Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-2   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-3   Win (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-4   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-5   Win (10/1/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-6   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TAM-7   Win (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-8   Win (5/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-9   Win (3/10/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERIK Dec09 Nov27 Oct28 Oct20 Sep22 (dutrow anthony )SOSA LAUREANO 114 2.50 43% 1.30    
SIMONELA Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 Jul01 (tsirigotis james)ALLEN D 121 15.00    
THUNDER BUGGY Jan08 Dec23 Apr29 Apr03 Mar23 (machado antonio)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.80 23% 3.40    
MELANCHOLY BLUES Dec28 Aug29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun12 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 109 15.00    
AUBURN Jan04 Dec02 Aug15 May06 Apr24 (lusk r)ARROYO S 121 8.00 8% 10.90    
WHISKARITA Dec31 Nov05 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (smith rob)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 4.50    
MAGICGIRL Jan13 Dec31 Dec02 Nov26 Oct27 (posadas pedr)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 4.50    
 
TAM-2   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA JIMMY Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 Nov30 Sep14 (bray michael)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00    
RISK VS REWARD Dec23 Dec07 Oct30 Sep25 Sep03 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00    
WINTER'S GHOST Dec14 Oct14 Sep18 Jun24 Jun05 (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 121 4.50    
SCR  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Dec24 Nov23 Oct09 Sep16 Aug13 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
CONFIDENT N ELITE Dec31 Nov26 Nov11 Oct21 Oct08 (robillard ju)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00 8% 12.30    
DON H         (cascallares ne)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jan07 Dec14 Oct10 Sep18 Aug27 (ryan s)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
ISLE OF SKYE Dec21 Aug21 Aug05 Jul09 Jun03 (bennett s)FERRER C 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
TAM-3   01/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CESAR Dec21 Dec07 Nov30 Oct27 Aug24 (lopez robe)EVANS CECILY 118 4.50 7% 12.40    
IMAGOODFELLA Dec28 Nov25 Oct07 Sep18   (sacco d)FERRER C 118 6.00    
KING SPARROW Dec28 Dec03 Sep30 Sep11   (richards renal)ARROYO S 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
SUMMER ALL YEAR Dec21 Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 Jul16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
OKLETSGO Dec21 Dec03 Oct07 Sep10 Aug22 (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
COCO SHELL Dec28 Dec03 Oct20 Aug29 Aug01 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.50    
GODS GLORY Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 Oct27 Aug14 (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-4   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S IMAGE Dec28 Dec03 Oct21 Sep18 Aug21 (richards ren)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00    
HIGH DONNA Jan01 Dec16 Dec03 Oct27 Sep06 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  CHILD PROOF Dec14         (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
SARA KALI Dec28 Dec16 Sep30 Sep11 May26 (cascallares ne)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00    
WIFEY MATERIAL         (bowersock maria)WALKER M 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
LA BUFFALITA Dec10         (machado antoni)ARROYO S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
VIMISOFA Nov04         (barboza victor)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
DA JOURNEYGIRL Jan01 Oct09 Jul17 Jun24 Jun09 (minguet ramon)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 10% 9.00    
GEM CAT Dec08 Sep30 Sep09     (delgado jorge)MARTIN MATTIE 113 4.00    
 
