Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/6)-(3/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/5/6)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/8/6/7)-(4/5/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-4   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/7)-(4/5/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7)-(4/5/6/2/3)-(9/6/10/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/5/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2/3)-(4/5/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2/3)-(4/5/6/2/3)-(4/5/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2/3)-(9/6/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2/3)-(9/6/10/8)-(5/10/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (9/6/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/8)-(9/6/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/8)-(9/6/10/8)-(9/6/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/10/8)-(5/10/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/10/8)-(5/10/7/8)-(2/7/8/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (5/10/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/7/8)-(5/10/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/7/8)-(5/10/7/8)-(5/10/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/7/8)-(2/7/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/7/8)-(2/7/8/10)-(1/5/11/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/7/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/10)-(2/7/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/10)-(2/7/8/10)-(2/7/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/10)-(1/5/11/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-9   WIN (1/5/11/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/11/6/2)-(1/5/11/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/11/6/2)-(1/5/11/6/2)-(1/5/11/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARON'S GREY HOPE Jun22 Jun07 May11 Nov01   (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
CLOSER TOTHE TRUTH Jun29 Jun08 Aug11 May30   (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 4.00    
SCR  OUT OF PROMISES Jun29 Jun10 May02     (langemeier j)RAMOS D 118 5.00    
ALLIE MAES REVENGE Jun08 Nov21 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (herrell ron )MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
INDIAN ZARA Jun29 Jun08 May11 Apr26 Sep21 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
BELGIAN BLUE Sep07 Aug10       (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
ANAITA Jun29 Jun08 May03 Nov15 Oct31 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00    
 
IND-2   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAITH RUNNER Jun07 Sep28 Sep05 Aug12 Jun26 (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MISS EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  COACH PETRO Jul05 May14 Apr14 Dec16 Sep25 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
REAL FAST         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KISS ME NOW by T. H. APPROVAL)
SCR  CHANNEL Z Jul12 Jun21 May30 May15 Mar15 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 124 4.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ZOUZOU by UNKNOWN)
HILTON HEAD Jun21 May25       (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
WASHINGTON'S UNION Jun07 May14 Apr22 Feb03 Jan13 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FIRST EMBRACE by FIRST DEFENCE)
THE MOTTO Jul07 Jun21 Jun07 May25 May02 (davis d)PEREZ E 120 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MOLLY O'SHEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
BUGSY BREEZE Jun22 May30 May10     (holden j)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 30.00    
  (by DOWSING out of AUTUMN BREEZE by HARD SPUN)
 
IND-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA LOU Jun14 May31 Apr27 Oct04 Sep02 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00    
ELUSIVE JUSTICE Jul12 Jun13 May18 Apr27 Jan04 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
BLOW SUM SMOKE Jul06 Jun14 May24 Apr28 Mar19 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.00 29% 2.50    
INCREDIBLE JUSTICE Jun29 Jun07 Nov11 Oct29 Oct12 (paquett)DE CRUZ 119 5.00    
DEEP DISH May24 Apr26 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
HAYTHERE JOGEEGIRL Jun27 Jun08 May23 May04 Apr14 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00 11% 8.20    
 
IND-4   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMIC STARDUST Jun22 May30 Mar25 Feb19   (wilkes r)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 3.00    
BAYOU CHROME Jul12 Jun21 May30 May09 Dec26 (leonard)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
ZEN JOURNEY Jun01 Apr25 Jul19     (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 117 15.00    
SCR  CHARMING VICTORY Nov17 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21   (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 117 30.00    
GHOST BIKE Jun07 May02 Mar09 Dec23 Oct02 (roussel j)MOJICA O 120 4.50    
SOME R BLESSED Mar23 Aug19       (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TOTALITARIAN Jul13 Jun07 May25 May11 Mar24 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MY FAVORITE UNCLE Jul09 May29 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 (galindo-torres )ACHARD ALEX 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
LOLAS BEAU Jun21 Jun01 Apr01 Feb25 Jan26 (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00    
SCR  GJALLARHORN Jul06 Jun14 May17 Apr07 Mar12 (love alan)BAYS BROOKE 114 20.00    
 
IND-5   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA FLAKA         (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TAZMANIAN ANGEL by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
GOODLARK         (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of ODE TO A SKYLARK by FLATTER)
PEWTER'S PROMISE         (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PRIZE WINNER by PURE PRIZE)
SHIPSHEWANA         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ANGEL CHOIR by STAR CAT)
INSPIRED FIRE         (cunningham t)MORALES JOSHUA 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by FIRING LINE out of SPOUSAL PRIVILEGE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
MARTZ ROSEY Jul06         (medina tomas)RAMOS D 117 12.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SLOPE out of VICARY ROSE by VICAR)
NONEOFYOURBUSINESS         (silva mig)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of EARNED by FLATTER)
MICKI VALENTINE         (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DOUBLE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
EVERLASTING SPIRIT         (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ELLE DEHERE by DEHERE)
SCR  FORCE LUCKY         (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 12.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SAINTLY SPIRIT by EL PRADO (IRE))
11  MISS MONARCA         (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MISS LORETTA LYNN by MINESHAFT)
 
