Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/5/6)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(3/4/5)-(3/7/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(3/7/2)-(7/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(7/3/1)-(4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(4/1)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/5)-(6/5/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 May18 May04 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.00    
2  TORNADO BOY Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 (melancon paul)BUSH V 122 6.00    
3  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Jun01 May06 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.50    
4  MIDNIGHT J J Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 May27 May04 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Aug27 Aug09 Jul08 Jun21 Jun14 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
BTP-2   09/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTOWN HARBOR Aug30 Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 Nov16 (cli)GONZALEZ JESUS 124 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SEAMAN HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  PEARL PEARL PEARL Aug16 Jul20       (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 4.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CARSON'S PEARL by CARSON CITY)
3  MISS SOLAN Aug15 Jul20       (lowry kathl)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of MARQITA by MARQUETRY)
4  BREATH OF HEAVEN Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Sep12   (bush s)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
5  SISSY'S MAY Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 May24 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  EMERALD EYES Aug16 Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May24 (salcedo r)CORREA L 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
 
BTP-3   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOYD G Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 (sturgeon c)MCKEE J 122 6.00    
2  PASION AZTECA Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun24 Mar06 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
3  KING OF TRUTH Jul29 Jul01 Sep05 Aug08 Jun25 (sanchez ama)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  FAST FELIX Aug05 Jun30 May24 Sep07 Aug10 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 3.00 17% 4.70    
5  KOBE BEACH Jul27 Jul14 Jun03 May18 Apr29 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 122 3.50 8% 11.00    
6  HECTOR B Aug19 Aug03 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 (ramos rafael)REYES R 122 4.50    
 
BTP-4   09/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHY SHE DEW DAT Aug12 Jul29 Jun19     (alessi james)MARCANO Y 115 12.00    
2  LADY JENNEVIERE Aug23 Aug12 Mar23 Feb15 Jan21 (pitts c)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 7% 14.40    
3  DICHOTOMY Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Mar31 (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  PARFAIT Aug24 Jul22 Jun15 May12 Apr12 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50    
5  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Jul22 Jun15 May26 Nov12 Sep23 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
6  TRICK HAT Aug19 Jun10 May25 Mar15 Feb04 (laugherty joe)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
7  ADDISON Aug15 Aug05 Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50 9% 9.60    
8  EARLY BLOOMER Aug03 Jul19 May12 Dec30 Dec15 (barker sc)CORREA L 120 5.00    
 
BTP-5   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY MERLOT Aug27         (bergin tom)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 6% 14.50    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of WHITE MERLOT by PROUD ACCOLADE)
2  ELEGGUA Sep20 Aug12 Jun29 Jun02 Apr04 (shifflett che)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 15.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of SHINING JEWEL by GULCH)
3  FORTUNE Feb03 Dec08 Oct01 Sep01 Aug12 (mackey wayne)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MAGICAL MOOD by FORESTRY)
4  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Jul19 Jun17 Nov29 Oct27 Oct14 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of MILTOS EXPRESS by NOTEBOOK)
5  TALKSCHEAP Mar10 Feb22 Jan11 Dec22 Nov25 (alessi ja)CORREA L 121 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HARLAN'S ROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  FORT BULL         (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 121 8.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OVATION by DUNKIRK)
7  OUTSLEWTHEM Aug17 Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr27 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
8  LIAMS LAD Aug04 Jul12 Jun20 May13   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BONJOUR BELLE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
BTP-6   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESPEIGHTFUL Aug19         (claire alex)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LOVE TO SHARE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
2  KACHOW         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
3  GO MUNECA Aug16 Jul20       (donjuan sergio)HESS SARA 116 30.00    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of CLEVER GRETEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  CANOPY Aug19         (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 5.00 48% 1.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CAMOU by WAR FRONT)
SCR  QUALIFICATA         (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 2.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MAGIC APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  CLASSIC JULIA Aug08 Jul11       (green troy)MARCANO Y 116 30.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of APPLE MARTINI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BTP-7   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' NED Jul08 Jun21 Jun07 May17 Nov10 (cline rob)CORREA L 121 5.00    
2  UPGRADE AL Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 Jan02 Dec12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Aug03 Jul22 Jul05 Jun02 May23 (cline c)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
4  THE PINK Z Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 May17 Apr29 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50    
5  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jul14 Oct29 Aug31 Aug13 Jul26 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
BTP-8   09/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  START CLASS May02 Dec01 Nov03 Sep18 Jul01 (medley jose)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
  (by UPSTART out of CLASSE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  RED TIARA Aug04 Jul09 Apr19 Mar18 Jan05 (sanchez ama)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 ★    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of REACH THE STARS (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
3  Q BOND Jul29 Feb19 Jan14     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAD PRINCESS by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  HONEYTOWN Aug16 Jun06 May10 Feb24 Jan26 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of CROSS STREET by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  MUCHA Aug16 Jul20 Jun30     (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by BLAME out of EXTENT by PULPIT)
6  BOPPY Aug09 Jul08 May29 Mar25   (cox h)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
  (by BLAME out of DARING DANCER by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN Aug10 May29 May09 Mar15 Sep05 (laugherty j)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEAUTIFUL PRINCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  IMAGE OF LOVE Aug03 May27 Apr09 Mar04   (margolis s)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BRUSHED BY A STAR by EDDINGTON)
9  PLEASANT SKY Aug16         (margolis stephe)MOJICA JR 121 10.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of MEISTER LEGEND by BODEMEISTER)
10  ORCHARD ROAD Aug01 Jul09 Jun20 May15   (acevedo i)CORREA L 121 20.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of LIWA OASIS by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
11  CROWN OF FAVOR Aug11 Jul20 Nov09 Oct11   (upton m)OUZTS W 124 20.00    
  (by AMERICAIN out of FOR HEAVEN'S SAKE by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  PLEDGULATIONS Aug11 Jul12 Jun07     (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of PLEDGE MOM by WILD RUSH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.