Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-1   WIN (4/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/1)-(1/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/1)-(1/7/6/8)-(3/2/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-2   WIN (1/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8/5)-(1/7/6/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/8)-(3/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/8)-(3/2/4/7)-(6/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/7)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/7)-(6/3)-(8/1/6/4/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/9/8)-(6/3/9/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(8/1/6/4/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(8/1/6/4/3)-(1/5/8/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/1/6/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/4/3)-(8/1/6/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/4/3)-(8/1/6/4/3)-(8/1/6/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/6/4/3)-(1/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/4/3)-(1/5/8/6)-(5/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/6)-(5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/6)-(5/1/8)-(8/4/5/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/4/6)-(5/1/8/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/8)-(8/4/5/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8)-(8/4/5/9/10)-(7/4/2/6/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-8   WIN (8/4/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/9/10)-(8/4/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/9/10)-(8/4/5/9/10)-(8/4/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/5/9/10)-(7/4/2/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-9   WIN (7/4/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATO'S LADY Feb26 Feb04 Jan13 Nov19 Oct22 (w)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 10% 8.60    
SUFFRAGETTE Mar17 Mar10 Feb20 Jan29 Jan22 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
FREEZER BURN Feb12 Jan21 Nov27 Nov09 Oct14 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
PALM COURT Feb25 Feb04 Dec11 Nov25 Oct30 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
NORA'S LEGACY Mar17 Feb19 Sep15 Aug28 Jul31 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Mar05 Feb04 Jan13 Sep19 Aug30 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 10.00    
VEILAZIG Mar10 Feb04 Jan16 Dec07 Nov12 (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
HIGH VALUE TARGET Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 Dec07 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
HOU-2   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 35 M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BEAN MACHINE Mar03 Jan16       (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
SIGNE Feb26 Feb12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (swift a)BENAVIDES D 123 10.00    
MIZZ ALL AMERICAN Mar03 Feb16 Jan20     (garza e)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
BREEZY BELLE Mar03 Jul17       (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 115 4.50    
WISTFULLY Mar03 Feb22 Feb01 Aug20   (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
MAGICALSTORM Mar11 Feb11       (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 115 6.00 13% 6.80    
IRISH WRIT Mar10 Feb05       (asmus)MANRRIQUE JOSE 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
WHIRLING IT UP         (k)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 8% 11.40    
SHEZA CAT Mar16 Feb10 Jan22 Dec30   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
 
HOU-3   04/01/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGN OF WAR Mar05 Jan21 Nov26 Oct14 Jul16 (g)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
SATURDAY'S GOLD Mar12 Jan22 Aug17 Jun21 May14 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
TOUGH CHARLIE Feb15 Jul17 Jun09 May13 Feb10 (thomas lee)WETHEY JR 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
LET'S GO ALAMO Jan22 Oct14 Sep21 Jun17 Jun04 (willis )GONCALVES R 119 3.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  PICKNNGRINN Mar11 Feb25 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
LOOKIN FOR LOKI Feb26 Jan14 Dec03 Nov14 Jun02 (loy dewaine)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
STAYED IN FOR HALF Nov14 Oct14 Sep22 Aug27 Jul16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY BABYS GONE Mar12 Feb20 Jan21 Nov12 Oct20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 20.00    
SCR  SILVER WINGS Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec16 Nov21 (jacks e)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00    
 
HOU-4   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWITTER TRAFFIC Mar04 Jan27       (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ALL A TWITTER by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  GOLD MEMORIES Mar24 Jan06 Oct05 Sep14 Jul10 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
BUD GIRL Mar19 Mar04 Feb11     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 9% 9.70    
  (by ALTERNATION out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
JULIE'S PASSION Mar10 Feb26 Feb11 Jan15 Jul21 (scholl kevi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
SCR  MYRTLE BEACH         (hurley ren)SANCHEZ M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STROLLIN SOUTH by STROLL)
MISSINGYOUCRAZY Feb18 Jan27       (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 122 1.50 65% 0.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of WON PESO by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  BLINGONMERCURY Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan07 Jul21 (k)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
GUITAR GROUPIE Sep09 Jul23 Jun26 Jun05   (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GUILIETTA DA VINCI by LEMON DROP KID)
FLAT OUT FREDA Mar24 Mar10 Feb26 Nov10 Oct26 (love alan)DIEGO V 122 3.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
 
