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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			EXA	(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)						12	$2.00	$24.00	2-7		$30.26			$6.26				26%
CD-4			DD	(3/6)-(3/4/7)						6	$1.00	$6.00	3-3		$7.10			$1.10				18%
CD-5			WIN	(10/9/5/8/7)						5	$2.00	$10.00	10		$17.60			$7.60				76%
			EXA	(10/9/5/8/7)-(10/9/5/8/7)						20	$2.00	$40.00	10-5		$69.60			$29.60				74%
			PK3	(3/6)-(3/4/7)-(10/9/5/8/7)						30	$0.50	$15.00	3-3-10		$28.60			$13.60				91%
			PK4	(2/7/1/5)-(3/6)-(3/4/7)-(10/9/5/8/7)						120	$0.50	$60.00	2-2/3/4-2/3-10		$71.28			$11.28				19%
CD-7			WIN	(1/5/10/2/9)						5	$2.00	$10.00	2		$10.94			$0.94				9%
CD-10			EXA	(2/3/7/8/5)-(2/3/7/8/5)						20	$2.00	$40.00	7-8		$43.32			$3.32				8%
			TRI	(2/3/7/8/5)-(2/3/7/8/5)-(2/3/7/8/5)						60	$0.50	$30.00	7-8-5		$222.68			$192.68				642%
CD-11			TRI	(6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1)						24	$0.50	$12.00	2-1-6		$23.52			$11.52				96%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/22/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($48K)			2		F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	G ROCKS									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						2.50		56%		0.80		0.42	W
5	GOLEXGO									(humphrie)RODRIGUEZ A 119						12.00		13%		6.80		4.34	P
2	MIDNIGHT FLIGHT									(ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 119						3.50						3.82
6	FLYING FOR TRIUMPH									(hernan)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114						15.00						26.88
3	BROADWAY MUSICAL									(o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00		5%		19.00		11.29
SCR	BEAUTIFUL MCKINZIE									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.00
SCR	STAY BEAUTIFUL									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119						3.00

CD-2			11/22/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($45K)			2		F		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	STARLIT NITE									(sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118						2.00		41%		1.50		1.06	W
7	AYE BAY BAY									(rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120						3.50		26%		2.90		5.74	P
3	DOS AMORES									(jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						4.00						2.37
1	CINNAMON SUGAR (IRE)									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118						2.50		13%		6.90		4.43
5	LADY VIRAGO									(stephen a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120						12.00		5%		19.00		45.20
4	CELESTIAL HARMONY									(torres eri)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120						10.00						15.83
6	SWEET ESPRESSO									(torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118						20.00						57.28

CD-3			11/22/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	PATTY VAN TWINKLE									(maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120						1.60		63%		0.60		1.19	W
5	PROMISES TO DANCE									(jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 120						2.00						2.04
6	ALWAYS ANGELS									(tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 120						8.00		11%		8.40		1.65	S
1	ARGAN									(shaffer sarah )CEDILLO ABEL 120						20.00						18.86
SCR	COPPER EM									(jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						2.50
SCR	CURLIN'S MAGIC									(rice lind)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						8.00

CD-4			11/22/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($62.1K)			3		ALL		PT- 2:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	RAVIN'S RANSOM									(rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118						4.00		38%		1.60		1.61	W
5	SHAN									(m)DE CRUZ 118						4.50						6.49
4	SEXAGENARIAN									(maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118						3.00		32%		2.10		2.35	S
6	CHARBONNAY									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						5.00						5.54
7	BOTTLES									(kordenbrock )TORRES A 118						10.00		5%		19.00		14.87
1	MATH TUTOR									(antonucci)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						10.00						4.49
SCR	KIRIN									(d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50

