Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/1/5)-(4/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/7/2)-(7/5/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/2/1)-(7/5/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(4/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/8/3)-(4/1/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/3)-(2/9/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/9/2)-(4/1/3/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK OF WISDOM Aug12 Jun27 May26 May16 Apr14 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  COZEE MAGIC Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 May29 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
3  SWEET ANNIVERSARY Aug29 Jul30 Jul04     (ferraro anth)COA J 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  MY ROYAL VOW Jul26 Jul14 Jun21 May16 Apr19 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
5  RUBYS MISSION Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 (shaffer richa)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
SCR  TUMBLES Aug14 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 122 20.00    
7  LAVON Jul18 Apr25 Apr07 Mar03 Jan12 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
8  AMERICAN SAINT Aug14 Jul23 Jun20 May25 Apr05 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
 
FL-2   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIES ROCKET Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
2  OUTTA THE CLOUD Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 (dean vic)DAVIS A 124 4.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SURPRISE CAMEO by GIANT SURPRISE)
3  RED BUTTERFLY Dec08 Oct06 Aug16 Jul23 Jun15 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISTORTION by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  BURY THE LEDE Sep02 Jul24 Jan31 Dec26   (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SPIN TO GOLD by HARD SPUN)
5  DHARMA Aug19 Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 May28 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
6  MIA NIPOTINA Sep02 Aug19 Aug01 Jul11 May26 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
 
FL-3   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE COD GEM Jul02 Jun18 May22 Nov06 Oct18 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  SON OF DARKNESS Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 4.00    
3  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Aug20 Jul17 Jun26 May21 Apr30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 ★    
4  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Sep04 Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 Jun01 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
5  DROSEL DIEM Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 (sabine m)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WAHEEL Aug26 Jul31 Jun26 Oct09 Sep11 (o'callahan car)COA J 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  O K GAME ON Jul31 Jul17 Jun12 Sep26 Sep11 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
8  INVALUABLE WILL Sep04 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jul08 (breed debra)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00    
 
FL-4   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY COWBOY Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 Jun12 May28 (breed debra )HARKIE K 122 8.00    
SCR  GONNA BE DANCING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May21 May06 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
2  MASS APPEAL Aug21 Jul16 Jun10 May14 Apr30 (murphy ti)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LARZ Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 May21 (o'callahan car)COA J 122 8.00    
4  BUSTIN PIETRE Aug21 Jul16 May07 Mar23 Mar02 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  NOTTOWAY Aug29 Aug11 Jun11 May27 May14 (reed lis)DAVIS A 122 3.00    
6  BAY BANK Aug27 Jul17 Jun12 Nov14 Oct11 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
7  DOUBLE SHOT Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 (oyola david)DAVILA A 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
FL-5   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS BANKER Aug28 Aug07 Jun11 May29 May14 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIGALERT Sep03 Aug07 Apr04 Jan12 Dec18 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 8.00 ★    
3  DOC ADVANTAGE Aug28 Aug19 Jun11 May20 Mar24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 6% 17.10    
4  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Nov08 Sep26 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 6.00    
5  RUNAWAY JOKE Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun09 May11 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  FORWARD MOTION Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 May06 Feb23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
7  N Y ANTHEM Jun19 Jun04 May22 Nov21 Aug16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
8  TOMMY THE TORCH Jul31 Jun27 May30 May02 Mar21 (murphy ti)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
9  RHYMES LIKE DIMES Aug19 Jul16 Jul01 May27 Mar20 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
FL-6   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WO HOP Aug19 Aug05 Jun28 Jun09 May10 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  GOD LAUGHS Jul22 Jun30 Nov12 Oct05   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
3  DESTINED FOR GLORY Aug26 Jul22       (englehart )RIVERA R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of WILD SHINER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Sep04 Jul24       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MAGNIFICENT MARGO by CONGRATS)
5  JAKE'S ORCHARD Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  DR. DARBY Sep02 Aug19 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 20.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
7  PAINT THE LINE         (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
8  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 May13 Feb16 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.50 ★    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
9  PROPHETIC Sep02 Aug12 Jan13 Dec17 Nov17 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WHISPERING ANGEL by NOW LISTEN)
 
FL-7   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY TOBY Aug06 Jul18 Jun14 Apr20 Mar28 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  MARTY'S MAGIC Aug26 Jun21 Apr28 Apr12 Mar23 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★    
3  RANGER BLUE Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May28 (tasso mark)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIFETIME GUARANTEE Aug19 Aug05 Jul08 Jun26 Nov21 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  HAIR ON FIRE Aug06 Jun24 May20 Mar16 Mar08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 20.00    
6  HINENI Aug26 Jul24 Jun10 Nov21 Nov01 (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 5.00    
7  AMERICAN HALITE Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Nov14 Oct31 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
8  OLLIE CAN DANCE Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
9  AELFGAR Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 ★    
10  BENJI BROWN Sep02 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (babcock kathl)DAVILA A 121 20.00    
 
FL-8   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  VAUNTED Aug13 Jul10 Jun24 May20 May06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  VENGE May25 Apr26 Mar01 Feb09 Jan06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
2  STARS N STONES Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  PLEASE BE NICE Apr21 Mar24 Feb11 Jan13 Feb20 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RHUM PRESSURE Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Aug07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
SCR  ALLIED ATTACK Aug16 Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr21 (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
SCR  PROFITABILITY Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 10.00    
7  IN A MINUTE Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 Jun14 May12 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 15.00    
8  FREE FOLK Aug06 Jul09 Jun10 May27 May10 (englehart ch)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
9  POP COYER Aug20 Jul22 Jun19 May28 May06 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  SOLO'S FURY Aug18 Jun28 Dec16 Oct29 Oct05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.