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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-4			WIN	(4/8/10/1)						4	$2.00	$8.00	4		$8.70			$0.70				9%
CD-5			WIN	(6/7/8/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	8		$12.42			$4.42				55%
			TRI	(6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2/3)-(6/7/8/2/3)						48	$0.50	$24.00	8-6-7		$30.77			$6.77				28%
			SFT	(6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2/3)-(6/7/8/2/3)-(6/7/8/2/3)						96	$0.10	$9.60	8-6-7-3		$23.73			$14.13				147%
			DD	(4/8/10/1)-(6/7/8/2)						16	$1.00	$16.00	4-8		$39.35			$23.35				146%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/14/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($100K)					Purse ($72K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	SILVER TALISMAN									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.50		34%		1.90		4.03	W
3	NO MORE KINGS									(amoss m)ORTIZ L 119						4.00		8%		11.00		2.93	P
5	SOUTHEASTERN									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 119						3.00		16%		5.10		3.72	S
4	LENNIE G									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						8.00						9.74
8	SIX STRING PRINCE									(moquett ronald)ASHTON GAVIN 119						12.00						11.35
2	OUT FLAT									(morse randy )TORRES A 119						12.00		6%		16.80		25.73
1	TELECASTER									(holsapple hutc)DOYLE SOPHIE 119						4.50						7.53
7	WINGFOOT									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						8.00						3.90
9	FLAMING EMBERS									(gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119						15.00		6%		16.80		66.15

CD-2			11/14/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		F		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MODO									(amoss m)ORTIZ L 118						3.50						2.97
4	HER LAUGH									(mott riley)ORTIZ JR 118						3.00		22%		3.50		3.22	P
6	ROSATO									(wilkes ia)TORRES A 118						6.00		5%		19.00		8.02	S
1	STRONG STATE									(stall m)GRAHAM J 118						2.00		37%		1.70		1.51
3	LYNN'S MILKY WAY									(ramirez l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						2.50						3.63
SCR	COSTA AMALFITANA									(munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 118						20.00

CD-3			11/14/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($86K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	OSCAR ECLIPSE									(lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120						4.00						2.66
1	INEXORABLE									(jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						8.00		5%		19.00		5.73	P
3	CARAMEL CHIP									(david carlos )ORTIZ JR 120						2.50		48%		1.10		1.88	S
9	GUNNER BAY									(rice linda)TORRES A 120						8.00		15%		5.70		12.86
2	FURIOUS ANGER									(romans dale)LANERIE J 120						6.00						8.40
4	UNLOAD									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120						12.00						8.03
6	GOLD LUCK									(garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 120						5.00						10.94
5	OLAZABAL									(sells rachel)MACHADO LUAN 122						6.00		10%		9.00		12.91
SCR	EXCEL CALCULATOR									(jacobson )TORRES A 120						12.00

CD-4			11/14/2025		5280ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BOHEMIAN									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119						4.50		42%		1.40		3.35	W
		(by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
7	MOTHER GREEN									(mott riley)ORTIZ JR 119						8.00						17.44
		(by CHARLATAN out of NEREID by ROCK HARD TEN)
1	RHAPSODY IN MOTION									(meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 119						10.00		5%		19.00		13.91	S
		(by ACCELERATE out of SING ME SWEET by MAD FLATTER)
12	TENDER TEMPER									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						12.00						23.14
		(by CONSTITUTION out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
3	ROCCABELLA									(mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119						20.00						35.91
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of ROYAL AZAHAR by CURLIN)
2	VIKING QUEST									(robson la)LEPAROUX R 119						30.00						49.97
		(by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of MAJESTIC HAZE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
9	LOWENSTEIN (IRE)									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		★				2.24
		(by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of FAMILY STAR by SEA THE STARS)
6	PASEO (GB)									(wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 119						5.00						8.40
		(by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of POSTERITAS by LEAR FAN)
8	PATRON SILVER									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		33%		2.00		2.51
		(by HOLY BULL out of BODACIOUS TATAS by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
10	SEA ZEST									(colebrook)TORRES A 119						10.00		5%		19.00		35.74
		(by HARD SPUN out of SEA SHADOW by JUMP START)
11	DANZIG'S DORA									(kenneally)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						20.00						50.80
		(by HARD SPUN out of DORA DORA by DONERAILE COURT)
5	HOLLY HETTY									(mott william)TORRES A 119						10.00						35.73
		(by YAUPON out of MISS HETTY by CONGRATS)
SCR	LA PUMA									(hernandez)BEALMEAR C 119						12.00
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of COUGARSTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR	LABILE									(mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONNAROO by TAPIT)
SCR	MINSTRELLY									(corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 119						15.00
		(by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of MINSTREL SHOW by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR	MODERN ESCAPE									(moreno t)RODRIGUEZ A 119						20.00
		(by MODERNIST out of ESCAPEPROOF by WICKED STRONG)

