Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/1/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/1/7/4)-(4/10/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/4)-(4/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/4)-(4/10/6)-(3/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (4/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/6)-(4/10/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/10/6)-(4/10/6/7)-(4/10/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/10/6)-(3/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6)-(3/1/8)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8)-(1/2/5)-(1/5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/5/4/2)-(5/6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(5/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(5/6/4/7)-(4/8/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/7)-(4/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (4/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/1/7)-(4/8/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAIL OUT Jul05 Jun07 May25 Nov16 Oct06 (de hor)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00    
SKIPPERINI Jun22 Jun05 May04 Apr03 Mar08 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
SACRED RIDER Jul03 Jun20 May30 May18 May07 (jones michael)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAY HARRY Jun19 May21 Mar27 Feb26 Jan10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
WICKED FINN Jun20 May25 Apr19 Mar21 Dec02 (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Jun27 May30 Apr19 Jan04 Dec16 (jarvis kathy)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00    
 
CNL-2   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS DREAM Jun15 Apr26 Mar23 Nov17 Oct26 (sillaman rich)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
LADY DOMINANCE Jun21 May05 Oct14 Aug25 Jul27 (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
LEA RO Jun23 May12 Apr06 Feb07 Dec13 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AZIZA Aug20 Jul16 May26 Mar08 Jan25 (hemingway)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.50    
LA PANDA Oct10 Oct03 Sep06 Aug28 Aug10 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Jun21 Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 Jan10 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
CLOUDS OF WHITE Jul13 Jun16 May25 Oct21 Oct01 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50    
 
CNL-3   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS HAYLEY Jul04 May30 Mar22 May20 May03 (englehart jef)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
LOVE UNLIMITED May03 Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 Nov11 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
SCR  WOK DON'T RUN Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 Apr25 Feb13 (vitali marcus)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00    
COMPASS FIRE Jun21 May30 Aug17 Aug12 Jul13 (seale christop)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOVIELEE May03 Mar16 Jan06 Dec26 Aug31 (gardea abraham)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
PHOTO FINISH May31 Apr25 Mar01 Jan03 Dec09 (cruz jes)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
CLASSIC DIVA Apr19 Feb18 Jan18 Nov26 Nov09 (payne beale)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.40    
CORINTH Jul11 May12 Mar27 Feb28 Jan13 (munoz )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
 
CNL-4   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICE GAL         (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KIP BERRIES by KIPLING)
SCR  SUZIES PRIDE Jul19         (hester leanne)FUENTES MARIO 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of CAPULETTA by MUNNINGS)
GOLD DART         (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARTING by DURING)
DELICATE Jun28 May19       (tomlinson mich)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 45% 1.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of UNANIMOUS DECISION by FIT TO FIGHT)
SCR  SHOW' EM NOLA         (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 119 30.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of SHOW'EM THE HEAT by HEATSEEKER)
HOLY JOANIE         (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HEAD START JOANIE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
MAGIC MARK         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRINCESS MAKENA by STREET BOSS)
SCR  CUMBIA         (correas )GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of CARIBBEAN BABE by ARCH)
LAWS OF A NATION         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DREAM PASSAGE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  SAY YOU LOVE ME         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of EAST COAST SWING by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CNL-5   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'ORO UNBRIDLED May04 Apr06       (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 1.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNBRIDLED FOREVER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
STORE FRONT         (garza hect)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MAJORELLE by MIZZEN MAST)
THINK BIG Jun30         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ALWAYS THINKING by STREET SENSE)
SCR  SILVER REDESDALE Jun01 Apr18 Mar14 Feb22 Dec01 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SILVER SANDS by EL PRADO (IRE))
STREET EARNINGS May23 Apr20 Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SOUPER SCOOP by TAPIT)
ICETECA Jul04 Apr27 Mar16 Jan31 Nov18 (hunt d)HO WESLEY 124 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of RIGHT DECISION by HAY HALO)
COACH CAMPBELL Jul06 Jun08 May17 May04 Apr13 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of FAITH PROOF by IDIOT PROOF)
FLIGHT ON RACE DAY         (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of CORBINA by MORE THAN READY)
ENRICHED (IRE)         (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 114 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of FREEDOM COME by LIT DE JUSTICE)
 
CNL-6   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN EMPRESS (GB) Jun15 May05 Apr06     (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 1.20 55% 0.80    
KARA AND COLLEEN Jul03 May08 Apr17 Feb29 Oct13 (correas )GALLARDO A 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
EDGE OF TOWN Jun26 May16 Dec23 Nov13 Oct25 (pessin nei)SANCHEZ J 117 10.00    
UNION SUIT Jun23 Jun11 May10     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 117 8.00    
FAIRE PLAISIR May11 Mar29 Jan20     (delacour )CARRASCO R 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEASTIE GIRL May25 May03 Apr14 Mar30 Jan27 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
TRENDY (ARG) Jun29 May24 Apr28 Apr10 Mar17 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 117 20.00    
RUNAWAY DIVA Apr07 Mar15 Jan13 Dec20   (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 117 8.00    
 
CNL-7   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASEN (GB) Apr20 Jan27 Nov12 Oct08 Oct08 (blair jordan)CURTIS BEN 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
CLOUDY Jul04 May17 Dec31 Oct15 Sep03 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FRONT RUN THE FED Jun14 May04 Apr06 Dec30 Nov25 (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00    
ALOGON Jun08 May04 Nov18 Oct07 Sep09 (allard edward )ADORNO ABNER 123 3.00 14% 6.20    
JOHNYZ FROM ALBANY Dec29 Dec02 Nov10 Oct14 Sep24 (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 19% 4.10    
REMUDA Jun14 Oct08 Aug05 Jun16 Apr16 (harty eoin)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 6.00    
AMBIVALENT Jun14 Apr19 Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 (forster grant )CASTANON L 123 4.50    
SPIRITED SOL Jun12 May27 Sep02 Aug18 Aug10 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 123 15.00    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER ATTACK Jul07 May25 May11 Mar27 May13 (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00    
RUDDY BUDDY Mar09 Feb09 Jan27 Dec31 Dec08 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
BARZINI Jun21 May17 Jan07 Dec03 Oct29 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 121 3.50    
LUCCI Jun30 May27 Apr28 Nov16 Oct27 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 9% 10.00    
BOUNCER May25 Apr19 Mar24 Nov11 Sep23 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
MAYA PRINCE Jun23 May26 Oct12 Sep09 Aug17 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
CHILDERS Jul14 May17 Apr28 Apr14 Nov23 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUDGE DAVIS Jun23 May25 Apr19 Apr05 Mar01 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00    
 
CNL-9   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYPHOON LAGOON May03 Mar20 Feb08 Jul28 Jun02 (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 123 3.00    
VINSANITY Jul11 Jun29 Jun07 May26 Apr26 (gardea abraha)RIVERA D 118 12.00    
VIGORISH Feb04 Nov07       (simms jr)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00    
THE PROCESS Jun13 Mar09 Jan13 Nov25 Aug27 (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.50 69% 0.50    
SWING LOW Jul10 Jun24 May30 May04 Apr20 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
OISHI Jul13 Jun08 May17 Feb09 Dec24 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
ADMIRAL'S WAVE Jun08 May23 May03 Apr14 Mar22 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ST JAMES THE GREAT Jul08 May25 Apr19 Nov11 Oct21 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
SILVER FRONT May24 Sep09 Aug25 Aug17   (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.