Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/3)-(6/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/4/3/8)-(1/2/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8)-(6/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/8)-(1/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (1/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/8)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/8)-(4/3/6)-(10/13/11/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(10/13/11/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(10/13/11/9/7)-(3/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (10/13/11/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/13/11/9/7)-(10/13/11/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/13/11/9/7)-(10/13/11/9/7)-(10/13/11/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/13/11/9/7)-(3/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/13/11/9/7)-(3/2/4/6)-(7/9/10/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6)-(7/9/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/9/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/10/3/5)-(7/9/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/10/3/5)-(7/9/10/3/5)-(7/9/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   10/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMBIASO Sep08 Aug06 Jun17 Jun07 May25 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 3.50    
2  SUPER LIAISON Aug05 Jul06 Jun14 May25 Apr08 (love alan)RAMOS D 124 30.00    
3  GJALLARHORN Aug05 Jul06 Jun14 May17 Apr07 (love alan)PRESCOTT R 124 20.00    
4  LUCIOS ZORAN Jun22 Jun01 Apr27     (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
5  CATEGORY TEN Aug31 Aug01 Jun04     (mott riley)DIAZ RENE 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  GENERATION (GB) Sep20 Aug26 Aug09     (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 113 1.80 42% 1.40    
7  MAJESTIC MR. JONES Sep06 Aug10 Jun24 May25 May06 (mcmichael larry)PEREZ E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SMALL SAILOR Aug31 Aug05 Jul06 Jun22 May17 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 2.50 10% 9.00    
 
IND-2   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZURA Sep09 Apr27 Apr03 Feb20 Jan28 (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 4.50    
2  WAVE SKIPPER Aug29 Oct28 Sep14 Aug10   (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 118 4.00    
3  GOLDCREST Sep13 Aug01 May27 May07 Apr16 (vanden britta)MOJICA O 120 3.50 6% 15.10    
4  LT'S CHOICE Sep01 Aug03 Jun17 May27 Jun11 (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 118 8.00    
5  SAY CHEESE Sep09 Aug17 Jul22 Aug19 Jun24 (mcdonn)BAILON JADHIR 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  GIADA Aug16 Jul12 Jun15 May02 Mar25 (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  BUOY Aug31 Jul05 Nov14 Oct29 Oct05 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
 
IND-3   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOARING BIRD Sep22 Sep07 Jul21 Jun23 Jun10 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00    
2  CHATTALOT Sep07 Aug04 Jul04 May29 Apr23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50    
3  UNPREDICTABLE BAY Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 May14 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
4  LEGIONNAIRE Apr08 Feb22 Nov09 Oct12 Aug13 (drury thomas)RAMOS D 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP Aug17 Jul07 Jun18 Jun01 May08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
6  DERBY DATE Sep07 Aug02 Jun15 Jul08 May27 (contreras c)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  TRASHTALKINYANKEE May22 Jan01 Nov09 Oct10 Sep30 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
8  CONDEMN Apr23 Mar16       (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
9  COYOTE ROAD Aug16 Jun22 May05 Apr11 Mar08 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
 
IND-4   10/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Sep08 Oct06 Sep28 Aug28 Jul10 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 125 4.00 49% 1.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BEDROOM EYES by PLEASANT TAP)
2  CATCHEM IF YOU CAN Sep14 Aug26 May06     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DINA GOLD by SEEKING THE GOLD)
3  TOWN BARBER Aug27 Jul16       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DISCO BARBIE by PURE PRIZE)
4  MR. COMMANDER Sep22 Aug21 Jul21 Jul01 Jun15 (king barr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
5  CHARTED Sep08 May16 Feb08 Jan18 Nov29 (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 125 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WEAR RED by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  WHERE'S THE BEACH         (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 117 5.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HASSLER by WAR FRONT)
7  CLASSY GHOST         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FORCE MAJEURE by DIXIELAND BAND)
8  PROTON SPIRIT Sep08         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BEHAVIORAL FINANCE by TOUCH GOLD)
9  EGYPTIAN KING Oct19 Sep21       (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of PEARL OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
IND-5   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT SONATA Sep13 Jun21 May31 Mar05 Feb05 (granitz)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
2  DO YA WANNA DANCE Sep13 Aug16 Aug05 Jul05 Jun08 (roggenkamp e)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 15.00    
3  HOMERUNHAPPY Aug30 Aug15 Jul13     (o'donnell ma)RAMOS D 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  FOREVER FRIENDS Sep19 Sep07 Jul08 Jun17 Sep13 (shorter aaron)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  DEVILS GOTTA GO Aug02 Jul15 Jun13     (nance jon)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 8.00    
6  GOLDEN RAPPER Aug30 Aug15 Jun24 Jun13 May24 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 10% 9.50    
7  AMAZING JUSTICE Sep12 Aug19 Aug02 Jul15 Jun13 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 123 6.00    
8  PAYNTER'S CANVAS Sep13 Aug19 Aug02 Jul15 Jul08 (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 5.00    
 
