Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - December 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(1/5/7)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(3/2/1)-(1/4/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/4/3/2)-(7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(7/4/3)-(1/10/6/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-5   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/6/5/3)-(7/4/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(1/10/6/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(1/10/6/8/4)-(11/3/8/10/12) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-6   WIN (1/10/6/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/8/4)-(1/10/6/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/8/4)-(1/10/6/8/4)-(1/10/6/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/6/8/4)-(11/3/8/10/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/10/6/8/4)-(11/3/8/10/12)-(3/7/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-7   WIN (11/3/8/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/8/10/12)-(11/3/8/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/8/10/12)-(11/3/8/10/12)-(11/3/8/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/8/10/12)-(3/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/3/8/10/12)-(3/7/4)-(1/6/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(1/6/2)-(9/3/5/1/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(9/3/5/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/3/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/1/6)-(9/3/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/1/6)-(9/3/5/1/6)-(9/3/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINANCIAL STRENGTH Dec04 Nov22 Nov01 Oct24 Sep18 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 5.00    
2  WARRIOR'S VOW Oct31 Sep27       (guerrero car)ADORNO ABNER 118 3.00    
3  SMART AND FAST Nov20 Nov01 Oct03 Sep26 Sep11 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 118 5.00    
4  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Dec04 Nov22 Nov01 Oct16 Oct09 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  BOBBY'S CANDY Nov20 Nov01 Oct18 Sep06 Jul04 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 5.00 ★    
6  PLENTY OF TIME Nov22 Sep25 Jul24 Jun04 Apr29 (krebs stev)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
7  CRACK THE CODE Dec05 Nov20 Oct31 Oct09 Sep27 (conrad paul)RAMOS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-2   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRY HARDER Nov28 Oct11       (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00 49% 1.00    
2  RUMAWAY Oct31 Oct23 Oct10 Jul01   (hogan willi)RAMOS C 118 6.00    
3  JESUS' DREAM Nov28 Nov06 Oct13 Oct03 Sep05 (servis tyle)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 6.00    
4  NUEDORF Nov28 Nov06 Oct10 Oct03 Sep18 (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00 ★    
5  SWING OIL Nov20 Oct03 Sep12 Aug21   (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  PARTY AT SAM'S Dec06 Nov27 Nov14     (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00    
7  CHICA CHUCK Nov28 Nov11 Oct28 Sep14 Sep01 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 9% 10.60    
 
PRX-3   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ET'S MOON MAIDEN Nov13 Oct24 Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 (chacon gust)RAMOS C 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
2  MATTY BO Dec06 Nov07 Oct23 Sep15 Aug31 (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  MENDED WE STAND Dec03 Nov07 Oct20 Sep20 Aug26 (padill)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  NO MORE DIAMONDS Nov16 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 5.00    
5  DENALI RAE Nov13 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul19 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00    
6  SHETALKSTOMUCH Nov13 Oct18 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 5.00    
 
PRX-4   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECOUPAGE Nov22 Oct31 Oct09 Sep23 Aug28 (diaz jorge)CORREA JULIO 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  COACH HAS SIX ACES Nov29 Oct31 Sep19 Jul26 Jul18 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 6.00 6% 15.50    
3  POWWA OF LOVE Nov20 Oct27 Oct11 Sep20 Aug23 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
4  JEZEBEL JADE Oct18 Sep19 Aug21 Aug03 Jul10 (padilla-preci)OCASIO M 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  SPANIKOPITA Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Oct16 Sep25 (cole-davis tina)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
6  AEGEAN SEA Oct02 Sep11 Aug30 Jul17 Apr11 (guerrero j)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50    
7  CAUSE I SAID Nov13 Sep27 Jul12 Jun12 May22 (brown howard )SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
8  SKERRETT Nov13 Oct23 Sep04 Aug03 Jul19 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.50    
 
PRX-5   12/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALONZO MOSELY Nov20 Nov01 Oct23 Oct02 Aug30 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 20.00    
2  OMERTA CODE Dec06 Nov27 Nov06 Oct30 Oct11 (arce josue)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00    
3  ESOR Dec04 Sep07 Aug24 Jul04 May23 (carango anthony)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LONG LEGGED BOY Nov27 Nov14 Nov01 Oct02 Sep20 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 118 2.50 8% 12.30    
5  RUNNIN JOKE Nov20 Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 Jul06 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 118 4.50 ★    
6  GIVE IT A GO Dec06 Nov15 Oct17 Aug27 Aug06 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 5.00 ★    
7  DREAM BIG DREAMS Nov20 Oct04 Jan14 Dec17 Nov14 (servis t)RIVERA R 117 4.00 69% 0.50    
8  IMAGINE THIS Dec06 Nov27 Nov14 Apr17 Feb06 (pollara fr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 15.00    
9  DISTURBED Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 Sep04 Jul11 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 121 5.00    
 
