Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (1/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/10/4)-(1/8/5/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/5/4)-(3/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/4)-(3/5/4/2)-(6/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/2)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/2)-(6/3/4)-(2/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(2/8/1)-(7/10/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(7/10/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(7/10/4/2)-(7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (7/10/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/4/2)-(7/10/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/4/2)-(7/10/4/3/2)-(7/10/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/10/4/2)-(7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/10/4/2)-(7/3/2)-(4/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(4/2/1/3)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (4/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/3)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/3)-(3/6/4)-(7/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Apr25 Mar24 Feb29 Feb12 Feb01 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
CHECK ME OUT Apr05 Feb25 Dec02 Aug10 Jul21 (cuccia j)STOKES J 120 10.00    
MR MIDWAY Apr24 Mar03 Feb03 Dec18 Nov16 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 123 4.50    
GONE ELVIS Apr06 Dec22 Nov10 Sep09 Jul28 (escobar alis)QUILES ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE ROCKY Apr25 Mar03 Jul29 Jun09 Apr29 (claire alexis)THORNTON G 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
SERGEANT RECKLESS Apr05 Mar03 Feb18 Dec22 Oct14 (sanchez jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00    
COCAL Apr12 Feb24 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
FIRST CLASS HARLOW Apr25 Mar20 Feb29 Feb10 Jan19 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
RED IDOL Apr17 Mar21 Feb22 Dec27 Dec01 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 116 12.00    
10  ZIPPY TOGA Apr25 Feb24 Jan18 Dec14 Nov01 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
 
EVD-2   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT B CAUSE Apr20 Apr10 Feb23 Jan25 Jan05 (alberto anto)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00    
GRAEME'S DEAL Apr20 Dec18 Dec06 May08 Mar26 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHTENING MO Apr13 Mar16 Mar01 Jan19 Dec09 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
NICE LIKE MICHELLE Feb02 Aug28       (cormier ca)MARQUEZ L 115 12.00 8% 10.90    
MOR KISSES Feb23 Jan25 Dec18 Dec06 Nov17 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
ILIMITADA Apr25 Apr10 Feb02 Dec27 Dec02 (escobar alis)QUILES ANTONIO 123 8.00    
GIANT TUDE Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Dec10 (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 2.50    
 
EVD-3   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CALLING STONE Mar07 Feb15 Jan28 Nov01 Aug12 (woodley j)ROSIER R 123 12.00    
DON'TCALLMEPATSY Mar07 Mar15 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.00    
GEAUX MAW P Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 3.00 24% 3.10    
BANDIT'S PRIDE Mar07 Feb15 Aug12 Aug03 Jun17 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED WHISTLE Mar24 Feb16 Jan11     (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 123 2.50    
MISSNEVERSATISFIED Apr10         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
EVD-4   05/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU JAM Apr13 Mar03 Jan26 Dec29 Dec09 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEER CROSSING Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 Nov24 Sep11 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 115 1.60 62% 0.60    
I'M D'CAT Oct06 Sep04 Aug11 Jul06 Jun24 (dussette alvin)ROSIER R 115 20.00    
INSIGNIS Jan12 Nov23 Oct20 Sep07 Jun27 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
GUITAR BOY Apr27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
MOMENT OF STARDOM Mar23 Feb08 Jan13 Dec09 Feb24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 2.50    
MR. FOUR SEVENS Apr18 Feb16 Feb03 Jan19 Jan04 (dison m)POMPELL L 115 10.00    
SEVEN CHANNELS Apr13 Mar14 Feb08 Sep07 Aug11 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
EVD-5   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACTICAL VISION Jan26 Jan04 Oct14 Aug11 Jun15 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
HALF CRAZY Apr25 Apr12 Feb22 Feb02 Dec20 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
Z'S GUITAR Apr19 Feb15 Jan18 Dec14 Oct14 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 123 5.00    
OUR HEATSEEKER Apr19 Mar20 Feb04 Jan18 Jun03 (david b)DEL-CID MARLON 118 10.00 9% 10.50    
TUCKER THE GRUMP Apr25 May19 Apr26 Apr13 Mar26 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 118 20.00    
CARLOS'S MAMA Mar20 Mar08 Feb24 Feb15 Jan12 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 15.00    
IDE LIKE HAWAII Apr11 Mar20 Jan18 Dec19 Dec07 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.00 54% 0.80    
WESTERN STAR Apr25 Feb15 Jan18 Jan04 Sep04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00    
R T'S D'ORO Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 Dec19 Nov16 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 3.50    
10  TRUE CRIMSON Mar20 Feb10 Nov15 May26 May12 (gelner scott)ROSIER R 123 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  ADMIRAL AFLEET Apr11 Mar08 Dec07 Nov24 Nov01 (senegal dalt)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
 
