Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $20.22 $14.22 237%
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $94.94 $82.94 691%
CD-2   EXA (8/1/2/6/7)-(8/1/2/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-6 $42.72 $2.72 7%
    TRI (8/1/2/6/7)-(8/1/2/6/7)-(8/1/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-6-8 $54.13 $24.13 80%
    SFT (8/1/2/6/7)-(8/1/2/6/7)-(8/1/2/6/7)-(8/1/2/6/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-6-8-7 $50.50 $38.50 321%
    DD (5/2/3)-(8/1/2/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-2 $36.74 $21.74 145%
CD-5   WIN (10/9/12/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $12.68 $4.68 59%
    EXA (10/9/12/3)-(10/9/7/12/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  9-3 $128.18 $96.18 301%
    TRI (10/9/12/3)-(10/9/7/12/3)-(10/9/7/12/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-3-12 $345.96 $321.96 1342%
    SFT (10/9/12/3)-(10/9/7/12/3)-(10/9/7/12/3)-(10/9/7/12/3) 96 $0.10 $9.60  9-3-12-10 $173.94 $164.34 1712%
    DD (11/9/5/7/1)-(10/9/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-9 $32.70 $12.70 64%
CD-8   WIN (13/12/5/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $18.56 $8.56 86%
    EXA (13/12/5/1/10)-(13/12/5/1/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-12 $86.00 $46.00 115%
    TRI (13/12/5/1/10)-(13/12/5/1/10)-(13/12/5/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-12-13 $59.31 $29.31 98%
CD-9   WIN (3/5/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $33.86 $25.86 323%
    EXA (3/5/12/4)-(3/5/12/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  12-5 $116.00 $84.00 263%
    DD (13/12/5/1/10)-(3/5/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-12 $174.18 $154.18 771%
CD-10   WIN (10/13/12/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $27.30 $17.30 173%
    DD (3/5/12/4)-(10/13/12/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  12-12 $201.31 $181.31 907%
    PK3 (13/12/5/1/10)-(3/5/12/4)-(10/13/12/2/9) 100 $3.00 $300  1-12-12 $8436 $8136 2712%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULMINE 3 2 21 1nk   1 1 (sweezey kent)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.11 W
KID TWIST 2 4 32 4   3 2 (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 10% 9.50 9.23 P
JUST LIKE MAX 4 1 43 32   2 34 (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 12.56  
SWUNG 6 6 65 6   6 4 (williams )TORRES A 120 3.00 13.92  
NO BEES 5 5 53 5   5 57 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.18  
DR FENN 1 3 11 2nk   43 6 (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 120 5.00 28.70  
 
CD-2   11/13/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL QUOTE 2 9 8 6 4 17 1 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 7% 13.70 0.67 W
HARBOR PRINCE 6 6 6 8 7 3 2 (drur)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 10.00 5% 19.00 37.92 P
SOUND CAUSE 8 5 75 7 8 49 310¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 3.50 42% 1.40 6.37 S
PACIFIC STANDARD 7 2 42 4 3 27 412 (goodwin n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.33  
VINO DOMINUS 4 1 21 21 2 711 517¼ (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 7.80  
HEROIC ACT 1 4 3 32 5 611 617½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.00 18% 4.40 4.91  
ANDO 5 7 53 5 6 811¼ 719¾ (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 15.00 28.47  
WIZARD OF YESTER 3 3 11 11 1 510 830½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 13.09  
BIG NELSON 9 8 913½ 913¼ 913¾ 924¼ 947 (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 47.21  
 
CD-3   11/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPYING 4 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 1¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 8.27  
RANDO 2 6 7 64 3½ 1nk 2¼ (asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 7.74  
SURPRISE 1 4 52 42 41 32 3 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 64% 0.60 1.30 S
MAD ABOUT MARIE 6 5 31 31 2½ 44 4 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.98  
LA MARINERA 7 3 6 54 6 5 512 (fernandez )HERNANDEZ N 118 20.00 68.51  
PARKING LOT POURS 5 7 87 86 89 710 614¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.49  
PRINCESS NY 3 2 1½ 1½ 5 69 714¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 4.14  
THEPRINCESSFACTOR 8 8 42 75 78 813½ 832½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 13% 6.80 4.92  
 
