Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/4/1)-(1/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/4/2)-(2/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/3/1)-(2/1/8/9/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/1/8/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/1/8/9/4)-(3/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-5   WIN (2/1/8/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/9/4)-(2/1/8/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/9/4)-(2/1/8/9/4)-(2/1/8/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/9/4)-(3/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/9/4)-(3/6/1)-(6/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(6/2/7)-(2/1/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/4/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/4)-(2/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-9   WIN (2/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGULATION DAZED May21 May13 Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  PHILIPIE FAST May28 Apr03 Mar06 Feb21 Feb01 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 8.00    
3  SARGENT KLINE May28 May13 Apr11 Mar19 Jul10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00    
4  OLYMPIC LEGEND May28 Apr29 Apr07 Jul03 May27 (evans justin)RADKE K 123 1.20 43% 1.30    
5  MOONLIGHTNWINE May28 May13 Dec09 Nov26 Oct30 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
EMD-2   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU May20 Apr01 Mar12 Feb04   (bean robert )ZACHERLE LOUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  AFRICAN PRINCE May28 May21 Apr14 Mar31 Mar04 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
3  RAMPATIOUS May28 May21 Mar26 Jan04 Dec03 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 1.40 68% 0.50    
4  ALEX'S DREAM Jun04 May20 Apr05 Mar28 Mar13 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIQUEAS May28 Apr14 Mar31 Mar17 Feb20 (gabriel med)RADKE K 121 6.00    
6  ANTICIPATED May28 Apr29 Mar26 Mar09 Feb17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80    
 
EMD-3   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL JAZZ May20 Sep17 Sep09 Aug28 Jul30 (bullock steve)RADKE K 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
2  CAPITAL EXPENSE May20 Apr04 Mar18 Feb19 Jan31 (baze robert)ANAYA V 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
3  A VIEW FROM ABOVE May20 Mar19 Feb27 Feb07 Jan11 (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.50    
4  ALLEVA May29 Apr26 Apr11 Mar27 Feb27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
5  CODY'S CHOICE (NZ) May20 Dec14 Nov21 Sep17 Aug12 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 4.00    
 
EMD-4   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3 F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT IMPACT         (baze rob)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 17% 4.70    
2  SHESRSECRETWEAPON May28 May14 Aug19 Aug06   (jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 121 1.60 26% 2.80    
3  GOAT ROCKS May29 May14 Sep17 Sep02   (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
4  EISEN         (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
5  GOIN' COASTAL May28 Sep17 Aug28 Jul23 Jul09 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 8.00    
6  POCKET KNIFE May14 Sep11       (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 3.50    
 
EMD-5   06/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A SKIP IN THE PARK         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of YOU ME AND EMA B by YOU AND I)
2  J C'S A LEGEND May27 Apr26 Sep18 Aug07 Jul17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 1.40 53% 0.90    
  (by LEA out of LOVE'S ILLUSION by MAZEL TRICK)
3  MANGIA PANE May27         (patino faustino)MATIAS J 121 10.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of GHOST TREE by CAHILL ROAD)
4  UNCLE PETE May27 May13 Aug28 Aug21   (bullock stev)OROZCO E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ABRAAJ out of IRENE'S BONUS BABY by FREE AT LAST (GB))
5  TAVERNELLE May27         (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 121 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of APOLOGY ACCEPTED by CANDY RIDE)
6  ALL THE KING'S MEN May27 May14 Aug13 Jul31   (martinez david )CRUZ M 121 20.00    
  (by LORD LOCHINVAR out of ANDIAMO DEB by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
SCR  WITHEE May27 May13 Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of STORMY BET by STORM CREEK)
8  ITS KRAKEN TIME May13 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21   (wisdom anne)RADKE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNNING TAP out of ITS DIVA TIME by YOU AND I)
9  VORPAL         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of HUMOR HER ALONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  LUCKY CODE         (freeman )AMADOR RUIZ 121 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of LUCKY NANCY E. by DISCO RICO)
 
EMD-6   06/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKER JET Oct15 Sep18 Sep10 Sep03 Aug14 (bean a)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 6% 15.20    
2  MISCHIEF MAMA Jun04 Apr29 Apr18 Mar29 Feb26 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
3  JACANA May21 Feb15 Jan30 Jan11 Dec10 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 125 3.00 59% 0.70    
4  CONFIDENCE BUILDER May27 May06 Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00    
5  DODROPIN Jun04 May21 May13 Apr24 Mar29 (toye joe)SARMIENTO RIGO 125 3.50    
6  COCOA CENTS Mar18 Feb26 Feb17 Jan21 Jan07 (mccanna tim)RADKE K 123 2.00 9% 10.10    
 
EMD-7   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROWDY RETURNS Sep04 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15   (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
2  ATTORNEY LOUIS Jun04 May13 Apr17 Apr08 Mar18 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  GOLD RUSH JUNIOR May14 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10   (cryderman s)RADKE K 119 1.80    
4  NORTHERN BLEND May27 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul16 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
5  TAP THE BANK May29 Mar12 Feb19 Jan24 Jan10 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 5.00    
6  SUPER CLASSIC May28 Dec30 Dec10 Aug06 Jul10 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  HADLEES HONOR May27 May13 Apr17 Mar25 Feb14 (van debbie)MATIAS J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-8   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNE CATTIVE May14 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May22 (patino faustino)MATIAS J 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  RESERVOIR May14 Apr21 Feb03     (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.20 51% 1.00    
SCR  QUEENSBORO Sep17 Sep04 Aug20     (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
4  DRIVEWAY May28 May13 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WESTERN DREAM May14 Jul24       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 15.00 12% 7.40    
6  DADS ESTRELLA May20 Apr22 Apr09 Mar19 Jan28 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 4.50    
7  SIGNATURE COLORS May14 Apr10 Mar18 Feb28 Feb06 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS PAYTON May20 Sep10 Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 15.00    
 
EMD-9   06/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSUOUS KITTY May21 Mar27 Feb04 Jan09   (essex charle)OROZCO E 125 4.50    
2  PERCY'S SIS Jun26 Jun05 May22     (bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  LUVAHAPPYENDING Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep10 Jul24 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00    
4  A STORM TOO SOON Jun03         (gibson vince)RADKE K 121 6.00 37% 1.70    
5  SETTLER'S COVE May28 May14 Sep17 Aug19 Jul31 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHESALILRUNAWAY May13 Aug19 Jul02     (gibson vince)MATIAS J 121 12.00    
7  MISCHIEF MAME Jun03 May21 May01 Apr22 Apr01 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 5.00    
8  CHEDOODLE RYLEE         (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.