HOU-5   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL MALICE Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Dec11 Nov18 (g)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
AISHA R N Feb18 Jan15 Dec09 Nov12   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 111 15.00    
CADEAU DE PAIX Feb25 Feb11 Jan20 Oct14 Sep24 (asmusse)GONCALVES R 119 10.00 6% 16.90    
RING ME DARLING Dec09 Nov27 Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 3.50 12% 7.30    
BABY BLUE EYES Feb25 Feb11 Jan20 Dec15 Dec04 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50    
DELIGHTOF THE NILE Feb19 Nov24 Oct01     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
LOVEY DOVEY Feb11 Jan20 Jan08 Dec01 Jul24 (rossi j)DIEGO V 119 10.00    
FEELING HAPPY Feb03 Jan20 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan16 (govea cesar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 20.00    
 
HOU-6   04/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GASTOWN Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 Oct13 Sep24 (g)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
PLATINUM QUEEN Feb25 Sep27 Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
MALIBU MIDNIGHT Mar17 Feb12 Jan13 Oct22 Sep30 (dupuy all)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 12.00    
FROSTY FLIRT Mar05 Feb04 Jan16 Jan07 Dec07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
RED HOT MOON Mar05 Feb12 Jan06 Nov15 Sep30 (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
AFFICIONADO (FR) Mar05 Feb11 Aug21 Aug14 Jun14 (montano wilfri)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 7% 12.70    
LIL ASHLEY B. Mar17 Feb12 Jan07 Sep19 Aug01 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
STREET TAPPER Mar05 Jan06 Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 (calhoun)GONCALVES R 123 3.50 9% 10.00    
MRS. KRINKLES Mar05 Feb18 Feb03 Jan08 Dec15 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
SCR  SUPER LEGS Mar17 Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov11 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
HOU-7   04/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALADO Mar12 Feb10 Jan22 Jan14 Nov05 (triana alfr)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
MEN OF KYLE Sep15 Aug26 Jul17 Jul02 Jun19 (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00    
YANKEE INDIAN Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 Dec15 (ashford ray)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
FLIP THE COIN JAN Mar18 Mar04 Jul23 Jun26 May22 (c)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
SKYWAVE Feb19 Jan22 Aug27 Jul21 Jul08 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
CARBON STRYKER Feb21 Jan20 Jan06 Dec15 Nov18 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
PINKY RING BLING Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 Dec03 Feb19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50    
LITTLE AVENGER Mar18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul02 (camacho jose)VERA T 123 30.00 15% 5.80    
CAYMANS COBRA Mar19 Jan22 Jan08 Nov14 Nov03 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
 
HOU-8   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC RUN Feb05 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 (montano w)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00    
RANDELLO Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 5.00    
PAST VISIONS Mar05 Feb19 Jan22 Nov14 Jun21 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 10.00    
NAUTICAL MOON Mar03 Feb10 Jan08 Dec16 Dec03 (bravo francisco)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
BUXTERHOOTER Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Aug14 Jul27 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 119 12.00 12% 7.40    
G'S TURN Mar10 Feb10 Sep25 Sep13 Aug20 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 119 8.00    
PALATIAL TIMES Mar22 Jan28 Jan19 Dec29 Nov17 (g)DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
BRICKBAT Mar11 Feb10 Jan08 Dec13 Nov15 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
DEANOS CAPE Mar10 Feb26 Feb10 Jan08 Dec15 (tule)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 8% 11.00    
10  VIM AND VIGOR Mar24 Mar04 Jan28 Dec29 Dec04 (cravens)GONCALVES R 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-9   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSHED COURT ROOM Mar18 Feb20 Feb12 Nov07 Oct22 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 12.00    
TEMPLAR RED Mar03 Feb03 Dec10 Oct22 Sep24 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
GET SERIOUS Feb20 Jan13 Oct19 Apr24 Mar12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 5.00    
FADED MEMORIES Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 Jan07 Nov04 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
PAINTBRUSH Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 May06 Apr10 (garza joaqu)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LADY GOT MOVES Feb11 Jul10 May19 Apr28 Mar26 (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00 6% 15.50    
HONOR GIVEN Mar05 Feb18 Jan27 May28 May07 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
HOURGLASS FIGURE Mar12 Feb11 Jan14 Oct27 Oct06 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
GLITTERARY Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 May21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00    
10  MORO LINGERIE Feb26 Jan27 Nov19 Oct26 Oct13 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.