CD-5			11/22/2025		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	VINA ARANA (IRE)									(sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						3.50		28%		2.60		7.80	W
5	LOW KEY IN LOVE									(walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118						4.00		13%		6.60		1.43	P
6	MODAROSA									(mott riley)TORRES A 121						20.00						64.56
4	TRICKY KITTY									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						6.00						8.24
9	PRINCESS ATTITUDE									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		25%		3.00		3.59
7	LADY GO GO									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121						15.00		5%		19.00		35.84
8	SOMETHING STRONGER									(stall m)LANERIE J 118						8.00		12%		7.10		5.87
3	COTILLARD									(segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118						30.00						######
11	GOOD GAME									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00						34.93
2	TETIAROA									(bauer a)ORTIZ L 118						15.00						6.86
1	MY SEXY BLONDE									(taylor brent)BEJARANO R 121						30.00						76.41
SCR	APPELLATE									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121						12.00
SCR	BIJOU BABY									(grubbs ja)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121						20.00
SCR	CAITLIN TIME									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						6.00
SCR	FEELING BEACHY									(casse nor)LEPAROUX R 121						15.00
SCR	FREAK CITY									(jacobs mag)HERNANDEZ N 121						30.00

CD-6			11/22/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($67K)			2		F		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	CALIFORNIA SMOKE									(navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119						20.00						11.66
3	CONSTRUCTIVELY									(stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119						15.00						9.85
4	SONIC SASS									(mccarthy micha)SHEEHY DANNY 119						15.00		6%		16.20		11.91	S
8	HOWYOUDOSOMETHING									(amoss thom)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00		19%		4.10		12.86
7	JUSTICE ADDITION									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 119						3.00		29%		2.50		1.83
10	SOUPERRAZZLEDAZZLE									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 119						4.50		★				5.45
13	WARM UP THE BUS									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119						15.00						36.96
12	HONORISIA									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						15.00						13.90
2	CREVALLA DE VIL									(casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00						9.19
5	HOPE RISING									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						20.00						40.10
9	SWEET MAGNOLIA									(pitts helen)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119						20.00						70.41
11	DESPERATE DREAMS									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119						3.50		20%		3.90		5.51
SCR	CHIQUITA'S WAY									(laureano gle)BARBOSA CARLOS 119						20.00
SCR	LADY UPSTART									(blair jordan)TORRES A 119						15.00
SCR	LETS SHANCE IT									(west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119						5.00
SCR	MISS MO MAGIC									(baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						12.00

CD-7			11/22/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($63K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	I HAD THAT ONE TOO									(mcgee paul)LANERIE J 121						10.00		10%		9.50		4.47	W
4	LADAN									(shirer ma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121						15.00						4.52
10	WITS AND WAGERS									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.50		15%		5.70		3.25	S
6	MIZMALICE									(hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120						6.00						6.16
1	AGGRO									(salas marcelin)MENDOZA AMIR 113						4.00		27%		2.60		8.84
7	FOURFIFTYSEVEN									(barrett rodd)MONCADA IRVING 121						30.00						71.19
9	BUMP IN THE NIGHT									(lovell miche)TORRES A 121						10.00		5%		19.00		17.16
5	MANAGE XPECTATIONS									(foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						3.00		25%		3.10		2.64
3	FASTA LAVISTA BABY									(brown pa)RODRIGUEZ A 121						15.00						33.71
SCR	LILMORECRAKEN									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121						10.00

CD-8			11/22/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	MARJORAM									(mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00						3.03
		(by MUTTERING out of CARDAMON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7	KAYLA'S KOMET									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						4.00		21%		3.70		4.04	P
		(by MITOLE out of MAGGIE'S MONARCH by TONALIST)
8	TOUCH OF MAGIC									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119						3.50		19%		4.20		3.09	S
		(by OUTFLANKER out of ANGEL IN DISGUISE by HALO)
2	AUNT SHERYL									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						12.00		5%		19.00		16.95
		(by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4	JOKE MAKER									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.00		39%		1.60		2.33
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9	NEVER SAID NO									(arnold george)ORTIZ JR 119						5.00						6.49
		(by GUN RUNNER out of MISS SQUEAL by SMART STRIKE)
10	MORE COFFEE									(asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						29.34
		(by HARD SPUN out of MORE THAN LUCKY by CURLIN)
SCR	EASY EFFORT									(west m)MENDOZA AMIR 114						15.00
		(by BLUEBLOOD out of UTANI by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR	OFF THE PAYROLL									(lynch bri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00
		(by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of INTERNAL AFFAIR by ORIENTATE)
SCR	TAPAJO BELLE									(simms jr)CEDILLO ABEL 119						15.00
		(by ARMY MULE out of TAPAJO by TAPIT)

