Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (6/2/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/3/5)-(6/2/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/3/5)-(6/2/7/3/5)-(6/2/7/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/7/3/5)-(5/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
OP-2   WIN (5/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/10)-(5/6/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/10)-(5/6/10)-(5/6/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/10)-(4/1/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/10)-(4/1/7/6)-(1/7/2/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-3   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(1/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/6)-(1/7/2/3)-(2/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/3)-(2/7/4)-(6/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/12/6)-(2/7/4/12/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(6/5/2/1)-(5/8/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-6   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(5/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1)-(5/8/11)-(9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-7   WIN (5/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/11)-(5/8/11/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/11)-(5/8/11/4)-(5/8/11/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/11)-(9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8/11)-(9/7)-(3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
OP-8   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/7)-(9/7/11)-(9/7/11) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (9/7)-(3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9/7)-(3/2)-(12/3/10/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
OP-9   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(12/3/10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-10   WIN (12/3/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/3/10/4)-(12/3/10/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/3/10/4)-(12/3/10/4/5)-(12/3/10/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA MULE Mar19 Mar02       (von don)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
1A  NELLY LARKIN Apr14 Mar10 Feb05 Sep24   (smith p)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 15.00    
2  CEE MINUS Mar26 Feb17 Jan27 Dec29 Dec03 (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  I GOT A NAME Mar25 Mar05 Feb17 Jan20   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 17.30    
4  MRS. MACOMBER Mar30 Mar10 Feb10 Sep14 Aug21 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
5  NAUGHTY MADAM Mar16 Jan20       (moquett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIZ SWEET CANDY Apr15 Mar19 Mar10 Feb12   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  ELMO'S SECRET Mar30 Mar09 Jan14 Nov11   (pish danny)ZIMMERMAN R 116 5.00 6% 14.90    
8  MISS ARKANSAS Apr12 Mar21 Mar07 Feb09 Jan14 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 4.00    
9  LEXINGTON DIAMOND Nov20 Nov02       (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 121 3.00    
 
OP-2   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GP'S AMAZING GRACE Apr10 Mar26 Mar04 Feb24 Jan16 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
2  ROYAL BONUS Apr15 Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 Sep17 (espinoza edga)FUENTES ERICK 111 30.00    
3  DORITA'S HEART Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Feb03 Jan22 (litfin nev)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50    
4  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Apr14 Mar10 Mar02 Jan29 Jan06 (hewitt michael)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00    
5  DISTORTED SECRETS Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 (cates al)HARR KELSI 124 4.00 11% 7.70    
6  EMERALD PRINCESS Apr15 Mar31 Mar24 Mar05 Feb24 (green ike)JORDAN R 124 12.00 ★    
7  BURNADEBT Mar18 Jan11 Sep12 Sep03 Aug20 (owens kory)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00    
SCR  CARELESS HEIRESS Mar31 Mar04 Jan27 Dec18 Nov05 (mcknight )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  EMPIRE PASS Mar05 Jan29 Dec09 Oct08 Sep17 (moysey chelsey )ZIMMERMAN R 124 1.00 64% 0.60    
10  KEWPIE DOLL Apr15 Mar18 Feb24 Sep02 Jun10 (jackson r)DE CRUZ 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISAWAY NOW Mar26 Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Oct09 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  LAPIS LAZULI Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Nov04 Aug25 (silva miguel)GARCIA MARTIN 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  TITLE SHOT Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 Jan01 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
4  DRIFTER Mar23 Feb26 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 (mcknight norma)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  ATRAS Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 (hewitt michae)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00    
6  WESLEYAN Apr14 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Jan21 (vance d)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MARK THE MOOSE Apr08 Mar12 Feb20 Feb10 Jan29 (litfin nev)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00 10% 9.10    
8  SAINT PIO Mar16 Jan27 Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 12.00    
9  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Apr02 Mar02 Feb03 Jan20 Dec11 (hewitt michael)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
10  BLOW TORCH Apr16 Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Jan13 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 2.00    
 
OP-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($37.5K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACEHIGH ROYAL Apr02 Mar04 Jan13 Dec09 Oct22 (shorter a)TORRES A 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  GRAPNEL Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 Jan07 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.00 10% 9.00    
3  MATTS FIRE N ICE Apr02 Feb28 Jan19 Jan05 Dec02 (richard c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  BACK BEAT Apr08 Mar02 Feb17 Jan06 Dec16 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
5  CITRUS BAY Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (tranquilino sant)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
6  ROTARY DIAL Jun29 Jun11 May07 Jan22   (lauer michael)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 30.00    
7  ST ANDREWS Apr15 Feb17 Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 126 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  AMERICAN XPERIMENT Mar19 Feb18 Feb05 Dec10 Apr08 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.60 33% 2.10    
9  STELLAR TAP Mar31 Feb11 Jan08 Nov02 Sep17 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 124 10.00    
 
OP-5   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Apr15         (loy dewaine)COURT K 121 20.00    
2  RUNNINTHESTREETS Mar18 Apr29 Mar25     (anderson dou)JORDAN R 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  THE GIRL IN RED         (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00    
4  KOKOMO STARLET Mar18 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07   (jackson richard )HARR KELSI 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZONGS IRISH FROST Apr15         (cline n)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 20.00    
6  DELTA MOON Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Jan28 Dec09 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.50 ★    
7  MAGNOLIA MAE Apr01 Mar18 Feb18 Jan08 Dec09 (vance tho)TORRES A 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
8  SHUTUP PLEASE         (dixon tim)WALES T 121 30.00    
9  CASHMERE BABY Apr15         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 8.00    
10  GRANDMA BELLE Mar16 Jan14       (martin wi)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
11  BONNIE LASS Jan07         (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 119 15.00    
12  ICONIC BONNET Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28   (gonzalez jai)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00 ★    
 
