Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5/2)-(6/3/1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(7/4/3/2)-(3/6/4/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2/6)-(7/4/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(3/6/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(3/6/4/8/1)-(7/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/6/4/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/8/1)-(3/6/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/8/1)-(3/6/4/8/1)-(3/6/4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/4/8/1)-(7/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/8/1)-(7/3/4)-(3/6/1/7/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/5/4/2)-(7/3/5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(3/6/1/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(3/6/1/7/2)-(1/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/6/1/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7/2)-(3/6/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7/2)-(3/6/1/7/2)-(3/6/1/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/1/7/2)-(1/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7/2)-(1/5/4)-(2/3/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/8/4/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(2/8/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(2/8/4/7/6)-(9/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/8/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/7/6)-(2/8/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/7/6)-(2/8/4/7/6)-(2/8/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/4/7/6)-(9/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/2/8/3)-(9/4/2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY HOME Jan14 Dec31 May14 Apr15 Mar20 (delgado jose )JIMENEZ MANNY 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  ESPECIALLEA Jan06 Dec30 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 116 6.00 ★    
3  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Jan06 Dec30 Oct26 Sep27 Aug29 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  HONDO GUSTO         (roque elis)ALICEA JEREMY 116 20.00    
5  CATCHING FISH Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 Oct29 Sep24 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 9% 10.20    
6  ONE EYED JACK Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Sep25 Aug14 (davis scooter)FERRER C 123 1.50 30% 2.40    
7  PHARAOH FANCY PANT May07 Apr08 Mar16 Mar04 Feb09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 15.00    
 
TAM-2   01/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUDERDALE Dec21 Dec02 Oct16 Sep28 Sep14 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
2  CHAOS KID Dec10 Sep28 Sep13 Aug22 Aug03 (guciardo kath)IORIO MELISSA 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LORD BARNA Jan04 Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 Jun08 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
4  TAPSOLUTE Jan06 Dec09 Oct22 Sep28 Sep03 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  HERE COMES BULLET Dec30 Oct15 Aug14 Jul23 May15 (hess b)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80    
6  STUNNING BABY Dec10 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 120 12.00 ★    
7  CHUCKY Jan04 Dec14 Sep30 Aug27 Aug14 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
TAM-3   01/25/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY COVE Dec24 Aug28 Aug21 Jul30 Jun15 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 5% 18.80    
2  I AM THAT I AM Jan04 Dec17 Nov02 Oct19 Sep14 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 10.00    
3  HARD LIGHTING Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 Sep30 Aug27 (posadas p)CAMACHO JR 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan11 Dec17 Oct08 Sep24 Jul23 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  GREYZER Jan14 Dec24 Oct28 Oct12 Sep01 (klesaris st)MARIN A 119 6.00    
6  SOMETHING NATURAL Dec24 Nov16 Oct27 Sep29 Sep13 (cahill steven )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  ARIES REIGNS Jan13 Dec28 Dec14 Nov25 Nov06 (rarick lynn)CENTENO E 119 15.00    
8  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE Jan11 Dec09 Oct25 Oct04 Sep05 (machado anton)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
TAM-4   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOAM Dec09 Nov17 Sep24 Apr30 Feb21 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
2  EPIC QUEEN Nov02 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (mcburney patrick)BRACHO A 120 8.00 ★    
3  PARISIAN VIBE Dec23 Mar18       (sacco d)FERRER C 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
4  HAPPY RIDE May08 Apr22 Apr03     (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALEXA'S DREAM Jan15 Dec21 Nov23 Oct16 Sep23 (benne)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50 ★    
6  BAZZARINA Jan04 Dec24 Dec10 Nov26 Aug29 (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00    
7  BEAUTY QUIST Dec30 Nov25 Oct29 Oct07   (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
TAM-5   01/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENTWINE (IRE) Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 Jun17 Apr09 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 3.00 11% 8.00    
2  KEKE KIMONO Oct08 Sep18 Aug20 Jul29 Jun17 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 20.00 6% 15.30    
3  ASTERS D'ORO Dec31 Dec14 Aug19 Jul15 Jun30 (smith g)CENTENO E 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  SUMMER AT THE SPA Jan01 Oct22 Sep25 Aug28 Jul29 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.50    
5  MISS Z Nov26 Sep24 Aug19 Feb11 Jan19 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
6  AZIZA Oct12 Sep23 Aug06 Jun11 Jun04 (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
7  A RING THING Jan13 Dec21 Dec02 Oct12 Aug08 (delgado h)FERRER C 121 12.00 7% 14.40    
8  COOL FRONT Dec30 Dec22 Dec02 Sep04 Aug06 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00    
 
