Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - June 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(2/5)-(3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
PID-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3)-(1/2/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
PID-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1/2/6)-(8/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(8/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(8/5/7/6)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6)-(8/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/6)-(3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/6)-(3/2/4)-(2/9/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/9/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/4)-(2/9/5/4)-(2/9/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   06/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AND THATS MY STORY         (bourke john)STANLEY O 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
2  SNOWSTORM (GB)         (potts g)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STORMY PERON by HARD SPUN)
3  DANCING ON AIR Jun05         (uhacz wendy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
4  TIME FOR RESTRAINT         (danner k)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
  (by TIMELINE out of MOONLITEDISCRETION by DISCREET CAT)
5  BRAGGART JOE         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SALTY SCATT by SCAT DADDY)
6  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GORMLEY out of FOLLOW THE LITE by LITE THE FUSE)
 
PID-2   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JAZZ TIME GIRL May28 Oct10 Sep27 Aug15 Jul31 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.00    
2  MAMA LONGLEGS Jun04 Apr29 Apr05 Mar15 Feb25 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
3  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Jun03 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug23 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
4  MY BRIDGET VERDOT May20 Oct23 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 10.00    
5  ZORA Jun03 Sep11 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 (carr-rozantz ca)BAYS BROOKE 112 6.00 9% 10.80    
SCR  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Jun12         (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 124 1.60    
 
PID-3   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT VICTORIA Apr26 Apr07 Oct19 Oct09 Oct03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
2  GOOGLY EYES May27 Jan19 Dec09 Oct29 Sep28 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 1.80 ★    
3  A THOUSAND PLANS Jun05 May21 May06 Sep25 Sep01 (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  AIR ONE May27 Sep03 Aug18 Jul14 Jul05 (dickey keith)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
5  DARK DAHLIA Jun03 Oct26 Oct03 Sep19 Aug31 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
 
PID-4   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTITO Jun11 May20 Apr16 Mar11 Oct24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 ★    
2  POQUITO ROSE Jun04 May21 Oct07 Aug12 Jul12 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 124 4.00    
3  CINCO DE MANDEE May29 Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Aug30 (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 114 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  UNICORN SALLY Jun04 May21 Nov18 Nov05 Oct04 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00    
SCR  MOLISE Oct04 Sep06 Aug21 Aug01 Jul05 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00    
6  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE May29 Dec22 Oct16 Oct04 Sep18 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE'S THROW May20 Apr24 Mar08 Feb01 Dec28 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 1.40 58% 0.70    
2  MR. BONES May20 May01 Apr12 Apr03 Mar22 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00 12% 7.40    
3  SPAN OF CONTROL Jun04 May20 Oct19 Oct02 Sep19 (fennessy)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
4  SPIRITED DEBATE Oct19 Oct05 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
5  VERY DEBONAIRE Jun04 May20 Apr27 Apr14 Mar27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.50    
6  ON AN ISLAND Jun04 May20 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   06/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Jun04 May21 Oct18 Oct10 Sep21 (fennessy john)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
2  GIANT PAYDAY May28 May21 Oct24 Oct18 Sep21 (fennessy)RODRIGUEZ O 124 5.00    
3  C THE KING Jun04 May21 Oct04 Sep21 Sep11 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
4  ORAZIO Jun04 May21 Oct17 Oct10 Sep11 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
5  TIZ TACT TOE Jun05 May28 Feb20 Oct24 Oct09 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  SECRETARY OF WAR Mar29 Mar02 Feb07 Jan13 Dec23 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CREATIVE CHOICE Jun10 May28 Oct18 Oct09 Oct02 (allen lisa)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.50 6% 14.70    
8  MR TITO'S Jun04 May20 Apr17 Mar20 Mar01 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 4.00 49% 1.10    
 
PID-7   06/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCE May28 May21 May04 Apr21 Mar16 (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
2  YADI Jun05 May28 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
3  RUNAWAY HARRY May21 Mar27 Feb26 Jan10 Dec18 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
4  LOWCOUNTRY Oct22 Oct08 Oct02 Jul18 Apr30 (boucher lilith)BAYS BROOKE 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  JEN'S SONG Jun05 May21 Sep18 Sep05 Aug17 (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
6  PRACTICAL WAY May21 Apr28 Mar09 Feb25 Feb04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD CITADELLE Jun04 May21 Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
2  SONG OF INDY May21 Aug29 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  ULTIMATE BARONESS Jun04 Oct10 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 4.50    
4  SO MOXIE Jun04 May21 Apr19 Sep05 Jun26 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARZ EXPRESS Mar22 Aug25 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 19% 4.40    
6  WATERLOO SUNSET Jun10 May26 May05 Dec14 Nov13 (schneider kim)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 15.00    
7  DOWN TO EARTH Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
SCR  KATESALUCKYGIRL May29 Jul12 Jun13 May23 Jul24 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 2.50    
9  WILD LOOKER Jun04 May21 Apr19 Oct25 Oct11 (kleine bernar)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.