Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARDUOUSLY Apr03 Mar06 Jan23     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 30.00    
2  IN TRAFFIC         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Aug21 Aug06 Jul10 Jul01 Jun10 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
4  GRACEFULLY WILD Jun17 Apr28 Apr03     (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  MADAME ROSE Sep04 Aug06 Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 (jones eduardo)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
SCR  TEKILA Sep10 Aug06 Jun23 May13   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
7  FREE CHICKENS Sep18 Aug19 Jun05     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 ★    
8  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Sep12 Aug05 Jul17 Jun02 May07 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEALITHIC Sep07 Aug15 Jan20     (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 ★    
2  VALLARAND Jul15         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 18% 4.60    
3  TACTICAL RANGE Aug04 Jun23 May14 Apr02 Mar23 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 12% 7.50    
4  FUNWHILEITLASTED Sep23 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  STORMI CAT LADY Aug04 Jun17 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00    
6  LONDON GOLD Sep23 Jun04 May06 Apr22 Apr07 (persaud ran)PAREDES JHOVANY 108 30.00    
7  MY SWEET WIFE Aug04 Jun26 Apr01 Jan28   (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA AT MIDNIGHT Aug24 Jun11 May15 Mar02 Jan26 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.00    
1A  BASILIA May26 Apr28 Mar31 Mar02   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  KEMBA Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 May21 Apr24 (handal ra)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
3  BE UP         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
4  ENTWINE (IRE) Sep10 Jun17 Apr09 Mar02 Jan13 (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
5  LOOKIN TO FLY Sep05 Aug12 Jul16     (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
6  PRINCESS PINKY Aug17 Jun19       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 ★    
7  CAFE FLEUR (FR) Aug17 Jul03 May19 Jan29   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 14% 6.40    
8  MORE MANGO Sep18 Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 May22 (ferraro james )RICHARDS G 122 20.00    
9  VOICE OF SPRING Aug04 Jul29 Jul02 May21 Mar11 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UMBRIA Sep17 Jul09 May30 Apr30 Apr07 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 10.00    
1A  FOREVER WICKED Oct06 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 122 10.00    
2  WILL E SUTTON Sep24 Aug31 Jul15 Jun17 May06 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
3  SPECTATORLESS Sep24 Jul22 Jul04 Jun16 May28 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 122 6.00 ★    
4  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Aug31 Aug07 Jun16 Mar31 Feb03 (kantarmaci mer)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  HOMETOWN Sep15 Aug06       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
6  CHARGER Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Apr07 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 ★    
7  AL'S PRINCE Aug24 Jul21 Jul15 Jun05 Apr15 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 ★    
8  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct07 Sep20 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIRINGO Aug07         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  CLUBHOUSE Sep01 Jul22       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
2  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC Sep01         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
3  DON'T LET ME DOWN Aug14         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
4  THREE ZERO Aug31 Aug14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
5  BRISTOL CHANNEL         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
6  GOLDEN BIRD FOREST         (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
7  IRON MAN JIMMY Aug31         (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
8  MARTY'S MAGIC Sep03 Aug13       (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
9  CARA'S PRINCE Oct02 Aug06 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (friedman mit)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
10  BEST DEFENSE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  TASTERFOR THE KING Sep11         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE) Sep14         (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 116 8.00    
SCR  WON AN AWARD         (duarte j)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R GIRL FAITH Sep17 Aug20 Jul08     (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 6.00    
2  MY DELICIOUS Sep18 Sep05 May20 Apr22 Mar27 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 8% 12.00    
3  GAME THEORY Sep16 Aug07 Jul09 Jul04 Jun17 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
4  PREDETERMINED Jul08 May27 Apr28     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 5.00 ★    
5  SWEETER (BRZ) Sep18         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 19% 4.20    
6  FREUDIAN Aug20 Jul15 May22 May03 Jan20 (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 28% 2.50    
7  KEEN DANCER Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00    
8  MERGER OF EQUALS Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 Jun06 May12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMME GET IT Sep04 Jun17       (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 ★    
2  FLATTERING GAL Aug31         (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
3  BIZZY IZZY Sep24         (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 30.00    
4  KAY TEE GAL Aug12 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May08 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
5  QUEEN OF LIES Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 May30 Apr29 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 9% 10.70    
6  POWER AND GLORY Aug11 Jul29 Jul02     (thompson r)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00    
7  UPTOWN EXPRESS Aug26         (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 ★    
8  UNKOALAFIED Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 Jun16 May12 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 ★    
9  TOUGH STREET Sep04 Jul23       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 68% 0.50    
10  BERN ROSEY BERN Aug31 Aug11 Jun26 May30   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAW INTO GOLD Aug11 Jul15 May15 Apr16   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  CALL ME HARRY Aug28 Jul24 Jul04 Jun03   (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 7% 13.40    
3  CATCH THAT PARTY Sep04 Jul23 Jul01 Mar13 Mar04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 12% 7.00    
SCR  BARLEEWON Sep15 Jul30 Jun24 May01 Apr16 (camejo jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
5  KLICKITAT Sep17 May15       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  SARATOGA FLASH Aug20 Jul15 Jun19 Apr30   (lynch natalia)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
7  FRONT LINE DANCER Sep15 Aug10 Jul16 Jun24 May30 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  SIX PERCENT Sep05 Jul15 May29 May08   (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00    
SCR  TROUBLESHOOTER Sep07 Aug03 Jun26 May29   (englehart jeremia)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct01 Sep04 Jul17 Jul09 May21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON BAY Apr09 Mar27 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22 (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
SCR  THERISASTORMBREWIN Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 May29 Apr28 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERCHANTS OF COOL Mar19 Jan09       (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 121 30.00    
2  SCIENCE (IRE) Sep25 Sep11 Aug17 May29 Apr16 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
3  LOADED JOE Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 May14 May05 (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
4  EL MAYOR Aug20 May05 Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
5  TOWN OF GOLD Sep18 Sep02 Jun29     (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
6  SWASHBUCKLE Jul24 Jun04 Apr21     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.40 ★    
7  VOCALIZE Sep18 Aug29 Aug10 Jun25 May22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 11.10    
8  TRUEBELIEVE Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 May28 May05 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 10.00 6% 17.10    
9  RED MULE Sep18 Jul09 Jun19 May30 Apr01 (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00    
10  VETERANS BEACH Aug18 Jul17 Jun18 May21   (jac)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  RISK PROFILE Oct07 Aug24 Aug20 Mar11 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.