IND-6   10/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR INSENSITIVE Sep03 Aug06 Jul19 Jul09 Jun24 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  MUD PUDDLE Nov06         (waltz brian)PRESCOTT R 124 15.00    
3  THE MOTTO Aug29 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 (davis josep)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 10.00    
4  LEFT POCKET MONEY Sep06 Aug18 Jul31 Jul16 May21 (pittman bonn)MORALES JOSHUA 124 20.00    
5  REVS MEDAL Sep11 Aug05 Jul13 Jun10 May30 (phillips ter)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 30.00    
6  TOTALITARIAN Sep18 Aug31 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 (gonzalez )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
7  SMILING STORMY Sep08 Aug20 Jun14 May21   (reyes martin)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  BIG STORMY Sep20 Jul13 Jun24     (dunn step)BERMUDEZ E 117 4.50    
9  DOMHNALL Aug29 Aug16 Jul13 Jun24 May11 (paquette raymond )PEREZ E 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
10  GHOST BIKE Sep20 Aug29 Jul21 Jun07 May02 (sturgeon c)MOJICA O 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
11  COSMIC STARDUST Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 Jun22 May30 (hernand)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  MOTION TO ADJOURN Sep19 Sep11 Jul07 Jun21 May25 (raper ron)RAMOS D 121 30.00    
13  MO ANGELL Sep10 Sep27 Aug14 Jul02   (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  AUTO DIAL Aug18 Jul31 Jul12 Jun25   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
 
IND-7   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIP CHARGE Sep21 Sep14 Jun27 Nov11 Oct17 (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 113 20.00    
2  QUEEN D Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 Jul05 May15 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  FOREVER BLESSED Aug03 Jul07 Jun21 May31 May10 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  TRYINFORJUSTICE Sep05 Jul07 Jun10     (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 123 8.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  QUITE WHIMSICAL Sep21 Sep14 Aug22 Jul05 Jun22 (holden j)MORALES JOSHUA 123 15.00    
6  D' KITTEN Sep14 Aug28 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 (leonard geo)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  EMPIRE SUNRISE Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Aug01 May17 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
8  LILMISS SASSYPANTS Sep14 Aug03 Jul07 Jun14 May25 (fontenot daw)RAMOS D 123 10.00    
9  AJIC JAY Sep14 May29 May17 May02 Jun27 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 5.00    
 
IND-8   10/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURELY MINE Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 Nov23 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 118 10.00    
2  BRODY MO Sep07 Aug19 Jul18 Jun10 May09 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 3.50    
3  GIO'S BABY GIRL Sep18 Aug23 Aug15 Jul18 Jun29 (herrell ron)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00 8% 11.60    
4  SHESACLEVERJUSTICE Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul18 May17 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 15.00    
5  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Aug30 Aug03 Jul09 Jun13 Apr26 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BICKERMENTS Sep07 Aug30 Aug22 Jul20 Jul11 (holden j)RAMOS D 119 30.00    
7  SECOND EXCHANGE Sep18 Aug22 Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
8  JACK'S SUMMER Sep07 Aug22 Jul18 May18 Apr26 (sturgeon c)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
9  LITTLE GRAY FLOWER Sep12 Sep05 Jul20 Jun07 May18 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.50 25% 3.10    
10  ALLABOUTTHEIMAGE Sep07 Aug28 Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 115 10.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.