Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   WIN (7/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $20.02 $12.02 150%
    DD (2/10/4)-(7/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $15.17 $3.17 26%
CD-5   DD (7/6/5/8)-(1/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-4 $24.27 $8.27 52%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/19/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOUNTAIN WOLF 2 3 33 32 2½ 11½ 15½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 75% 0.30 0.24 W
3  FEDERAL AGENT 3 4 12 12 1½ 21½ 25½ (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 9.41 P
1  BAGG O TIME 1 7 79 78¼ 68½ 49½ 312¾ (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 119 15.00 25.79  
7  BROCK'S BOY 6 6 65 64¾ 34 38 416 (leonard george)CEDILLO ABEL 119 20.00 42.70  
4  BAAL 4 1 22 22 45 511 522½ (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.32  
6  PROTOTYPE 5 5 53½ 54¼ 58½ 614 627½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 ★ 5.07  
8  HOMEPAGE 7 2 43½ 44 710½ 718½ 744¾ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 39.64  
SCR  C. P. A. JIM               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
 
CD-2   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:232 :464 :584     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TITLED LADY 4 1 2nk 1nk   12½ 14 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 1.26  
7  DEMI 7 4 32 31   22½ 24 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 ★ 5.33 P
5  PROGENY 5 6 42¼ 53¼   44½ 39 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 120 10.00 32.50  
1  SENSE OF PEARL 1 2 75¼ 65¼   56½ 49 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 120 12.00 24% 3.20 19.22  
2  GOLDEN DEGREE 2 7 65¼ 43   66¾ 516 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 31% 2.20 1.49  
3  WE'LL DO IT LIVE 3 5 1nk 2nk   34½ 617¼ (salas ma)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 13% 6.90 14.47  
6  SMART WITH HEART 6 3 52¾ 77¾   715¼ 742¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 10.00 13.76  
 
CD-3   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:231 :47 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TWO SEVEN O 2 4 1½ 2nk   1nk 12¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 1.40 25% 3.00 0.81 W
11  I FORGOT TO ASK 8 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 22¾ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00 9.41  
5  SILENT HORIZON 5 6 74½ 66½   55 34¼ (garcia genaro)MENDOZA AMIR 114 10.00 20.92  
1  MONTALBANO 1 2 31 32½   33½ 46½ (segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 47.66  
3  SECRETO UNO 3 3 42 43   44 58¾ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 3.80  
10  HEAVENLY MATCH 7 8 86½ 89½   810½ 614¼ (o'dwyer jeremi)SHEEHY DANNY 119 15.00 24% 3.10 12.82  
4  KNICKADOO 4 5 52½ 55   69 716 (ewing mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 22% 3.50 18.62  
7  JOCK FROST 6 7 64 78½   710 816½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 ★ 4.94  
SCR  ROYAL SAPPHIRE               (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  VINO SUBITO               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 6.00    
SCR  WOOD YOU DARE               (moreno t)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AERATE 4 1 21½ 32½   32½ 11½ (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 122 4.50 6% 14.50 9.01 W
1  MANDY'S MAN CAN 1 7 11½ 11½   12 21½ (sims phil)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 10.37  
7  CAPITAL CONNECTION 5 8 53 21½   22 32½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 69% 0.50 2.24 S
8  SAINT SHANCE 6 9 74½ 53½   53½ 43¼ (tomlinson mich)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.54  
5  CARDINAL UNION 3 10 42½ 63½   43½ 53¼ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.95  
2  MIRACLE ON CENTRAL 2 2 31½ 43   64½ 66 (hartman chris)BACON W 122 10.00 ★ 14.06  
12  MAJOR LEAGUE 10 3 63½ 77   77½ 78½ (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 40.81  
9  DU MONDE 7 5 88 89   810 813¼ (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 12.00 37.19  
11  FOX CREEK 9 4 1010½ 912   914½ 923 (labra rogeli)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 30.00 77.80  
10  TEMPUS PRIME 8 6 98½ 1015   1024½ 1061½ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 2.03  
SCR  COASTAL BREEZE               (jacobson d)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 10.00    
SCR  MASHBURN               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 8.00    
 