CD-5			11/14/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($36K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	TRAIN AND TRUST									(martinez ralp)BACON W 118						15.00		5%		18.40		5.21	W
6	PROMISSIONE									(diodoro r)TORRES A 118						3.50		40%		1.50		1.09	P
7	ROMANTIC LEAD									(wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121						6.00		26%		2.90		6.45	S
3	ENOUGH ALREADY									(parker )DE CRUZ 121						8.00		★				8.83
5	SHORTSTOP									(cook david )GUTIERREZ MARIO 121						4.00						6.08
4	GUN IT AND RUN IT									(pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 121						10.00						11.77
2	CHANCES TAKEN									(mcguire lin)MURGIA A 121						12.00		5%		19.00		32.07
9	GREATDAYFORHOCKEY									(salas mar)BERMUDEZ E 118						15.00						13.38
10	GHOST PRINCE									(quartarolo)HERNANDEZ N 121						20.00						53.25
SCR	PUBLICITY									(londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 121						3.00

CD-6			11/14/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($48K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	COME ON POP									(matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 122						12.00						17.44
4	TROUBLE AHEAD									(meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124						5.00		★				4.87	P
9	SOKOTA									(hughes g)GRAHAM J 122						8.00		5%		19.00		23.24	S
12	BERNIEDOTT									(king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 122						15.00						57.48
3	JINXZI									(wilkes r)CEDILLO ABEL 122						12.00						12.89
5	TOMMY THE TRAIN									(moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 124						6.00		27%		2.60		5.54
11	INSPIRED GLORY									(shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124						12.00		5%		19.00		52.40
6	REDEPOSIT									(foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124						1.60		45%		1.20		0.60
8	BO BO DOUGH									(vance tho)BEALMEAR C 122						12.00						17.76
10	KING'S PLAN									(hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 122						20.00						96.64
SCR	MAX THE BUTLER									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						20.00
SCR	PONCA									(sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 122						12.00

CD-7			11/14/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($63K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	ITSINMYBLOOD									(sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118						6.00						5.77
10	IRON SHARPENS IRON									(fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50						5.50
1	KING PEANUT									(bogle fer)TORRES A 120						6.00		15%		5.60		11.75	S
6	CHARBONNAY									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						12.00						15.32
3	BIG SALT LICK									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120						4.50		5%		19.00		4.53
7	BAXTER									(anderson doug)BACON W 118						20.00		5%		19.00		46.10
9	KILLJOY									(mcgee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		50%		1.00		2.01
2	MOR SUCCESS									(labra rogeli)BARBOSA CARLOS 120						20.00						68.77
4	HEDGE									(stall m)GRAHAM J 118						6.00		7%		13.60		3.49
SCR	BEEZER									(cline c)SAEZ GABRIEL 120						15.00

