Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/5)-(6/10/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/5)-(6/10/3/2/9)-(2/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-2   WIN (6/10/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/2/9)-(6/10/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/2/9)-(6/10/3/2/9)-(6/10/3/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/3/2/9)-(2/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/3/2/9)-(2/1/5)-(4/1/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/1/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/1/7/10)-(6/1/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/1/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/10)-(4/1/7/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/10)-(4/1/7/5/10)-(4/1/7/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/7/10)-(6/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/10)-(6/1/4/8)-(8/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/9/8)-(6/1/4/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/4/8)-(8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/8)-(8/2/3)-(4/5/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/11/7)-(8/2/3/11/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(4/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(4/5/8/9)-(11/9/12/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/9/7)-(4/5/8/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/8/9)-(11/9/12/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-8   WIN (11/9/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/9/12/4)-(11/9/12/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/9/12/4)-(11/9/12/10/4)-(11/9/12/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEAT Dec16 Nov24 Oct21 Sep08 Jun17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  BELFAST BOY Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 Nov16 Oct12 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
3  WEIRD YEAR Nov15 Oct11 Sep12 Feb05 Jan13 (rossi j)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
4  MINISTER MAZ Dec07 Oct26 Oct11 Aug18 Jun22 (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 123 20.00    
5  MALIBU THUNDER Dec16 Nov21 Sep23 Apr29 Feb18 (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CREATIVE MIRACLE Dec19 Oct11 Sep16 Aug19 Dec16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 14% 6.10    
7  DECLARE WAR Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 Jun25 Jun05 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 20.00    
8  PRAIRIE DOLLAR Dec07 Nov20 Oct11 Sep30 Aug26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
 
HOU-2   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF A BLING Dec11 Nov06 Jun03     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
2  TOO MUCH LONG LEGS         (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of TO MUCH CHITCHAT by FROST GIANT)
3  TIZ CONSIDERED         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 8% 12.20    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of IT WAS CONSIDERED by TIZWAY)
4  ALL AROUND COWBOY Dec16         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by ALLSTAR DANCER out of COWGIRL GREELEY by HORSE GREELEY)
5  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Jun17 Jun03       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 3.50    
  (by KEEP UP out of L T RECKLESS by HENNY HUGHES)
6  COWTOWN FLYER         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of MAYMEISTER by HOLZMEISTER)
7  WILLIE'S POSSE         (clary jaylan)PIVARAL GERBER 122 20.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of EXPECTIONS HIGH by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
8  RIPSTER         (george wa)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 8.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of MISS SECRET HEART by TINNERS WAY)
9  MISTER MONTE CARLO         (clary r)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of CONQUEST TAPGIRL by TAPIZAR)
10  UBSINGINTHEBLUES Jun17         (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MR. BESILU out of ONESONGSALLITTAKES by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
HOU-3   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY IN PINK Nov30 Oct18 Sep30 Mar17 Feb12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  GASTOWN Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 Apr13 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  RAINBOWS ARE FREE Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Sep22 Aug31 (hodgson b)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 10.00    
4  ENDLESS ROMANCE Nov02 Sep13 Jun23 Feb25 Jan06 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 4.50    
5  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Sep02 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun11 (davidson )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 12.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  STREET TAPPER Nov02 Aug25 Jun23 Apr01 Mar05 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00    
7  MISTY CAT Dec01 Nov19 Oct23 Sep30 Sep10 (hjort donna)SANCHEZ OBED 123 6.00    
SCR  DISCREET SMILE Sep09 Aug20 Jul01 Jun03 May11 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
 
