Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/2/4)-(2/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/6/4/3)-(5/2/6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/7/4)-(5/1/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(5/1/8)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/7)-(5/1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/8)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8)-(3/1)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/4/2/7)-(2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7/8)-(5/4/2/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/2/7)-(2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/7)-(2/9)-(1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9)-(2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/9)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/9)-(1/2)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/4/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/4/5/8)-(7/3/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED DREAMS Jan01 Dec22       (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
2  ANNA'S IMAGE Jan20 Dec28 Dec03 Oct21 Sep18 (richards ren)ARROYO S 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
3  THE MONEY MACHINE Dec28 Dec14 Oct14 Sep23   (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
4  MOVE TO ORDER Dec16 Nov30 Oct09 Sep18 Aug21 (barbazoniii l)MARTIN MATTIE 113 20.00    
5  BANK BUSTER Dec11 Nov27 Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00    
6  SUNSHINE GIRL Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 Oct06 Sep10 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00 ★    
7  SORTARIA Jan13 Jan01 Dec15     (minguet ra)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  DA JOURNEYGIRL Jan20 Jan01 Oct09 Jul17 Jun24 (minguet ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
 
TAM-2   01/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ENOUGH Jan15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21   (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
2  TAP FIRST May04 Apr16 Jan07 Jan01   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  CARRONADE Jan20 Dec16 Sep27 Aug17 Jan08 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 6.00 ★    
4  BLANK'S HAT TRICK Dec21 Sep18 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (alvara)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 7% 14.10    
5  DRAMA'S PRAYER Nov23 Oct06       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  CHARGING AERO Jan01 Jul17 May22 Apr22 Mar05 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 2.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   01/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET IT         (poole a)FELICIANO R 122 15.00    
2  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Dec28 Dec10 Sep24 Aug12 Aug03 (klesaris)GALLARDO A 122 1.50 41% 1.40    
3  SILVER SPRINTER Jan04 Dec10 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 ★    
4  I'LL GO ALL IN Jan04 Dec10 Sep28 Jul17 Jun26 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GALLEY HEAD Jan15 Sep03 Aug12 Jul20 May04 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
SCR  PLANE JANE Jan15 Dec21 Oct21     (bennett s)FERRER C 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
7  SINGALONG KAYLA Jun25 May29 Apr02     (king clarence)FUENTES MARIO 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  LIVELY REMARK Jan15 Dec28 Dec09 Sep07 Aug24 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00    
 
TAM-4   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMA DILLON Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 Oct25 Oct17 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  THOUSAND LOVES Jan15 Dec21 Aug06 Jul17 Jul01 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00    
3  AIDINGANDABETTING Jan08 Dec31 Dec10 Nov23   (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
SCR  GILLIGAN Jan08 Dec09 Nov12 Jun24 Jun12 (zerpa gilbert)SOSA LAUREANO 111 3.50 13% 6.90    
5  SPEED WAY Oct19 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 4.00 48% 1.10    
6  COMPASS CAY Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct05 Sep24 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 4.50    
7  I'LL FINISH Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Oct22 Sep10 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 2.50 ★    
8  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jan20 Jan07 Dec14 Oct10 Sep18 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00 6% 14.50    
 
TAM-5   01/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEDIATION (IRE) Dec30 Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 Sep18 (sweezey )GALLARDO A 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  ELSA'S ROCKET Jan04 Dec17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00 ★    
3  LOVE FOREVERAFTER Jan06         (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jan18 Oct24 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 8.00 ★    
5  SAWEETIE GIRL Jan11 Dec03 Oct28     (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 115 12.00    
6  SUPER CARO Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 Sep17 Sep02 (dini mike)ALLEN D 120 1.60    
7  X Y LADY Dec30 Oct06 Sep05 Aug16 Jun22 (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   01/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHIN N KISSIN         (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
2  PARTY DREAM Jan01         (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
3  TRAIN WRECK         (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 15.00    
4  R TOOTSIE GLITTER Jan07         (bennett s)FERRER C 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  LANCE'S SMILE Dec28         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  JUST MERCY         (preudhomme )MARIN A 120 20.00    
7  STORMIN' AMANDA Jan18 Dec22       (lorito mario)ARROYO S 120 6.00 6% 15.20    
8  CLASSIC DREAMER Dec28         (romero rafae)BATISTA A 120 5.00 ★    
9  ARAUCARIA         (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
 
TAM-7   01/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEREBY Jan11 Dec11 Dec03 Jul14 May15 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 ★    
2  GET EVEN Jan21 Jan08 Dec24 Nov04   (smith r)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
3  URBAN BEACH Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 Sep10 Aug14 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 15.00    
4  WICKED MOMENT Jan11 Nov30 May06 Apr01 Feb27 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 12.00    
5  STREET GLIDE Jan11 Dec14 Nov30 May14 Apr24 (manning j)BRACHO A 122 3.00 ★    
6  SING ME AN ALIBI Jul31         (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
7  LANCELOT LYNK Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 Oct30 Sep18 (sims n)REEVES F 122 30.00    
8  LORD OF THE NILE Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 Jun25 May04 (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 10.00    
9  DIAL HIM UP Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Nov26 Oct29 (posadas pedr)ARROYO S 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
10  TIMMINS Jan11 Dec16 Oct10 Sep13 Aug19 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  SIDNEY'S BID Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Oct07 Sep10 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 12.00    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD Dec23 Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  SUNSPOT Oct22 Sep18 Jun30 May14 Apr30 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
SCR  CAJUN CRACKER Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct01 Aug20 (king b)BUSH V 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFESSOR Jan11 Dec10 Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 (poole a)CENTENO E 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  HAPPY CAJUN Jan07 Dec16 Jun09 Apr01   (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  GOT EM THINKING Jan11 Dec28       (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
4  SAN COSTANTINO Jan06 Dec09 Nov23 Oct20 Oct11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 ★    
5  MORGAN POINT Dec10 Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 (vinson john )BATISTA A 118 3.00    
6  BLAKENSTEIN Jan07 Dec22 Dec09 Oct18 Oct03 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  STRAIGHT SHOT Jan20 Jun23 Jun07 May08 Apr10 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ABISKO Nov27         (halden r)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC BET Jan11 Dec21 Nov23 Oct23 Sep23 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Jan07 Dec21 Oct27 Oct09 Sep11 (davis richard)ALICEA JEREMY 112 12.00    
3  BIG RED ROCKS Dec10 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
4  SIMMS Jan13 Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 Oct12 (lopez ro)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 8.00 ★    
5  PUTMAN Nov26 Oct07 Jul30 Jun17 May27 (vazquez edu)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 ★    
6  CROWLEY'S WAR Dec21 Oct20 Oct04 Sep21 Sep07 (wismer glenn )MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
7  VETERANS BEACH Jan11 Nov30 Oct22 Oct13 Aug18 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
8  SKIPPERINI Jan11 Dec09 Aug07 Jul09 Jun02 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 119 8.00 ★    
9  EIGHT WEEKS LONG Aug24 Aug08 May18 Apr10 Mar16 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
10  FREELANCE Jan15 Dec09 Nov25 Aug31 Aug24 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE DAVID Dec14 Nov30 Oct21 Sep17 Sep02 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00    
SCR  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Dec09 Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 Jul08 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  HEY BOSS Nov27 Oct27 Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
SCR  TRIZMO Dec28 Nov09 Oct25 Oct02 Sep04 (county patri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.