CD-8			11/14/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SURE TO APPEAL									(lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119						20.00						24.44
		(by TAPITURE out of SOVEREIGN APPEAL by GHOSTZAPPER)
1	PRIZE PICK									(lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119						5.00		15%		5.70		4.07	P
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of KEESHA by TAPIT)
5	TIZ AUTHORITY									(hartman chris)BACON W 119						10.00						9.33
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of DICTATE COOL by CURLIN)
13	UNAUTHORIZED									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00		5%		19.00		6.90
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLOUDY VOW by BROKEN VOW)
3	SOMETHINGDANGEROUS									(asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119						3.00		25%		3.10		1.35
		(by DANZIG out of MACOUMBA by MR. PROSPECTOR)
2	CRUPPER									(von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 119						15.00						######
		(by CANDY RIDE out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
6	GRACE MET CUPID									(barrett rodd)MONCADA IRVING 119						20.00						######
		(by CUPID out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
9	HOT DAYS AHEAD									(stewart d)TORRES A 119						12.00						62.91
		(by MUNNINGS out of AMAGANSETT by TAPIT)
12	STEEL GOLDEN									(west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 119						10.00		9%		10.30		16.79
		(by GUN RUNNER out of ZIA'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
8	SOCKDOLAGER									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119						6.00						10.42
		(by GUN RUNNER out of SNOWY WINTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10	LA NORME DE JOUR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		30%		2.40		7.12
		(by BY MY STANDARDS out of LA BELLE DE JOUR by STRONG MANDATE)
11	BOURBONKOMA									(ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 119						15.00						36.88
		(by VEKOMA out of SIAMESE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR	BECAUSE OF LOVE (IRE)									(kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						30.00
		(by DREAMS TO REALIT out of LOVE AND WAR by WAR CHANT)
SCR	BRILLIANT BOMB									(spagnola i)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119						20.00
		(by HIT IT A BOMB out of LOVE TO REMINISCE by SUPER SAVER)
SCR	CRICKET NECK									(gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119						20.00
		(by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHE'S PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)

CD-9			11/14/2025		3630ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	HEART HEADED									(maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120						4.00		★				5.17
7	SMOKEY SMOKEY									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.50						2.93
4	EAKLY									(von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 120						8.00		28%		2.50		5.07	S
5	LET MY PEOPLE GO									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120						5.00		★				5.50
2	SURF CITY									(oliver victo)GEROUX FLORENT 120						15.00						19.93
1	INNATELY GOOD									(goodwin n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						30.00						74.30
3	JAKAJARO (IRE)									(cowell rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						12.00						13.94
9	ATTACHE									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120						10.00		15%		5.70		21.94
10	FOXTROTANNA									(wojczynski jus)SHEEHY DANNY 120						30.00						82.77
14	LINZER									(contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120						8.00						15.98
11	HEDWIG									(cruz jesus)BARBOSA CARLOS 120						15.00						20.49
12	OUR STARRY NIGHT									(bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120						3.50		32%		2.10		4.28
SCR	ALDER									(jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						8.00
SCR	CLASSIC LEGACY									(sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120						15.00
SCR	GO CAPTAIN									(briley lonnie)LANERIE J 120						5.00
SCR	MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 120						15.00

CD-10			11/14/2025		5940ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	TAKE CHARGE OMAHA									(sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118						4.00		★				5.14
12	IVORY AND EBONY									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						2.50		47%		1.10		1.21	P
14	FIVE A SIDE									(servis c)ORTIZ JR 118						6.00		13%		6.80		6.86	S
1	LOW KEY									(amoss m)ORTIZ L 118						5.00						3.76
11	UNION MIST									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						10.00		5%		19.00		12.13
2	CRIMSONITE									(asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 120						6.00						6.59
6	SAINT NANCY S									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						20.00						18.08
SCR	AVISO									(mcgee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 118						15.00
SCR	FAIRE PLAISIR									(king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 121						15.00
SCR	JEWEL BOX									(wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 120						12.00
SCR	LOBBY RENDEZVOUS									(shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118						15.00
SCR	QUINN'S PROMISE									(romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118						15.00
SCR	SCOOCH OVER									(mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						12.00
SCR	VINO TIEMPO									(vance thomas)TORRES A 118						20.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.