CD-9			11/22/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($76K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	TIMING DIFFERENCE									(knippenberg )RAMOS D 120						6.00		★				3.95
2	BOB'S CARROT									(foster eric)TORRES A 118						6.00						16.79
7	RIDDLE SOLVER									(casse w)ORTIZ JR 120						4.50		8%		12.30		2.60	S
8	GOOD LORD									(sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						5.00		18%		4.50		1.91
6	COMES A TIME									(rice lind)TORRES A 118						8.00		48%		1.10		18.18
11	FORTY LOVE									(sweezey kent)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						20.00						34.71
5	THE CHALK									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120						8.00						10.70
10	COLONEL CALIENTE									(esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						8.00		5%		19.00		5.44
3	BRODY									(pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 120						30.00						76.60
SCR	LOU'S LEGACY									(andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120						20.00
SCR	MICHAEL'S COVE									(newton tr)LEPAROUX R 118						30.00
SCR	THUNDERHAWK									(eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00

CD-10			11/22/2025		5610ft	TURF	RC12	FIRM	Commonwealth Turf					Purse ($300K)			3		ALL		PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	GIOCOSO									(desormeaux k)ORTIZ L 123						4.00		12%		7.30		3.74	W
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
8	CHAPMAN'S PEAK									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 118						4.50		7%		12.80		4.53	P
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of DICKINSON by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5	OUTRUNNER									(duarte jorge)TORRES A 118						30.00		5%		19.00		49.50	S
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GALE FORCE by CAT THIEF)
4	ANEGADA									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 120						12.00						31.90
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3	MONTADOR									(stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00		26%		2.80		3.23
		(by NYQUIST out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1	CALIFORNIA BURRITO									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118						20.00						31.61
		(by ARMY MULE out of BLUEGRASS SUNSET by HARD SPUN)
11	PLENSA									(arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 120						12.00						12.95
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of PROXIMITY BIAS by FLATTER)
6	MANSETTI									(attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 118						6.00						12.04
		(by COLLECTED out of GIDGET GIRL by SKY MESA)
2	TROUBLESHOOTING									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123						3.50		28%		2.60		2.71
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
9	FLYING MOHAWK									(beckman wh)RAMOS D 118						8.00						10.57
		(by KARAKONTIE out of BONBONS FLEUR by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR	SIMULATE									(mott will)LEPAROUX R 118						12.00
		(by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAMOU by WAR FRONT)

CD-11			11/22/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($83K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SLEEPINGONFREEDOM									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120						4.50		16%		5.50		0.96	W
1	VITRUVIAN MAN									(o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						8.00		5%		19.00		11.33	P
6	BIG APPLE PATRICK									(leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120						6.00		29%		2.40		5.30	S
11	COLT FORTY SEVEN									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120						6.00						23.27
8	HORSE OF THE SEA									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 120						4.00		29%		2.40		8.21
5	JUST ASAP									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 120						3.50						4.00
10	POLITICS									(mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 120						6.00						10.79
9	SEAL BAY									(moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 120						30.00						32.76
SCR	BRAZILIAN CONEXAO									(caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 122						12.00
SCR	COLLECTING									(mccarthy micha)SHEEHY DANNY 120						20.00
SCR	TISUM									(munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120						30.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.