Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - December 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   12/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG SAFETY Nov30 Nov07 Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
SCR  AWESOME BID Nov07 Oct12 Aug08 Jul19 May25 (chapman jam)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
FIRST CRUSADER Dec02 Jul27 Jun04     (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
MAGIC MOUNTAIN Dec07 Oct23 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 20.00    
JERRY'S SECRET Nov14 Oct23 Oct05 Sep08 Aug31 (logston c)CORREA L 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ DEJA BLUE Nov14 Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 Jul20 (delong ben)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
CON ON THE RUN Jun09 Feb19 Jan14     (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  SHIELD OF FAITH Dec12 Nov27 Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  GOTTAGETITBACK Dec07 Nov21 Oct24 Sep09 Aug24 (clouston ed)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 8% 12.30    
10  JOCKO ROAD Dec07 Nov27 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 15.00    
 
MNR-2   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH GAME Nov30 Nov16 Nov04 Oct06 Sep07 (ovando melvin)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00    
JUMP INTO SANITY Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Sep29 Sep20 (skerrett )CORREA L 118 5.00    
SARATOGA CENTS Nov07 Oct12       (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
SWEET TORI PAT Nov30 Nov20 Nov07 Oct05   (jackson d)YARANGA Y 118 6.00    
CHRISTINA ANN Nov04         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 2.50 7% 13.30    
SCR  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Nov30 Nov07 Oct26 Oct12   (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 3.50 8% 11.20    
BABY BONNIE Nov30         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 20.00    
SPRINGTIME D'ORO         (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 62% 0.60    
 
MNR-3   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAAGY Nov18 Oct27 Sep26 Sep06 Jul25 (joy j)DIAZ I 118 1.00 44% 1.30    
CHEEKY CHAPS Nov07 Oct11 Oct02 Sep19 Sep07 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 7% 13.90    
WHITE PIGEON Nov17 Nov08 Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
EXECUTIVE PRIZE Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Oct09 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00    
DANCIN IN DUBAI Nov17 Jul20 Jun12 May27   (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
STRONG HEART Nov30 May15 Apr16 Mar25 Mar05 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
ODDS AND ENDS Aug02 Jun21       (smith frank)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
 
MNR-4   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN NICOLA PRANCER Dec05 Nov28 Nov15 Oct23 Oct11 (mcfall robe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
MY ANGELICA Nov14 Oct19 Oct06 Apr19 Mar19 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 6.00    
PACENZA Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 (ceccato sha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
EGG NOG Nov17 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 (langley s)YARANGA Y 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
YO YO MON Nov23 Oct10 Oct03 Aug17 Jul18 (langley c)PAUCAR E 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
ICE FLOE Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00 7% 12.90    
NINJA KITTEN Nov22 Nov10 Nov02 Oct26 Oct17 (lopez a)DAVILA M 120 3.50    
 
MNR-5   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKIE BARONE Nov08 Oct26 Sep19 Jul27 Jul07 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  COLAVITO Nov28 Nov14 Oct19 Oct12 Oct02 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
SCR  ALGORIX Nov29 Nov07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 5.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  LUCKY ANDY Nov29 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 (shanyfelt dou)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 16% 5.20    
GAGE HAS A GRAY Nov28 Nov08 Oct31 Oct11 Sep08 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 4.50 5% 18.90    
ISTILLGOTIT Nov07 Oct13 Sep22 Sep12 Jul18 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 47% 1.10    
TOE TAPPIN LUKE Nov29 Oct25 Sep30 Sep16 Sep07 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
ELVIRUS Nov13 Oct22 Sep29 Sep14 Aug20 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
MNR-6   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 Sep15 Aug15 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 120 15.00 12% 7.60    
BLANQUITA NIEVE Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug23 (torres )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
ROSE KNOWS Nov14 Oct26 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 118 1.60 19% 4.30    
OUT ONA LIMB Nov23 Oct24 Oct05 Sep15 Sep06 (hay r)MUSARRO JOE 120 30.00    
MIND YOUR OWN Nov30 Oct02 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
CHARGINA Nov06 Oct17 Sep12 Aug14 Jul28 (kocijan m)CORREA L 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
PERFECT LIMIT Oct18 Aug20 Jun06 May19 May04 (ackerman d )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO BIT KID Nov23 Oct19 Sep24 Sep13 Aug31 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FRANCO (MEX) Dec06 Nov23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug17 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 120 15.00    
LIKEABLE Nov29 Oct04 Sep13 Aug06 Jul17 (albaroudy man)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
TORONTOTORO Nov13 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug16 (mcente)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 1.60 19% 4.40    
SCR  SHELTOWEE'S BALI Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Oct30 Oct24 (larue steve)DIAZ I 118 50.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN FROSTY Dec05 Nov02 Oct12 Jul06 Jun22 (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 10.00    
BLACK CANDY Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 Sep22 Sep13 (tomczak mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 50.00    
SCR  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Dec07 Nov24 Nov02 Oct26 Oct10 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 10.00    
SCR  SUPER GARNER Nov18 Oct20       (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MY BUDDY B Nov22 Oct30 Sep01 Aug08 Jul15 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
MNR-8   12/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A TART Nov27 Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 Sep13 (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00    
GOLDEN LASSIE Nov21 Oct31 Jul12 Jun27 May31 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
LIGHT HEARTED Nov30 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03   (herri)MONSERRATE A 120 20.00    
JUNGLE GODDESS Nov27 Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Sep27 (ceccato sha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
BEND THE KNEE Nov30 Jun21 May30 May01 Mar31 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  HOT AUGUST STORM Sep13 Sep06 Aug16 Jul28 Jul13 (jimenez miguel)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
CASCABRIA Sep22 Aug17 Aug03 Mar09 Mar02 (skerrett jeffrey)YARANGA Y 120 4.50    
LEADING INDICATOR Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 3.00 10% 9.10    
LIL' SISTER LOU Jul06 May31 May13 Apr15 Feb18 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 8.00    
10  SALT ON THE RIM Nov16 Oct23 Oct03 Sep18 Sep06 (meals loi)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  CYBERBURG Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Sep08 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
12  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE Dec05 Nov08 Nov02 Oct10 Oct04 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 49% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.