Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (7/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5/9)-(7/2/8/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/8/5)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/5)-(4/3/5)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/2/4)-(4/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(4/3/6)-(7/6/1/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(7/6/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(7/6/1/10)-(8/1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/6/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/10)-(7/6/1/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/10)-(7/6/1/10/4)-(7/6/1/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/10)-(8/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/10)-(8/1/5/2)-(3/4/10/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2)-(8/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/2)-(3/4/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/2)-(3/4/10/2)-(1/4/10/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/4/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/2)-(3/4/10/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/10/2)-(3/4/10/7/2)-(3/4/10/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/10/2)-(1/4/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/4/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/9)-(1/4/10/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/9)-(1/4/10/9/6)-(1/4/10/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS PRINCIPAL Dec16 Nov18 Oct26 Oct12 Sep30 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00    
2  BOARD CERTIFIED Dec16 Nov24 Nov08 Oct19 Sep04 (peek kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00 26% 2.90    
3  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 123 12.00    
4  F J'S GEM Dec14 Aug26 Apr22 Apr14 Mar05 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
5  TAKE FLIGHT Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep14 Aug18 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DYNA STRIKE Nov08 Oct19 Oct06 Sep16 Jun10 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.50    
7  RODEO CHAMP Nov14 Sep23 Sep07 Jun16 May05 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
8  SPECIAL MOMENT Nov08 Oct19 Sep30 Sep13 Jul16 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 6% 16.40    
9  IMA BIG BOPPER Oct26 Sep09 Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 (payne w)BRACHO A 121 10.00 ★    
10  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Dec14 Nov24 Aug04 Jun25 Jun11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00    
 
HOU-3   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS PRINCE Dec15 Nov13 Oct06 Sep02 Jul16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
2  TEXAS TITAN Nov22 Oct18 Sep03 Aug07 Jun10 (payne d)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
3  STANS HOME RUN Dec07 Oct28 Sep09 Aug26 Jul09 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  MY LITTLE PRINCE Dec05 Jun08 May13 Apr23 Apr07 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 1.00 40% 1.50    
5  TIZ THE BIG ONE Dec08 Oct25 Sep12 Aug10 Jul15 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  SUNDAY BLING Dec19 Nov20 Oct07 Mar25 Mar11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00    
 
HOU-4   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT HOOD Nov13 Oct27 Oct07 Jul04 Jun08 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
2  RASSLER Dec01 Nov04 Sep23 Sep06 Aug19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 1.60 18% 4.60    
3  SHADOW MATTER Dec15 Feb17 Jan14 Nov17 Oct15 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Jun17 May13 Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
5  HE'S A BOMB Dec17 Oct19 Sep22 Aug07 Jun22 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 6.00    
6  CARPE EROS Nov25 Feb17 Feb03 Dec14 Nov21 (caldwell r)ALVAREZ L 121 8.00    
 
HOU-5   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 45 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER HELP May27 May11       (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HARLAN HELPER by FRIENDS LAKE)
2  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Aug19 Jun22 Jan16     (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
3  TEXAN FARMER Jun22 Jun16 Jun04 May07 Mar19 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of PURE MOTHER by PURE PRIZE)
4  HYPERION NORTH Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 Feb26 (t)DE CRUZ 123 0.40 51% 1.00    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
5  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jun18 Jun02 May11 Apr08 Mar19 (rangel ra)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
6  SPIDERS REVENGE Dec05 Oct26 Jan28     (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00 9% 9.60    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
 
HOU-6   01/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERSTELLAR Nov01 Aug25 Aug11 Apr08 Dec10 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  TABLE FOR TWO Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Aug03 Jul09 (fuentes)GONCALVES R 123 8.00    
3  MOON CAT Oct14 Sep16 Aug29 Aug15 Jul23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
4  WILTON Nov08 Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep16 (govea cesar)BRACHO A 123 4.50 ★    
5  SPIN WHEEL Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 Sep23 Sep07 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
6  WIN WORTHY Dec07 Nov08 Oct06 Sep12 Feb04 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  BATTLE STRIKE Nov28 Oct22 Sep03 Nov06 Oct09 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
8  BAY BE GONE Nov09 Sep11 Jul17 Jul04 May28 (g)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
9  OLE CRAZY BONE Oct11 Sep23 Sep07 Jun17 May07 (calhoun willi)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
10  SPOILER Dec08 Oct26 Sep07 Feb12 Nov26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-7   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG AND BOLD         (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  CINCO MAJESTIC Nov20 Nov04 Sep29 Aug30 Aug13 (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY APPEAL Dec16 Nov24 Nov04     (davidson n)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
4  TEXAS BBQ Dec16 Nov04 Oct26 Oct06 Sep13 (pish dann)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 12.00    
5  CINCO EL SOVEREIGN Dec16 Oct26       (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  COLE TRICKLE Dec16 Oct26 Sep22     (young e)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
7  RICH SON OF A BUN Dec02         (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 20.00    
8  PROFESSIONAL GRADE Dec15 Nov04 Sep13 Jul22   (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
HOU-8   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Aug07 Jun09 May13 Apr30 Apr21 (k)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
2  RED DRAW Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr23 Apr07 (young e)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Sep20 Sep12 Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 6.00 45% 1.20    
4  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Sep18 Aug22 Aug02 Jul03 Jun10 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 25% 2.90    
5  TEXAS HOLDEM Aug26 Jul20 Jun18 May07 Apr22 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00    
6  DOC'S BOLERO Nov30 Nov10 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 12.00    
7  NIGHTWIND Aug24 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 ★    
8  SLIM JIMMY Jul22 Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr30 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
9  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Aug07 Jul03 Jun02 May07 Apr16 (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
10  LET'S TIE ONE ON Dec12 Nov21 Oct06 Apr08 Mar11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 5% 17.20    
 
HOU-9   01/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDELA Jun25 Jun03 May07 Apr16 Mar25 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  HOLLY DOLLY Dec02 Nov08 Sep29     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 121 1.00    
3  PAINTBRUSH Dec08 Nov22 Sep04 Jul17 Jul03 (g)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
4  CINNAMON FACE Dec02 Nov09 Sep28 Sep15 Jun08 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 3.00 10% 9.40    
5  OH DOO DAH DAY Nov21 Nov09 Oct25 Sep08 Jun11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
6  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Jul01 Jun03 May07 Mar26 Feb26 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.50 ★    
7  KOLKATA Nov09 Oct27 Sep24 Sep08 Sep30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00    
8  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 Jul01 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
9  WATCH THIS MUNNY Oct25 Sep28 Sep02 Aug20 Jul02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  PUGLIA Dec30 Dec15 Nov22 Oct14 Sep03 (govea cesar)GILES EMMANUEL 116 15.00 8% 11.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.