Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (4/3/7/13/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/13/2)-(4/3/7/13/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/13/2)-(4/3/7/13/2)-(4/3/7/13/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/7/13/2)-(11/1/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/13/2)-(11/1/7/5)-(9/5/4/2/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-2   WIN (11/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/7/5)-(11/1/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/7/5)-(11/1/7/5/2)-(11/1/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/1/7/5)-(9/5/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/1/7/5)-(9/5/4/2/8)-(6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (9/5/4/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/2/8)-(9/5/4/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/2/8)-(9/5/4/2/8)-(9/5/4/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/4/2/8)-(6/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/2/8)-(6/10/9)-(5/9/2/7/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-4   WIN (6/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/9)-(6/10/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/9)-(6/10/9/1/5)-(6/10/9/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/10/9)-(5/9/2/7/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/9)-(5/9/2/7/11)-(5/1/10/6/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-5   WIN (5/9/2/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/7/11)-(5/9/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/7/11)-(5/9/2/7/11)-(5/9/2/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/2/7/11)-(5/1/10/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/2/7/11)-(5/1/10/6/2)-(11/5/10/6/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LAD-6   WIN (5/1/10/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/10/6/2)-(5/1/10/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/10/6/2)-(5/1/10/6/2)-(5/1/10/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/10/6/2)-(11/5/10/6/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (11/5/10/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/10/6/9)-(11/5/10/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/10/6/9)-(11/5/10/6/9)-(11/5/10/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM GUITAR Jul27 Jun30 Jun12 May08 Feb22 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00    
2  L G GIRL Jun19 May29 May07 Feb17 Dec16 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAVIAR RESOLUTION May22 Feb24 Feb09 Dec29 Dec15 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  MEAN AMERICAN Aug05 Jul07 May26 Apr22 Mar08 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  BATTY Jun19 Feb03 Dec15 Nov22 Oct21 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 25.00    
6  BEAUTIFULANDWILD Jul31 Jun19 May21 Apr21 Mar05 (zenon charle)MAGNON H 121 15.00    
7  MIDNIGHT TRIP Jul09 Jun24 May26 May05 Apr21 (del eri)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 4.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  EMMAS RULER Jun19 Feb17 Feb04 Dec22 Nov22 (de beauville)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  BRI Jul02 Jun12 May11 Apr13 Feb28 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
10  IZEONPOINT Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 Apr16 Mar23 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 20.00    
11  LOVIN LIVIN Jul09 Mar05 Feb03 Dec26 Nov27 (lorefice matt)MCMAHON J 124 15.00    
12  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun12 May14 (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00    
13  LIMITLESS MAZIE Jul29 Nov23 Sep06 Aug07 Jul19 (bruno donald)BARRERA J 116 12.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  ANN'S STORM Jul07 Jun10 May04 Apr21 Apr08 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 25.00    
 
LAD-2   08/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC SUN Jul28         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LADY OF THE HOUSE by CLUBHOUSE RIDE)
2  GRACE'S HANK         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 ★    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LA POMME D'AMOUR by FLOWER ALLEY)
3  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Aug04 Jul14 Jun16     (alberto anto)MAGNON H 113 12.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
4  BRADFIELD BABY Aug05         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAROLINA SKY by SKY CLASSIC)
5  SIXTEEN DEGREES         (duke steven)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAAHER out of NURSE EMMIELLE by PRIVATE VOW)
6  SILVER ASSASSIN Jul03 Jun03       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of ARCHER CITY by SILVER CITY)
7  DUMBSTRUCK Jul04         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of COMMUNIQUE by SMART STRIKE)
8  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Aug12         (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
9  DELTA FRONT Jul04 Jun18       (gelner ja)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MEKONG DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  STRONG DIAMOND Jul28 Jul04 Jun15     (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 119 25.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SORENSTAM by SLEWDLEDO)
11  TURN NORTH Jul03         (johnson henry)VARGAS P 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of AL'S ROSIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
LAD-3   08/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKEOVER TIME Jul29 Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Sep18 (jeansonne just)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
2  CHARMING KAT Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May20 (senegal j)ROSIER R 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
3  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 May07 Feb18 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
4  MY SUGAR FIX         (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
5  BAILEY'S CHARM Jul29 May27 May07 Feb23 Dec02 (lara jorge)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
6  PREPAID SPECIAL Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 Sep19 Sep05 (gomez rafae)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
7  BISTINEAU BELLE Jul29 Jul04 Jun17 May20 May07 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00    
8  WHEELS LIKE NALA Aug06 Jul23 Oct19 Sep11 Aug14 (holloway math)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 17.90    
9  GRACEFUL STREET Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun04 May13 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 115 3.50 39% 1.50    
10  QUEENS RIOT Jul23         (foster josep)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
 