CD-4   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF QUEENS 9 4 43 4   11 11 (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 10% 8.60 4.19 W
BELLSONHERSHOES 8 6 7 22   21 21 (kenneally)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 14.09  
10  THE TOWN TEMPTER 10 2 8 8   66 3 (hartman chris)BACON W 119 10.00 15.11  
PIPPA'S NONCENTS 3 10 9 7   4 4 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 5.85  
BANA 7 5 64 6   76 5 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
11  PUSHING THROUGH 11 7 10 9   9 6 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 60% 0.70 2.61  
OAKS STREET 5 8 32 5   55 7 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 6% 15.60 4.74  
FIZZY GIRL 2 3 1 12   3 8 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 11.83  
TIZZLIN 4 1 2 32   8 911¾ (cunningham s)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 24.47  
LOVE KNICKS HART 6 11 11 108   1010¼ 1016¼ (catalano wa)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 12.49  
BATTISTO 1 9 54 1113   1122¼ 1142½ (bogle fergus)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
 
CD-5   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEOPLE GET READY 7 3 6 52   1nk 1nk (michael b)BEALMEAR C 122 4.50 33% 2.00 5.34 W
HARD TO GET 3 9 5 3   2nk 2nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.53 P
12  ENTICING MOVES 10 7 8 65   54 3 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.37 S
10  ADALENE 8 1 11 11   3½ 4 (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 124 4.00 38% 1.70 1.02  
REAL NICE SURPRISE 6 2 21 4   4 56 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 13.52  
VOLATILE NITE 5 8 9 77   77 6 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 5.08  
DEVILSGOLDENFIDDLE 4 4 75 99   8 712 (holden darragh)SHEEHY DANNY 122 6.00 14.56  
11  MY FAVORITE GIRL 9 6 3 21   6 812¾ (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 10.00 33.83  
NAN O'HARA 2 10 1010½ 1011   911½ 914 (brafford mi)PETERSON FERRIN 122 20.00 72.03  
GOLDEN GRAMMY 1 5 4 8   1014½ 1020½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 15.00 13.71  
SCR  MISS QUE SERA               (fawkes da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
SCR  MOTHER VOLGA               (waltz bri)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  PAULINE'S ANGEL               (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S TAKIN CHARGE               (coontz art)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
 
CD-6   11/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($80K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:113 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TO DO 5 1 1 11 11 1 13 (wismer glenn )ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 3.98  
MISSION IMPROBABLE 2 3 55 5 6 33 23 (brisset rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 19.20  
ASPENITE 1 2 3 32 32 2 3 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 2.69 S
FACTOR ANALYSIS 3 6 65 6 42 4 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 1.41  
VILLAIN 6 5 2 21 21 5 59 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 21% 3.80 4.96  
MACKADOO 4 4 4 4 5 6 612¼ (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 26% 2.90 8.16  
SCR  GOVERNING PARTY               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  NOT FALLING BACK               (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  UNLEASH THE POWER               (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
 
CD-7   11/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 7 1 6 5   1½ 11 (miller peter)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 2.54  
TIZNTSHELOVELY 5 5 7 7   5 21 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.54  
WITS AND WAGERS 6 8 8 8   6 31 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 3.15  
LOOKATMYBUCKLE 2 2 2 1nk   2½ 4 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 23.22  
CAMPAIGN PROMISES 4 3 3 2nk   3½ 5 (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 71% 0.40 3.80  
STREET PAINTER 1 4 1 3½   42 6 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.81  
SHE'S NO ANGEL 3 7 4 6   8 712½ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 7.33  
DARK FURY 8 6 5 4   7 814¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 5.00 10.20  
 
