Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/6)-(2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/6)-(2/8)-(5/3/2/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(5/3/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(5/3/2/4)-(1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/4)-(1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/4)-(1/8)-(4/10/8/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/9/10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/9/10/3)-(1/8/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8)-(4/10/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(4/10/8/7)-(6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/10/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/7)-(4/10/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/7)-(4/10/8/7/3)-(4/10/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/8/7)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/10/8/7)-(6/3)-(3/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/8/4)-(6/3/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/6/1)-(2/7/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/7/1/3)-(3/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3)-(3/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/10)-(3/2/10/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/10)-(3/2/10/8)-(3/2/10/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET FACTOR Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 10.00    
2  LINDA'S TAJ Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Jan13 Dec14 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
3  HERECOMESPUDD Jan14 Nov18       (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
4  VICTORIAN RIVIERA Apr06 Mar29 Jan29 Jan22 Dec02 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 124 1.40 27% 2.70    
5  CATAFFAIRWITHMEDAL Mar30         (lane l)CECIL Y 124 30.00    
6  WICKED SAUCY Apr15 Mar08 Feb17 Feb01 Dec22 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 8.00 6% 14.70    
7  SUPER SWEETIE Apr06 Mar16 Mar01     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.80 34% 2.00    
8  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Apr15 Apr06 Mar25     (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
 
CT-2   04/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERTRAM FLIGHT Mar30 Feb15 Dec01 Nov12 Oct15 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★    
2  CHASENJOHNATHAN Apr06 Mar16       (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 118 1.60 63% 0.60    
3  JUST A FLIRT Apr14 Mar24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (hillegass alex)HIRALDO JOHN 116 12.00 ★    
4  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan04 (hess ja)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 20.00    
5  PINNACLE REEF Feb16 Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 Oct08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00    
6  COLT ROCK Apr14 Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 Nov05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 3.00    
7  DE'S CASTLE Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Dec14 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 116 10.00    
8  OFFICER STONE Apr06 Mar16 Jan28     (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 7% 14.20    
 
CT-3   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SEE NOTHING         (perry e)ACOSTA D 116 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUCHO BLESSINGS by MACHO UNO)
2  LIEUTENANT BROWN Apr06 Mar16       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 5% 17.50    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
3  REVEREND JACK Apr08 Sep24       (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 8% 12.30    
  (by BLOFELD out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
4  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 Feb17 Jan05 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of FAITHWILLBREWARDED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  ZIGGY STARDUST Apr08 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 1.80 60% 0.70    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
6  LUCKY ONE         (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of JORDANS ROAD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  SENZA STRIKE         (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 116 15.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of TEMILY by TENPINS)
8  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 116 8.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of GEORGIA MOON by MAKIN)
 
CT-4   04/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY QUINN Apr06 Feb22 Jan26 Dec18 Nov04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
2  R LOVE ON THE RUN Apr07 Feb17 Sep30 Aug21 Aug06 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00    
3  BET THE QUEEN Apr07 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 ★    
4  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 Feb17 Jan03 (penaloza m)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
5  LAMBEAU LADY Oct12 Sep10 Jul30 Jun22 May07 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 120 3.50    
6  RED PRIESTESS Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Dec17 (perez ernesto)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00    
SCR  BALLYMENA (GB) Mar16 Feb15 Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
8  HELLUVA LADY Feb16 Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 Oct07 (laguna homero)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00 32% 2.10    
9  MI YAYIS Apr07 Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 ★    
10  UNLOCK Mar30 Mar01 Feb11 Jan28 Jan05 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 ★    
 
CT-5   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDIN Mar31 Feb17 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 (harrison glenn)ARAUJO DENIS 122 50.00    
2  COLONIAL ROAD Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
3  JUBAY Mar31 Mar24 Mar11 Feb15 Jan06 (petty kris)RIVERA R 111 4.50 ★    
4  MONKEY WRENCH Apr13 Mar11 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  CURB THAT TIGER Mar31 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Jan06 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 3.00    
6  TOTHETRAINSTATION Apr08 Mar30 Mar18     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 30.00    
7  CRISTIANO BOY Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  FRANK THE BULL Mar31 Mar10       (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
9  BAND TOUR Apr13 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 30.00    
10  UNCLE PRESS Apr13         (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
CT-6   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLEMENT DATE Mar31 Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
2  SPOTTED BULL Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 Feb20 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
3  DAY THE MUSIC DIED May15 May07 Apr01     (cash l)CULLUM W 120 5.00 10% 8.90    
4  CAPE LOOKOUT Mar10 Nov02 Oct22 Sep27 Aug27 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 ★    
5  BAAGY Apr01 Mar16 Feb08 Dec13 Nov18 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
6  ODIE Mar13 Feb08 Jan10 Dec07 Nov07 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
8  SHAMELESS RISK Nov03 Oct13 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 ★    
9  QUALIFLY Mar31 Mar10 Nov15 Oct24 Sep27 (sanderson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
10  COWBOY AT HEART Mar31 Mar10 Feb09 Feb02 Nov24 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  HIERRO Mar01 Dec30 Dec07 Nov11 Oct15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  TRINGALE Mar11 Jan26 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   04/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN G Apr06 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan13 (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 8.00 6% 15.80    
2  BAR ON THE BEACH Mar08 Feb23 Jan16 Nov29 Oct26 (flores-coba feli)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
3  LANTAU Jul15 Jul03 Jun11 May20 Apr21 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
4  KHAKI JACK Mar15 Feb17 Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 120 2.50 ★    
5  ROCKET APPEAL Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 Jan26 Jan12 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 5.00    
6  FIBER STRONG Apr07 Mar17 Jan12 Oct15 Sep24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
7  REMYS SHOWTIME Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 Feb02 Dec16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
8  BODYSLAM Apr08 Mar23 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAZEDNCONFUSED Mar18 Feb15 Jan04 Nov23 Oct12 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 5.00 7% 12.80    
2  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Mar31 Feb24 Feb09 Jan11 Nov30 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  BLUE N GOLD Nov05 Oct05 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 18.60    
4  ACASHA'S INTUITION Mar31 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov24 (bass w)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
5  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 Feb02 Jan07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
6  JAXJAXXORJACKS Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
7  LOGSTRADAMUS Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 Nov17 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
8  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Dec04 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
9  WELL EQUIPPED Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Nov16 (brown ronn)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
10  BUDDY BUDDY Mar31 Feb24 Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
SCR  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Apr14 Mar31 Dec01 Nov12 Oct06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUBA BOUND Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00    
SCR  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Mar31 Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (sigler ron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 10.00    
 
CT-9   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALLY THERE Mar18 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 Jan07 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 20.00    
2  HEARTNESS Apr07 Mar11 Dec28 Nov24 Oct19 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BERNIE'S ON FIRE Mar25 Mar05 Nov11 Sep25 Sep10 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  ONE MORE FACTOR Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb12 Jan25 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
SCR  PROTA Apr14 Mar10 Feb18 Jan18 Dec14 (sanderson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50 35% 1.80    
6  REY O REYES Apr13 Apr01 Feb25 Feb15 Feb02 (adorno l)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
7  MAKE WAY Mar17 Feb23 Jan27 Dec01 Nov10 (barber dona)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
8  ELVIRUS Apr07 Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
9  JAMMIN STILL Apr07 Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
10  TWEET THIS Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Apr14 Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
SCR  WE B SHACKIN Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Nov17   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
SCR  SPRING THE BEAST Apr06 Mar17 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
SCR  MR. MOX Mar23 Mar05 Nov27 Oct08 Sep05 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.