Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Friday - November 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-4   WIN (4/8/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $8.70 $0.70 9%
CD-5   WIN (6/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.42 $4.42 55%
    TRI (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2/3)-(6/7/8/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-6-7 $30.77 $6.77 28%
    SFT (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2/3)-(6/7/8/2/3)-(6/7/8/2/3) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-6-7-3 $23.73 $14.13 147%
    DD (4/8/10/1)-(6/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-8 $39.35 $23.35 146%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER TALISMAN 6 4 2½ 2nk   12 1 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 34% 1.90 4.03 W
NO MORE KINGS 3 6 6 5   22 2 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 8% 11.00 2.93 P
SOUTHEASTERN 5 2 53 6   5 3 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 16% 5.10 3.72 S
LENNIE G 4 7 710½ 811¾   6 48 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00 9.74  
SIX STRING PRINCE 8 1 4 33   45 58 (moquett ronald)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00 11.35  
OUT FLAT 2 8 811½ 711¼   710½ 612 (morse randy )TORRES A 119 12.00 6% 16.80 25.73  
TELECASTER 1 3 1½ 1nk   3 712¼ (holsapple hutc)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 4.50 7.53  
WINGFOOT 7 5 31 4   813 821 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 3.90  
FLAMING EMBERS 9 9 914½ 934¾   9100 9100 (gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119 15.00 6% 16.80 66.15  
 
CD-2   11/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODO 4 2 1 11   13 12 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 2.97  
HER LAUGH 3 4 44 3   33 22 (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 22% 3.50 3.22 P
ROSATO 5 1 2 21   23 3 (wilkes ia)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.02 S
STRONG STATE 1 5 56 5   5 4 (stall m)GRAHAM J 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.51  
LYNN'S MILKY WAY 2 3 3 42   4 5 (ramirez l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 3.63  
SCR  COSTA AMALFITANA               (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSCAR ECLIPSE 7 3 2½ 1nk   13 1 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 2.66  
INEXORABLE 1 8 8 7   4 2 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.73 P
CARAMEL CHIP 3 1 3 4   33 33 (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.88 S
GUNNER BAY 8 4 42 31   23 44 (rice linda)TORRES A 120 8.00 15% 5.70 12.86  
FURIOUS ANGER 2 5 64 8   7 5 (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 6.00 8.40  
UNLOAD 4 2 53 6   67 6 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 8.03  
GOLD LUCK 6 7 74 5   55 7 (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 10.94  
OLAZABAL 5 6 1½ 2nk   810½ 818¼ (sells rachel)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 10% 9.00 12.91  
SCR  EXCEL CALCULATOR               (jacobson )TORRES A 120 12.00    
 
CD-4   11/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOHEMIAN 4 12 1210¼ 1210¼ 11 44 1 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 42% 1.40 3.35 W
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
MOTHER GREEN 7 1 11 1 1 12 2 (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 17.44  
  (by CHARLATAN out of NEREID by ROCK HARD TEN)
RHAPSODY IN MOTION 1 8 53 5 5 22 3 (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.91 S
  (by ACCELERATE out of SING ME SWEET by MAD FLATTER)
12  TENDER TEMPER 12 11 10 10 10 6 4 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 23.14  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
ROCCABELLA 3 3 3 3 4 33 55 (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 35.91  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ROYAL AZAHAR by CURLIN)
VIKING QUEST 2 10 11 11 12 107 67 (robson la)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 49.97  
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of MAJESTIC HAZE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
LOWENSTEIN (IRE) 9 4 7 7 6 5 7 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.24  
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of FAMILY STAR by SEA THE STARS)
PASEO (GB) 6 9 9 9 9 8 88 (wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8.40  
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of POSTERITAS by LEAR FAN)
PATRON SILVER 8 5 4 4 2 75 910¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.51  
  (by HOLY BULL out of BODACIOUS TATAS by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
10  SEA ZEST 10 2 8 8 8 11 1011½ (colebrook)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 35.74  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SEA SHADOW by JUMP START)
