Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $30.26 $6.26 26%
CD-4   DD (3/6)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-3 $7.10 $1.10 18%
CD-5   WIN (10/9/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $17.60 $7.60 76%
    EXA (10/9/5/8/7)-(10/9/5/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-5 $69.60 $29.60 74%
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/4/7)-(10/9/5/8/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00  3-3-10 $28.60 $13.60 91%
    PK4 (2/7/1/5)-(3/6)-(3/4/7)-(10/9/5/8/7) 120 $0.50 $60.00  2-2/3/4-2/3-10 $71.28 $11.28 19%
CD-7   WIN (1/5/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $10.94 $0.94 9%
CD-10   EXA (2/3/7/8/5)-(2/3/7/8/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-8 $43.32 $3.32 8%
    TRI (2/3/7/8/5)-(2/3/7/8/5)-(2/3/7/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-8-5 $222.68 $192.68 642%
CD-11   TRI (6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-6 $23.52 $11.52 96%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:13 1:261   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  G ROCKS 5 1 12 12 15 19½ 111¼ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 56% 0.80 0.42 W
5  GOLEXGO 3 2 22 32 25 29½ 211¼ (humphrie)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 13% 6.80 4.34 P
2  MIDNIGHT FLIGHT 1 4 42½ 42¼ 35 313 319¾ (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 119 3.50 3.82  
6  FLYING FOR TRIUMPH 4 5 57½ 58¼ 513 420 431¾ (hernan)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 15.00 26.88  
3  BROADWAY MUSICAL 2 3 32½ 22 411½ 524 559¾ (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.29  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MCKINZIE               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
SCR  STAY BEAUTIFUL               (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
 
CD-2   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STARLIT NITE 2 3 1½ 12   13½ 17 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 41% 1.50 1.06 W
7  AYE BAY BAY 7 5 31½ 22   23½ 27 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 26% 2.90 5.74 P
3  DOS AMORES 3 1 2½ 32   35½ 310 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 2.37  
1  CINNAMON SUGAR (IRE) 1 2 42½ 46   48 410¾ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.90 4.43  
5  LADY VIRAGO 5 4 54 57   510 514¼ (stephen a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 45.20  
4  CELESTIAL HARMONY 4 7 67½ 68   611½ 618 (torres eri)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00 15.83  
6  SWEET ESPRESSO 6 6 79 716   724 755¾ (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 57.28  
 
CD-3   11/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PATTY VAN TWINKLE 2 2 41½ 41½   2½ 1½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 63% 0.60 1.19 W
5  PROMISES TO DANCE 3 3 2½ 1nk   3½ 2½ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 2.04  
6  ALWAYS ANGELS 4 1 31½ 2nk   1½ 31¾ (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 11% 8.40 1.65 S
1  ARGAN 1 4 1½ 3½   42½ 48 (shaffer sarah )CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00 18.86  
SCR  COPPER EM               (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
SCR  CURLIN'S MAGIC               (rice lind)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
 
CD-4   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($62.1K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAVIN'S RANSOM 2 1 2½ 1½   14 14 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 38% 1.60 1.61 W
5  SHAN 4 4 66½ 54½   34½ 24 (m)DE CRUZ 118 4.50 6.49  
4  SEXAGENARIAN 3 2 31½ 31   24 37¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 32% 2.10 2.35 S
6  CHARBONNAY 5 6 43½ 43½   55½ 48 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 5.54  
7  BOTTLES 6 5 54½ 65½   66½ 58 (kordenbrock )TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.87  
1  MATH TUTOR 1 3 1½ 2½   44½ 611¼ (antonucci)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 4.49  
SCR  KIRIN               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
 
