Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $12.98 $0.98 8%
CD-2   EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-5 $21.70 $3.70 21%
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  8-5-3 $48.63 $39.63 440%
CD-4   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $11.48 $3.48 44%
CD-7   WIN (4/14/12/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $11.92 $1.92 19%
    EXA (4/14/12/5/1)-(4/14/12/5/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-5 $175.10 $135.10 338%
    TRI (4/14/12/5/1)-(4/14/12/5/1)-(4/14/12/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-5-12 $313.36 $283.36 945%
    DD (10/7/5/3/6)-(4/14/12/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00  7-1 $42.87 $17.87 71%
CD-9   WIN (9/3/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $23.00 $13.00 130%
    EXA (9/3/10/4/5)-(9/3/10/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-9 $71.86 $31.86 80%
    TRI (9/3/10/4/5)-(9/3/10/4/5)-(9/3/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-9-4 $283.37 $253.37 845%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY NURSE   (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 37% 1.70 0.81 W
LOVELY WORDS   (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122 5.00 7% 13.60 3.81 P
SENORA D'ORO   (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 2.31  
RACONTEUSE   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00 28% 2.60 9.24  
VELVETEEN   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 17.65  
SCR  OUR SHENANIGAN   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
SCR  STACKING TENS   (guida luke)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARDTOBLAME   (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 64% 0.60 0.99 W
VERSED   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 13% 6.90 10.99 P
BANKER'S JET   (casse mar)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.99 S
FROSTED MUG   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 16.50  
BLYTHES FERRY   (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 119 12.00 40.34  
GRAY IS OKAY   (hartman chris)BACON W 119 3.50 2.25  
BRAVAZOMOSO   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 6.50  
TREBLEWITHTHECURVE   (pitts helen)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 32.45  
SCR  PATTERN APPROACH   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOT'S LAW   (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 8.26  
CLASSIC GLIDE   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 25% 3.00 4.01 P
MISS CALL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 37% 1.70 1.09 S
AUTHENTIC ANGEL   (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 15.00 36.89  
I'M A LITTLE CRAZY   (damato philip)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 14% 6.20 2.81  
WOODRUFF   (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.99  
ALTA AVENUE   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 12.07  
QUINCE   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 43.22  
 
CD-4   11/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROVELAND   (caramori ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 21% 3.90 4.74 W
RAISING KANE   (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 6.00 6.37  
SPRINT OUT PASS   (martinez kelli)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 13.76  
ASKARI   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 50% 1.00 0.89  
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE   (hiles jeff)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 6% 15.50 6.16  
CLOUDY HOLIDAY   (martinez kell)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 14.50  
TEJAS   (santamari)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 32.18  
MO HOPE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.78  
 