IND-6   07/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAIL AT SUNRISE Jun18 May29 Apr19 Nov17 Oct07 (jazdzewski j)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
SHIMMER ME TIMBERS Jul07 May23 Apr18 Mar19   (gorostieta cirilo)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
TRIPULANTE Jun27 May03 Mar24 Mar03 Jan15 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
STORM DADDY Jul08 May28 May15 Apr16 Mar09 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 30.00    
SCR  RETAINED Jun22 May19 Apr18 Feb11 Jan07 (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
CHESS MASTER Jun24 May27 Apr29 Apr02 Mar12 (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
TRIPLE ELVIS Jun30 Jun15 May13 Mar30 Dec31 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 15.00    
SOARING BIRD Jun23 Jun10 May13 Apr19 Mar10 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN RICHIE May03 Oct25 Oct07 Sep13 Aug06 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
10  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) May16 Nov26 Oct20 Oct07 Aug23 (vanden britta)MOJICA O 122 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP Jul07 Jun18 Jun01 May08 Apr12 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
SCR  DERBY DATE Jun15 Jul08 May27 Apr30 Mar18 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
 
IND-7   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY'S TOWN         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MOLLY SLEW by CURLIN)
GIRVIN CITY LIMITS         (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SHELBY'S SONG by PETIONVILLE)
NO MANCHES Jun06 May15       (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 120 3.50    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CASH ME OUSSIDE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
BLACK WHITE N GOLD May22         (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FROSTING by FLATTER)
S J MATER         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PUNKY B by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  TREMOR         (elliott m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SPECIAL TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
LORD INVADER         (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of NATALIE PAIGE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
DATTTS LIFE         (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAGAF out of DATTTS OUR GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
INCLINED Jul03 Jun20       (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 117 10.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of HEBE'S VICTORY by LOST VICTORY)
10  HADLEY'S MAX         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 6.00 9% 10.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of HARD TO GET EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
11  REFLEX Jun20         (haran john)PEREZ E 117 15.00    
  (by SLOPE out of INSTANT REFLECTION by PROPER CONQUEST)
 
IND-8   07/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR WAGER Jul07 Jun02 May11 Apr16 Mar09 (meah anna)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
RACE CRAFT May28 Apr30 Apr02 Jan01 Dec10 (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
FIREWATER JAKE May25 Mar09 Feb04 Oct12 Sep29 (leonard i)PRESCOTT R 122 5.00    
SCR  BOISE Jun04 May19 May04 Feb24 Jan28 (habeeb j)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
SCR  NICHOLAS JONES Jul06 May12 Apr29 Apr12 Mar25 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 12.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS JULES Jul03 Mar10 Feb09 Dec18 Nov12 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
EPIMYTHIUM Dec14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Jul21 (meah anna )ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 4.50 9% 9.60    
MAJOR SPARKS Jun24 Jun17 May25 Jan06 Nov09 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN Feb09 Dec31 Nov27 Jun29 Apr27 (wittek karyn)COURT K 122 20.00    
10  CASANOVA KITTEN Jul03 Jun17 Jun01 May16 Apr29 (ginter ra)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  RIVER REDEMPTION Jul06 Jan27 Jan06 Dec11 Oct05 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
SCR  BARRISTER TOM Jul06 Jun17 Sep14 Sep01 Jun19 (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
 
IND-9   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR WISHER Jun10 Oct28 Sep28     (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 0.80 46% 1.20    
AMERICA RULES Jun06 May17 Apr27 Nov21 Nov11 (haran john)PEREZ E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLEVER KATE Jun15 May22 Nov22 Nov11 Sep29 (holden j)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
SWIFT TEMPLE May22 May09 Jan20 Jan06 Dec22 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00    
STORMY WAGER Jun15 May22 Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
SKIPPINJUSTICE Jun15 May22 Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 (leonard geor)RAMOS D 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHINATOWN NANCY Jun14 May29 May22 Nov01 Oct18 (silva carl)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 30.00    
SCR  TIZ ABBY Jun15 May22 May03 Mar02 Feb01 (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
LIEUTENANT KITTY Apr28 Apr05 Dec29 Nov22 Nov15 (glyshaw tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00    
10  WILDCATJUSTICE Jul08 Jun14 May17 May06 Oct29 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 115 8.00    
11  AMAZINGNESS Jun15 May16 Nov17 Oct29 Oct19 (patrick g)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  NOBLE PRIZE Jul05 Jun15 Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 (leonard geor)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED TALENT Jul05 Jun14 May17 May06 Nov10 (elliott michelle)PRESCOTT R 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.