Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/4)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/4)-(6/4)-(3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/5/6)-(6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/7/4)-(3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(3)-(5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3)-(5/2)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/1/4)-(3/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOGELSANG Jul29 Jun27 Jun06 May24 May03 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  LITTLE RIOT GRRL Aug16         (obert danielle)MURGIA A 120 8.00    
3  VITA DE VITO Jul15 Jun23 Apr21     (corrigan )CORREA L 120 6.00    
4  LADY BIRD KISSES Aug29 Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun23 (royal madel)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TEQUILA EMPIRE Aug27 Aug02 Jul25 Jun25 Jun11 (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
6  WITCHING HOUR (FR) Aug22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun04 (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
7  DOODLE DOO Aug11 Jul13 Jun02 May04   (obert danielle)STEVENS C 119 4.50    
8  KEENE ON JENNY Apr19 Mar18 Mar01 Jan27 Nov07 (torres conce)MARCANO Y 119 6.00    
 
BTP-2   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jul05 Jun10 May05 Apr26 Mar17 (hernandez)CORREA L 120 3.00    
2  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Aug19 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May23 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
3  MARKET OF STOCKS Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jun10 Dec10 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00    
4  MY TOMMY LEE Aug29 Aug03 Mar11 Jan25 Jan05 (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  C C'S WORLD Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jun15 May23 (melancon pau)MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
6  LUNARCHY Aug03 Jul16 Jun14 May31 Apr27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
BTP-3   09/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLY WINK Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30   (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
2  YOU'RE A DANDY Aug30 Aug15 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 5.00    
3  GET CLEAR Aug18 Aug04 Aug18 Jul19 Jul01 (sands shane)MURGIA A 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ANN KOR Aug15 Aug04 Jul08 Dec22 Dec07 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50    
5  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Aug30 Jul15 Jul06 May20 Mar24 (simms jr)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  SHORT ON THE SUGAR Aug29 Aug11 Jul21     (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   09/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOHNNY LONGBOAT Jul04 Jun06 May27 May06 Sep23 (wells duane)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00    
2  ESTILO PELIGROSO Jul12 Jun09 May20 Mar23 Feb22 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00    
3  CONGRATS THIS Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 Jun09 May19 (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00    
4  NO HANG CHARLIE Aug23 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 May05 (woodbury jud)MARCANO Y 119 4.50 10% 8.60    
5  ARTEMUS EAGLE Aug19 Aug07 Jul21 Jun09 May24 (cline c)OUZTS W 124 3.50    
6  CACAHUETE Aug19 Jul21 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 (coyle ver)CORREA L 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  EMPEROR'S GOLD Sep02 Aug10 Jul26 Jul21 Dec13 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
BTP-5   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFFICE CHATTER Jul24 Jun24       (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TWISTED JUSTICE Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jun29 Jun15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
3  LATE BLOOMBOPPER         (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
4  SHE IS DYNAMIC         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MOBIL DREAM STAR         (wilson david)MARCANO Y 116 6.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
6  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Aug30         (cline rob)CORREA L 121 3.50    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
 
BTP-6   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIE JONES Jul08 May11 Jan05 Dec06 Sep27 (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50    
2  HONOR THE D Aug19 Jun21 May24 Apr11 Mar23 (bates l)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
3  TEQUILA FLATS Aug30 Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00    
4  HEIDI'S SINATRA Aug11 Jul15 Jul06 May25 May06 (haehn ter)CORREA L 124 6.00    
5  RUN BUBBA RUN Jan30 Dec27 Dec01 Aug24 Jun29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  STREAKY Aug19 Aug01 Jun21 Apr29 Mar20 (bennett c)MCKEE J 124 4.50    
 
BTP-7   09/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARILLO Jul05 Jun06 May17 Jun22 May27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
2  MONEY RUN Aug19 Jun15 Apr12 Mar16 Feb20 (rouck l)OUZTS W 117 3.00    
3  DROPPIN G'S Aug06 Jun30 Jan01 Dec21 Nov17 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  TEQUILAS RANGER Aug02 Jul01 May20 Dec17 Sep16 (jones phillip)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
5  AZURE SKY Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun24 Jun06 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 8.00    
SCR  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jul17 Jun16 May24 Apr29 Apr01 (pitts c)BUSH V 120 5.00    
7  OUT WORK'N Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun16 May17 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 6.00    
 
BTP-8   09/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME VALOR Aug19 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jul07 (adams l)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  MOMMA RIO Aug31 Feb09 Jan12 Dec09   (jurado lui)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 15.00    
3  BLUE LILY Aug01 Jul06 May24 Jan06 Dec03 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  SLENDER BETSY Aug31 Aug11 Aug01 Jul07 Jun14 (raines li)CORREA L 122 30.00    
5  HAPPYKIYAY Aug01 May18 May02 Jun07 May16 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 122 12.00    
6  SYLLABUS Aug18 Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 May03 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  ZERO CLICK Aug18 Aug01 May26 May06 Apr18 (norris mike)MARCANO Y 114 20.00    
8  SCAPITURE Jul25 Jun16 May20 May04 Feb23 (wells duane)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  WANNAGOCAMPING Aug31 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Mar15 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  HAPPYSECRET Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.