Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-4   WIN (7/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $20.02 $12.02 150%
    DD (2/10/4)-(7/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $15.17 $3.17 26%
CD-5   DD (7/6/5/8)-(1/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-4 $24.27 $8.27 52%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNTAIN WOLF   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 75% 0.30 0.24 W
FEDERAL AGENT   (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 9.41 P
BAGG O TIME   (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 119 15.00 25.79  
BROCK'S BOY   (leonard george)CEDILLO ABEL 119 20.00 42.70  
BAAL   (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.32  
PROTOTYPE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 5.07  
HOMEPAGE   (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 39.64  
SCR  C. P. A. JIM   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
 
CD-2   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITLED LADY   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 1.26  
DEMI   (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 5.33 P
PROGENY   (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 120 10.00 32.50  
SENSE OF PEARL   (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 120 12.00 24% 3.20 19.22  
GOLDEN DEGREE   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 31% 2.20 1.49  
WE'LL DO IT LIVE   (salas ma)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 13% 6.90 14.47  
SMART WITH HEART   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 10.00 13.76  
 
CD-3   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO SEVEN O   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 1.40 25% 3.00 0.81 W
11  I FORGOT TO ASK   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00 9.41  
SILENT HORIZON   (garcia genaro)MENDOZA AMIR 114 10.00 20.92  
MONTALBANO   (segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 47.66  
SECRETO UNO   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 3.80  
10  HEAVENLY MATCH   (o'dwyer jeremi)SHEEHY DANNY 119 15.00 24% 3.10 12.82  
KNICKADOO   (ewing mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 22% 3.50 18.62  
JOCK FROST   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 4.94  
SCR  ROYAL SAPPHIRE   (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  VINO SUBITO   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 6.00    
SCR  WOOD YOU DARE   (moreno t)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AERATE   (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 122 4.50 6% 14.50 9.01 W
MANDY'S MAN CAN   (sims phil)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 10.37  
CAPITAL CONNECTION   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 69% 0.50 2.24 S
SAINT SHANCE   (tomlinson mich)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.54  
CARDINAL UNION   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.95  
MIRACLE ON CENTRAL   (hartman chris)BACON W 122 10.00 14.06  
12  MAJOR LEAGUE   (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 40.81  
DU MONDE   (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 12.00 37.19  
11  FOX CREEK   (labra rogeli)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 30.00 77.80  
10  TEMPUS PRIME   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 2.03  
SCR  COASTAL BREEZE   (jacobson d)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 10.00    
SCR  MASHBURN   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 8.00    
 
CD-5   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST AN OPINION   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 18% 4.50 1.13 W
FAITH HOPE N LOVE   (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 32.69  
COASTLINE HOTTIE   (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 22.95  
SPOTAWAY   (rouck mar)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.56  
TARTARIA   (leonard geor)TORRES A 120 3.50 48% 1.10 3.15  
KANAZAWA   (fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 8.60 25.32  
10  SENSIBLE CHOICE   (anderson doug)BACON W 120 12.00 14.19  
STREAKING   (johnston )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 5.80  
WONDER OF YOU   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 4.50 6.83  
SCR  LYLAH RENEE   (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLAZIN' FURY   (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 3.93  
LOCKDOWNYOURTOWN   (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 1.96  
ROCKIN THE LANE   (hartman chris)BACON W 119 12.00 29.62  
YOU'RE IN HEAVEN   (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 51% 1.00 2.15  
SILVERTOWN   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 13% 6.90 6.58  
11  APPEALING MISCHIEF   (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 13.50  
FAITHFUL DEPARTED   (forster gran)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.77  
G ONE BOUND   (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.19  
TELLING TALES (ARG)   (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  BABY HELLO   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  LA PRESUMIDA   (segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYCON   (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 4.00 6% 15.50 2.70 W
  (by NYQUIST out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
INTANGIBLE   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.99 P
  (by DIESIS (GB) out of FINANCIAL ONE by MALIBU MOON)
RHAPSODY IN BLUE   (roggenkam)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 77.71  
  (by BERNSTEIN out of NOVEMBER by STORM BOOT)
RED RAINBOW   (wismer gl)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 53.28  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU RAINBOW by MALIBU MOON)
BELLA STREET   (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 5.00 12% 7.40 9.22  
  (by UPSTART out of BIRRA by STREET SENSE)
FLASH OF FREEDOM   (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 2.99  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
LEEDU   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 22% 3.50 7.39  
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of WILL DO by ROMAN RULER)
SUMMER DATE   (medina ro)TORRES A 119 20.00 20.47  
  (by RIVA RIDGE out of SHE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  CEARNACH   (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 14.68  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BEGUILED by ORB)
SCR  SHIDONI   (salas felipe)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of KAT'S INFATUATION by SILVER CITY)
 
CD-8   11/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGRESSIVE LIME   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 34% 1.90 1.10 W
CONCEIT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5.07  
DAME LAURA (IRE)   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 43% 1.30 2.02 S
BACK RING BUZZ   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 7.17  
MY LADY JBELLA   (cibelli jane)TORRES A 122 20.00 45.79  
STORM CLOUD RISING   (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00 5% 19.00 49.17  
DIABLO SHIRAZ   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.27  
DREAMING WHY   (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  DREAMING COLLECT   (davis d)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILLIANT BOMB   (spagnol)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 66.22  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of LOVE TO REMINISCE by SUPER SAVER)
NON CONFORMING   (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.35 P
  (by UNIFIED out of FLOUT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  PATRIOT MOON   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.10 S
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of MOON ABDUCTION by MALIBU MOON)
C MCGRIFF   (medina ro)TORRES A 119 20.00 46.13  
  (by TACITUS out of WONDER STONE by SUPER SAVER)
RIGHTEOUS   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.95  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UBETWEREVEN by FRENCH DEPUTY)
MY MILESTONE   (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 6.00 9% 9.80 10.75  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of QUALITY OF MERCY by SUMMER FRONT)
CRICKET NECK   (gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00 ######  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHE'S PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
OUTLAW EMPIRE   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 29% 2.40 6.89  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN CHARM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
12  BLESSED WARRIOR   (douaihy m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 15.00 46.90  
  (by MITOLE out of ROYAL RAJA by AMERICAIN)
KINGSCLIFF   (jacobson david)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 8.59  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SUNSET WISH by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CANDY CANE CRAIN   (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of FLUFFHEAD by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  SLAY SADIE SLAY   (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of STRONGERTHANUKNOW by MINESHAFT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.