PRX-6   12/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE IT TO THE MAX Nov28 Oct30 Oct04 Jul11 Jun26 (whylie hero)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
2  SEVEN YEARS LATER Nov03 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug23 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 122 8.00    
3  PEARLBDANCING Nov13 Oct02 Aug30 Jun12 May16 (bullock jo)HENRY JR 122 20.00    
4  SIRENETTA Dec12 Nov28 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAIRY DREAMS Nov28 Nov13 Oct25 Jan26 Jan02 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50    
6  BACK TO D' FUTURE Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 Aug29 Jul18 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.50 11% 7.90    
7  CUP OF LIFE Nov13 Oct07 Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 (hamilton s)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
8  ASTONISHING ANABEL Dec01 Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 Jun10 (pino michael )ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOOD SOURCE Nov09 Oct03 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00    
10  SCINTILLATING STAR Oct30 Sep20 May15 Apr10 Mar06 (vega richa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-7   12/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I CAN DO MAGIC Nov08 Sep23 Aug21     (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00    
2  CRAIGH NA DUN Dec04 Nov08 Oct10 Sep23   (bedard alan)OCASIO M 119 20.00    
3  FREE BIRD BORDO Nov21 Oct23       (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MY BOY TULLIO         (krebs steven)RANGEL JOEZER 119 12.00    
5  MARINE PATROL Dec04 Nov21 Oct31 Oct10   (ashton pat)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
SCR  HOPPERTULLIO         (krebs steve)DE KEMICH 112 12.00    
7  BIAGIO Nov27 Oct10       (smylie timothy)CORREA JULIO 119 12.00    
8  LONESOME BOY Dec04 Nov27 Nov14 Sep17 Aug22 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
9  LANIE'S FIRST DUDE Nov30         (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00    
10  CHECKING BOXES Dec04 Nov08 Oct10 Sep23   (reid e)PENNINGTON F 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
11  DOS DE OROS Nov20 Oct31 Oct17 Sep18   (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 5.00 37% 1.70    
12  RESTLESS Dec03         (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-8   12/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGING THE KARMA Dec05 Oct06 Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 (bedard ala)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  NICKY DA FOX Nov22 Nov01 Sep26 Sep04 Jul11 (wilson brenda)MOYA F 124 8.00    
  (by JUMP START out of RAGING RAPIDS by ROANOKE)
3  COALVILLE Nov28 Aug26 Jul21 Jun22   (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 50% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATHRYN SOPHIA by STREET BOSS)
4  ONE BITE Nov16 Feb21 Jan25 Dec03 Oct18 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of STAR IN THE CORNER by HOLY BULL)
5  MODERN ERA (AUS) Dec05 Nov11 Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
6  TRICOLOUR Dec05 Sep28 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 (krebs steve)RAMOS C 124 3.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  BOOSTER SHOT Sep20 Jul07 Jun16 May30 Apr29 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by ARROGATE out of JAZAALAH by HARD SPUN)
 
PRX-9   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSES TROUBLE Dec01 Oct24 Sep20 Sep06 Aug28 (wyner )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 1.60 65% 0.50    
2  JACK BEANSTALK Nov07 Oct03 Sep25 Sep12 Aug21 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GENGHIS Dec11 Nov07 Oct04 Sep23 Sep06 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 122 4.00 ★    
4  POWER AGENDA Dec06 Nov27 Nov16 Oct17 Oct09 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 115 4.50    
5  HEFFNER Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug28 (smith everton)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
6  NEIGH DUDE Dec11 Dec04 Nov22 Nov15 Nov01 (polachek jan)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
7  PYLON Dec11 Nov27 Aug12 Aug03 Jul10 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 122 8.00    
 
PRX-10   12/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE PEACE         (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILD GIRL Oct18 Jul07       (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
3  THEARCHERORTHEPREY Oct16 Sep20 Aug21 Jul12 Jun19 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Oct25 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 124 6.00    
5  ONE OF THE ONES Oct23 Oct03 Sep04 Aug04 Jul22 (servis joh)RIVERA R 115 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  WINE GODDESS May27 May12 Apr30 Apr14 Mar24 (hamilton s)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOULFUL TARA Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 (pino micha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 8.00    
8  SNOW LAKE Nov23 Nov02 Sep30 Aug26 Aug04 (linder louis )OCASIO M 120 8.00    
9  MISS CINNAMON Nov21 Apr19 Mar15 Feb08 Jan23 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LOST IN THOUGHT Nov20 Oct16 Sep20     (aro c)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
SCR  CAST YOUR NET Dec05 Oct18 Sep20 Aug26 Aug05 (king b)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.