CD-8   11/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC BURST 1 2 11 1½   1 1 (arnold george )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.28 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLOUDBURST by STORM CAT)
12  PARADISE (FR) 10 1 7 4   2 2 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 16% 5.10 3.80 P
  (by BRIGADIER GERARD (GB) out of VENETIAN HARBOR by MUNNINGS)
13  BETTY'S PEARL 11 10 4 2½   32 34 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 55% 0.80 0.84 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of TAPPING PEARL by TAPIT)
FUNNY BUNNY 8 11 1110¾ 8   66 4 (beckman whit)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 18.28  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TAP OF THE DAY by PULPIT)
DOLLADORO 3 3 64 6   5 5 (damato ph)TORRES A 119 10.00 16.20  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of RUNWAY DOLL by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
LADY LAW 6 5 10 10   9 6 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 65.90  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LADY BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SPEIGHTRESS 4 7 21 7   87 711½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.26  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LADY BYNG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  VICTOR VALLEY 9 9 5 5   76 812½ (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.02  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BLAME IT ON ED by BLAME)
SHE'S SO COAL 5 6 32 3   4 913¾ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 42.90  
  (by COAL FRONT out of SHE'S SMOKE by HALF OURS)
STAY IN TUNE 7 4 9 9   1010½ 1017 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 31.81  
  (by MERITABLE out of CLASSY TUNE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
VOLATILE SPARK 2 8 8 1110¼   1112½ 1119 (gallagher will)SHEEHY DANNY 119 20.00 42.29  
  (by VOLATILE out of UNTAPPED FIRE by TAPIZAR)
SCR  AUNT SHERYL               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  DETERMINED ACE               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FASHION ISLAND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  EMPORIUM               (elliott m)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SCR  SMOKED PEACH               (donjuan se)HERNANDEZ N 119 15.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of TIZ MAY WEST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  TAP THIS WAY               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of LA GRAN BAILADORA by AFLEET ALEX)
 
CD-9   11/13/2025 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :453 1:093 1:214   1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  DIVE BOMBER 11 4 2½ 2nk   11 1 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 9% 10.00 15.93 W
MULTIVERSE 5 3 5 4   21 2 (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 32% 2.10 1.57 P
11  MO QUALITY 10 1 1½ 1nk   3 33 (davis chr)TORRES A 118 20.00 61.34  
COALMOON 7 7 63 64   43 4 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 7.60  
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 8 6 32 32   54 5 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00 95.58  
TALBINGO 3 10 8 7   66 6 (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 36% 1.80 2.71  
MC VAY 2 11 10 10   77 78 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 12.67  
FAUST 4 5 9 8   87 8 (asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 21.94  
10  OPTICAL 9 9 11 11   1014 920 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 7.91  
FORT NELSON 1 2 42 53   1115½ 1022¾ (mott william)TORRES A 118 6.00 14.63  
NOTAH 6 8 7 9   913½ 1123 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 15.43  
SCR  MASTER CONTROLLER               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/13/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:222 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SPRING DANCER 10 1 11 1½   1nk 1½ (morse randy )TORRES A 122 6.00 13% 6.50 12.65 W
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SPRING INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
11  AURORA SKY 9 12 10 9   5 2½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 12.77  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TABLE THREE TEN by EL PRADO (IRE))
JUSTINE (NZ) 1 2 3 3   2nk 3¾ (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 4.61  
  (by JUSTICE PREVAILS (AUS) out of BALLISTIC SUE by CITY ZIP)
CLASSY BEACH 2 7 6 43   4 4¾ (kenneally)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.18  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ULTIMATE CLASS by DURING)
10  CANDY MINE 8 5 21 2½   32 5 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 51% 1.00 1.65  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TIZ RAE ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
LORIEBETH 6 9 9 10   8 6 (taylor bren)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00 80.64  
  (by TAPITURE out of MY AUNT BETH by HAYNESFIELD)
ONE HAPPY ISLAND 7 10 12 11   10 73 (kordenbrock matt)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 5% 19.00 17.86  
  (by UNCLE MO out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
15  ONCE UPON A TIME 12 11 4 6   6 87 (dalton michel)BACON W 122 10.00 55.46  
  (by TEENOSO out of MO CHEEKS by UNCLE MO)
DEAR SCARLETT 5 3 8 8   9 9 (wilkes r)MONCADA IRVING 124 15.00 93.55  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BUTTERNUT BLOOMERS by CURLIN)
CONTEMPLATE 4 4 5 53   7 10 (harty eoin)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 6.11  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANOTHER THINK by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
EVIE'S EYEBROWS 3 6 11 12   12 11 (isbell ro)BEALMEAR C 122 30.00 98.81  
  (by MITOLE out of HOUSE OF FORTUNE by FREE HOUSE)
13  TAVERNA 11 8 7 75   119 1210¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 14% 6.40 4.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  HISSYFITTER               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CHINA GROVE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  OATH               (taul)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00    
  (by KNOWN FACT out of TRUTHFUL by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  TEMPTING EVE               (hartman chris)BACON W 122 3.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TEMPTING OUR FATE by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SCR  VELVETEEN               (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
  (by PIRATEER out of APPLIQUE by KIPLING)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.