Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - October 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.08 $4.08 68%
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $27.28 $15.28 127%
CD-6   WIN (12/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $23.00 $17.00 283%
    EXA (12/13/2)-(12/13/2/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-13 $242.24 $224.24 1246%
    TRI (12/13/2)-(12/13/2/10)-(12/13/2/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-13-10 $341.49 $332.49 3694%
    SFT (12/13/2)-(12/13/2/10)-(12/13/2/10)-(12/13/2/10) 18 $0.10 $1.80  2-13-10-12 $194.88 $193.08 10727%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:121 1:253   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EXPLOSIVELY 5 2 11 11 12½ 11½ 12½ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 ★ 1.27  
3  WHERE'S RANDY 3 4 42 42½ 32½ 21½ 22½ (ramirez-r)TORRES A 122 10.00 9.00  
7  MO HOPE 7 3 21 21 22½ 34 37 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.80 1.69  
4  NOBLE GENTLEMAN 4 6 53½ 53½ 54½ 46 48½ (labra rogelio)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 12.56  
6  HEY BUDDY 6 5 32 32½ 43½ 56½ 59¼ (martinez kell)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 ★ 9.39  
2  EL CORDOBES (IRE) 2 7 65 65 66½ 68½ 69½ (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 15.00 77% 0.30 9.69  
1  PIERCE ELEVATED 1 1 75½ 77½ 78½ 710 716¼ (salas ma)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.90  
 
CD-2   10/30/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:143 1:421   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MIZMALICE 4 4 34 32½ 3½ 32 1¼ (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 4.11  
7  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 6 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 21 2¼ (scherer m)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 1.24  
8  RIDE THE BROOM 7 2 45 42¾ 2nk 11 31 (roberts joe)POSTON K 111 15.00 10% 9.30 16.14 S
2  MUSTANG LADY 1 7 55¼ 52¾ 64¾ 54 41¼ (newton tr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60 6.69  
3  SISTER CARLIE 2 6 77¾ 75¼ 53¼ 43½ 51½ (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 19% 4.20 2.52  
4  PARKING LOT POURS 3 5 66¼ 63¼ 43 66½ 611 (brownfield cl)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 9% 9.60 12.72  
6  TANGANYIKA 5 3 1nk 1nk 76¾ 713½ 721¾ (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 118 20.00 37.33  
SCR  FEARLESS LADY               (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
 
CD-3   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ORIGINAL SIN 2 5 57½ 55½ 55½ 45½ 11¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.04 W
  (by CURLIN out of BEAUTY AND LIGHT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  PENALTY BOX 1 4 31½ 31½ 31 12 21¼ (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.00 28% 2.60 1.00 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of LADY ALIDA by STREET BOSS)
4  NOMOLIMBO 4 6 68 68 66 55½ 34½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 30.00 46.22  
  (by MO TOWN out of PRETTY ZIPPY by CITY ZIP)
6  SIXTYSEVEN MUSTANG 5 1 21½ 21½ 2nk 22 46½ (anderson doug)BACON W 120 5.00 2.93  
  (by VEKOMA out of FIRE OF FREEDOM by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  TORRE EIFFEL 3 2 11½ 11½ 1nk 33½ 510 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 17.00  
  (by CUPID out of LOST BADGE by BADGE OF SILVER)
7  THE EXODUS TWIST 6 3 42 42 43 613½ 630¼ (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 120 6.00 27% 2.70 4.43  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BOLD STRENGTH               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of VAUNTING by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CD-4   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:143 1:273   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AUTHENTIC ANGEL 9 6 73¼ 63 31½ 14 12¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 ★ 6.89  
4  PRINCESS CELINE 4 7 94¾ 84 53½ 24 22¾ (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 24% 3.10 1.44 P
10  MY SECRET DREAMS 10 3 51¾ 41½ 11½ 34 38½ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 6.00 7.42  
1  SHIDONI 1 4 41½ 31½ 43 45 49¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 53% 0.90 4.44  
3  I MEAN BUSINESS 3 1 31½ 73½ 76 610 518 (spicer jame)POSTON K 112 15.00 62.90  
8  TOPIC THUNDER 8 2 1½ 1½ 21½ 58 622¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.43  
7  BROADWAY MUSICAL 7 9 106¾ 106½ 910¾ 714½ 729¼ (o'dwyer )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.02  
5  NO ARGUMENT 5 8 62¾ 94½ 810½ 917¼ 839¼ (hump)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 78.32  
11  GOLD LADY 11 5 2½ 2½ 65 814¾ 939½ (moreno ti)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 27.66  
6  MAMARSHA 6 11 119¼ 1110½ 1013¼ 1029¼ 1064 (holsapple)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 8.51  
2  MIDNIGHT FLIGHT 2 10 83¾ 52 11100 11100 11100 (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 7.63  
 
CD-5   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TARTARIA 3 2 74½ 64½   12 13¾ (leonard geo)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 ★ 7.59  
8  CAMPAIGN PROMISES 6 3 31 22   32 23¾ (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 2.00 72% 0.40 2.37 P
9  COASTLINE HOTTIE 7 1 1½ 12   22 39¼ (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 18.89  
6  SPOTAWAY 4 6 41½ 33   44 49¼ (rouck mart)HERNANDEZ N 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
2  WONDER OF YOU 2 7 53 53½   55 511¾ (amoss thomas)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 0.87  
1  STARCOURT 1 4 64½ 74¾   66 613½ (roberson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 25.02  
7  CRACKLE (GB) 5 5 2½ 43   77½ 717¼ (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 12.70  
SCR  BROOKLYNN DREW               (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60    
SCR  ELLIOTT MOON               (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00    
 