TAM-6   01/25/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELIUM Jan06 Sep28 Aug13 Jul09 May22 (casse mark)FERRER C 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  PRENDIMI Jan06 Oct22 Aug28 Jul19 Jun12 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00    
SCR  MOTAWAAFEQ Jan06 Dec10 Oct28 Oct13 Sep18 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 15.00 ★    
4  INDIAN FEVER Dec30 Sep07 Aug23 Jul18 Jun03 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
5  ITS A WRAP Dec14 Oct28 Sep19 Aug07 Jul17 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  BUMPERDOO Jan06 Dec17 Nov05 Oct20 Sep30 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 119 1.40 ★    
 
TAM-7   01/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE B GLAMOROUS Oct23 Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 Jun29 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 9% 9.90    
2  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) Nov26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug16 Jul30 (davis scooter)FERRER C 119 8.00 32% 2.10    
3  LENTEN ROSE Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 Sep05   (potts g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  MIZZEN ASH Jan11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug03 Jul14 (granitz anth)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
5  PACIFIC PRINCESS Jan13 Dec11 Nov19 Jul01 May07 (laurin roger)BATISTA A 123 8.00    
6  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Dec14 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 (bennett g)CAMACHO JR 119 4.50    
7  ONE NIGHT STAND Jan07 Dec07 Nov09 Oct09 Sep14 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
8  DONYA'S MAGIC Jan07 Nov25 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
9  SWEET MOOCHIE Nov26 Oct20 Oct10 Sep22 Sep13 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 30.00    
10  PANOTTI Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Sep16 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
SCR  DIXIELAND DANCER Jan15 Dec22 Dec02 Nov26 Oct15 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ANTALYA Dec14 Nov26 Oct10 Sep22 Aug24 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON GAL Nov26 Oct24 Oct05 Sep26 Sep07 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PALADIO Jan04 Dec07 Nov23 Oct29 Oct08 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
2  MR LIGHTNING BOY Jan04 Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 31% 2.20    
3  I KICKN Sep17 Aug24 Jun26 Jun04 Apr27 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
4  ODDS ON Jan07 Dec17 Oct01 Sep19 Jul19 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  LITIGANT Jan13 Dec14 Jan21 Jan02   (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
6  ROOKIE SALSA Jan14 Dec31 Dec14 Nov23 Oct14 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAZOO Dec31 Dec16 Nov23 Oct15 Sep21 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 8% 12.20    
8  ARCADIA CALLS Jan04 Aug26 Aug15 Aug01 Jun26 (delgado h)FERRER C 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-9   01/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Aug20         (dini mik)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of EXCHANGEABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  DRAGONERA Dec28         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 113 5.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of RUTHLESS QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  BEAST BUNNY Dec22         (dominguez lui)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of BUNKER BUNNY by FIELD COMMISSION)
4  ONE TOUGH DAME Dec28 Dec03       (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00 16% 5.20    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OILGONEWILE by MONTBROOK)
5  ROMANTIC FANTASY         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
6  MOMMY JUICE         (beckman whit)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BEAUTIFUL ESCAPE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  HEAVEN'S D'ORO         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HOW FAR TO HEAVEN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Dec28 Nov18 Oct14     (arnett g)FERRER C 120 4.50 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  SWEET TRACK Jan04 Oct21       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMILING CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  MOTOWN MIKA Dec03 Oct21 Sep24 Sep17   (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TRIO OF MISCHIEF by CONGRATS)
SCR  WILDHAWK         (albertra)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by HELMET (AUS) out of WADIA by CAMPANOLOGIST)
SCR  SHENOAH         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of WHENTHEDOVEFLIES by DOVE HUNT)
SCR  ARAUCARIA         (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of EVANGELINE'S HOPE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  ESTILO AMOROSO         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SUGAR MAY by STRATEGIC MISSION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.