11  DANZIG'S DORA 11 6 6 6 7 12 1115 (kenneally)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 50.80  
  (by HARD SPUN out of DORA DORA by DONERAILE COURT)
HOLLY HETTY 5 7 21 2 3 9 1218 (mott william)TORRES A 119 10.00 35.73  
  (by YAUPON out of MISS HETTY by CONGRATS)
SCR  LA PUMA               (hernandez)BEALMEAR C 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of COUGARSTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LABILE               (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONNAROO by TAPIT)
SCR  MINSTRELLY               (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of MINSTREL SHOW by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  MODERN ESCAPE               (moreno t)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of ESCAPEPROOF by WICKED STRONG)
 
CD-5   11/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:134 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN AND TRUST 7 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk 1nk (martinez ralp)BACON W 118 15.00 5% 18.40 5.21 W
PROMISSIONE 5 7 4 5 3½ 1nk 2nk (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 3.50 40% 1.50 1.09 P
ROMANTIC LEAD 6 8 67 42 5 4 35 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 26% 2.90 6.45 S
ENOUGH ALREADY 2 9 910½ 8 9 6 4 (parker )DE CRUZ 121 8.00 8.83  
SHORTSTOP 4 5 3 31 2nk 33 5 (cook david )GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 4.00 6.08  
GUN IT AND RUN IT 3 1 1½ 1nk 41 55 69 (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00 11.77  
CHANCES TAKEN 1 6 55 6 6 7 710¾ (mcguire lin)MURGIA A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 32.07  
GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 8 2 77 7 75 9 812¾ (salas mar)BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00 13.38  
10  GHOST PRINCE 9 3 810 9 8 8 913 (quartarolo)HERNANDEZ N 121 20.00 53.25  
SCR  PUBLICITY               (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00    
 
CD-6   11/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME ON POP 1 4 1½ 1½   1 1hd (matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 17.44  
TROUBLE AHEAD 3 9 3 42   2 2hd (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 4.87 P
SOKOTA 7 10 1011½ 1011½   7 31 (hughes g)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.24 S
12  BERNIEDOTT 10 1 76 5   4 42 (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 57.48  
JINXZI 2 5 5 6   64 5 (wilkes r)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00 12.89  
TOMMY THE TRAIN 4 3 4 32   5 6 (moger ed )BERMUDEZ E 124 6.00 27% 2.60 5.54  
11  INSPIRED GLORY 9 8 2½ 2½   33 79 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 52.40  
REDEPOSIT 5 6 87 8   8 811 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 45% 1.20 0.60  
BO BO DOUGH 6 2 98 9   910½ 913¼ (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 122 12.00 17.76  
10  KING'S PLAN 8 7 6 77   1011½ 1018¼ (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 20.00 96.64  
SCR  MAX THE BUTLER               (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
SCR  PONCA               (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSINMYBLOOD 5 4 21 1nk   2nk 1nk (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 5.77  
10  IRON SHARPENS IRON 9 5 42 3½   1nk 2nk (fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 5.50  
KING PEANUT 1 3 3 4   42 3 (bogle fer)TORRES A 120 6.00 15% 5.60 11.75 S
CHARBONNAY 6 7 53 5   3 42 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 15.32  
BIG SALT LICK 3 8 8 8   6 5 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 5% 19.00 4.53  
BAXTER 7 6 7 6   7 6 (anderson doug)BACON W 118 20.00 5% 19.00 46.10  
KILLJOY 8 1 11 2nk   5 7 (mcgee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.01  
MOR SUCCESS 2 9 9 77   8 8 (labra rogeli)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 20.00 68.77  
HEDGE 4 2 63 910¾   924¾ 951½ (stall m)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 7% 13.60 3.49  
SCR  BEEZER               (cline c)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE TO APPEAL 6 4 6 5   5 12 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 24.44  
  (by TAPITURE out of SOVEREIGN APPEAL by GHOSTZAPPER)
PRIZE PICK 1 7 11 1½   12 22 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 15% 5.70 4.07 P
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of KEESHA by TAPIT)
TIZ AUTHORITY 4 2 31 3   22 3 (hartman chris)BACON W 119 10.00 9.33  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DICTATE COOL by CURLIN)
13  UNAUTHORIZED 12 1 9 74   6 4 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLOUDY VOW by BROKEN VOW)
