Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Tuesday - April 28, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/6/2)-(5/1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/1/2/7)-(2/6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(2/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(2/6/4/5)-(3/12/9/10/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/5)-(3/12/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/5)-(3/12/9/10/6)-(10/7/3/12/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-5   WIN (3/12/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/12/9/10/6)-(3/12/9/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/12/9/10/6)-(3/12/9/10/6)-(3/12/9/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/12/9/10/6)-(10/7/3/12/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/12/9/10/6)-(10/7/3/12/13)-(6/3/2/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-6   WIN (10/7/3/12/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/3/12/13)-(10/7/3/12/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/3/12/13)-(10/7/3/12/13)-(10/7/3/12/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/3/12/13)-(6/3/2/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/3/12/13)-(6/3/2/13)-(7/1/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-7   WIN (6/3/2/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/13)-(6/3/2/13/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/13)-(6/3/2/13/5)-(6/3/2/13/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/13)-(7/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/13)-(7/1/5/2)-(4/10/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-8   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(4/10/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-9   WIN (4/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   04/28/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL SAUCE Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 (garcia ge)CARRASCO R 118 10.00 11% 8.10    
2  SING A LITTLE SONG Jan22 Jul06 May24 Apr13 Mar12 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
3  C'EST CHEESE Aug17 Jul23 Jan31 Nov24 Oct04 (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
4  MASCARA Feb12 Jan02 Oct16 Sep26 Sep02 (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
5  LETMENOWHENURREADY Apr04 Mar13 Feb16 Jan13 Jan19 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 20.00    
6  DANZIG'S DORA Apr09 Feb22 Jan15 Dec18 Nov14 (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
CD-2   04/28/2026 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOKED         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 1.40 41% 1.40    
  (by YAUPON out of FINGERPRINT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
2  HEART OF A HERO         (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 5% 17.70    
  (by PARTNER'S HERO out of IMPOSING LIGHT by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
3  JASPER VALLEY         (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of VALLEY OF MO'ARA by OVERANALYZE)
4  SMOKE TRAIL         (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AFLEETING LISA by AFLEET ALEX)
5  WAR READY         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SATULAH by GONE WEST)
6  FANSHELL BEACH         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 1.80 17% 4.90    
  (by CORNICHE out of PACIFIC HEAT by SOUGHT AFTER)
 
CD-3   04/28/2026 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTBEAT Mar22 Feb27 Jun06 May02   (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
2  QUEEN WILHELMINA Mar14 Feb17 Jan23 Jan01 Dec04 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  SHEILA'S LION Mar14 Jan19 Dec26 Nov16 Nov07 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00    
SCR  FRENCH MISTRESS Jan03 Jan19       (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 8.00    
5  DADDARIO Mar25 Jan15       (beckman whit)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
6  SPYING Nov13 Sep26 Sep05 Jul21 May28 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00    
7  AVISO Mar14 Nov15 Oct30 Sep28 Aug28 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FAYE'S GOLD Mar25 Feb27 Jan31 Jan03 Nov15 (forster t)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
9  FROSTY MOJITO Apr03 Mar04 Feb06 Dec18 Dec03 (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
10  UNLIMITED GOLD Apr18 Dec10 Oct22 Oct09 Sep15 (o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
CD-4   04/28/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREAKS GO Apr03 Jan03 Dec06 Oct26 Sep17 (crichton g)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
2  SPUN CANDY Mar14 Feb07 Jan02 Nov26 Jun28 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  BRIGHT LADY DAY Nov06 Oct17 Sep24 Sep08 Aug01 (jackson christ)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00    
4  NO TIME LEFT Feb28 Jan03 Nov29 Nov01 Sep18 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 7% 12.50    
5  G ROCKS Mar04 Jan02 Nov22 Nov01 Sep17 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  WISCONSIN GAL Apr04 Mar11 Feb06 Dec20 Jun07 (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  BELLE OFTHE DANCE Mar15 Dec13 Oct08 Sep07 Jul11 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00    
 
