Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/1/7/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/10/4)-(3/1/7/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/10/4)-(3/1/7/10/4)-(3/1/7/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/7/10/4)-(2/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/10/4)-(2/3/1)-(3/1/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/1/6)-(5/4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/4/2/3)-(3/4/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(3/4/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(3/4/5/9/10)-(7/8/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/4/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/9/10)-(3/4/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/9/10)-(3/4/5/9/10)-(3/4/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/5/9/10)-(7/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/9/10)-(7/8/3/4)-(8/7/6/4/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4)-(7/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/4)-(8/7/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/4)-(8/7/6/4/5)-(12/10/1/9/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-7   WIN (8/7/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/4/5)-(8/7/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/4/5)-(8/7/6/4/5)-(8/7/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/6/4/5)-(12/10/1/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HAW-8   WIN (12/10/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/10/1/9/7)-(12/10/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/10/1/9/7)-(12/10/1/9/7)-(12/10/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMPHIS PRAYER Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 Jan21 Dec31 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  UNCLE NICK Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 Feb23 Jan12 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
3  FORWARD CURVE Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  PINBALLER Apr20 Apr02 Mar19 Mar09 Dec31 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  POWERFUL MAN Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 Dec10 Nov20 (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
6  SON OF GRACE May14 Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 Jan06 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 15.00    
7  GATE CREW Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 Dec02 Nov12 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
8  LOOK AWAY Mar26 Jan19 Dec30 Dec20 Nov27 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
9  BEEASY Apr25 Mar23 Mar05 Apr08 Mar11 (manley steve)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
10  COMMAND CENTRAL Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 Feb04 Jan26 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Apr27 Apr16 Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   05/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD LIKE HOLLY Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 Nov11 Oct23 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BERTRADA May07 Apr13 Mar17 Jan21 Dec11 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
3  CAIRO SUMMER May18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar26 Feb23 (witthauer k)MOJICA O 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
4  NIFF May07 Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 Mar19 (witthauer jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
5  GODSGIFT May07 Mar09 Dec31 Dec17 Oct28 (rose wayne)REYES ANGEL 122 12.00    
6  SWEET FRAULEIN May07 Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 (reavis l)FELIX E 124 1.80    
 
HAW-3   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMEHASCOME May04 Apr27 Apr02 Mar15 Feb22 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 124 1.80 17% 5.10    
2  SPEEDY G Apr30 Apr09 Mar03 Feb09 Jan19 (lopez elias)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
3  BOURBON TEDDY May04 Apr20 Feb22 Jan12 Dec10 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  TEA AFTER BALLET May18 Apr30 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
5  IRONMAN RICHIE May04 Apr20 Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
6  DEORA STORE May14 Apr30 Apr13 Mar30 Mar12 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
HAW-4   05/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEMEZ FALLS May09 Apr27 Apr09 Mar23 Mar12 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
2  BELLS OF JOY May07 Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 (reavis micha)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 14% 6.40    
3  GOTTA B KITTEN ME May07 Apr27       (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
4  FREE LOVE May04 Apr11 Dec22 Nov27 Jun03 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  STAR OF TOMORROW Apr14 Mar19 Feb24     (mason ingrid)FELIX E 116 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  HEY MA May07 Apr16 Mar16 Dec09 Oct23 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00    
7  BUMPER GIRL May07 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Dec02 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   05/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACY ATTACK Apr13 Mar17 Dec31 Dec11 Nov25 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 12.00    
2  APRIL'S GEM May07 Apr02 Mar19 Dec16 Dec03 (villa franci)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.00    
3  GET NONE Oct16 Jul17 May20 May07 Mar27 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  SHEZ RECKLESS Apr18 Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 Dec11 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
5  FIRST SQUADRON May11 Apr02 Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FROST WARRIOR May06 Apr30 Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
7  SMILE AT THE STORM May07 Mar26 Mar09 Dec31 Dec15 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
8  GO STORMIN GIRL May02 Apr06 Mar05 Dec31 Dec09 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
9  SENSE OF SELF Apr23 Nov13 Oct01 Aug29 Jun17 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  RARE ACTION ATTACK May02 Nov27 Nov11 Sep23 Jul09 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEDWAY QUEEN Apr19 Apr06 Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 (silva carlos)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 
HAW-6   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABRICATOR Apr30 Mar11 Feb15 Jan19 Dec31 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
2  BLACK RUSSIAN Apr30         (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
3  NORMANDY ANGEL May04 Apr13 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 (reyes martin)LOPEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MEDAL KING May06 Apr16 Mar26     (bahena fernan)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUST OF WIND Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 Dec31 Dec11 (perez manny)FELIX E 124 3.50    
6  ROCKET MAN ATTACK May04 Apr13 Mar23 Dec30 Dec03 (childers vance)COLON H 124 4.50    
7  MAD DRAGON         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
8  UNCAPTURED DREAM Apr29 Apr19 Mar31 Mar15 Feb26 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 119 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
HAW-7   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRY TRY AGAIN Apr23 Mar30 Mar09 Dec31 Nov20 (zawitz joel)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
2  FIRE SWORD Jan22 Dec09 Oct07 Aug14 Jun17 (berndt joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
3  LYKAN Jan06 Oct01 Jul24 Jun25 May08 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
4  TILTED TOWERS Apr20 Mar16 Feb25 Jan27 Dec30 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
5  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Apr30 Mar16 Feb22 Feb04 Jan26 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 6% 16.50    
6  MALPAIS Apr30 Mar12 Dec31 Nov26 Jun22 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  COMISKEY PARK Apr30 Apr06 Mar16 Dec30 Nov25 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
8  OMAHA RED May07 Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
9  BROKEN RIB Feb12 Jan16 Dec10 Nov23 Oct17 (amoss m)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
10  BOCA BOY Apr06 Mar04 Jan14 Dec03 Nov02 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   05/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETTIN DOWN Apr27         (rivelli larry)COLON H 118 3.50 9% 10.10    
2  REBA ATTACK May16 May02       (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 15.00    
SCR  HOLD HER HOSTAGE Apr27 Apr02 Mar12     (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
4  GO ON GIRL May04 Dec11 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 118 4.50    
5  SECRET OPERATION May14 Apr23 Mar26 Dec30   (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 118 5.00    
6  IZZY'S MONSTER Oct15 Sep15 Aug20     (rosin w)TAVARES JAVIER 118 6.00    
7  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Apr09 Dec02 Oct21 Sep30 Aug15 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  STRONGENOUGHSTORM May14 Apr27 Apr06 Mar05 Aug15 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00    
9  LORIENT         (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BLAME NELLIE Feb19 Jan30 Jan15     (roussel j)MOJICA O 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  CHROME RACER Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 Mar10 Jan22 (roussel j)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
12  BE MY BESTIE May04 Apr02 Mar12 Apr09   (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.