SOMETHINGDANGEROUS 3 12 4 42   32 5 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.10 1.35  
  (by DANZIG out of MACOUMBA by MR. PROSPECTOR)
CRUPPER 2 6 21 64   8 6 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00 ######  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
GRACE MET CUPID 5 3 5 2½   4 76 (barrett rodd)MONCADA IRVING 119 20.00 ######  
  (by CUPID out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
HOT DAYS AHEAD 8 11 1215¾ 1212   10 8 (stewart d)TORRES A 119 12.00 62.91  
  (by MUNNINGS out of AMAGANSETT by TAPIT)
12  STEEL GOLDEN 11 5 8 107   11 98 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 9% 10.30 16.79  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ZIA'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
SOCKDOLAGER 7 10 10 85   7 10 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 10.42  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SNOWY WINTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  LA NORME DE JOUR 9 8 11 119   129 11 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 30% 2.40 7.12  
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of LA BELLE DE JOUR by STRONG MANDATE)
11  BOURBONKOMA 10 9 7 9   9 12 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 119 15.00 36.88  
  (by VEKOMA out of SIAMESE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  BECAUSE OF LOVE (IRE)               (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00    
  (by DREAMS TO REALIT out of LOVE AND WAR by WAR CHANT)
SCR  BRILLIANT BOMB               (spagnola i)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of LOVE TO REMINISCE by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  CRICKET NECK               (gorostiet)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHE'S PROUD by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
CD-9   11/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART HEADED 7 2 64 6   21 11 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5.17  
SMOKEY SMOKEY 6 8 107 10   6 21 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 2.93  
EAKLY 4 10 4 42   11 3 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 28% 2.50 5.07 S
LET MY PEOPLE GO 5 1 9 9   53 4 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.50  
SURF CITY 2 7 12 12   9 53 (oliver victo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 19.93  
INNATELY GOOD 1 11 118 11   11 6 (goodwin n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 74.30  
JAKAJARO (IRE) 3 12 21 2nk   31 7 (cowell rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 13.94  
ATTACHE 8 5 74 85   10 8 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 15% 5.70 21.94  
10  FOXTROTANNA 9 6 5 5   85 9 (wojczynski jus)SHEEHY DANNY 120 30.00 82.77  
14  LINZER 12 3 11 1nk   4 10 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 15.98  
11  HEDWIG 10 4 3 31   7 118 (cruz jesus)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 15.00 20.49  
12  OUR STARRY NIGHT 11 9 85 7   12 12 (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 32% 2.10 4.28  
SCR  ALDER               (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC LEGACY               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
SCR  GO CAPTAIN               (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/14/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:373   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE OMAHA 4 2 4 42 4 12 15 (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00 5.14  
12  IVORY AND EBONY 6 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 22 25 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 2.50 47% 1.10 1.21 P
14  FIVE A SIDE 7 1 32 3 3.2 32 3 (servis c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 13% 6.80 6.86 S
LOW KEY 1 6 710½ 7 6 5 46 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 3.76  
11  UNION MIST 5 5 5 5 5 45 5 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.13  
CRIMSONITE 2 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 6 617¾ (asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 6.59  
SAINT NANCY S 3 7 6 6 7 715¾ 729¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 18.08  
SCR  AVISO               (mcgee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00    
SCR  FAIRE PLAISIR               (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
SCR  JEWEL BOX               (wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
SCR  LOBBY RENDEZVOUS               (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  QUINN'S PROMISE               (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
SCR  SCOOCH OVER               (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  VINO TIEMPO               (vance thomas)TORRES A 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.