (mastin k)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of AVE RAVINA by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
2  WORLD BANK Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 May20 May06 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 121 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
3  DIVA DE ORO Sep04 Aug22 Aug11     (garza hector)ROHENA JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CITY DIVA by CITY ZIP)
4  BARBARA'S SPIRIT Nov22 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 (lord j)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of YES IT'S BARBARA by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  HYPNOTIC FLAIR         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S FLAIR by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  P. A. ADVANTAGE Sep30         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WEEFC by TAPIT)
SCR  MY KINDA MISCHIEF Aug19 Aug05 Jul09 Jun20 May19 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
8  REFUSE TO LOSE Sep27 Aug14 Jul17 Jun06 May17 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
 
FL-8   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHALLOTS Sep24 Sep10 Aug07 Jul02 Jun17 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEKILA Sep21 Jul22 Jun03 Nov13 Oct23 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 8.00    
3  IN TRAFFIC Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 (rivera d)DAVIS A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHEM MAJOR Apr24 Mar13 Mar01 Feb04 Jan03 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
5  MISS PAB Oct02 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00    
SCR  MORNIN' BOSS Sep15 Aug18 Aug07 Jul16 Jun23 (gra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
7  VIOLENT VIXEN Aug14 Jun22 May09 Apr14 Feb29 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 4.00    
8  WHO ASKED YOU Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
9  FAST FRAN Sep25 Aug14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep18 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
FL-9   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET THE PALACE Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 12.00    
2  YOU BEAUT Oct01 Aug26 Jul24 Jun27 May17 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  WITH KNOW NAME Sep30 Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul24 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
4  CLASSICAL Feb20 Jan31 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 (khan s)HARKIE K 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  B C GLORY DAYS Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  FIVE ACES Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 Jul24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00    
7  DON ANTONIO Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul01 Jun17 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE SPEAKS WELL Sep25 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 (maver eduardo)PENA LUIS 124 20.00    
9  ONOFRIO Sep25 Aug26 Aug13 Jul10 Jun24 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
10  SPOOFY Oct02 Sep04 Aug12 Jul31 Jun27 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.