TAM-5   01/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE BRAINS Nov30 Nov02 Oct06     (downing william)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
KALINBA Dec30 Dec16 Nov30 Oct28 Oct16 (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 120 30.00    
DELTA RIDGE Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 (hayford jennifer)FERRER C 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
SKY TRAVELER Dec23         (lusk r)ARROYO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE POINT ROAD         (mccarthy brend)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
J J'S JUSTICE Jan11 Dec28 Dec02 Sep18   (mazza w)SOSA LAUREANO 115 10.00    
MAGNA RULER Jan11 Dec23 Dec08 Oct05 Sep06 (ramos ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 20.00    
STARSHIP MOZART Nov21 Nov09       (ferraro an)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
AMBUSHED Dec28 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 Apr24 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
10  STRONGER TOGETHER Dec02 Oct22 Oct02 Aug21 Jul24 (wright michael )HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TAM-6   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARBO SPEAKS Dec23 Nov23 Oct30 Sep30 Sep11 (arnett )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  I'M A CUTIE Dec24 Dec07 Nov26 Sep17 Sep05 (davis scooter)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
ROYAL GOLD DIGGER Sep22 Sep15 Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 (gonzalez aldana)BUSH V 121 20.00    
LOOK UP TO HEAVEN Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 (rivera xavier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 121 5.00    
BID ONCE Dec31 Nov11 Nov03 Oct09 Sep16 (wright michael )HERNANDEZ K 121 6.00    
SASSY LIKE JULIA Dec23 Dec10 Nov23 Oct23 Jul10 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00    
HOTLINE TO HEAVEN Dec26 Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 (brownlee david)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
OIL ON CANVAS Dec30 Nov06 Aug22 Aug14 Jul19 (carrascojr vict)SOSA LAUREANO 114 12.00    
SCR  MARKET OF STOCKS Dec10 Nov23 Oct22 Sep30 Sep17 (tsirigotis james)ALLEN D 121 15.00    
 
TAM-7   01/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK SEAL Dec16 Nov12 Oct29 Sep25 Sep09 (dobber arnoud )MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00 24% 3.20    
MOON MISCHIEF Nov30 Nov14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun08 (caramori)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00 9% 10.50    
SMART AS ME Jan06 Dec16 Nov04     (smith robe)ALLEN D 121 4.50    
MAGICAL ADVENTURE Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 Jun10 Apr27 (manning j)BRACHO A 121 4.00    
CARRONADE Dec16 Sep27 Aug17 Jan08   (kintz ma)GALLARDO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
RONSTADT Oct14 Sep24 Sep01 Jul27 Jun24 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 114 2.50 39% 1.60    
GAMBLING TZAR Jan06 Nov06 Sep23 Jul23   (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 121 4.50    
ANVIL Jan06 Nov26 Oct14 Oct08 Sep06 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
CANYOUHEARMENOW Dec09 Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 (duffy sean)WALKER M 121 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEND FOR ME Dec14         (thomas )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL GRACE Feb19 Jan16       (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 13% 6.80    
BODE BY YOU Dec21 Oct17 Sep20 Sep08 Aug01 (potts ron )GALLARDO A 121 10.00    
WOODS HOLE Dec10 Nov25 Oct15 Sep04 Jul29 (sacco d)FERRER C 121 10.00    
ST. PAT'S DAY May07 Mar30       (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
ABOVE PAR Dec22 Nov25 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 (rodriguez darien)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
DON'T TAPTHEBRAKES Sep26         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 121 20.00    
ACACIAHELPME Dec30 Aug14 May30 Apr15 Mar23 (o'connor robert )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 8.00 6% 16.80    
 
TAM-9   01/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE HULK (GB)         (delgado jorge)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
SAVVY LAYLA Dec22 Nov26 Sep05 Aug27 Aug08 (bennett gerald)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
THATSAFACTJACK Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 Sep28 Sep20 (cahill ste)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
ALOGON Dec30 Nov20 Oct22 Feb20 Jan02 (allard t)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
TUFF ATTACK Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 Jun03 May27 (arnett g)FERRER C 119 15.00    
SCR  MAGICAL MOUSSE Oct22 Jan15       (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 12.00    
BALISTICO Nov26 Oct07 Sep23 Aug21 Aug10 (delgado h)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
NOVGOROD THE GREAT Nov26 Oct09 Sep11 Aug12 Jul23 (gulick m)CENTENO E 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  IMPERIAL KING Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep28 (rigattieri john)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
10  FLUID SITUATION Dec17 Oct16 Aug28 Aug06 Jul02 (terranova p)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
11  BAM BAM BLU Oct22 Oct08 Jul31 Jul04 Jun05 (mcburney b)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAHAMIAN DUDE Oct24 Oct10 Aug16 Jul25 Jun21 (davis m)HERNANDEZ K 119 20.00    
SCR  PUTMAN Nov26 Oct07 Jul30 Jun17 May27 (vazquez m)BRACHO A 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.