Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/7/2/3)-(6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/3)-(6/4/1)-(5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/6/2)-(7/4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(5/2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (7/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/2)-(5/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/2)-(5/2/6/4)-(6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/4)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/4)-(6/2/1)-(10/4/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(10/4/9/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EMD-8   WIN (10/4/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/9/3/5)-(10/4/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/9/3/5)-(10/4/9/3/5)-(10/4/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIKINI NATION May27 May12 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 (markle dan)RADKE K 121 2.00    
2  PISTA GIRL Jun03 May13       (martinez dav)OROZCO E 121 6.00 18% 4.70    
3  A LITTLE GRACE Jun03 May14 Feb10 Jan13 Nov27 (dronen sam)CRUZ M 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  CALIFORNIA HALO Jul23 Jul09 Jun25     (gibson vince)MATIAS J 121 4.50 16% 5.50    
SCR  CLASSY CANDY Apr23 Mar19 Feb19     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50    
6  VANDULIE May28 May14       (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
 
EMD-2   06/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWY         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TAPIZAR out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  ZENDU         (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of DAWNSDU by SCATMANDU)
3  ATHENA D'ORO         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of FALLEN ARCHES by ARCH)
4  SHELBY SHORTSTOP         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of VAL DE SAIRE by HARBOR THE GOLD)
5  BOURBON TIGER         (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 119 4.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SPRING AGAIN by SKY MESA)
6  SPECIAL DIVA         (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 5.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
7  MOCKTAILS ANYONE         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PATH TO POWER by POLITICAL FORCE)
 
EMD-3   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME DAZE May29 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 123 3.00 13% 6.50    
2  CALYPSO PRINCESS Jun03 May14 Aug22 Jun18   (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 4.50    
3  G G RULES Jun10 May27 May06 Mar04 Feb19 (bean a)RADKE K 121 3.50    
4  MOSCOW LADY May29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  BETE ROUGE Aug12 Jul04 Jun20 Jun04   (morris l)MONTALVO C 123 6.00    
6  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jun03 May27 May14 Apr16 Mar24 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
EMD-4   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSED THE BOAT Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jun18 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 123 2.50    
2  COBRA JET May28 Jan10 Dec21 Nov29 Nov14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARMA D'ORO Feb26 Feb03 Jan02 Dec10 Nov20 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
4  TIG May27 Sep11 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 123 12.00    
5  TAX CODE May27 May13 Sep03 Jun18 Mar05 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  EL ALTO HOMBRE Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 29% 2.50    
 
EMD-5   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIORS HERO May29 May20 Mar07 Dec21 Nov28 (pierce micha)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 10.00    
2  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Jun03 Oct16 Oct08 Sep18 Sep09 (bean a)RADKE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  C JAXON Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 Jun25 (balcom cliff)OROZCO E 123 20.00    
4  AMERICAN GRIT Jun09 May13 Apr25 Mar27 Mar12 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  ALTITUDE Jun09 May21 Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
6  VALIDATE Jun04 May20 May06 Sep17 Aug28 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 15.00    
7  SOCAL RED May28 Apr01 Mar06 Feb15 Feb02 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
EMD-6   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIRD RING Jun09 Nov23 Nov09 Sep12 Sep05 (chatto)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
2  REIGN OF SPEED Jun04 May13 Jan05 Nov07 Oct15 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  PERFECT ONE Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 May15 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.00    
4  AGRIGENTO Jun03 Dec04 Oct23 May08 Apr09 (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jun03 Apr04 Mar18 Feb11 Jan19 (alvarez serg)OROZCO E 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  CONTEJAS Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17   (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  MISTER MAFIOSO May27 Apr03 Mar07 Feb26 Feb07 (patino faustino)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
 
EMD-7   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANT BIRD May27 Oct16 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 (bean a)CRUZ M 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
2  MISS BELLA May27 May14 Jan22 Jan08 Dec10 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  YOUR ROYAL COIL Jun04 May21 Dec18 Feb20 Jan02 (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 123 5.00    
4  FRISCO FRILLS Jun04 May20 Sep18 Aug19 Jul29 (balcom cliff)RADKE K 123 8.00    
5  CHIC SAMARAI May20 Apr10 Mar11     (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
6  OUR LYLA GRACE May27 Sep18 Aug14 Jul03 May22 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
EMD-8   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL RAGAZZO May28 Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 (kereluk edward)ENRIQUEZ D 125 8.00    
2  COMMAND SGT MAJOR Jun03 May20 May06 Dec26 Nov19 (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 125 8.00    
3  DYF May29 Mar13 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PLAYOFF BOUND Apr17 Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Aug03 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  KINGSTEN'S GOLD May28 May22 Apr01 Mar16 Feb10 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  POPPY'S C NOTE Jun03 Aug26 Aug13 Jul08 Jun20 (madrigal elodio)MATIAS J 125 12.00    
7  WARFRONT FIGHTER May28 May14 Mar08 Feb20 Feb09 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 125 5.00    
8  ALPINE HYPNOSIS May29 May06 Feb14 Jan23 Nov29 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 125 10.00    
9  BABY FRANKIE May20 May06 Apr02 Mar09 Jul01 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 6.00 19% 4.40    
10  ANNA'S IRON MAN Jun04 May20 May01 Mar19 Feb05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.