CD-5   04/28/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHWAY PATROL Apr10 Mar07 Feb27 Feb07 Jan17 (garcia ge)CARRASCO R 125 15.00    
2  GOOD SAL Apr10         (wism)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 20.00    
3  JOE'S CANDY Mar22 Jan02 Nov02 Sep26 Nov25 (stall albert )ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  BARSTOOL Mar20 Feb26 Feb06 Nov12 Oct29 (vasquez german )ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00    
SCR  LENNIE G Mar22 Feb20 Jan10 Nov14   (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
6  STANDARD DEDUCTION Mar06 Feb12 Jan16 Jan03   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  OUTOFPI Nov23 Oct22 Sep07 Aug30 Aug01 (gonzalez rei)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00    
8  SIERRA POWER Mar13 Feb28 Feb18 Jan02 Dec11 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 30.00    
9  HARBE Oct24 Sep17 Aug23 Jul20 Jun18 (crichton g)CURTIS BEN 125 5.00 12% 7.40    
10  LASTING LEGACY         (stewart dal)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 8% 11.00    
11  CIRCUIT BREAKER Jan07         (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00    
12  VINO DOMINUS Dec12 Nov13 Jun27 Apr26 Sep18 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
CD-6   04/28/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD POINT Jan09 Oct20 Oct02 Sep20 Aug25 (kaufeld k)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 30.00    
2  HAYES GOAL Apr10 Feb27 Dec21 Nov09   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
3  JACK RABBIT Mar20 Mar05 Feb06 Jan16 Dec26 (williamson br)CANNON DECLAN 125 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  BAGG O TIME Mar20 Feb19 Jan02 Nov19 Oct29 (vance thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
5  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY Mar19 Jan08 Dec18 Nov04 Oct03 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
6  GARRYOWEN Apr19 Mar14 Feb27 Jan07 Oct26 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
7  GENE AND JUDE Dec18 Nov07 Oct22 Aug03 Jun28 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  LI GRAND ZOMBI Apr03 Mar05 Feb17     (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
9  OBELISK Mar28 Feb26 Feb12 Jan15 Jan01 (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 120 20.00    
10  FOOTPRINT Mar05 Nov28 Oct16 Apr13 Mar23 (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 46% 1.20    
11  AGUILA NEGRA Apr10 Mar13 Feb21 Jan17 Dec05 (perez juan)HERNANDEZ N 118 30.00    
12  KHETAM Apr10 Mar05 Dec05 Sep21 Aug31 (mckeever andre)SHEEHY DANNY 118 12.00 6% 14.70    
13  HYPERBOLIZE Mar20 Feb07 Dec12 Oct29 Sep12 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WISH CAREFULLY Mar27 Jan14 Dec11 Nov22 Oct11 (lovell miche)TORRES A 125 20.00    
SCR  MOUNT HOREB Apr03 Jan15 Dec20 Nov23 Oct25 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50    
SCR  CULPRIT Oct25 Sep19 Jul28 Jun23 May04 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00    
 
CD-7   04/28/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN BULLET Feb19 Jan17 Dec03 Oct24 Sep30 (begley gre)VILLARREAL OSCAR 124 30.00    
2  ANOTHER MONARCH Jan11 Apr30 Apr10 Mar14 Feb08 (hess b)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  MCILROY Mar28 Feb28 Feb12 Nov28 Oct22 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  VINO SUBITO Apr08 Mar20 Feb25 Jan02 Dec11 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00    
5  HARDTOBLAME Mar27 Mar14 Feb04 Dec27 Nov23 (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 ★    
6  COMES A TIME Mar28 Nov22 Oct16 Sep10 Aug22 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  IL CAVALLINO Apr08 Feb26 Feb06 Jan19 Nov02 (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00    
SCR  FAYETTE SPIRIT Mar28 Feb12 Dec11 Oct11 Sep10 (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 124 12.00    
9  NASSAU CIRCLE Apr08 Sep12 Aug14 Jul04 Jun14 (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  UP TO NO GOOD Mar27 Mar12 Dec20 Sep10 May30 (kinmon kei)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00    
11  PHILA STREET Mar18 Feb18 Jan07 Nov20   (foster )DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
SCR  MO HAIR SAM Apr16 Mar28 Mar12 Aug23 Jul06 (hancock j)CARRASCO R 124 30.00    
13  FAVORITISM Mar26 Mar07 Feb19 Jan03 Oct28 (ward dan)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   04/28/2026 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS IS USCAR Nov30 Oct18 Sep28 Aug10 Jul05 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
2  HOLD MY BOURBON Dec27 Dec20 Oct24 Sep20 Aug23 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIGHT THE WAY Mar21 Feb06 Jan11 Dec04 Nov02 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
4  FURIO Mar15 Feb14 Jun29 May25 May03 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
5  OWEN ALMIGHTY Mar28 Oct18 Aug22 May03 Apr08 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
6  ECHO AGAIN Mar28 Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 Nov20 (casse norm )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50    
7  U DEVIL YOU Apr04 Feb28 Feb07 Nov08 Sep20 (ortiz al)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  DR. SAIKALI Apr04 Mar04 Feb05 Jan08 Nov16 (moger j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  FLOOD ZONE Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 Aug09 Jun29 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
 
CD-9   04/28/2026 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEART HEADED Apr04 Jan17 Dec21 Nov27 Nov14 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Feb18 Jan14 Dec18 Nov27 Oct18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONSIEUR CANDY Mar21 Feb21 Dec18 Oct17 Aug29 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
4  BACIO Nov02 Oct04 Aug08     (ward wesle)HERNANDEZ J 116 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  OUR STARRY NIGHT Apr03 Nov14 Oct16 Aug30 Aug14 (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
6  BEELINE Feb21 Jan21 Nov30 Oct22 Mar26 (mott riley)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIMULATE Apr09 Jan31 Dec13 Oct25 Aug30 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
8  JET SWEEP JOE Oct09 Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun12 (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 122 30.00    
SCR  SMASH IT Mar21 Mar01 Feb07 Dec18 Nov22 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
10  CAMP HALE Apr03 Jun21 May18 Apr08 Feb08 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
11  B D VALESKI Mar19 Sep08 Jun27 Jun04 Apr30 (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  SWEET DANI BOY Mar08 Jan22       (vaccarezza nic)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.