EVD-6   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kenny Cotton Memorial Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOONE LAND EXPRESS May01 Apr13 Oct28     (robbins ray)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00    
  (by BOONE LAND out of EXPRESS YOURSELF by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
UNCLE BRAD Apr19 Apr06 Feb16 Jan20 Dec29 (ward ronnie)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
FOOLISH STEVE Apr10 Dec30 Dec08 Oct21 Aug19 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by MOSQUITO out of SHIRLEY'S BRITTNEY by SEA OF SECRETS)
FIRED UP TIGER Apr05 Mar02 Dec08 Oct21 Aug19 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 118 2.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of LILY SO LOVELY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
MISTY RUNAWAY Apr13 Jan18       (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 113 15.00    
  (by WENDY WEND out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BOBBY JR. Apr13 Dec09 Nov05 Sep24 Mar02 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by INDY out of BLUE SUNSHINE by JOHANNESBURG)
LIKEN IT Apr13 Dec08 Nov18 Nov04 Aug19 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
EVD-7   05/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLANCE Feb15 Jan06 Dec16 Dec06 Nov17 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 12.00 10% 8.90    
IM SINGLED UP Apr25 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.00 18% 4.40    
CAVE CREEK Apr26 Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 (dussette alvin)ROSIER R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SIXTH ANNIVERSARY Mar24 Feb23 Jan25 Dec30 Dec01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 24% 3.10    
ZING Apr18 Mar14 Mar02 Feb16 Jan25 (claire alexis)STOKES J 120 10.00    
ANGEL OF VERDUN Mar14 Feb22 Jan06 Nov18 Oct13 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
MISCHIEVOUS GAL Mar09 Oct19 Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.50    
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Apr26 Apr18 Mar07 Feb15 Jan04 (claire alexis)THORNTON G 118 3.00    
 
EVD-8   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIENNA BREEZE Feb21 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Aug04 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 118 12.00    
SHE HAS IT ALL Apr12 Mar07 Feb16     (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.50    
LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Apr10 Mar14 Feb09 Jan26 Dec15 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
LUYV Apr17 Mar13 Feb24 Jan25 Jan11 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SMILES Jun17 May28 Apr19 Jan19 Dec01 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 8.00    
CANADA'S CUSTOMS Mar14 Feb10 Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
 
EVD-9   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT STACK Apr20 Feb21 Oct28 Sep10   (player fletc)DEL-CID MARLON 115 4.00    
ZIPPITY ZOODA RED Mar23 Mar10 Feb02     (dussette al)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00    
SCR  IMMA MADI TUE Apr18 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27   (ney john)BARRERA J 120 3.00    
SUGAR CANE GAL Apr24 Apr05 Feb24 Jan19 Dec27 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 115 20.00    
TIZ A BREAKUP Feb08 Dec20 Dec06 Aug12 Jun17 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
JOVIE G Apr13 Jan05       (ward ronnie)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
REAUX BINA Apr20 Mar08 Feb02 Dec30 Nov21 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
SWEETHEART VISION Apr18 Feb15 Dec20 Dec02 Nov02 (garcia migu)LEDET THEODRICK 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.