Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - November 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(4/1)-(6/1/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/1/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/1/5/2)-(1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/2)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/2)-(1/3)-(6/3/5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/3/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/7)-(8/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/7)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/7)-(1/2/7)-(6/1/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINTAGEL Oct23 Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Jun13 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 12.00    
2  MO NIGHEAN DONN Oct24 Oct12 Sep12 Jul26 Jun20 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50    
3  EMBRACEABLE GAL Oct23 Oct09 Sep26 Sep03 Aug04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 4.00    
4  FLURRY OF ROSES Oct23 Sep04 Aug14 Jul10 Jun20 (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
5  MY SWEET SUMMER Oct04 Aug22 Jun23 May20 Mar19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  JESSICA'S RACE Oct17 Sep06 Jun20 May24 Feb25 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   11/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Oct30 Sep18 Sep05 Aug28 Mar09 (bond brent)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  FOOT TRAFFIC Oct11 Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 121 15.00    
3  INTERCHANGER Oct11 Oct02 Sep13 Jul31 Jul02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50    
4  REGAL EMPIRE Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
SCR  BRIT'S UNION Oct24 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 10.00    
6  GOSSIPING PANDO Oct25 Sep25 Jul04 Jun23   (progno michael)COA J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MILAGROSO Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Aug14 Jul31 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.00    
8  LOZ Oct25 Aug23 Aug07 Nov09 Oct26 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
FL-3   11/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY QUINN Oct31 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TRUE DESTINY Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jun28 (progno s)BAEZ JOSE 119 6.00    
SCR  STABILIZE Oct24 Sep12 Aug23 Jul31 Jul04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 20.00    
4  KEEPMYEYEONTHEBOYS Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 Aug28 Aug09 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  SMART BROAD Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50    
6  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 121 10.00    
7  SHE'S GOT GAME Oct30 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 (ronen assaf)VENTURA JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  GUIDANCE Oct23 Oct04 Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 (loaiza i)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
 
FL-4   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYROCK Oct23 Sep11 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  BEACHSIDE Oct23 Oct09 Sep19 Aug28 Aug07 (schudlick mic)DAVILA A 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  RINGGOOD Oct25 Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 Aug01 (bond brent)DAVILA R 124 15.00    
4  HARRISON KNOWS Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (morales)NAVARRO J 124 10.00    
5  LOVER'S LEAP Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 5% 17.20    
6  MAJOR SPIN Oct30 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jun28 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 49% 1.00    
7  MISAWA Oct17 Sep20 Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 (chamberl)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
8  HANGOUT Oct10 Sep20 Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 (mastin kathleen)ROHENA M 124 15.00    
 
FL-5   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZUCCARACE Sep25 Aug23 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 2.50 76% 0.30    
1A  DANCING WITH RICO Oct25 Oct11 Aug16 Dec11 Nov13 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50    
2  THEWIPERSONTHEBUS Oct25 Oct11 Sep18     (sells ra)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
3  WATERMELON CRUSH Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug25 (sabine mich)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TIZA BROWN Nov01 Oct02 Sep13 Aug23 May23 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
5  ROBIN'S GIANT Oct02 Oct11 Sep12 Jul27 Jul14 (smi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 ★    
6  WONKER WARRIOR Mar30 Mar03 Feb25     (lecesse michae)COA J 121 3.00 ★    
7  THOMAS S P Nov01 Oct18 May14 Apr20   (grabows)NAVARRO J 124 8.00    
8  GREEK EASTER Sep27 Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
FL-6   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH TALES Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul11 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
1A  SNEADS Oct25 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 5.00    
2  BIG BAD BUD Oct31 Oct17 Mar03 Feb08 Dec30 (maver eduardo)DAVILA A 124 15.00    
3  BOSSHIP Sep26 Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 Jul25 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
4  BUSTIN THE RULES Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 (gutierrez luis)VENTURA JOSE 124 10.00    
5  PAPA TOM B Oct31 Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Sep21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 14% 6.20    
6  SON OF DARKNESS Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 Jul18 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
7  ISAIAH ISAIAH Oct17 Sep05 Aug21 Nov15 Nov02 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DEAN VERDILE Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
 
FL-7   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. LLOYD Oct25 Sep25 Sep12 Aug16 Aug08 (dominguez carlos )BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
1A  BLUES CITY Oct30 Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 (dominguez ca)BERRIOS C 122 15.00    
2  UNCLE MILTIE Oct30 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug30 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 8.00    
3  ANGELIC MISSION Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
4  RUN CASPER RUN Oct30 Aug08 Jul26 Jun20 May24 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 6.00    
5  BROCKMONINOFF Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Jul03 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
6  PREPARE FOR GLORY Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 Aug21 Aug07 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  MASS APPEAL Oct31 Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  OLD MAN WINTER Oct11 Jul12 May30 Apr25 Nov15 (acquila)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 61% 0.60    
 
FL-8   11/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS STONES Sep12 Aug08 Jul09 May21 Apr29 (barrow paul)DAVILA R 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  FANCY FELINE Oct23 Oct04 Sep02 Jul09 May21 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
3  BOCA Aug02 May22 Mar31 Mar03 Jan28 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
4  LOCKBOX Oct23 Oct04 Jul12 Jul04 Jun21 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 119 6.00    
5  JACKSON AVENUE Oct23 Oct04 Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
6  TEKILA Oct23 Sep19 Aug08 Jul24 Apr27 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 3.50    
7  STARR'S DELIGHT Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31   (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
FL-9   11/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED FORTRESS Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jul31 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
2  BLOOD MOON Oct30 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul05 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 5.00    
3  MO DANCIN Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 (loaiza i)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
4  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Oct30 Oct11 Sep18 Aug14 Jul19 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
5  BENCH WALK Oct31 Oct23 Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
6  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Oct31 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Jul31 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  STARINTHEMAKING Oct25 Oct10 Sep12 Aug28 Jul31 (murphy timothy)COA J 122 10.00    
8  NO LIME Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul17 (lopez arcadio)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.