Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(2/6/3/5)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/5)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/5)-(5/1)-(6/2/8/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/2/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(9/11/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/1)-(9/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/1)-(9/11/2)-(2/8/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/11/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/11/2)-(9/11/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/11/2)-(9/11/2)-(9/11/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/11/2)-(2/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/11/2)-(2/8/3/1)-(4/11/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/1)-(2/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/1)-(2/8/3/1)-(2/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/1)-(4/11/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/1)-(4/11/8/6)-(4/1/9/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/11/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/8/6)-(4/11/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/11/8/6)-(4/11/8/6/7)-(4/11/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/11/8/6)-(4/1/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/11/8/6)-(4/1/9/3/10)-(4/6/2/7/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (4/1/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/3/10)-(4/1/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/3/10)-(4/1/9/3/10)-(4/1/9/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/9/3/10)-(4/6/2/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/6/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7/5)-(4/6/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7/5)-(4/6/2/7/5)-(4/6/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GOLDEN ONE Jan24 Jan06 Dec23 Dec13 Nov25 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  JOYFUL GHOST Jan24 Jan06 Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 (barron rory)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
3  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Jan13 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 Sep20 (campbell joel)CENTENO E 118 3.00    
4  MAJESTIC PHAROAH Jan14 May26 Apr26 Mar15 Dec21 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00    
5  PRINCE MARCO Apr03 Feb08       (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
6  CAPTURE THE TIME Dec24 Oct27 Oct14 Aug20 Jul08 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHAMMAH Jun14 Jun05 Oct04 Sep20 Aug23 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
TAM-2   02/04/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  U LITE UP MY LIFE Dec20 Dec02 Nov19     (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50    
2  PRINCESS ALESKA Dec31 Dec02 Oct25     (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  OBSTREPEROUS Jan10 Dec02       (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  BOLD LOOK Jan20 Nov10 Sep16     (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
5  CALI CRUISER Jan24 Jan10 Dec23     (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RETIRED KATHY Jan03 Dec08 Sep02 Aug09   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  DANNEEL Jan03 Dec20 Dec02 Oct21 Oct08 (laurato mic)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
 
TAM-3   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING GRACE Jan27 Dec30 Jun25 Jun04 Apr23 (cordero anto)ARROYO S 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
2  PRINCESS TERESKA Oct02 Sep05 Mar29 Mar23 Jan09 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL Jan24 Dec12 Oct31 Oct18 Sep15 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 122 4.50    
SCR  SHALL RETURN Jan06 Dec30 Dec20 Oct21 Aug27 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.00    
5  LA RUNA Jan18 Dec08 Oct28 Jul16 Jul01 (wilensky herman)RIVERA JON 115 1.40 57% 0.80    
SCR  MURUMBI Jan24 Dec31 Mar22 Feb03 Jan06 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50    
7  MELANCHOLY BLUES Jun30 Mar05 Feb17 Feb01 Jan20 (tsirigotis ja)IORIO MELISSA 115 12.00    
 
