Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
OP-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(3/6/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3/6/1)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
OP-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/4/9)-(3/6/1/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/7/3/2)-(8/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2)-(8/3/7)-(5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-5   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/7/5/1)-(8/3/7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/7)-(5/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7)-(5/2/9)-(6/7/8/4/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-6   WIN (5/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/9)-(5/2/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9)-(5/2/9/6/7)-(5/2/9/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/9)-(6/7/8/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9)-(6/7/8/4/9)-(6/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/7/8/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/4/9)-(6/7/8/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/4/9)-(6/7/8/4/9)-(6/7/8/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/4/9)-(6/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/4/9)-(6/3)-(1/10/5/11/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
OP-8   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/10/5/11/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
OP-9   WIN (1/10/5/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/5/11/2)-(1/10/5/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/5/11/2)-(1/10/5/11/2)-(1/10/5/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REUP Mar11 Feb26 Dec18     (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 12.00    
2  MO CHOCTAW Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 Feb26 Jan15 (chleborad lynn)TORRES HUGO 114 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  BRASKA Mar19 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Jan01 (cline n)BOREL H 119 20.00    
4  WESTOVER Feb24 Jan15       (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  TOPF ROAD RULES Mar23 Feb26 Jan20 May07 Apr22 (prather h)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  STREET COMMANDER Mar11 Feb26 Jan13 Dec16 Oct20 (cates al)TORRES A 119 3.50 ★    
7  BACKGATE RED Jan08 Sep06 Jul26 Jul03 Jun20 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00    
8  AL'S ROMEO Mar24         (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 117 6.00    
 
OP-2   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($27.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL AIR FORCE Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Sep25 Aug14 (puhich mike)BAZE C 125 15.00    
2  BEN DREAMING Mar25 Mar04 Aug28 Aug12   (divito ja)TORRES A 120 5.00 ★    
3  KID SHELLEEN Feb19 Dec09 Nov30     (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  CHROME RUN Mar12 Jan13 Dec16 Oct20 Sep26 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 8.00 ★    
5  WELLWRIT Mar09 Feb18       (loy dewaine)CABRERA DAVID 117 20.00    
6  HARD TO COME BY Mar04 Feb12 Jan22 Dec31 Nov26 (von hemel )ERAMIA E 120 10.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP DOC Jul16 Jun17       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 0.80 44% 1.30    
 
OP-3   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CINDY Oct02 Aug28 Aug14     (murphy swan)NOLL S 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
2  FREE WILL Mar02 Jan27 Nov26     (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 30.00    
3  SHE'S A ROCKET Mar11         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  VALIANT PRAISE Mar05 Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 Nov16 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 122 3.00 ★    
5  INSENSITIVE Feb10 Jan21       (anderson dou)JORDAN R 122 20.00    
6  SWEET NELLIE Mar19         (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
7  I'M SO FUNNY Mar05 Feb11       (jones larry)HARR KELSI 122 3.50    
8  STAY FABULOUS Mar02 Feb12 Jan20 Nov04 Oct08 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00    
9  I'M BETH DUTTON Mar10 Feb10 Jun25     (puhich mike)BAZE C 122 20.00 ★    
 
OP-4   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSTRIKER Feb26 Feb04 Jan07 Nov24 Jul24 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  RUM 'N TONIC Mar25 Feb17 Jan14 Dec17 Nov09 (altamiran)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
3  GRAPNEL Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 Jan07 Nov11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  GEAUX YOSHKA Jan22 Dec10 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
5  ACEHIGH ROYAL Mar04 Jan13 Dec09 Oct22 Sep30 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 ★    
6  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Mar02 Feb03 Jan20 Dec11 Nov19 (hewitt micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
7  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Feb18 Feb04 Jan07 Nov26 Oct28 (broberg k)TORRES A 121 1.80 19% 4.20    
8  TITLE SHOT Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 Jan01 Nov10 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
SCR  ATRAS Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Dec10 Nov25 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
 