CD-5   11/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  LORD MAJESTY   (galindo-)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 14.10  
SHIPMAN   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 4.26  
11  DUTCH MILLS   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 8.00 20% 4.10 8.64 S
W W CRAZY   (calhoun william)LANERIE J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.84  
BUSHIDO   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80 0.99  
HOMETOWN HERO   (moreno tito)MENDOZA AMIR 115 30.00 ######  
KHOZY MY BOY   (santamari)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 34.38  
ONE COOL DUDE   (blair jordan)TORRES A 120 5.00 13% 6.60 7.92  
NABOKOV   (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 23.05  
PIERCE ELEVATED   (salas marcel)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00 ######  
READY PURSUIT   (gonzal)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 115 30.00 ######  
SCR  M B'S MUNNING   (galindo-torres)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAR THE QUEEN   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 21% 3.70 2.46 W
10  TUTTA LA VITA (AUS)   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 35% 1.90 2.27 P
EXCLUSIVE STAR   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 4.01  
HEART SPIN   (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 32.45  
APPELLATE   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 10.19  
11  BIRKIN GIRL   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 38.18  
BIJOU BABY   (grubbs ja)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00 42.59  
GRADE A   (o'dwyer jeremi)SHEEHY DANNY 118 5.00 16% 5.10 7.26  
FREAK CITY   (jacobs mag)HERNANDEZ N 121 50.00 98.26  
COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE)   (morey willi)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 5% 19.00 13.73  
KITTENS STORMY GAL   (bindner walter )LANERIE J 120 50.00 ######  
12  CAITLIN TIME   (maker michae)TORRES A 118 15.00 22.59  
SCR  BEETS   (mccarthy )LEPAROUX R 121 15.00    
SCR  DIFFERENTLY   (combs bentley)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 30.00    
SCR  TRIUMPHANT SPIRIT   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUM BOURBON   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.96 W
CITY OF LIFE   (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.56 P
12  OIL CAPITAL   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.50 17% 4.70 2.19 S
NASH POTATOES   (newton troy)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 9.27  
DISCOTHEQUE   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 3.00 31% 2.30 2.72  
SAVING HEART   (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00 59.22  
HIGHWAY PATROL   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 80.69  
14  COASTAL BREEZE   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 30% 2.30 4.22  
OUTOFPI   (gonzal)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 117 12.00 18.45  
LOVE THAT SYMPHONY   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 23.48  
SCR  ALIAS   (rice linda)TORRES A 122 5.00    
SCR  ANTIETAM   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  HISTORIC   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  ONCE UPON A TIME   (dalton michel)BACON W 119 10.00    
SCR  PURPLE HEART   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS   (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 3.36  
MONEY SUPPLY   (jacobson )TORRES A 121 6.00 16.48  
SOLO VENTURI   (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 7.99  
EXCITE   (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 28% 2.50 1.65  
CAN'T HUSH THIS   (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 29% 2.40 2.62  
SNEAD   (brisset rodo)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 49.42  
JACK'S PROMISE   (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 15.40  
BABY MAX   (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 19% 4.40 11.41  
 
CD-9   11/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEJOE GO   (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50 W
MOUNT HOREB   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 29% 2.40 1.53 P
BLAST FURNACE   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.14 S
MIDNITE IN FINLEY   (ewing michae)RAMOS D 118 30.00 22.75  
DOMINGO   (oliver vi)TORRES A 121 20.00 23.46  
10  ROCKY JOY   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 18% 4.60 9.43  
12  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 39.99  
BITE AND STRIKE   (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 29% 2.50 4.33  
GIBRAN   (barrett roddina )BEJARANO R 121 50.00 ######  
OBELISK   (m)DE CRUZ 121 30.00 71.40  
JONATHAN'S SONG   (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 21.04  
11  WARLANDER   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 4.11  
SCR  FORT THOMAS   (arnold georg)TORRES A 121 15.00    
SCR  MAUI STRONG   (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM PROMISE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  SHOW OF FORCE   (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOB   (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.30  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ONSLAUGHT by FIT TO FIGHT)
BOSS DYLAN   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 9.91  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWEET by BLAME)
OCELLI   (beckman wh)RAMOS D 119 20.00 15.42  
  (by CONNECT out of ZALIA by SCAT DADDY)
CIRCLE TAP   (stewart d)TORRES A 119 10.00 16% 5.40 8.89  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
MUMDOGGIE   (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 24% 3.10 10.11  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MISS BEATRICE by LIAM'S MAP)
WALL STREET   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 19% 4.30 1.11  
  (by REAL ESTATE out of SONG (GB) by UNKNOWN)
EXHIBITION   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00 84.24  
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA RAFAELA by SMART STRIKE)
MAGICSTRIKESAGAIN   (brown c)TORRES A 119 10.00 44.71  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
10  TROUBLE CALLING   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 19% 4.30 6.07  
  (by DIALED IN out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
IMPRACTICAL   (heath des)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 57.36  
  (by PREDECESSOR out of BREAD N' WATER by HIGH ECHELON)
11  LIKE WATER   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 36.38  
  (by FROSTED out of SUGAR SWEET by MR. GREELEY)
12  PHANTOM SLAYER   (casse norm )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 52.18  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RECOLLECTION by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  FIFTY FOUR YARDER   (von kelly)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of REGGAE ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.