CD-6   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104 1:242   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SECRET CHAT 1 7 54½ 53 77½ 55 11 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00 22% 3.60 10.50 W
13  THE PROCESS 7 4 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 21 (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 24% 3.20 6.11 P
10  SARDIS 5 1 32½ 32½ 32½ 33 32¼ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 ★ 4.59 S
12  PRINCETOWN 6 2 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 43 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 30% 2.40 2.09  
8  JUST A FAIR SHAKE 3 3 43 43 45½ 45 53¾ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 3.08  
5  GROVELAND 2 5 75½ 75 56½ 66½ 64 (harty eoin)TORRES A 122 20.00 8.63  
9  ASPENITE 4 6 64½ 64½ 66½ 710½ 714¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 6.43  
SCR  CAMEO PERFORMANCE               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
SCR  DEPICTION               (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00    
SCR  DUNEDIN               (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00    
SCR  INNATELY GOOD               (goodwin n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
SCR  LAUGH A LOT               (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
SCR  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS               (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50    
 
CD-7   10/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  JACK'S PROMISE 9 6 41½ 41½   4¾ 11¾ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 12.67  
1  NORTHERN CHILL 1 4 21 31   3.2 21¾ (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 ★ 3.44 P
2  DREAMINBLUE 2 8 65½ 76   74¼ 33 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5.20  
6  MAP TO THE STARS 6 9 53½ 64   62¾ 43¾ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 8% 12.20 10.67  
8  B SUDD 8 1 75¾ 52½   52¾ 54 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 34.86  
3  HYMN (IRE) 3 5 31 2½   1nk 65¾ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 4.26  
5  NICHOLAI 5 3 97¾ 1011½   99¼ 77¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 20.00 24.16  
7  RISK IT 7 7 87¾ 88   86¾ 87½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 12% 7.30 11.67  
10  SUBITO (GB) 10 2 11 1½   2nk 99 (mott william)TORRES A 120 3.00 53% 0.90 2.29  
4  OBELISK 4 10 109¾ 911   1010¼ 109¾ (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 20.00 35.79  
 
CD-8   10/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULTITASK 1 8 73¼ 74¼ 53¾ 32 11 (harty eoin)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 ★ 6.18  
4  IMPLEMENTATION 4 7 52 31½ 2½ 2nk 21 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 6.72  
8  BENDOOG 7 5 2nk 2½ 1½ 1nk 31½ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 51% 0.90 4.11 S
7  FULL SCREEN 6 4 63 62¼ 85¼ 45 43¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 6% 15.20 4.74  
2  THREE TECHNIQUE 2 6 84¾ 94¾ 95¾ 76¾ 55½ (cook b)LANERIE J 120 20.00 8.51  
5  MONEY SUPPLY 5 3 94¾ 84¾ 75¼ 56½ 65½ (jacobson )TORRES A 120 15.00 19.54  
10  CARAMEL CHIP 9 1 31 42 43½ 66¾ 79¼ (david a)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 13.75  
3  WOODCOURT 3 2 1nk 1½ 33½ 87 89½ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.92  
9  GUN PARTY 8 9 41½ 52 64¾ 911 930½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 20% 4.10 2.45  
SCR  TRADEMARK               (oliver victo)TORRES A 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   10/30/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:16 1:424   1:553   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AVISO 2 6 42 51¾ 42 11 16 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 22% 3.50 1.04 W
7  LADY LILYLOU 5 2 62¾ 41¾ 52¼ 21 26 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 118 6.00 9% 10.00 4.93 P
1  FREAK CITY 1 7 75¾ 74¾ 63¾ 45½ 313 (jacobs mag)HERNANDEZ N 122 10.00 22.72  
4  HOLD MY HALO 3 5 1nk 3.2 1½ 33½ 415 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 10.00 17.24  
14  DERRY GIRL 7 3 31 1nk 3½ 66½ 520½ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 21% 3.90 3.42  
5  EVELYN LOUISE 4 1 2nk 2nk 2½ 55½ 625¼ (oliver v)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 26% 2.90 5.28  
12  MY SEXY BLONDE 6 4 52¼ 62¼ 74¼ 712½ 762½ (taylor bren)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 12.51  
SCR  TACO CAT BACKWARDS               (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  SHEILA'S LION               (desormeaux j)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  ROMANY ROAD               (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
SCR  RIGHTINTHATWRONG               (corrigan jim)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  MALIBU SMART               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
SCR  DRAMA SPEAKER               (miller da)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  CALL ME TONI               (hughes g)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
SCR  VEE'S REASON               (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00    
SCR  ASTERIA               (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   10/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN 1 4 32 31½   12 13¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.43 W
4  FORMAGGIO 4 3 2½ 11   22 23¾ (brion keri)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 3.16  
2  CLOUD NUMBER NINE 2 6 53 53½   310 313 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 7.73  
6  SMOKIN HOT WIFE 5 1 42½ 42½   513 421¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 17% 4.90 1.88  
8  BOLD BABY TENDER 6 2 1½ 21   411 522¾ (barrett ro)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 15.00 10% 8.70 18.63  
3  DYNAMITE 3 5 64½ 65½   616½ 628½ (hughes g)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 19.18  
SCR  ACTION PLAYER               (norris mike)HESS SARA 123 30.00    
SCR  BELONGTOTHENAVY               (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 15.00    
SCR  SUITEFOURFOURTHREE               (compton greg)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.