Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/1/2)-(6/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(6/3/1)-(6/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(6/5/2)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/2/3)-(1/4/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/4/5/6)-(8/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(8/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(8/5/7/3)-(11/3/1/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/3)-(11/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/3)-(11/3/1/4/6)-(3/5/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-8   WIN (11/3/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/1/4/6)-(11/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/1/4/6)-(11/3/1/4/6)-(11/3/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/1/4/6)-(3/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   06/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNECTER         (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
WHISKEY HARBOR         (harwood m)MONTALVO C 120 8.00    
LUCCA'S LEGACY May14         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 1.60 28% 2.50    
MOKKI         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 10.00    
ROCKIT A DAY         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 117 12.00 6% 17.20    
BEER BEGONE         (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 120 3.50    
 
EMD-2   06/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT MOJO May27 May13 Jan09 Nov28 Sep03 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
KAHALA May21 Aug14 Jul17     (martinez david )CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 9.70    
LANGSTON ROAD May27 May14 Jan02 Nov27 Oct30 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.00    
NAPOLEONIC CODE Apr17 Mar29 Mar18 Nov05 Sep30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
RHODESIA May28 Dec16       (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 8.00    
 
EMD-3   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST PROMISE Apr08 Mar11 Feb07 Jan25 Dec14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 12.00 16% 5.20    
MOSCOW LADY Jun17 May29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 125 6.00    
COASTARANDO May28 Dec04 Nov11 Sep30 Jun03 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
FOR YOU ONLY Jun10 May29 May14 Jun19 May22 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 8.00    
SHEMAKESCENTS Jun10 May29 May13 Apr23 Mar12 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
ABOVE THE STARS Jun18 May27 May13 Mar12 Jan16 (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
EMD-4   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAU MISCHIEF May27 May14 Sep02 Aug12   (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 6.00    
MISTER MIDAS May27 May14 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
ICE TOWER May27 May14 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 6.00    
YOUNG LIFE LAURA Jun10 May28 May13     (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 115 15.00    
DESHAMBEAU May27 Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 Jun24 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
SECRET SAGA May27 May13 Jun24     (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
EMD-5   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTERS GHOST May21 Apr15 Mar26 Feb20 Jan22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80    
MANAALABOUTDAMONEY May22 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan16 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
MIRROR IMAGE Jun10 May21 Apr04 Mar05 Feb15 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
FOSTER BOI Jun10 May28 May14 Sep03 Aug06 (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.50    
NEW EVERY MORNING Jun16 May29 May14 Feb26 Feb09 (gibson vince)RADKE K 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL May28 May21 Apr13 Mar25 Jan25 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 30.00    
 
EMD-6   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hastings Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAFFODIL SWEET Jun26 Jun12 Mar11 Feb02   (allen marshall)RADKE K 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of EASY ON MY HEART by LION HEART)
SLACK TIDE Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 Aug14 Jul17 (wright blaine)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of IMPEACHED by PETESKI)
ZAZEN Jun03 May13 Mar31 Feb20 Jan22 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SMOKIN' GREY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
BLAZINGBELLABLU Jan23 Dec21 Nov26 Nov05 Sep18 (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
SILVERY ORB May20 Jul03       (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
  (by ORB out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
YOU GO GIRL Jun04 May20 Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of JASMINE'S MELODY by ARTAX)
SCR  LETS DECLARE PEACE Jun04 Mar05 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SOUTHERN SOLSTICE by SOUTHERN HALO)
CAUSE SHE'S A LADY May27 Dec30 Dec10 Nov04 Oct07 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WARRIORSCMOUTOPLAY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
EMD-7   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCHNESS Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 Jul17 Jun18 (essex charles)RADKE K 123 12.00    
PICK YOUR BID Jun18 Jun09 May20 Nov23 Nov07 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 10.00    
TRIBAL IMPACT May20 May13 Apr04 Sep11 Aug26 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
ORCZY (IRE) Jun03 Mar26 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 (gabriel luc)STRAIGHT ANGELA 118 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb19 (rosales jorge)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
MOJAVE (GB) Jun10 May29 May14 Mar28 Feb26 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 8.00    
CODE CHARLIE Jun09 Sep17 Aug06 Jul03 Jun12 (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
DARK AND DANDY Jun10         (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
EMD-8   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Budweiser Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZESTFUL Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Feb27 Feb11 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
YOU'RE THE CAUSE May29 May06 Mar28 Feb26 Feb11 (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TIZ ATLANTIS by TIZNOW)
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR May28 Apr03 Mar07 Jan28 Jan07 (troiani niccol)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 19% 4.10    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of NEARLYCOCKTAILTIME by THISNEARLYWASMINE)
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
SMILING GOODBYE May28 Mar14 Feb28 Jan07 Dec14 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of QUICKLY GONE by MUQTARIB)
ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE Jun10 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HOLY ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
MISSED THE BOAT Jun17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 (cryderman s)RADKE K 120 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CASHMERE MISS by KOKAND)
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jun04 Feb11 Jan16     (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of WAVING by STREET CRY (IRE))
PRAYER OF JABEZ May28 Apr26 Apr15 Mar26 Mar08 (kereluk edward)MONTALVO C 120 20.00    
  (by STANFORD out of ALWAZABRIDESMAID by KAFWAIN)
10  A MAN'S MAN Dec10 Nov05 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LONGING by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
11  COASTAL KID May27 Apr24 Mar20 Mar05 Feb11 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 120 10.00 29% 2.50    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
12  COASTAL JAZZ Jun11 May20 Sep17 Sep09 Aug28 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 120 20.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of JASMINE'S MELODY by ARTAX)
 
EMD-9   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDICATION Jun03 May20 Sep11 Aug20   (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 6.00    
SUPER CLASSIC Jun11 May28 Dec30 Dec10 Aug06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
OLYMPIC LEGEND Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr07 Jul03 (raudales jose)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
VALIDATE Jun17 Jun04 May20 May06 Sep17 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00    
MOONLIGHTNWINE Jun11 May28 May13 Dec09 Nov26 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
SUMMANUS Jun03 May13 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 5.00 7% 14.10    
NATION OF FAITH Jun09 May20       (essex charles)ZUNINO L 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.