CD-5   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUST AN OPINION 3 6 65 64¼   42½ 1hd (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 18% 4.50 1.13 W
7  FAITH HOPE N LOVE 6 2 12 12   1nk 2hd (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 32.69  
5  COASTLINE HOTTIE 4 1 43 32½   2nk 3¼ (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 22.95  
6  SPOTAWAY 5 7 54 42½   3½ 41¼ (rouck mar)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.56  
1  TARTARIA 1 3 75½ 74¾   53 53¾ (leonard geor)TORRES A 120 3.50 48% 1.10 3.15  
9  KANAZAWA 8 5 32½ 22   63½ 67¼ (fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 8.60 25.32  
10  SENSIBLE CHOICE 9 8 96½ 85¾   76 78 (anderson doug)BACON W 120 12.00 14.19  
8  STREAKING 7 4 22 54   88½ 817¾ (johnston )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 5.80  
2  WONDER OF YOU 2 9 86 97¼   936½ 9100 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 4.50 ★ 6.83  
SCR  LYLAH RENEE               (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GLAZIN' FURY 3 1 11 13   16 16¼ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 3.93  
2  LOCKDOWNYOURTOWN 2 2 21 23   26 26¼ (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 1.96  
4  ROCKIN THE LANE 4 6 66¼ 67   37 38¼ (hartman chris)BACON W 119 12.00 29.62  
5  YOU'RE IN HEAVEN 5 5 42½ 45   48½ 412¼ (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 51% 1.00 2.15  
6  SILVERTOWN 6 4 52¾ 55   58½ 514 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 13% 6.90 6.58  
11  APPEALING MISCHIEF 9 9 911¼ 811   712 614¾ (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 13.50  
8  FAITHFUL DEPARTED 8 8 77¾ 710   814 721 (forster gran)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.77  
7  G ONE BOUND 7 7 89¾ 912   915½ 821 (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.19  
1  TELLING TALES (ARG) 1 3 31 34½   610½ 923¼ (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 ★ 23.10  
SCR  BABY HELLO               (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  LA PRESUMIDA               (segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NYCON 3 7 84 73½ 2nk 12½ 14¾ (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 4.00 6% 15.50 2.70 W
  (by NYQUIST out of RAISE THE FLAG by DR. ADAGIO)
8  INTANGIBLE 7 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 22½ 24¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.99 P
  (by DIESIS (GB) out of FINANCIAL ONE by MALIBU MOON)
9  RHAPSODY IN BLUE 8 9 910½ 912 76¾ 67 39 (roggenkam)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 77.71  
  (by BERNSTEIN out of NOVEMBER by STORM BOOT)
4  RED RAINBOW 4 3 1nk 1nk 31½ 45½ 411 (wismer gl)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 53.28  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU RAINBOW by MALIBU MOON)
1  BELLA STREET 1 1 41½ 31 41¾ 35 512½ (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 5.00 12% 7.40 9.22  
  (by UPSTART out of BIRRA by STREET SENSE)
2  FLASH OF FREEDOM 2 2 52 52 63¼ 57 612½ (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 ★ 2.99  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FLASHY CAMPAIGN by POLITICAL FORCE)
5  LEEDU 5 6 62½ 63 53¼ 78 715½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 22% 3.50 7.39  
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of WILL DO by ROMAN RULER)
7  SUMMER DATE 6 8 73½ 87 910¾ 912¾ 817¼ (medina ro)TORRES A 119 20.00 20.47  
  (by RIVA RIDGE out of SHE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  CEARNACH 9 5 3½ 41½ 87¾ 812½ 923¼ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 14.68  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BEGUILED by ORB)
SCR  SHIDONI               (salas felipe)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of KAT'S INFATUATION by SILVER CITY)
 
CD-8   11/19/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:224 :484 1:134 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AGGRESSIVE LIME 8 5 42 41½ 41¼ 11 11½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 34% 1.90 1.10 W
2  CONCEIT 2 4 54 52½ 62¼ 31½ 21½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5.07  
5  DAME LAURA (IRE) 4 8 88 86¼ 73¾ 42 31¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 43% 1.30 2.02 S
8  BACK RING BUZZ 7 3 31 31 2nk 21 42¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 7.17  
1  MY LADY JBELLA 1 6 66 64½ 52¼ 53 54¼ (cibelli jane)TORRES A 122 20.00 45.79  
4  STORM CLOUD RISING 3 1 1nk 1nk 3.2 67½ 613¾ (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00 5% 19.00 49.17  
7  DIABLO SHIRAZ 6 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 79½ 716 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.27  
6  DREAMING WHY 5 7 77 74¾ 87¼ 817½ 829 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  DREAMING COLLECT               (davis d)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRILLIANT BOMB 2 3 1nk 1nk   12 12½ (spagnol)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 66.22  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of LOVE TO REMINISCE by SUPER SAVER)
9  NON CONFORMING 8 1 2nk 2nk   22 22½ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.35 P
  (by UNIFIED out of FLOUT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  PATRIOT MOON 9 4 3½ 3½   32 32¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.10 S
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of MOON ABDUCTION by MALIBU MOON)
5  C MCGRIFF 4 9 97¼ 86¾   56 44¾ (medina ro)TORRES A 119 20.00 46.13  
  (by TACITUS out of WONDER STONE by SUPER SAVER)
1  RIGHTEOUS 1 2 41 42   44½ 56¾ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.95  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UBETWEREVEN by FRENCH DEPUTY)
7  MY MILESTONE 6 10 65 55   67½ 610¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 6.00 9% 9.80 10.75  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of QUALITY OF MERCY by SUMMER FRONT)
8  CRICKET NECK 7 6 107¾ 109¼   109¾ 710¾ (gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00 ######  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHE'S PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  OUTLAW EMPIRE 5 5 54 66   78½ 812 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 29% 2.40 6.89  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN CHARM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
12  BLESSED WARRIOR 10 7 75¼ 76½   89 912¼ (douaihy m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 15.00 46.90  
  (by MITOLE out of ROYAL RAJA by AMERICAIN)
4  KINGSCLIFF 3 8 85¼ 97¼   99¼ 1014 (jacobson david)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 8.59  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SUNSET WISH by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  CANDY CANE CRAIN               (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of FLUFFHEAD by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  SLAY SADIE SLAY               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of STRONGERTHANUKNOW by MINESHAFT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.