LAD-4   08/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR LEO Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 May06 Apr20 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00 ★    
2  SLITHER Aug12 Jul29 Jun05 May15 Feb10 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.50    
3  FULL IMPACT Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Apr08 Feb03 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
4  YOUNG TUSCAN Jul24 Jun25 May27 Mar16 Feb09 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00    
5  STREET ART Jun24 Jun04 May14 Apr15 Mar25 (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 ★    
6  SATURDAY'S GOLD Aug13 May30 Apr01 Mar12 Jan22 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.50 70% 0.40    
7  CABOT Jul24 Mar04 Feb20 Jan20 Nov12 (hewitt m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
8  SIDETOWN Jul30 Jun02 May18 Apr30 Apr07 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
9  SIGN OF WAR Aug13 Apr01 Mar05 Jan21 Nov26 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  THE GREEN MO'STER Jul24 Nov24 Sep27 Aug14 Jul17 (singh )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  RECKLESS RANSOM Jun25 May04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan15 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
 
LAD-5   08/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERNREFLECTION Jul27 Jun18 May19 May03 Mar26 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
2  WOMAN WITH A BOOK Jan05 Nov24 Oct19 Jul05 Jun06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00 13% 6.60    
3  WEDINGTON Jul31 Jun03 May13 Feb22 Jan25 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
4  TROPHY DADDY Jul31 Jul06 May13 Apr20 Feb12 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 8.00    
5  FOREVAMO Jul31 Jul10 Apr29 Apr14 Mar24 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  MY HEAVY SON Jul31 Jul01 Jun18 May21 Mar16 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
7  ROOSTER RUN Jun24 May20 Jan20 Dec11 Dec01 (munoz yovani)VARGAS P 124 10.00 6% 16.40    
8  JOEBOY Jul31 May27 May15 Feb18 Jan25 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 121 12.00    
9  WISE GUY Jul31 Jun19 May29 Feb15 Jan25 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
10  THE GRAY BLUR Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 Apr29 Mar22 (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 124 20.00    
11  GET WITT GONE Jul23 Jul03 Apr14 Mar31 Mar11 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  DONNA'S COURT Jun25 Jun12 May07 Feb16 Feb03 (singh darla )MEDELLIN ERICK 121 25.00    
SCR  TEXAS TITAN Aug07 Jun10 May07 Apr14 Feb10 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 6.00    
SCR  MR. PRIORITY Aug04 Jun03 May22 May07 Apr21 (husak j)VARGAS P 121 25.00    
 
LAD-6   08/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE COSMO Jul28 Jun24 Jun02 May13 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
2  GOLDEN GREEK         (cruz eduardo)BENAVIDES D 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  BENISSIMO Jun25 Jun02 Apr15 Feb19 Jan13 (arey anthony)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 25.00    
4  COTTONWOOD Jul10 Jul04 Jun10 May20 Mar25 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
5  TEXAS CLUBMAN Jul04 Jun18 May27 Apr07 Mar19 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  MONEYSTRIKE Aug06 Jun19 May27 May05 Apr23 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
7  OLCZYK Jun25 Jun02 May06 Mar31 Mar11 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50    
8  SNAKEBIT Aug05 Jul10 Jun12 Feb22 Feb11 (morris rowdy)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
9  EL GABRIELO Jun24 May13 Apr26 Apr12 Apr02 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
10  BOLT FROM ABOVE Jun10 May27 May10     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  LONG COOL Jun25 May27 May07     (clary jaylan)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN FLASH Aug06 Jul04 Jun18 May27 Apr15 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 124 15.00    
 
LAD-7   08/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY PRIORITY Aug05 Jul13 Jun10     (thomas lee)ROSIER R 124 25.00    
2  JIMMIE'S HALO Aug12 Jul13 Feb10 Dec02 Oct28 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
3  JOEY'S GAME Aug12 Jun22 May19 Apr22 Mar22 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 25.00    
4  LILRASCALMAN Jul29 Jun25 May06 Mar18 Feb02 (meaux jason)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00    
5  I DON'T VENMO Jun18 May15 Mar25 Jan28 Jan12 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  PITCH AND RUN Jul01 May22 Feb09 Jan28 Jan13 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 7% 12.40    
7  BAYOU SARGE Jul31 Jul01 Jun17 Jun05 Apr15 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 20.00    
8  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jul08 Jun22 May20 May03 Apr07 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
9  DRAFT CHOICE Aug03 Jul13 Jun10 May04 Apr22 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  PESO PESADO Jun08 May11 Apr22 Mar22 Feb24 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
11  REDDINGANDLEE Jul01 Jun03 May14 Mar25 Feb25 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 113 4.00 27% 2.80    
12  THEO D'OR Jul23 May15 Mar10 Feb28 Feb16 (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.