Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/2/5)-(1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(6/4/5/1)-(7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/1)-(7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/1/4)-(7/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING BUKELE Dec27 Dec14 Nov26 Sep16 Sep02 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Apr26 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 (raines l)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
3  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Apr27 Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Dec27 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.00    
4  UTOPIAN TREASURE Aug09 Jul06 Jun17 Jun08 May27 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00 14% 6.20    
5  THISISRIDICULOUS Apr27 Dec28 Dec01 Nov07 Oct11 (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
BTP-2   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LICHITA Apr16 Mar20 Mar01 Dec08 Nov14 (jansen kenn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.80 35% 1.80    
2  SUM KINDA PRETTY Apr28 Apr07 Nov29 Nov14 Sep20 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
3  PRINCESSTAPITURE Apr10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 Dec28 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.50 7% 13.70    
4  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Apr19 Mar03 Feb19 Oct10 Sep19 (jansen kenny)MCKEE J 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  TWIRLING RUTH Mar20 Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 Dec22 (danner do)CORREA L 122 3.00    
 
BTP-3   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PLA Nov12         (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00    
2  ALL ABOUT ALICE         (kinmon keith)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 8.00 21% 3.70    
3  LITTLE MUSIC Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 Jan10 Aug12 (holsapple hu)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 3.00    
4  SEAU N'TAP Mar27 Mar15 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
5  CASHPOINT Feb22 Jan30       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAST FLO Apr27         (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50    
 
BTP-4   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE IS DYNAMIC Apr25 Sep22 Sep08     (donjuan sergi)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  GOGO NEV'S         (chavez manuel)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
3  LIPSTICK N LASHES Apr25 Feb14 Jan17     (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 2.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
4  GREEN LADY (IRE)         (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
5  DIANE'S ANGEL         (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 123 4.00 ★    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
BTP-5   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANGO ELECTRICO Apr07 Mar20 Feb08 Jan25 Nov16 (bahena is)CORREA L 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  MS TEMPTATION Mar27 Feb21 Feb07 Jan24 Dec14 (brownfield c)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50    
3  LEMON BOMB Apr30 Mar20 Feb03 Jan25 Dec28 (orantes r)MCKEE J 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  BLEST LIFE Dec12 Nov27 Oct03 Sep16 Aug12 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00    
5  PRIX Apr25 Mar15 Feb07 Jan10 Nov24 (alessi jam)BATISTA X 117 8.00    
SCR  TRICK HAT May02 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Nov29 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
SCR  KENDAL GRACE Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan10 Nov29 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 5.00    
8  LASTING LOVE Apr02 Jan24 Nov11 Sep23 Sep15 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNER HARBOR Jan27 Jan04 Dec01 Sep22 Sep07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.00    
2  MY ANGELICA May03 Mar09 Feb09 Oct16 Oct05 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 6.00    
3  BLAZINGLY Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 Feb17 Dec24 (adams l)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00 ★    
4  TUDOR PEAK Oct11 Sep20 Sep08 Jul19 Jul04 (matejka pa)MELENDEZ MARIANO 123 4.50    
5  AWESOME BIRDIE Mar17 Feb09 Dec29 Oct27 Oct05 (jansen kenn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  DR. BELLA Apr26 Mar29 Feb29 Feb09 Jan04 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
BTP-7   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAK NAK BOLT May03 Apr24 Mar30 Feb17 Jun09 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NUEVO AMANECER Nov05 Sep16 Aug30 Aug13 Jul21 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 8.00    
3  WAUHATCHIE Apr26 Apr10 Mar02 Jan26 Oct28 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 117 2.00    
4  BANG A RANG Apr23 Mar02 Dec23 Oct25 Oct12 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  OVERHAUL May26 May01       (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00 19% 4.20    
6  KNICKS STORY Jan03 Oct30 Oct16 Oct19 Aug31 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  TALKSCHEAP May03 Mar08 Feb02 Nov18 Oct14 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50    
 
BTP-8   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYALLY BITTER Mar15 Feb28 Mar31 Mar17 Feb15 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 123 3.50 ★    
2  BELL CURVE Apr08 Nov27 Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 (bates l)BUSH V 123 20.00    
3  MOON MISCHIEF Apr26 Mar27 Mar14 Feb17 Jun17 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00    
4  MOONLIGHT JOKER May04 Apr27 Mar27 Feb03 Jan12 (evans michael)LEBRON VICTOR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOOD SOUL Apr26 Feb23 Jan18 Dec23 Nov08 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
6  CONNECT ME Apr26 Mar27 Mar02 Oct19 Sep13 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 10.00    
7  ROUNDER Mar31 Jan31 Jul07 Apr28 Mar09 (van thomas)MCKEE J 123 4.00 43% 1.30    
8  NOT LISTENING May01 Feb09 Jan07 Nov10 Oct07 (amos)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 117 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  FROOME (IRE) May04 Mar14 Feb17 Jan25 Jan11 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.