CD-5   11/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:12 1:234   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VINA ARANA (IRE) 10 8 86¼ 85 51¼ 11 11½ (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 28% 2.60 7.80 W
5  LOW KEY IN LOVE 5 6 54½ 64 62¼ 42 21½ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 13% 6.60 1.43 P
6  MODAROSA 6 1 12 11½ 1nk 31½ 34 (mott riley)TORRES A 121 20.00 64.56  
4  TRICKY KITTY 4 11 1110¼ 117½ 94¾ 84½ 44¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.24  
9  PRINCESS ATTITUDE 9 4 64¾ 53 3.2 21 54¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 25% 3.00 3.59  
7  LADY GO GO 7 2 22 21½ 4¾ 62½ 66½ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 35.84  
8  SOMETHING STRONGER 8 5 33 32 2nk 52 76¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 12% 7.10 5.87  
3  COTILLARD 3 3 43 42½ 73¼ 74 87¼ (segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 ######  
11  GOOD GAME 11 10 108¾ 106½ 116¾ 106½ 97¾ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 34.93  
2  TETIAROA 2 9 98¼ 95½ 84¼ 95 108 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 6.86  
1  MY SEXY BLONDE 1 7 75¼ 74 105¼ 117½ 1110 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 76.41  
SCR  APPELLATE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  BIJOU BABY               (grubbs ja)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 20.00    
SCR  CAITLIN TIME               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  FEELING BEACHY               (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00    
SCR  FREAK CITY               (jacobs mag)HERNANDEZ N 121 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CALIFORNIA SMOKE 5 4 64 42½   11 14½ (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 11.66  
3  CONSTRUCTIVELY 2 3 1½ 2nk   21 24½ (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 9.85  
4  SONIC SASS 3 6 2½ 1nk   34 35½ (mccarthy micha)SHEEHY DANNY 119 15.00 6% 16.20 11.91 S
8  HOWYOUDOSOMETHING 7 8 85 86   68½ 48¾ (amoss thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19% 4.10 12.86  
7  JUSTICE ADDITION 6 2 3½ 3½   46 59¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 29% 2.50 1.83  
10  SOUPERRAZZLEDAZZLE 9 7 1018 108¾   911 612 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 ★ 5.45  
13  WARM UP THE BUS 12 10 74½ 65   89 712¾ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 15.00 36.96  
12  HONORISIA 11 1 53 54½   58 813 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 13.90  
2  CREVALLA DE VIL 1 11 916 75½   78½ 913 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 9.19  
5  HOPE RISING 4 12 1120 1111¾   1012 1014 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 40.10  
9  SWEET MAGNOLIA 8 9 1220½ 1212¼   1114 1118½ (pitts helen)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 70.41  
11  DESPERATE DREAMS 10 5 42½ 98½   1220 1244 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 20% 3.90 5.51  
SCR  CHIQUITA'S WAY               (laureano gle)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  LADY UPSTART               (blair jordan)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  LETS SHANCE IT               (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  MISS MO MAGIC               (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  I HAD THAT ONE TOO 2 5 79 67½ 54¾ 12 15 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 121 10.00 10% 9.50 4.47 W
4  LADAN 4 2 11½ 11½ 12½ 22 25 (shirer ma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 4.52  
10  WITS AND WAGERS 9 9 910½ 89 86 34½ 35¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 15% 5.70 3.25 S
6  MIZMALICE 6 6 68 78½ 75 46 47¾ (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 6.16  
1  AGGRO 1 4 21½ 21½ 22½ 56 512 (salas marcelin)MENDOZA AMIR 113 4.00 27% 2.60 8.84  
7  FOURFIFTYSEVEN 7 8 89½ 910 99 79½ 612¼ (barrett rodd)MONCADA IRVING 121 30.00 71.19  
9  BUMP IN THE NIGHT 8 7 55 53½ 44½ 69 717 (lovell miche)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.16  
5  MANAGE XPECTATIONS 5 1 43½ 43½ 64¾ 814½ 839¾ (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10 2.64  
3  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 3 3 31½ 32 34½ 915 940¼ (brown pa)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00 33.71  
SCR  LILMORECRAKEN               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00    
 
CD-8   11/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARJORAM 2 6 66 42   11 1¾ (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 3.03  
  (by MUTTERING out of CARDAMON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  KAYLA'S KOMET 4 2 1½ 1nk   21 2¾ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.00 21% 3.70 4.04 P
  (by MITOLE out of MAGGIE'S MONARCH by TONALIST)
8  TOUCH OF MAGIC 5 4 2½ 2nk   31 34 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 19% 4.20 3.09 S
  (by OUTFLANKER out of ANGEL IN DISGUISE by HALO)
2  AUNT SHERYL 1 7 76¼ 510   55¾ 45¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.95  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  JOKE MAKER 3 5 32 31½   45½ 59¾ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.33  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  NEVER SAID NO 6 1 55 612   613¾ 615¼ (arnold george)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 6.49  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MISS SQUEAL by SMART STRIKE)
10  MORE COFFEE 7 3 45 715   723¾ 742¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 29.34  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MORE THAN LUCKY by CURLIN)
SCR  EASY EFFORT               (west m)MENDOZA AMIR 114 15.00    
  (by BLUEBLOOD out of UTANI by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  OFF THE PAYROLL               (lynch bri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of INTERNAL AFFAIR by ORIENTATE)
SCR  TAPAJO BELLE               (simms jr)CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of TAPAJO by TAPIT)
 