TAM-4   02/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAINGER COUNTY Dec13 Oct10 Sep20 Aug28 Aug09 (allen lisa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HE'S IN CHARGE Jan05 Dec13 Nov22 Oct27 Sep22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  BEAR CREEK Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Sep27 Sep18 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
4  CHIQUIRIN Jan14 Dec06 Nov24 Aug26 Aug06 (torres r)DIAZ S 118 8.00    
5  PRACTICAL WAY Jan20 Jan07 Dec16 Dec01 Nov22 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00    
6  WORLDS ON HIGH Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  TRULY MISCHIEF Jan14 Dec13 Nov24 Oct11 Sep15 (arriagada ju)MORELOS E 118 3.00    
8  GOLD N SILVER Jan03 Dec16 Nov20 Nov07 Oct09 (feliciano be)BATISTA A 118 12.00 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-5   02/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHILLING FACTOR Dec30 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02   (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
2  SHEZA NASTY GIRL Jan05 Dec08 Oct18 Sep21   (carrasco)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  GREAT VENEZUELA Dec09 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16   (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 120 0.80    
SCR  R FASHIONABLY LATE Jan06 Nov29 Sep19 Aug25 Jul29 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 120 30.00    
SCR  POLA OF TROUBLE Oct10 Sep27 Sep08 Aug18   (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  SEAFARER Jan14 Dec15       (machado an)SANCHEZ J 120 12.00    
7  TRENDY (ARG) Dec30 Dec02 Nov22 Oct25 Sep28 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
SCR  JUICY JUSTICE Oct28 Aug28 Aug16     (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
9  APRIL'S DIAMANTE Sep29 Aug24 May25     (gutierrez faus)CASTANON L 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
10  QUEEN AIKO Dec29 Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 Aug17 (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
11  COPPER BOUND Jan21 Dec23 Dec02 Nov22 Oct18 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
12  AMY MULE Jan17 Dec02 Jul29     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D FLASH         (jones dou)HERRERA R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIZ LORD Jan20         (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  HABERDASHERY Jan20 Jan05 Sep25     (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  WHITE SERIES Jan06 Nov25 Oct07     (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
SCR  VENEZUELAN FAITH         (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
6  VENEZUELAN FEELING Aug06         (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
7  MANCHU SHOE         (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
8  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Jan12 Dec30 Dec08 Sep25 Aug23 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TAM-7   02/04/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Jan17 Dec29 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 (puckett dwight)MBATHA LUCKY 112 12.00    
2  DISCO QUEEN Jan17 Dec29 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 119 15.00    
3  BIONDA SUPRISE Jan20 Dec20 Aug04 Jul22 Mar31 (yanez r)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
4  WISHING ON A STAR Jan06 Nov25 Sep04 Jun16 May04 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 119 1.80 57% 0.70    
5  BELLA MIURA Jan17 Dec16 Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 (harney heather)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
6  JEWEL OF DENIAL Jan05 Sep09 Aug26 Mar20 Feb27 (perkinson c)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MO TOWN ANNIE Sep04 Aug11 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 ★    
8  CALISUE Dec15 Dec08 Nov22 Feb24 Feb12 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  CROSS ISLAND Jan17 Jan05 Oct30 Sep19 Aug28 (ferraro an)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
10  ROWDY DAISY Dec29 Dec16 Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 (feliciano ben)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
11  UNWHIRLED Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 Oct03 Aug19 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
TAM-8   02/04/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER WINSTON Jan14 Dec24 Dec08 Nov19 Oct27 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  SMILE BRYAN Jan19 Aug26 Aug18 Jul07 May29 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00    
3  DAZZLING TRUTHS Jan26 Jan10 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 (russo vic)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00 10% 9.10    
4  THE BEARRISH ONE Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Nov04 (simone michael )CENTENO E 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  GOLDEN TONE Jan20 Jan07 Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 121 10.00    
6  BIG RED ROCKS Nov29 Oct13 Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 121 20.00    
7  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Jan27 Jan14 Jan07 Dec15 Dec08 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
8  LEOPARDI Jan19 Jan05 Dec15 Sep15 Sep02 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
9  WAR NOVEL Jan20 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Oct25 (feliciano benny )FERRER C 121 10.00 19% 4.40    
10  ALMASHRIQ Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 121 6.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  SWING LOW Jan26 Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
SCR  DAWN WEST Jul27 Jun16 May20 May13 Apr13 (skeens jerem)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 12.00    
 
TAM-9   02/04/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINEERING Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 Sep22 Sep01 (perkinson cc)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00    
2  STYLE Jan10 Nov25 Oct19 Aug24 Aug03 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 119 8.00 10% 8.80    
3  SHE'S A JOY Jan12 Dec23 Nov25 Oct27 Sep09 (werneth rober)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
4  CHEM MAJOR Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct04 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
5  THE ISABEL ASTRAY Oct01 Aug13 Jul11 Apr19 Sep05 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUR FANTASY Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 Oct21 Sep25 (torres r)FERRER C 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
7  STEPPER Jan20 Dec30 Aug04 Jun21 Mar07 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 8.00 10% 9.30    
8  SENSE YOU LEFT Dec09 Nov18 Oct19 Feb09 Jan15 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.50    
9  MOLLY'S ANGEL Jan28 Jan07 Nov24 Sep09 Aug12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.