HOU-4   01/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF JERSEY Dec05 Mar11 Jan20 Jan06   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  BOLD EXCAPER Dec13 Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Nov05 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 8.00    
3  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Sep02 Aug07 Jul30 May27 May12 (hebert ma)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 12.00    
4  BRAVE MAGIC Mar16 Nov05 Oct08 Sep13 Aug16 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.00 51% 1.00    
5  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep23 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  JERSEY JIM Nov10 Oct06 Sep21 Sep02 Jul30 (hebert matt)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00    
7  PANDEMIC CAT Dec13 Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 Sep06 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
8  SECRET SURVIVOR Dec14 Oct26 Sep02 Aug21 Jul31 (triana ju)TRIANA JR 121 20.00    
9  VALDINA DREAMS Oct19 Sep12 Jul24 Jun22 May27 (payne w)BRACHO A 121 20.00    
10  APPEAL GUY Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02   (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-5   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SONG Nov09 Sep16 Jul03 Jun09 May18 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 121 15.00 13% 6.70    
2  THE NEXT BIG BLING Aug28 Jun11 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50    
3  BUD GIRL Jun03 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
4  FAST TRACK Jun24 Jun04 May14 Apr22 Apr02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 13% 6.90    
5  LEXINGTON DIVA Sep02 Jun24 Jun03 May14 Apr21 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00    
6  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Dec09 Nov25       (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  SALTAMONTES DIVA Jul01 Jun11 Apr21 Mar19 Jul23 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 121 3.50    
8  SHEZA HUNK Jul03 Jun12 May05 Apr15 Oct07 (ascencio ju)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  AZUNIA Dec01 Jul01 May27 May14 Apr14 (p)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 ★    
10  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Jul03 May29 May13 Jun11 Apr30 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
 
HOU-6   01/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERIAL RED BIRD Nov13 Nov04 Mar25     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 20.00    
2  PRETTY MACHO Mar04 Feb10 Jul23 Jun26   (gustafs)GONCALVES R 121 15.00 29% 2.40    
3  LUCKY PROMISE Dec02 Nov08 Sep09 Jul24 Jul08 (gustafson au)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 18.60    
4  COWBOY RIDGE Sep11 Aug19 Jul03 Jun10 May13 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
SCR  INFINITE MORO Aug12 Jul01 Jun15 May14 Apr21 (kotara ro)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 30.00    
6  TI CAILLOU Nov24 Oct26 Sep14 Aug18 Jun22 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00    
7  BLING MOUNTAIN Dec14 Nov20 Oct21 Oct06 Sep23 (davidson brent)BRACHO A 123 3.50 ★    
8  BLINGO Dec18 Nov13 Jun22 May27 Mar19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
9  MY BOY BLING Nov25 Oct11 May13 Apr15 Mar17 (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 10.00    
SCR  GRAMI'S BOY Nov21 Oct21 Sep13 Aug31 Jul02 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 5.00    
11  POSEIDONS WAVE Nov09 Oct21 Sep29 Aug06 Jul02 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 4.50 ★    
 
HOU-7   01/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOR LANA SPIRIT Nov11 Oct26 Sep24 Sep02 Jun10 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 12.00    
2  MANO DURA Nov14 Oct28 Sep19 Aug26 Aug07 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
3  CARLEA'S DREAM Sep07 Aug05 Jul04 Jun03 May13 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
4  SUNLIT SONG Sep24 Jul01 Jun03 Mar25 Feb18 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  SINGAPORE FLASH Jul01 Jun03 Apr22 Mar25 Mar05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Nov03 Sep28 Sep02 Jul04 Jun24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
7  SEDUCTIVE U S A Dec01 Nov23 Oct28 Sep22 Jul22 (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 ★    
8  LOGICAL MYTH Dec15 Nov04 Sep22 Aug19 Jul10 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 3.50 8% 12.20    
SCR  BROCK ON BY Nov04 Aug07 Jul24 May29 May11 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH CALIBER CATCH Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Jun03   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CALIBER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  UPTOWN JIVE Oct26 Aug17 Jul26     (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by DORTMUND out of A JUMPINANDA JIVIN by JUMP START)
3  ANTIFREEZE Aug31 Aug14       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of QUEEB by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  TAKE MY PICTURE         (wilson shane)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of FREE N CLEAR by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  TOO MUCH GUITAR         (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TOOMUCH by SILENT PLEASURE)
6  GHURAIR IS JIM         (castellanos jai)WADE LYNDIE 122 30.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
7  ALL AMERICAN LADY Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 Jul01 Jun16 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  RUNWAY HIT Jul02 Jun16       (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 30.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
9  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY         (w)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
10  SCOOTER'S HONOR Nov30         (davis h)BRACHO A 122 6.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SCOOT ON BY by CATIENUS)
11  CAJUN DOLL Nov30 Nov09       (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 3.50 72% 0.40    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SHEZADOLL by EARLY FLYER)
12  TAPS MISTRESS Nov02 Sep04 Jul02     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
13  SPEAK SOFTLY Nov10 Oct12 Sep09 Jul01 Jun04 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PHYLLIS SASSY GIRL by CONCERTO)
14  CRESSONS LIL CHARM Sep30 Sep13 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.