Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/5/1)-(7/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/3/5)-(5/4/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(5/4/1/9)-(1/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/9)-(5/4/1/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/9)-(5/4/1/6/9)-(5/4/1/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/6)-(7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASE ACE May18         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LONGSTOCKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  TRUE COMPANION Jun15         (dailey ronald)BUSH V 116 8.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARTING SHOT by TRAPPE SHOT)
3  BUEN SAMARITANO May29         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BIT OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  EL CORDOBES (IRE)         (chav)FRANCA ERIELTUN 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GRAMS FUTURE by RAISON D'ETAT)
5  MISBEHAVIN Jun05 Apr10       (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CORFE CASTLE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  LOVELY REGALO Jun17 May29 May09     (hernandez rey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LOVELY GIFT by MINESHAFT)
 
BTP-2   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST CROWNED Jun19 May18 May07 Apr23 Nov14 (sanchez emma )CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50    
2  SCAT DANZ Jun12 May26 May11 Mar08 Jul30 (williams colb)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00    
3  SERPA Mar02 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Nov14 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUN FACTOR Jun22 May18 Apr27 Mar16 Mar02 (camp)FRANCA ERIELTUN 123 3.50    
5  JEREMY'S JET Jun19 May27 Apr22 Aug21 Jul12 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  MO BETTA Aug27 Jul29 Jun23 Apr22 Mar18 (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
BTP-3   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT DATE Jun20 Jun07       (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
2  WAVES OF LIBERTY Jun20 Jun07       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
3  COME ON ARLENE Jun20 Jun07       (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
4  MOON EVENT Jun20         (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FONE YOURSELF by MISTER PHONE (ARG))
5  DANCEHALL JUSTICE Jun07         (smith larry)COLON H 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by BIRDRUN out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
 
BTP-4   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Jun28 Jun17 May29 May14 Dec23 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 119 3.50 ★    
2  I'AM TOO Jun06 Dec20 Oct10 Aug02   (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 119 8.00    
3  MIRO MOGO Jun06 May24       (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  DELANEY'S GRACE Jun14 May23 May09 Apr26 Mar20 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.50    
5  IRISH ZAPPER Jul15 Jun22 Jun03 May04 Dec30 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUNNETH OVER Jun14 May30 May09 Nov29 Nov07 (bates l)BUSH V 124 12.00    
7  CANOPY Jun01 May09 Apr25 Feb01 Jan13 (smith larry)COLON H 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
BTP-5   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN BUBBA RUN Jun12 May30 Apr08 Mar18 Feb19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00 8% 11.40    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Jun12 May17 Mar25 Mar18 Feb21 (haehn r)BUSH V 123 12.00    
3  ANIMO ROBERTO Jun19 May30 May07 Mar25 Mar06 (tumblin andre)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00    
4  WHAT A RUSH Jun07 May30 May15 Jan01 Nov28 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 12% 7.40    
5  WILLIE JONES Jun12 Sep08 Jul08 May11 Jan05 (greenhill jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  RIDING IN THE WIND Jun19 Jun06 May23 Jul24 Jul12 (dalton mic)BATISTA X 123 4.50 ★    
7  HONOR THE D Jun12 May30 Apr08 Feb19 Feb06 (bates l)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
8  JACK BE FAST Jun25 Jun11 Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 123 10.00    
9  JOSH'N Jun19 May28 May13 Apr23 Apr01 (murillo rodrigu)SERPA ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHYNAUGHTY Jun12 May22 Jan10 Nov28 Oct25 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
2  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Jun12 Apr04 Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 (wilson jr)SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00    
3  BODE'S ROSE Jun15 May09 Apr27 Feb28 Jan27 (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50    
4  SARAH JANE May31 May18 Apr04 Feb20 Jan22 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRICELESS PICTURE Jun12 May18 Feb29 Feb09 Dec30 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 124 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
BTP-7   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESMERIZING ME Jun22 May31 Feb21     (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  TWO HEARTED May31 May17 Apr25 Mar21 Feb08 (sala)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 5.00    
3  RYLAN JAYNE Jun05 Apr04 Mar07 Jan20 Nov18 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
SCR  SANDRINHA LOVE Jun20 May09 Mar15 Feb29 Feb14 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 2.00    
SCR  ANN KOR Jun22 Jun06 May29 Sep23 Aug15 (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
6  SYLLABUS Jun21 Jun06 May24 May03 Apr14 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE SKY Jun22 May31 May03 Mar27 Mar10 (nunez maur)BATISTA X 121 6.00    
 
BTP-8   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COACH PETRO Jun06 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov14 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR  FRENCH BREAD Jun20 Apr24 Mar16 Feb17 Dec28 (bicknell whitney )HESS SARA 120 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MUCHO GRANDE Jun06         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of AES SEDAI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  VAST HORIZONS Jun20 May29 May02     (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SKY MY SKY by BERNARDINI)
5  ROYAL COURT Jun05 Oct21 Jun13 Mar05 Jan01 (molloy thomas)MILLER CHASE 125 5.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MRS. NORRIS by BERNARDINI)
6  PEACEAFTERTHUNDER Jun22 Jun07 May15 Apr28   (smith mi)LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE WINS out of CORAL LACE by TALC)
7  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jun18 May17 Jan12 Dec15 Nov04 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 3.50 55% 0.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
SCR  LAST RUN Jul03 Jun20 Jun08 May18 May03 (james gerald)COLON H 119 10.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CARMENS HALO by HALO'S IMAGE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.