OP-5   04/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLOAD Feb18         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNTAPPED by MALABAR GOLD)
2  JUILLIARD Mar11 Feb18 Jan08 Dec10   (hobby steve)BAZE C 122 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
3  SOUTHERN SUNSET Mar11 Feb12       (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ARI THE ADVENTURER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  MAD HUSTLE         (mcpeek kenneth )VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLACK CORONAS by CURLIN)
5  CITIZEN Jan14 Dec16       (moquett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of DISTRACTING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  TEXAS PRIDE Jan28 Dec16 Sep17 Sep01   (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of GIFTING by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  SIMOVIC Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Aug13   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of COUGARSTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  NYQUICK Mar11         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of OLIVIA'S GREATDANE by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  GATLINBURG Mar04         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MY SUGAR BEAR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
OP-6   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAMUTANAATTY Mar12 Mar04 Jul30 Jul10 Mar19 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.50    
2  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Mar19 Feb18 Feb05 Dec11 Oct02 (fires h)COURT K 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  OUT RUN'M Mar12 Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec03 (espinoza edga)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
4  TEXAS RED HOT Mar12 Feb05 Nov27 Nov12 Sep21 (morse l)BOREL H 122 8.00    
5  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Mar17 Feb25 Feb05 Jan08 Dec10 (jones larry)HARR KELSI 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
6  LUCKY BOSS Mar10 Nov24 Oct28 Oct08 Sep05 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 ★    
7  PENETRATOR Feb17 Jan27 Dec17 Nov02 Sep23 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 20.00 ★    
8  BANJO BEAR Feb18 Jan28 Dec17 Dec01 Nov12 (hartman chris)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
9  MATTS FIRE N ICE Feb28 Jan19 Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 (richard c)TORRES A 122 15.00 10% 9.10    
 
OP-7   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGOO Mar03 Jan28 Oct28 Oct20 Aug14 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00    
2  CHARTER OAK Mar19 Mar03 Feb04 Jun04 Feb11 (vance dav)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
3  PATS PROPERTY Jun30 Jun11 May08 Apr16 Mar19 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
4  CONSPIRACY FACT Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 Dec16 Nov25 (compton greg)JUAREZ NIK 125 4.50 8% 11.80    
5  MAJOR GENERAL Mar04 Feb18 Jan22 Dec11 Sep30 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 122 12.00    
6  WINTERWOOD Jan29 Jan08 Dec17 Nov02 Sep17 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 33% 2.10    
7  SAQEEL Mar19 Feb25 Feb10 Nov18 Oct05 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 4.00 13% 6.40    
8  ANTIGRAVITY Mar04 Jan27 Jan08 Nov02 Sep10 (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00 12% 7.70    
9  TRAFALGAR Feb11 Jun12 May07 Feb19 Jan22 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
OP-8   04/02/2023 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Temperence Hill Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC NIGHT Mar18 Feb25 Jan21 Nov11 Aug04 (mott riley)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
2  FULL CHARGE Mar04 Jan29 Dec11 Nov24 Nov02 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of FUNNY VALENTINE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  STRONG TIDE Jun10 May21 Apr03 Feb25 Jan30 (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 117 3.00 10% 8.70    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
4  WARRANT Mar04 Jan26 Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 2.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  CALIBRATE Mar13 Jan29 Jan07 Nov20 Oct28 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GLAMOUR AND STYLE by DYNAFORMER)
6  LONE ROCK Jul28 Jun11 May03 Apr03 Feb12 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 117 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
 
OP-9   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADMARTIGAN Mar05 Feb17       (witt erni)TORRES A 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  WICKED PRINCE Mar05 Feb25 Jan15 Dec10   (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMPYREAL SHADOW Mar11 Feb17 Dec31     (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
4  FOUR DICE Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 Jan15   (soto fermin)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00    
5  SIR PEEL Mar05 Dec16 Sep09 Aug03 Jul08 (moquett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 8.00 9% 10.10    
6  JIM NED Mar10 Dec10 Jul03 May20   (pish danny)BAZE C 120 8.00    
7  SEEKING CHROME Mar10 Dec11       (pish danny)ERAMIA E 120 30.00    
8  STORM STRATEGY Mar10 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.50    
SCR  READY SHOES Mar05 Feb17 Jan13 Dec31   (wilson m)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
10  CYBERTOWN Mar03 Feb03 Jan01 Apr30 Apr16 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
11  NATORADE Mar09 Feb20       (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  WILLIE WIN Mar05         (fires h)COURT K 125 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.