CD-9   11/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TIMING DIFFERENCE 7 8 84¾ 64   21 11¼ (knippenberg )RAMOS D 120 6.00 ★ 3.95  
2  BOB'S CARROT 1 5 11 11½   11 21¼ (foster eric)TORRES A 118 6.00 16.79  
7  RIDDLE SOLVER 5 3 74¾ 74½   45½ 32½ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 8% 12.30 2.60 S
8  GOOD LORD 6 7 53 53   34 42¾ (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 18% 4.50 1.91  
6  COMES A TIME 4 1 21 21½   66 58 (rice lind)TORRES A 118 8.00 48% 1.10 18.18  
11  FORTY LOVE 9 9 97¾ 95½   76½ 68 (sweezey kent)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 34.71  
5  THE CHALK 3 6 64½ 85   88 710 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 10.70  
10  COLONEL CALIENTE 8 2 43 32½   56 810¾ (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.44  
3  BRODY 2 4 31½ 43   98¼ 917¼ (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 120 30.00 76.60  
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 20.00    
SCR  MICHAEL'S COVE               (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  THUNDERHAWK               (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
 
CD-10   11/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Commonwealth Turf Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:113 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GIOCOSO 7 8 83¾ 85¾ 94¾ 42 1nk (desormeaux k)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 12% 7.30 3.74 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
8  CHAPMAN'S PEAK 8 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 7% 12.80 4.53 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DICKINSON by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  OUTRUNNER 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 31 (duarte jorge)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 49.50 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GALE FORCE by CAT THIEF)
4  ANEGADA 4 7 95¾ 96¼ 84½ 53 41½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 31.90  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  MONTADOR 3 9 73¼ 74¼ 63 31½ 51¾ (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 26% 2.80 3.23  
  (by NYQUIST out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  CALIFORNIA BURRITO 1 3 31½ 41½ 73½ 76 67¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 31.61  
  (by ARMY MULE out of BLUEGRASS SUNSET by HARD SPUN)
11  PLENSA 10 4 105¾ 107¼ 106¾ 86½ 78¼ (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 12.95  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PROXIMITY BIAS by FLATTER)
6  MANSETTI 6 10 62¼ 62¼ 52½ 97½ 810¾ (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 118 6.00 12.04  
  (by COLLECTED out of GIDGET GIRL by SKY MESA)
2  TROUBLESHOOTING 2 6 42 52 42 65 912 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 28% 2.60 2.71  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  FLYING MOHAWK 9 5 52 31½ 3½ 108½ 1014¼ (beckman wh)RAMOS D 118 8.00 10.57  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of BONBONS FLEUR by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  SIMULATE               (mott will)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAMOU by WAR FRONT)
 
CD-11   11/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SLEEPINGONFREEDOM 2 2 43½ 63¼ 84¼ 31½ 11½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 16% 5.50 0.96 W
1  VITRUVIAN MAN 1 8 76¼ 75¾ 31½ 1nk 21½ (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.33 P
6  BIG APPLE PATRICK 4 5 11½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 33¼ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 29% 2.40 5.30 S
11  COLT FORTY SEVEN 8 6 810¼ 89¼ 63½ 43 47¼ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 6.00 23.27  
8  HORSE OF THE SEA 5 4 32 21½ 2½ 54 59½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 29% 2.40 8.21  
5  JUST ASAP 3 3 21½ 31½ 42½ 78½ 612¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 4.00  
10  POLITICS 7 7 63¾ 42½ 52½ 67 715¾ (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 10.79  
9  SEAL BAY 6 1 53½ 53 73¾ 812½ 828½ (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00 32.76  
SCR  BRAZILIAN CONEXAO               (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
SCR  COLLECTING               (mccarthy micha)SHEEHY DANNY 120 20.00    
SCR  TISUM               (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.