Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1/2)-(5/4/6/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/4/6/3)-(9/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3/2)-(5/4/6/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/3)-(9/7/8)-(2/1/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (9/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/8)-(9/7/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8)-(9/7/8/2/5)-(9/7/8/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/7/8)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8)-(2/1/3/5)-(1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5/7)-(2/1/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/5)-(1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/5)-(1/8)-(5/1/4/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/8)-(5/1/4/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/9)-(5/1/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/9)-(5/1/4/9/2)-(5/1/4/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
FG-8   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BITSY PERFECTMATCH Dec23 Dec02       (claire )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
2  COUNTRY LADY Dec23 Nov16 Oct08 Aug20   (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00 ★    
3  PRAY FOR US Dec29 Dec09       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  MADISON'S SCREEN Dec23 Dec02       (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 6.00    
SCR  STARSNMOTION         (camejo m)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  MIA ANTONIA Dec29 Dec02       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  HIGHLY WICKED Dec02 Nov18       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
 
FG-2   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITAR WOMAN Dec02 Nov18 Oct14 Sep20 Aug06 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  SHE TOLD YOU SO Sep04 Jul19       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  AGAMI Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 Sep20   (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00 ★    
4  DOLLY'S GUITAR Dec22 Nov18 Sep17 Aug10 Jul15 (schwandt emi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00    
5  GRIDDY UP GIRL Dec16         (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Jul19   (hodges e)GRAHAM J 119 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
FG-3   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD CAPTAIN Nov25 Oct27 Oct05 Aug30 Aug11 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00    
2  KLIMTOMANIAC Dec19 Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 Sep21 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 4.50 ★    
3  SEEKING SPLENDOR Dec22 Aug03 Jul17 Jul07 Jun15 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
4  KING TUFF May19 Apr21 Mar03 Feb10   (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  IZEONDEC Dec18 Nov03 Sep17 Jul31 Jun10 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 24% 3.20    
6  PATH TO SUCCESS Dec22 Nov27 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (rodrigue)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
FG-4   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PSEUDOSCIENCE Dec23         (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 10.00    
2  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ Dec18 Nov27 Nov18     (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
3  ROSIE SPRIT Dec29         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
4  ONE MO TO GO Dec16 Nov27 Aug20 Jul15   (richards coral)CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00    
5  TAZZHER Dec16 Nov27 Sep17     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
6  REINA ACES Dec16         (richards )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
7  TAKEOVER TIME Dec16 Nov27 Sep18 Sep04 Jul03 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
8  ONECALLTHATSALL Dec16 Nov27 Nov16 Oct21 Oct08 (delahoussaye gl)LANERIE J 120 4.00 6% 15.90    
9  ZIPPING MOLLY         (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 6.00 51% 1.00    
 
FG-5   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA BABY Nov04 Oct19 Oct01 Sep17 Aug14 (silva miguel)PARKER L 121 6.00 14% 6.40    
2  WHY BEHAVE Dec08 Nov16 Oct14 Sep15 Aug26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 1.40 37% 1.70    
3  SIKUM Dec08 Jun14 May12 Mar24 Feb24 (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 11% 7.90    
4  PI YO PRINCESS Dec08 Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
5  SASSY EMMA Dec08 Oct28 May27 Apr15 Feb25 (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 7% 12.70    
6  MEDWAY QUEEN Dec08 Nov10 Oct23 Sep19 Aug31 (silva car)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00    
7  TEXAS TIDELANDS Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 Sep07 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 10.00 ★    
 
FG-6   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPINSTRAWINTO GOLD         (scherer t)GRAHAM J 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  ILLUSIONED Dec18 Nov14 Sep20     (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 ★    
SCR  RECON Nov27 Oct21 Sep08     (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 6.00    
4  VALE Nov23 Oct16 Sep29 Aug13 Jul15 (forster t)LANERIE J 125 5.00 ★    
5  ICE AXE Jan01 Dec19 Dec09     (dorochenko genna)PARKER L 125 10.00    
6  HE IS WORTHY Feb25 Jan20       (necaise larry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 30.00    
SCR  HERMS CROWN Mar27 Mar13       (ladner herm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 8.00    
8  RAMMER JAMMER Dec23 Dec04 Oct05 Aug09 Apr28 (faucheux r)ALBERT S 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  BUTLER CABIN         (stall m)RIQUELME J 117 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
FG-7   01/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOFT TOUCH Dec08 Oct07 Sep06 Aug16 Jul12 (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 117 4.50 16% 5.10    
2  RUSSIAN MAFIA Dec16 Oct23 Sep24 Sep01 Jul17 (rodrigue)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 ★    
3  LAURA'S CHARM Dec22 Nov19 Oct13 Aug27 Jul17 (kerrick lacy)PARKER L 117 10.00    
4  FLATTER ME SILLY Dec16 Nov20 May19 Apr24 Mar12 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
5  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Dec02 Oct08 Sep06 Aug10 Jun25 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 5.00 39% 1.60    
6  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Sep27 Aug05 May28 Jan14   (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  O'BABE Dec14         (scherer gary)MELANCON G 117 12.00    
8  DREAMWORKER Sep13 Jun22 May18 Mar12 Jan01 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 117 3.00    
9  BE UP Oct13         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
 
FG-8   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALF AGAIN Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 Aug04 Jul12 (faucheux ron)PARKER L 121 3.50 72% 0.40    
SCR  SECRET VISTA Dec10 Feb28 Jan28 Jan07   (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50    
2  AVAILABLE STAR Dec16 Nov21 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 ★    
3  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Dec23 Dec09 Aug19 Jun30 May25 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
4  SABER RUN Dec23 Dec02 Nov17 Oct08 Jul09 (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00    
5  NO PEDIGREE Dec15 Dec02 Nov05 Sep18 Aug14 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
6  ZION Dec15 Nov24 Feb28 Feb06 Jan16 (hatcher nathan )COHEN DAVID 121 30.00    
SCR  MISTER DON Jan05 Jun28 May24 Mar19 Feb04 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 20.00    
8  AFLEET ASCENT Dec02 Sep20 Jul27 Jun29   (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 ★    
9  COACH KENNY Dec15 Sep12 Aug14 Jun28 May10 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN PALACE Jan05 Dec10 Nov24 Nov10 Sep05 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.