OP-6   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($60K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNTODAY Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 (richard chris)ZIMMERMAN R 117 12.00 5% 18.80    
2  MISSIN CURFEW Apr07 Mar12 Jan15 Jun26   (diodoro r)TORRES A 117 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  DIXIE FURY Apr07 Feb24 Jan29 Dec31 Nov11 (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 8.00    
4  JUILLIARD Apr02 Mar11 Feb18 Jan08 Dec10 (hobby steve)BAZE C 124 5.00    
5  DARK AFTERNOON Apr07 Mar09       (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
6  CACTUS Apr01 Feb24 Feb04     (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  BOLT ABOVE Apr07 Jan06 Oct27 Sep30 Sep01 (contreras)DE CRUZ 117 20.00    
8  COMMERCE COMET Apr14 Mar18 Jan28 Nov24   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
 
OP-7   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT OF ALCATRAZ Apr08 Mar23 Mar03 Feb19 Nov25 (shorter aaro)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
SCR  SKYLINE Mar17 Mar02 Feb20 Feb10 Jan08 (haran john)ZIMMERMAN R 119 30.00    
SCR  KISS PRINCIPAL Mar25 Feb26 Jan08 Nov06 Oct12 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 6.00    
4  MYSTIFIER Mar17 Feb26 Feb17 Jan08 Nov12 (rosin w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 ★    
5  SEASIDE BOY Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 Oct25 Oct06 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Mar13 Feb19 Jan06 Dec11 Nov22 (mason ingrid)WALES T 126 20.00    
7  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Mar04 Jan22 Jan06 Dec09 Jul26 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50    
8  COLE SPUR Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 (mott riley)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  RISKY SITUATION Mar30 Mar03 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 (cline n)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 30.00    
10  POINT BLANK Apr16 Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Jan01 (fires h)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
11  ROUNDER Mar09 Feb17 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
12  BACKGATE RED Apr16 Apr02 Jan08 Sep06 Jul26 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 15.00    
SCR  LIARS CLUB Mar25 Mar09 Feb26 Jan29 Dec09 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 119 8.00 20% 4.10    
 
OP-8   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($104K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S DUET Apr07 Mar04 Feb17 Jan28 Dec18 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  BIG BAD DIVA Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 Dec22 Nov16 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 6.00 ★    
3  LADY COMMANDER Mar30 Mar04 Feb17 Jan22 Dec30 (fires h)COURT K 124 10.00    
SCR  SIMONA'S CHOICE Mar31 Mar05 Jan27 Jan15 Dec18 (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 115 30.00    
5  MARINA'S GOLD Feb12 Dec22 Dec03 Oct24 Sep30 (richard chris)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
6  MEDLEY Mar26 Mar15 Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
7  SQUILLIONS Feb17 Jan28 Dec07 Nov11 Oct22 (broberg karl)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 6% 15.40    
8  I FEEL THE NEED Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Feb17 Jan28 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 118 12.00    
9  JUBELLA Apr07 Feb12 Dec09 Nov02 Jun01 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 121 1.60 56% 0.80    
10  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Mar17 Feb26 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
11  JUDY'S WAY Mar11 Jan16 Dec22 Nov12 Oct09 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 ★    
 
OP-9   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL AUTHORITY Mar09 Jan15 Jul02 May21 Apr16 (compton greg)COURT K 123 4.50 ★    
2  GO WEST Apr01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 May08 (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.60 24% 3.20    
3  DOCTOR OSCAR Mar17 Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Oct29 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 1.40 53% 0.90    
4  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 Feb18 Feb05 (fires william)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
5  RUGGS Apr01 Mar17 Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 (moquett r)TORRES A 121 8.00    
6  DEFLATER Mar24 Jan15 Dec11 Sep17 Aug20 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
 
OP-10   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE QUEENS Apr01 Mar19 Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 (souza felipe)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
2  BLOW SUM SMOKE Mar19 Feb20 Jan27 Dec11 Nov14 (altamirano el)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
3  HISSY MISSY Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 (hewitt michael)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  MY DAMS ATITUDE Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 Feb03 Dec30 (westerman)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAPIT RIGHT Mar19 Mar03 Feb20 Dec17 May06 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.00 ★    
6  LADY ASTRID Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Feb03 Jan01 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 4.00    
7  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Mar26 Mar03 Jan27 Jan06 Sep19 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 121 15.00    
8  TWENTYTWENTYREDO Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Dec17 Nov19 (pish danny)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00    
9  MARY ALICE Mar18 Sep20 Aug14 Jul05 Jun19 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 30.00    
10  TAILORBESWIFT Mar03 Jan06 Dec17 Sep25 Sep08 (broberg ka)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 6% 15.70    
11  WARM BEAUTY Mar24 Feb24 Jun11 Apr29 Mar31 (roberts w)BOREL H 121 30.00    
12  TIGER BAIT Mar03 Jul03 Jun11 May19 Apr29 (rosin cot)TORRES A 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  LITTLE ROCKER Apr14 Mar18 Feb12 Jan29 Dec30 (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.